SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: Adirondack (G2), 2yo-F, 6.5f ($3 Triple Play/4th-7th-9th, P3, DD)

Favored Naughty Gal lone entrant with advantage of win at 6f..

Most Likely: #2 Naughty Gal 8-5 WON ($4.90)
Next Best: #3 Promise of Hope 4-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Damaso 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Sabra Tuff 7-2 3rd

$3 Triple Play P3 Grid:

4: 2-3 (A), 4-6 (B), – (C)
7: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-5-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 4x1x4 = 16 x $3 = $48

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Quite a bit of guesswork involved with this set of juvy gals..

Best Value: #5 Tribal Queen 5-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Peace Cruiser 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Bisset 9-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Raging Sea 5-1 WON ($15.80)

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Very interesting set of pedigrees involved here including Justify firsters from Pletcher (Invest Wisely o/o Emma’s Encore) and Dutrow (La Mazel)..

Most Likely: #9 Delight 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 La Mazel 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Pink Hue 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Invest Wisely 5-1 5th

7th: Saratoga Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 With the Moonlight 5-2 WON ($4.30)
Next Best: #2 McKulick 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Contemporary Art 6-1 4th

SAR Derby/Oaks DBL:

SAT 11: 4 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
SUN 7: 34/SCR (A), – (B), 1-2 (C)

4 w/ 3-4 = 2 x $20 = $40
4 w/ 1-2 = 2 X $5 = $10
6 w/ 3-4 = 2 x $10 = $20
6 w/ 1-2 = 2 x $5 = $10

$1 DBL (4/3) Paid $7.60 x 10 = $76.00
$1 Conso DBL (4/4) Paid $3.65 x 10 = $36.50

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Filly and mare version of Saturday’s 7f heat where Saint Tapit followed up his MDN win with a grindy win (90 Beyer)..

Best Value: #1 Wicked Hot 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Empire Hope 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Colorful Mischief 5-2 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #8 Portilla 9-2 5th

9th: De La Rose-R, F&M-4+, 1m-Inner (DD)

This has become one of my favorite races of the season as it always features a talented set of F&M’s. Tabbed Jouster for Beat Byk but didn’t expect her to be ML fave. No one here is an auto-toss..

Most Likely: #5 Jouster 5-2 ~ 6th ‘Beat Byk’ Selection; Qualify for 9/17 final HERE..
Next Best: #1 Love and Thunder 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Assertive Style 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Our Flash Drive 7-2 WON ($10.00)

10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T

Merci (7-2) drops, but still appears to be a highly vulnerable favorite..

Best Value: #11 Cash in a Flash 8-1 ~ 7th Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #1 Digital Software 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #8 Fieldstone 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Bless Bless 6-1 9th

P5 Grid:

6: 9-10 (A), 4-6 (B), – (C)
7: 3 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
8: 1-4 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 6-8 (B), – (C)
10: 1-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x4x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x1x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup (A-C-A-A-A; 2 in 7th): 2x1x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8

$0.50 Pick 5 (4/3,4/5/6/1,13,14,15,16) Paid $489.25

P4 Grid:

7: 2-3 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
8: 1-4 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 6-8 (B), – (C)
10: 1-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x2 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A’s: 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup (C-A-A-A; 1-5 in 7th): 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8

$0.50 Pick 4 (3,4/5/6/1,13,14,15,16) Paid $115.62

8/6: Saratoga (Whitney Day)

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SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-Inner (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Mullingar 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Alexis Zorba 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Battle of Normandy 5-2 WON ($8.30)
Super Add: #5 Red Route One 5-2 5th

2nd: MCLM/$30k, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 She Caught My Eye 4-1 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #5 Mostly Harmless 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Afilada 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Tekila 7-2 6th

3rd: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Impazible Donna 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Khali Magic 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Miss Alacrity 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Mosienko 4-1 WON ($17.40)

4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-Inner (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Dubb Ownership Entry 2-1 3rd/5th
Next Best: #2 Good Governance 6-5 WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #4 Founder 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Casanova Kitten 15-1 4th

5th: Lure-R, 4+, 8.5f-T (P5, $3 Triple Play/5th-7th-11th, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Public Sector 2-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Duke of Hazzard 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Somelikeithotbrown 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Safe Conduct 6-1 5th

$3 Triple Play P3 Grid:

5: 1-4 (A), – (B), 8 (C) ~ Lure
7: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ Glens Falls
11: 4-6-10-11 (A), – (B), – (C) ~ SAR Derby

All A’s: 2x2x4 = 16 x $3 = $48
Backup (C-A-A): 1x2x4 = 8 x $3 = $24 (8 w/ 2-6 w/ 4-6-10-11)

P5 Grid:

1: 2-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
2: 4-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 1-2 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
5: 1 (A), 4 (B), 8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-A-C): 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (8 in 5th)

P4 Grid:

2: 4-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 1-2 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
5: 1-4 (A), 8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

This is going to be one of Spa’s major 2yo races with nearly the whole field appearing well meant. Have to imagine Repole/Viola team didn’t name one after JJ Crupi that can’t run. Meanwhile, the inside pair from Shug and Asmussen look like they’re in slightly better position today than the firsters..

Best Value: #3 Perform 7-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Disarm 5-2 WON ($5.70)
Exotics Use: #1e Repole/Viola entry 2-1 3rd/7th
Super Add: #6 Rocket Can 6-1 5th

7th: Glens Falls (G2), F&M-4+, 12f-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

Virginia Joy absolutely on par with War Like Goddess and owns early jump tactical edge to boot..

Most Likely: #2 Virginia Joy 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 War Like Goddess 1-2 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #1 Temple City Terror 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Petricor 6-1 7TH

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f *(P5, G/S, P3, DD)

With all the hubbub over the Whitney, the confrontation of emergent Saint Tapit v. Money Supply and Osbourne (all 3yo’s) has gone somewhat unnoticed. Saint Tapit (the Mandy Pope home bred o/o Havre de Grace) apparently scared off a number of potential entrants that were looking to prep for the Allen Jerkens here. Should be good..

Best Value: #9 Osbourne 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Saint Tapit 8-5 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #7 Money Supply 9-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Scilly Cay 10-1 8th

9th: Test (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Matareya easily rates 3-5 lengths better than those signed on. Has proven she doesn’t need a lead to be successful..

Most Likely: #1 Matareya 2-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Chi Town Lady 15-1 WON ($36.00)
Next Best: #5 November Rein 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Sterling Silver 15-1 4th

P5 Grid:

5: 1-4 (A), 8 (B), 2-3 (C)
6: 1-2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 7-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x3x1 = $54 ($27 for .50)
All A’s: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (C-A-A-A-A; 2-3 in 5th): 2x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 1-2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 7-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s (Press): 3x2x3x1 = 9 x $5 = $45

10th: Whitney (G1), 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

This should be very entertaining with a number of scenarios possible. Life Is Good could establish position early and wire; Blinkered Hot Rod Charlie could engage him early and go on or make them both vulnerable to the stalker/closers; Olympiad gets first run on the leader(s) and feels most likely before they spring the latch; Ground-saving Americanrevolution reprises his Albany romp from last summer getting the dream drip behind the front trio and runs by them all..

Most Likely: #4 Olympiad 2-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Life Is Good 6-5 WON ($3.70)
Exotics Use: #2 Hot Rod Charlie 9-2 3rd

11th: Saratoga Derby (G1), 3yo, 9.5f-T (Derby-Oaks 2-day DBL, DD)

Excellent assembly with trips from Belmont Derby weighing heavily on players’ approaches to this reshuffled deck. Classic Causeway should find the front end more crowded today with Main Event, Emmanuel and Royal Patronage all; interested in attending the pace. Favored Nations Pride, Annapolis and Stone Age feel very likely if trying to stay narrow. Yesterday, Wit ran 2nd in the HOF in his turf debut and don’t be shocked if War Front dammed Ethereal Road (15-1) shows up similarly here..

Most Likely: #4 Nations Pride 7-2 WON ($6.20) ~ ‘Beat Byk’ Selection; Qualify for 9/17 final HERE..
Next Best: #6 Annapolis 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #11 Ethereal Road 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Stone Age 9-2 5th

SAR Derby/Oaks DBL:

SAT 11: 4 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
SUN 7: 3-4 (A), – (B), 1-2 (C)

4 w/ 3-4 = 2 x $20 = $40
4 w/ 1-2 = 2 X $5 = $10
6 w/ 3-4 = 2 x $10 = $20
6 w/ 1-2 = 2 x $5 = $10

12th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-Inner

Has been an annoying dearth of my favorite Spa opportunities ~ ‘NY breds long on the grass’ ~ so far this meet (just 6 over the first 17 days), but this MDN set qualifies with favored Your Mission & Biondi nominally better than the next half dozen contenders. Chad debuts a Bob Edwards home bred in Walk Em Down (Nyquist), Linda Rice gives Curlin’s Wisdom (Curlin) another chance on the lawn, while Mott offers Sir John (Laoban) as a first 3yo, first Lasix, first time gelding. As always in these hyper-competitive events, use as many as you can afford and trust your ‘capping instincts if you suspect a bomber..

Best Value: #5 Sir John 12-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Walk Em Down 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Action Jackson 8-1 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #8 Dreampoint 8-1 5th

P5 Grid:

8: 7-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 6 (B), – (C)
11: 4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 4-5-7 (A), 1-3-6-8-10 (B), 2-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x3x2x8 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-A-C; 2-9 in 12th): 3x1x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

9: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-2-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 4-5-7 (A), 1-3-6-8-10 (B), 2-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x2x8 = $64 ($32 for .50)
All A’s: 1x4x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)
Backup (A-A-A-C; 2-9 in 12th): 1x4x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8

MONMOUTH ~ SPOT PLAY

POST-SCRATCHES

9th (3:53p): Jersey Shore, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Witty 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Senbei 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Lightening Larry 6-1 5th

8/4: Saratoga (Day 16; Alydar)

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By kasept | Filed in Uncategorized | No comments yet.

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Lady Quinn 4-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Acqua Bella 2-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Sicilian Grandma 5-1 WON ($4.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Girl Afraid 5-2 3rd

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Very interesting pedigreed affair with daughter of Biofuel (Pallotta Sisters), half to Vision Perfect (Gustiamo), daughter of fast Squeeze (Illicit) and more..

Most Likely: #5 Cowichan 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Private Credit 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Illicit 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Personal Pursuit SCR

3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Plenty of pace here and why is Boston Post Road going to necessarily withstand it?

Most Likely: #2 W W Fitzy 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Played Hard 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #1 Flashndynamite 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Boston Post Road 9-5 2nd

4th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Voice of Spring 5-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Alpine Queen 5-2 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #7 Raffinity 5-1 4th
Super Add: #5 My Sweet Wife 7-2 3rd

5th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mistical Curlin 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Sensible Jim 3-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Lefty’s War 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 One More Baby 3-1 WON ($7.80)

P5 Grid:

1: 1-3 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)
2: 2-5 (A), – (B), 9 (C)
3: 1-2-3 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
5: 2 (A), – (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x3x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $12 (9 in 2nd) + $4 (6 in 3rd) + $12 (3 in 5th)

P4 Grid:

2: 2-5 (A), 9 (B), – (C)
3: 1-2-3 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
5: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: $4 (6 in 3rd)

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

With addition of blinkers and the rail, Rosario could put Who Me on the point and not look back..

Best Value: #1 Who Me 10-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Lachaise 7-2 WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #9 Twirling Charlie 12-1 10th
Super Add: #8 New York Panther 5-2 6th

7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Bye Bye 3-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Always Late 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Spicy Marg 7-2 WON ($11.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Mail Order 7-2 4th

8th: Alydar-R, 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Mystic Night 5-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Masqueparade 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Art Collector 7-5 WON ($3.60)
Super Add: #2 Bal Harbour 6-1 5th

9th: OC/N3X, 3+, 1m-Inner (DD)

Terrific heat with seemingly 7 of the 9 interests possible for laurels. At 8-1, I made Buy Land and See the Depaula Play of the Day, but beyond the faves, Bye Bye Melvin (15-1), Emaraaty (6-1) and Big Everest (6-1) all worth considering in the pay slots..

Best Value: #6 Buy Land and See 8-1 6th ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #5 Floriform 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Atone 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Bye Bye Melvin 15-1 4th

10th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #6 O’Gotten Girl 8-1
Next Best: #4 Freedomofthepress 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Miss Domina 5-2 WON ($13.80)
Super Add: #2 Mandy Green 5-1

P5 Grid:

6: 1-7 (A), 8-9 (B), – (C)
7: 1-7 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)
8: 1 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 2-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 4-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $36 (5-6 in 8th)

P4 Grid:

7: 1-7 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)
8: 1 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 2-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 4-6-7 (A), 2 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A’s: 2x1x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup: $18 (5-6 in 8th)

8/3: Saratoga (Day 15)

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SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Jonathon Kiser Novice, 4+, 16.5-Nat’l Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Burn the Evidence 7-2 6th
Next Best: #5 Howyabud 5-2 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #1 Perfect Tapatino 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Going Country 5-1 3rd

2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Laughter 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a (POE) Glittering Prize 5-2 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Darn That Song 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Frosty Invasion 9-2 3rd

3rd: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Pintrack 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Leddy 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #5 Never Early 3-1 3rd

4th: CLM, F&M-3+m 1m-Inner/18′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Golden Voice 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Adelaide Miss 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Jasminesque 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Charge Account 4-1 WON ($8.90)

5th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T/18′ (P6, P3, DD)

Upper Level & Java Buzz the horses to beat here, but Triumphant Road (10-1) dropped by personal fave Foxysox, the wonderfully talented 5x turf GSW (2005-09) for Carla Gaines. Iris Smith paid $475k for this Quality Road filly and Eddie Barker is very deliberate handling her stock. Makes 3yo debut today and could take to grass at a nice number..

Best Value: #4 Triumphant Road 10-1 6th ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #2 Upper Level 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Java Buzz 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #3 Rockets Red Glare 6-1 4th

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner/18′ (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Collaboration 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Dream On Cara 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Smokie Eyes 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Amanda’s Folly 8-1 4th

P5 Grid:

2: 1-2 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
3: 2 (A), 6 (B), 7 (C)
4: 4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-4-7 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups ($36): (C-A-A-A-A ~ 6-7 in 2nd) ~ 6-7 w/ 2 w/ 3-4 w/ 1-2-4 w/ 3-4-7 = 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18; (A-C-A-A-A ~ 7 in 3rd) ~ 1-2 w/ 7 w/ 3-4 w/ 1-2-4 w/ 3-4-7 = 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

3: 2-6 (A), 3 (B), – (C)
4: 4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-4-7 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Tiegen 8-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #4 Troubleshooter 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Blewitt 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Vintage Hollywood 4-1 6th

8th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Swift Tap 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Sugar Grey Leonard 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Silipo 8-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Buckingham Prince 4-1 3rd

9th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T/18′ (DD)

Most Likely: #1e Brant Ownership entry 1-1 2nd/4th
Best Value: #4 Poca Mucha 6-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #2 Angel Palm 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Princess Fawzia 6-1 3rd

10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f

Best Value: #9 Braciole 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Cathedral Beach 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Yono 5-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Arthurian 15-1 4th

P5 Grid:

6: 1-3-4-7 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
7: 3 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
8: 6-9 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
9: 1 (A), – (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 7-9-11 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x4x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 4x1x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups ($36): $12 (A-C-A-A-A ~ 4 in 7th) + $24 (A-A-A-C-A ~ 2-4 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

7: 3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 6-9 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
9: 1 (A), – (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 7-9-11 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x5 = 40 x $1.50 = $60 ($40 for $1; $20 for .50)
All A’s: 2x2x1x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup ~ A-A-C-A (2-4 in 9th): 3-4 w/ 6-9 w/ 2-4 w/ 1-9-12 = 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

7/31: Saratoga (5th-10th)

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SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 11f-Inner (P6, $3 Triple Play P3, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Baby Blythe 9-2 7th
Next Best: #6 Capital Structure 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #3 Ice Princess 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Mezcal 6-1 8th

Triple Play P3 Grid:

5: 6-9 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
9: 4-5 (A), – (B), 2 (C)

All A’s: 2x2x2 = 8 x $3 = $24
Backups (3 in 5th; 3 in 8th; 2 in 9th): 1x2x2 + 2x1x2 + 2x2x1 = 12 x $3 = $36

$3 Triple Play Pick 3 (6/6/2) Paid $331.50

6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Prank 9-5 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #2 Check Engine Light 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 My Betsy 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Misintention 10-1 4th

7th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD))

Best Value: #4 Ocala Dream 8-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Flop Shot 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Sanctuary City 10-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Hard Love 8-1 10th

8th: Bowling Green (G2), 4+, 11f-Inner (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Rockemperor 3-1 WON ($6.90)
Next Best: #2 Arklow 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Highland Chief 5-2 4th
Super Add: #1 L’emperator 6-1 3rd

9th: Amsterdam (G2), 3yo, 6.5f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Pappacap 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Accretive 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Gunite 4-1 WON ($16.80)
Super Add: #1 Pinehurst 6-1 8th

10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #7 Sharp Sensation 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Majestic Johnson 7-2 WON ($12.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Martinez 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Slugo 12-1 11th

P5 Grid:

6: 5 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x $1.50 = $54

P4 Grid:

7: 4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), – (B), 1-7-8-9 (C)
10: 6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)
Backup: 2x3x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24