1/21: Aqueduct ($18k C/O)

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By kasept | Filed in Uncategorized | No comments yet.

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-MSW, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$18k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #5 Pink Twist 7-2: Fein homebred from Pletcher half to 3x SW Ostrolenka..
Next Best: #6 My Girl Annie 5-2: Brown/Kumin miss has run fast enough to have won already..
Exotics Use: #2 Overtime Olivia 2-1: Kerry Metivier 2nd timer nipped in solid Dec. debut..
Super Add: #7 Spa Treatment 6-1: Steady nibbler and Albertrani gets results adding hood..

5th: MSW, F&M-4+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Hard group to decipher with 2 firsters (Brown, Duggan) and $75k Diodoro 1st/claim that balked when the gate opened in debut. Horses from KMc, Hennig & Albertrani have all run well enough to have graduated by now..

Most Likely: #2 Total Control 3-1
Next Best Value: #7 Blue Watch 2-1
Next Best Value: #3 Summer Punch 12-1
Exotics Use: #1 Tanzania Road 6-1

6th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Six (!) of the 9 lining up are first off the claim J. Englehart, Duggan, Diodoro, Levine, Rudy & Hennig. And a 7th (Getoffmyback) moves from Pete Miller to Casse for Gary Barber..

Most Likely: #3 Helooksthepart 5-2
Next Best: #4 Rockford 3-1
Best Value: #9 Will Did It 9-2
Exotics Use: #6 A Fleet Attitude 15-1

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Large field state bred ALW’s frequently provide fireworks and this group smells like chaos. Bond sends an entry that looks potent at 8-1 with #1a Sugarille having broken through for diploma last time and lightly raced #1 Terrasole SCR’D eligible to improve after hesitating when gates opened 12/7..

Best Value: #1a Sugarille 8-1
Next Best: #8 Sandy Belle 3-1
Exotics Use: #3 Nothingbutasmile 6-1
Super Add: #9 Strawberry Tequila 5-1

8th: Ladies H., F&M-4+, 9f (DD)

SCR Linda Rice’s #4 Crimson Frost due to the quarantine restrictions.. 5yo Sherini broke her MDN at SAR at 9f and has worked steadily for this 2nd start off the 14 month break. Could wire if McCarthy gets aggressive..

Most Likely: #5 Sherini 4-1
Next Best: #7 Bombshell 9-2
Exotics Use: #6 Girl Talk 6-1

9th: CLM, 4+, 6f

Best Value: #4 Dean’s Ticket 8-1
Next Best: #3 Soxy Ruby 4-1
Exotics Use: #9 Marnesia Big Girl 3-1
Super Add: #5 Blind Devotion 5-1

P6 Grid:

4: 5-6 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
5: 2 (A), 3-7 (B), 1-4-5 (C)
6: 3-4-9 (A), – (B), 5-6-8 (C)
7: 1-8 (A), – (B), 3-5-9 (C)
8: 5 (A), 7 (B), 1-2-3-6 (C)
9: 4 (A), – (B), 3-5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x2x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A’s: 2x1x3x2x1x1 = 12 x $2 = $24

P4 Grid:

6: 3-4-9 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-8 (C)
7: 1-8 (A), 9 (B), 3-5-10 (C)
8: 5-6-7 (A), – (B), 1-2-3 (C)
9: 3-4 (A), 9 (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x3 = 135 x .50 = $62.50
All A’s: 3x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: S/ALW, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Forge 5-2 WON ($5.10/5th)
Next Best: #8 Holland Road 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Fuel the Bern 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Scarf It Down 3-1 3rd

7th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Significant trainer switches at play here and first Gargan Cinderella (10-1) SCR’D gets 7#’s and outside stalking trip v. Hammerin Aamer (2-1)..

Most Likely: #6 Hammerin Aamer 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Admiral Blue 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Speith 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Super Add: #1 Mr. Buff 5-1 2nd

8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (DD)

Linda Rice has moved Polar Jet up considerably and repeat of last pair makes him a player v. By the Moon sibling Wonderful Light..

Best Value: #5 Polar Jet 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Wonderful Light 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Westwood 5-2 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #4 War of Ideas 7-2 7th

9th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #5 Valyrian 7-2 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #4 Adirondack Dream 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Son of Mine 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Gun for Hire 10-1 7th

P4 Grid:

6: 1-4-8 (A), 3-9 (B), 2-7 (C)
7: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), 1-8 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), – (B), 2-3-4 (C)
9: 5 (A), 4 (B), 1-3-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x2 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A’s: 3x3x2x1 = $18 ($9 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,5/2/2/5) Paid $129.25 (A-A-C-A)

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MCLM/$20k, 4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Expect some claim action here as these are OK horses for $20k..

Best Value: #2 Williston Dude 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Seau 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Dominant Don 6-1 WON ($15.40)
Super Add: #3 Is Trevor Clever 5-2 2nd

6th: OC/S-ALW, 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Tinabud 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #5 Sauce On Side 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Winsinfashion 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Lady Phyllis 4-1 3rd

7th: 44th Las Cienagas (G3), F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Feels very wide open with surface switches, stretchouts, cutbacks, newcomers to the hill..

Best Value: #6 Anita Partner 6-1 6th
Next Best Value: #2 Bendable 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Instant Reflex 8-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Coniah 4-1 WON ($6.40)

8th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 5.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Gosofar 2-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Oopper Wallah 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Rocky’s Show 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Informality 6-1 2nd

9th: OC/C, 4+, 6.5f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Harbour Master 9-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Anatolian Heat 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Semper Fortis 8-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Tribal Fighter 4-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #7 Eric the Trojan 6-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

5: 2-4 (A), 3-5 (B), 7 (C)
6: 5-6-7 (A), – (B), 1-3 (C)
7: 2-6-8 (A), 1-4 (B), – (C)
8: 2 (A), – (B), 4-6-7 (C)
9: 1-4 (A), – (B), 3-5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x5x1x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 5-6-7 (A), – (B), 1-3 (C)
7: 1-2-6-8 (A), 3-4-9 (B), 5/SCR-7 (C)
8: 2 (A), – (B), 4-6-7 (C)
9: 1-4 (A), 3-5-7 (B), 2-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x7x1x5 = 105 x .50 = $52.50
All A’s: 3x4x1x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

$125k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Spitfire 2-1 5th
Best Value: #3 All Star Parade 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 American League 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Hot Paris Night 5-2 7th

5th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

$193k P5 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #1 Dos Palos 6-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Touchdown USC 9-5 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #6 Starship Chewy 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Old School Ike 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Danny O 4-1 4th

6th: Cal-MSW, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Save Ground 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Atonofrun 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Bold Papa 5-1 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #6 Dial Me In 9-2 4th
Super/Hi-5: #5 Schooley 9-2 8th

7th: Cal-OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Twisted Rosie 4-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Show It N Moe It 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Family Girl 3-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Smiling Tigress 6-1 2nd

8th: 13th Kalookan Queen, F&M-4+, 6.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Princess Karen 5-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Selcourt 9-5 WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #3 Malibu Stacy 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Cuyathy 6-1 3rd

9th: 3rd Astra, F&M-4+, 12f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Queen Blossom 6-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Evo Campo 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Lucy De 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 How Unusual 7-2 7th
Super/Hi-5: #3 La Mantra Gris 8-1 9th

P6 Grid:

4: 2 (A), – (B), 1-3-5-6 (C)
5: 1-10 (A), 6 (B), 4-11 (C)
6: 8-10 (A), 9 (B), 5-6 (C)
7: 3-7 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
8: 5 (A), – (B), 2-3-7 (C)
9: 2-11 (A), – (B), 1-3-5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x4x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A’s: 1x2x2x2x1x2 = 16 x $2 = $32

P5 Grid:

5: 1-6-10 (A), – (B), 4-11 (C)
6: 8-9-10 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
7: 3-7 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
8: 5 (A), – (B), 2-3-7 (C)
9: 2-11 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 8-9-10 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
7: 3-7 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
8: 5 (A), – (B), 2-3-7 (C)
9: 1-2-5-11 (A), 3-10 (B), 6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x1x6 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x1x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)

1/11: Santa Anita ($92k C/O)

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By kasept | Filed in 2018 | No comments yet.

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: MCLM/$50k, F&M-4+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

$92k C/O starts here..

Now off the turf and really don’t have any indication who might move up or down..

Best Value: #3 Eternal Endeavour 6-1 WON ($17.60)
Next Best: #2 Arrowsphere 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Tell Me More 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Halo Ahead 5-2 9th

4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Princess Kendra 3-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Revenue Virginius 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Sturdy One 9-2 WON ($16.40)

5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Gracious Me 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Ms Dupree 6-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Mischievous Song 10-1 5th
Super Add: #1 An Eddie Surprise 10-1 11th

6th: Cal-MSW, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Wild Lando competitive v. open last; Gets Roman back. FTS Animo from Marty Jones & Mrs. Ziebarth wouldn’t have to be super special to best this group on debut. Quick finish improved at DMR when in for $50k. Tough to love a 6yo maiden, but Easter Morn working right along for Baltas after 2 year hiatus..

Best Value: #2 Wild Lando 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Animo 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Quick Finish 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #1 Easter Morn 7-2 2nd

7th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Lucky Student 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #9 Southern Treasure 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Where’s the D 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Miss Bliss 7-2 8th

8th: CLM/N3L, F&M=4+, 6f (Hi-5)

A bad bunch o’ coconuts..

Best Value: #4 Papa Mambo 8-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Winner’s Dream 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Divine Spark 5-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Tuscany Beauty 6-1 10th

P6 Grid:

3: 2-3 (A), 4-8 (B), 5-7-9 (C)
4: 1-3 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
5: 12 (A), – (B), 5-7 (C)
6: 2-7 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
7: 1-9 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
8: 4 (A), 6-10 (B), 1-3-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x1x2x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A’s: 2x2x1x2x2x1 = 16 X $2 = $32

P5 Grid:

4: 1-3 (A), 5 (B), 2-4-6 (C)
5: 12 (A), 5 (B), 7 (C)
6: 2-7 (A), 1-5 (B), 6-8 (C)
7: 1-9 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
8: 4-6-10 (A), – (B), 1-3-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

P4 Grid:

5: 5-12 (A), 7 (B), 1-8-9 (C)
6: 2-7 (A), 1-5 (B), 6-8 (C)
7: 1-9 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
8: 4-6-10 (A), 1-3-5 (B), 7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/5/1,4/1) Paid $173.20

1/6: Santa Anita ($70k C/O)

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By kasept | Filed in 2018 | No comments yet.

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

$70k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #5 Ever So True 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Paved 4-1 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #9 Line Drive 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #12 Rancor 5-2 6th-DQ’d to 11th

5th: Sham (G3), 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

McKinzie has credentials obviously and looks to be moving forward out of bump and grind Los Al Futurity, but My Boy Jack, All Out Blitz, Mourinho (SCR’D) & Shivermetimbers all have designs on place along the SA Derby Trail..

Most Likely: #6 McKinzie 3-5 WON ($2.40)
Best Value: #1 My Boy Jack 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Shivermetimbers 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 All Out Blitz 10-1 2nd

6th: Cal-MCLM/$50k, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Late SCR: #11 Karmic Affinity

Most Likely: #5 Impecunious 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Super Patriot 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Smooth and Savvy 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Whatyouciswhatuget 6-1 4th

7th: San Gabriel (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

This came up a terrific race with an honest group of 5 horses & 5 geldings that own a combined 44 wins in 178 starts for $4MM. Pace looks honest enough to give all styles a chance..

Most Likely: #8 Itsinthepost 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #6 Isotherm 7-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Top of the Game 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Flamboyant 5-1 2nd

8th: CLM, F&M-4+, 7f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Devil’s Beauty 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Pica 7-2 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #4 Scathing 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Kiss My Lulu 6-1 9th

9th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Instant Reflex 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #1 A Little Bit Me 15-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Cash Prize 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Salten Sapity 8-1
Super/Hi-5: #2 Cynthiana 12-1

P6 Grid:

4: 1-5 (A), 9-12 (B), 6-11 (C)
5: 6 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
6: 5 (A), – (B), 4-7 (C)
7: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), 1-7 (C)
8: 9 (A), 8 (B), 1-4 (C)
9: 10 (A), 1 (B), 2-6-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x1x3x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96
All A’s: 2x1x1x3x1x1 = 6 x $2 = $12

$2 Pick-6 (1/4,6/8/8/8/10,13,14) Paid $18.80 (5OF6)

P5 Grid:

5: 6 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
6: 4-5-6-7 (A), – (B), 8-10 (C)
7: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), 1-7 (C)
8: 8-9 (A), 1-4 (B), 2-3-7 (C)
9: 10 (A), 1-6 (B), 2-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x4x3x2x1 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-5 (4,6/8/8/8/10,13,14) Paid $176.15 (A-C-A-A-A)

P4 Grid:

6: 4-5-6-7 (A), – (B), 8-10 (C)
7: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), 1-7 (C)
8: 8-9 (A), 1-4 (B), 2-3-7 (C)
9: 10 (A), 1-6 (B), 2-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 4x3x2x1 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (8/8/8/10,13,14) Paid $145.90 (C-A-A-A)