AQUEDUCT

PRE-SCRATCHES

8th: Top Flight Invitational (5:21p)

Potential for rain complicates this 6 pack with several having excellent wet track form (i.e., Another Broad, Forever Liesl). Jump Ruler moves to deadly-off-the-claim Rob Atras.

Most Likely: #6 Forever Liesl 2-1
Best Value: #2 Another Broad 8-1
Next Best: #3 Jump Ruler 9-2
Exotics Use: #5 My Miss Lilly 7-2

KEENELAND

PRE-SCRATCHES

9th: Lexington (G3)

Pace should be present here with Zenden and stretchout Hawaiian Noises prominent early and Anothertwistafate in hot pursuit or even mixing it up with them. Stalkers (Sueno, Shang, Owendale) and closers (Roiland, Harvey Wallbanger) should get their opportunity..

Best Value: #1 Shang 10-1
Next Best: #4 Anothertwistafate 2-1
Exotics Use: #3 Sueno 5-1
Super Add: #10 Roiland 15-1

10th: Jenny Wiley (G1)

Best Value: #8 Onthemoonagain 7-2
Next Best: #2 Rushing Fall 6-5
Exotics Use: #4 Rymska 5-2
Super Add: #1 Phantom Opening 15-1

OAKLAWN

PRE-SCRATCHES

9th: Oaklawn H. (G2)

Hard to know how the wet track plays for the off the pace players..

Most Likely: #1 Tenfold 7-2
Next Best: #6 Giant Expectations 3-1
Best Value: #9 Rated R Superstar 8-1
Exotics Use: #3 Pioneer Spirit 10-1

11th: Arkansas Derby (G1)

Slightly blinkered Improbable should be well positioned behind speed with Jose Ortiz..

Most Likely: #1 Improbable 8-5
Best Value: #7 Galilean 10-1
Next Best: #3 Omaha Beach 2-1
Exotics Use: #8 Country House 12-1

P5 Grid:

1: 1-2-3-4-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
2: 1-3-4 (A), – (B), 9-10 (C)
3: 8 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)
4: 1-6 (A), 9 (B), 2-3-4 (C)
5: 1 (A), – (B), 3-7-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x3x3x1 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A’s: 6x3x1x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
C’s with A’s = $75

Good luck!
Steve

4/12: Keeneland (6th-10th)

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KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: OC/N3X, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Might as well be a stake..

Most Likely: #7 Mr. Crow 5-2 Late SCR
Next Best: #1 Copper Town 2-1 Late SCR
Best Value: #8 Balandeen 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Curate 5-2 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #4 Hot Shot Kid 12-1 4th

7th: Limestone Turf Sprint, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Stillwater Cove 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Thriving 8-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Chelsea Cloisters 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Ginger Nut 5-1 WON ($9.80)
Super/Hi-5: #8 Play On 7-2 7th

8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Kershaw 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Casses Story 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Raising the Flag 5-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Sonneteer 6-1 Late SCR

9th: Maker’s 46 Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD, Hi-5)

Terrific running with 5 top choices between 3-1 and 9-2 on the ML. Raging Bull makes 4yo debut and figures tough saving ground under Rosario. Delta Prince gets back to mile distance at which he excels. Same for Doctor Mounty. Qurbaan reunites with Irad Ortiz. And though he’ll be overlooked, Heart to Heart may not be done yet, though Great Wide Open will likely vie for the lead with him..

Most Likely: #4 Delta Prince 7-2 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #1 Raging Bull 3-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Doctor Mounty 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Qurbaan 4-1 3rd

10th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (Hi-5)

Five firsters including Doll Collection, 2nd foal out of Groupie Doll..

Best Value: #1 Blinkers 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Violent Lady 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Palomita 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #6 Doll Collection 10-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #10 Sail On 5-1 4th

$1 Exact 5 (11-9-6-10-1) Paid $1,641.70

P5 Grid:

6: 8-9 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
7: 10 (A), 1-7-12 (B), 2-5-8-11 (C)
8: 2-3-11 (A), – (B), 8/SCR-9 (C)
9: 1-4(A), – (B), 2-5-6-8 (C)
10: 1-9-11(A), – (B), 5-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 7-10 (A), 1-12 (B), 2-5-8-11 (C)
8: 2-3-11 (A), – (B), 8/SCR-9 (C)
9: 1-4(A), 2-5 (B), 6-8 (C)
10: 1-9-11(A), – (B), 5-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

4/11: Keeneland (6th-9th)

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KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Weneedtotalk Late SCR
Next Best: #7 East Moon 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Saguero Row 7-2 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #8 Shackleford County 4-1 3rd

7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Tricky group..

Most Likely: #4 Connectivity 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Gizmo 8-1 DNF-Pulled Up
Best Value: #7 Channel Princess 30-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Pep 5-1 4th

8th: OC/N3X, F&M-4+, 6f (DD, Hi-5)

Talk Veuve to Me returns for Brisset..

Most Likely: #1 Talk Veuve to Me 7-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #2 Awestruck 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Upset Brewing 6-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Treble 6-1 2nd

9th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Exult 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Proud as Punch 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Third Edition 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Rock On Kitten 6-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #5 Lake Nakuru 5-1 5th

P4 Grid:

6: 1/SCR(A), 5-7 (B), 6-8 (C)
7: 4-7-11 (A), 1-10-12 (B), 5-8 (C)
8: 1-2 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 9 (A), 2-7 (B), 1-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 1/SCRx3x2x1 = N/P

Tags:

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: Excelsior (G3), 4+, 9f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Monongahela 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Hit It Once More 15-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Life’s a Parlay 4-1 WON ($5.10)
Exotics Use: #1 Nicodemus 5-1 4th

8th: Gazelle (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Positive Spirit 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Proud Emma 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Always Shopping 3-1 WON ($9.90)
Exotics Use: #3 Off Topic 5-1 3rd

9th: Carter H. (G1), 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 World of Trouble 1-1 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #7 Honor Up 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Sir Ballantine 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Vino Rosso 5-2 4th

10th: Wood Memorial (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Final Jeopardy 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Outshine 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Tax 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Tacitus 5-2 WON ($7.20)

11th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m

Best Value: #11 Sea Foam 12-1 5th
Next Best: #7 House Limit 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Dark N Cloudy 7-2 11th
Super Add: #2 Vincento 10-1 6th

NYRA Bets P5 Grid:

7: 3 (A), – (B), 1-4-8(C)
8: 4-6 (A), 2-3-5(B), – (C)
9: 8(A), – (B), 7 (C)
10: 1-2-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 5-7-11 (A), 2-8 (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x1x4x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A’s: 1x2x1x4x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

8: 4-5-6 (A), 2-3 (B), – (C)
9: 8(A), – (B), 7 (C)
10: 1-2-5-10 (A), – (B), 3-4-7 (C)
11: 5-7-11 (A), 2-8 (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x4x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A’s: 3x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Commonwealth (G3), 4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

This is a ridiculous group, so fire away. Pace looks molten lava hot..

Best Value: #10 Runaway Ghost 15-1 12th
Next Best: #13 Warrior’s Club 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Uno Mas Modelo 20-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Copper Town SCR
Hi-5 Play: #6 Limousine Liberal 3-1 3rd

7th: Shakertown (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 Imprimis 6-1 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #13 Angaston 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Disco Partner 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Will Call 6-1 5th

8th: Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (X-C P5, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Cross Country P5 starts here..

Best Value: #6 Late Night Pow Wow 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #9 Shamrock Rose 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Amy’s Challenge 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Spiced Perfection 7-2 WON ($11.00)

9th: Ashland (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

SCRFeedback who runs in Sunday’s Beaumont..

Best Value: #7 Bell’s the One 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Restless Rider 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Jaywalk 8-5 3rd
Super Add: #2 Chocolate Kisses 5-1 6th

10th: Blue Grass (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Win Win Win 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Vekoma 9-5 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #11 So Alive 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Signalman 5-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #9 Sir Winston 15-1 7th

Cross Country P5 Grid:

KEE 8-Madison: 6-9 (A), 4-5(B), 3-8 (C)
AQU 9-Carter: 8(A), – (B), 7 (C)
KEE 9-Ashland: 6-7 (A), – (B), 2-4 (C)
AQU 10-Wood: 1-2-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
KEE 10-BluGrs: 2-8-11 (A), 3-9-10 (B), 1-6-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x2x4x6 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x1x2x4x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

All Stakes P5 Grid:

6: 8-10-13 (A), 1-2-6 (B), 4-5-11(C)
7: 11(A), – (B), 3-6-13 (C)
8: 6-9 (A), – (B), 3-4-5-8 (C)
9: 6-7 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)
10: 2-8 (A), 3-11 (B), 6-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x2x4x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 3x1x2x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

All Stakes P4 Grid:

7: 11(A), – (B), 3-6-13 (C)
8: 6-9 (A), 4-5(B), 3-8 (C)
9: 2-4-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 2-8-11 (A), 3-6-9 (B), 1-10-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 1x2x4x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Lightly raced sophs on the turf with lots of seasonal/regional debuters involved. Sibling strength on display with One Bad Boy a half to MSW Ms Bad Behavior, Time Is Now a half to Weemissfrankie and firster M Town Gem kin to La Coronel. North American bow by Proud Pedro lures Prat..

Most Likely: #5 One Bad Boy 7-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #2 M Town Gem 12-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Proud Pedro 4-1 2nd-Up via DQ
Exotics Use: #3 Polar 8-1 11th

8th: Santa Anita Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

2yo Champion Game Winner set for best after solid Plan B photo loss to Omaha Beach in Rebel. Nolo Contesto surprised by Roadster in March, but can turn tables on him today with move to heavy handed Talamo from finesse stylings of Rosario. Based on morning efforts, (and Dan Ward notations on ATR), Instagrand appears to have moved forward out of Gotham. Question to answer is how effective is he going to be going 2 turns? Roadster came back with sharp 3yo debut and is dangerous ‘other Baffert’..

Most Likely: #6 Game Winner 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Nolo Contesto 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Instagrand 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Roadster 5-2 WON ($8.20)

9th: Providencia (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Colonial Creed 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Lakerball 10-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Lady Prancealot 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Truffalino 10-1 6th

10th: Santa Anita H. (G1), 4+, 10f (DD, Hi-5)

Has all the makings of an epic heavyweight bout between McKinzie & Gift Box. Prime Attraction will set the pace and can take them a long way. Campaign, bred for voyage by Curlin out of a Dynaformer mare, will be waiting in the wings and merits back-up inclusion should top pair engage in toll-taking duel..

Most Likely: #4 Gift Box 6-5 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #1 McKinzie 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Campaign 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Prime Attraction 5-1 5th

11th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 The Hunted 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Rumpus Cat 4-1 5th
Best Value: #2 United 15-1 WON ($32.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Inscom 6-1 7th
Super/Hi-5: #10 King Caymus 20-1 9th

Rainbow P6 ~ Force Out~ Grid:

6: 6-7-9 (A), 2-5-8 (B), 4 (C)
7: 2-5(A), – (B), 3-11 (C)
8: 3-6 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), 3-7-9 (C)
10: 1-4(A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
11: 3 (A), 7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x3x2x2 = 288 x .20 = $57.60
All A’s: 3x2x2x3x2x2 = 72 x .20 = $14.40
C plays: $4.80 + $14.40 + $14.40 + $14.40 + $14.40 = $62.40

P5 Grid:

7: 2-5(A), – (B), 3-11 (C)
8: 6 (A), 1-3-5 (B), – (C)
9: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), 3-7-9 (C)
10: 1-4-6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
11: 3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

All Stakes P4 Grid:

8: 3-6 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
9: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), 3-7-9 (C)
10: 1-4-6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
11: 3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$76k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #3 Irish Lassie 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #7 Sorority Sweetheart 8-5 DNF-(Pulled up)
Best Value: #4 Sister Emily 12-1 WON ($33.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Know Point Given 10-1 5th

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

$46k NYRA Bets P5 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #1 She’s Trouble 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Shesasuperfreak 15-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Spring Drama 9-5 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Miss Hot Stones 7-2 2nd

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T/Outer (P4, P3, DD)

First turf race of the year!

Most Likely: #4 Variant Perception 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Sport 7-2 7th
Best Value: #2 Herecomesyourman 8-1 WON ($21.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Dr. Hipp 6-1 10th

7th: NY-OC/N2X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Charlie McCoy 8-5 WON ($4.50)
Next Best: #5 Carthon 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Zonic 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Uncle Sigh 9-2 5th

8th: Distaff H. (G3), F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Excellent prequel to Saturday’s big Wood/Carter card..

Best Value: #9 Dawn the Destroyer 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Kathryn the Wise 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Startswithsilver Late SCR
Super Add: #6 Yorkiepoo Princess 8-1 4th

9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T/Inner

Most Likely: #7 Lough Na Mona 3-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Anne’s Song 12-1 WON ($17.60)
Next Best: #6 Star of the East 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Recess 9-2 4th

P6 Grid:

4: 3 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-6 (C)
5: 1-3-6(A), – (B), 2-4 (C)
6: 4-7 (A), 2-10 (B), 1-6 (C)
7: 1(A), – (B), 3-5-7 (C)
8: 7-9 (A), – (B), 4/SCR-6 (C)
9: 7 (A), – (B), 6-9(C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x1x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A’s: 1x3x2x1x2x1 = 12 x $2 = $24

P5 Grid:

5: 1-3-6(A), – (B), 2-4 (C)
6: 4-7 (A), 2-10 (B), 1-6 (C)
7: 1-5 (A), 3-7 (B), – (C)
8: 4/SCR-7-9 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
9: 7 (A), – (B), 6-9(C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 4-7 (A), 2-10 (B), 1-6 (C)
7: 1-5 (A), 3-7 (B), – (C)
8: 4/SCR-7-9 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
9: 6-7-9(A), – (B), 1-8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18