7/8: Indiana Grand (7th-12th)

digg del.icio.us TRACK TOP
By kasept | Filed in Uncategorized | No comments yet.

INDIANA GRAND

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: Hoosier Breeders Sophomore, IN-3yo, (Stakes P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Two Last Words 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #3 Chipofftheoldblock 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Mai Tai’s Gem 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Nutty Train 10-1 4th

8th: General Assembly Distaff, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (11.99% T/O P5, P3, DD, .10 Pentafecta)

Most Likely: #12 She’sonthewarpath 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #1 No Mo Lady 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Hanalei Moon 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Rogue Too 8-1 7th

9th: Jon Schuster Memorial, 4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Hay Dakota 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Argentello 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Cullum Road 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Peekacho 30-1 7th

10th: Indiana Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

SCRAurelia Garland (ran IA Oaks), Lucky Betty (Lung infection) and Tempers Rising (CCA Oaks at SAR)..

Most Likely: #6 Shedaresthedevil 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #11 Gibberish 20-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Miss T Too 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Bayerness 5-1 3rd

P4 Grid:

7: 3-9(A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
8: 1-12(A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
9: 1-7-10 (A), – (B), 8 (C)
10: 6(A), 5-11 (B), 4-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x1 = $12

11th: Indiana Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Shared Sense 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #9 Winning Impression 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Major Fed 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Earner 8-1 4th

12th: IN-MSW, 3-5yo, 6f

Most Likely: #1 Five Star Colonel 7-2 6th
Next Best: #9 Sent for His Glory 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Forever a Champ 9-2 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Our Neighbor Boys 5-1 4th

P5 Grid:

8: 1-12(A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
9: 6-7-10 (A), – (B), 1 (C)
10: 6(A), – (B), 5-11 (C)
11: 5-9 (A), 4-8 (B), 3 (C)
12: 1-2-9 (A), – (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

9: 6-7-10 (A), – (B), 1 (C)
10: 6(A), 5-11 (B), 4-10 (C)
11: 4-5-8-9 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
12: 1-2-9 (A), – (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: Victory Ride (G3), 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD ~ No Show Wagering)

Most Likely: #1 Frank’s Rockette 3-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #3 Reagan’s Edge 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Center Aisle 5-2 3rd

4th: MSW, 3+, 9f-Inner Turf (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Mr Jaggers 1-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #6 Bay Street Money 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Malibu Edge 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Red Storm Risen 7-2 3rd

5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Amundson 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Tiz He the One 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Zoomer 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Fortin Hill 5-2 WON ($5.90)

P5 Grid:

1: 8(A), – (B), 1 (C)
2: 12/SCR(A), 7 (B), – (C)
3: 1(A), – (B), 2-3-4 (C)
4: 1-4-6 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
5: 3-4-6-7-8 (A), 1-2-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x1x5x8 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 1x2x1x3x5 = 30 x .50 = $15

$0.50 Pick-5 (8,9/1,2,5,8/1/1/7) Paid $17.37(A-A-A-A-A)

P4 Grid:

2: 1-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 1(A), – (B), 2-3-4 (C)
4: 1-4-6 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
5: 3-4-6-7-8 (A), 1-2-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x5x8 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x1x3x5 = 30 x .50 = $15

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,2,5,8/1/1/7) Paid $10.95(A-A-A-A)

6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (Empire 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Pilot Episode 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Publication 3-1 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #2 L’Indiscret 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Liza Jambalaya 10-1 7th

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-Inner Turf (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Danfusi 4-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Point Him Out 7-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Bad Guy 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Jo’s Bold Cat 8-1 5th

8th: Poker (G3), 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Value Proposition 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Got Stormy 7-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Seismic Wave 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Social Paranoia 4-1 WON ($11.80)

DELAWARE 8th: Delaware Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (Cross Country P5, P3, DD)

Start of the Cross Country P5 and a very well-matched set of sophomore fillies. Sure feels like there’s enough front end interested parties to look for an off the pace type..

Best Value: #8 Queen Bridget 8-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Comical 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Hopeful Growth 10-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Princess Cadey 10-1 3rd

DELAWARE 9th: Kent (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (DD)

In a sequence that gets tougher at BEL, hope is that Gufo & Pixelate get you through this leg..

Most Likely: #6 Gufo 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #3 Pixelate 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Bye Bye Melvin 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Vanzzy 4-1 3rd

9th: Metropolitan H. (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Code of Honor 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 McKinzie 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Vekoma 5-2 WON ($5.90)
Super Add: #7 Mr Freeze 8-1 6th

10th: Manhattan (G1), 4+, 10f-Inner Turf (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Rockemperor 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Sadler’s Joy 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Spooky Channel 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Instilled Regard 2-1 WON ($6.00)

11th: Suburban (G2), 4+, 10f

Most Likely: #1 Tacitus 9-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #4 Mr. Buff 2-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Just Whistle 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Moretti 5-1 2nd

CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

DEL 8: 1-5-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 7 (C)
DEL 9: 6(A), 3 (B), 4-8 (C)
BEL 9: 2-3-5 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
BEL 10: 1-2-4-8 (A), 5-7 (B), 3-6 (C)
BEL 11: 1(A), – (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x6x1 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 3x1x3x4x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

P5 Grid:

7: 2-8 (A), – (B), 1-5-9 (C)
8: 7-9 (A), 4-5(B), 1-3 (C)
9: 2-3-5 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 1-2-4-8 (A), 5-7 (B), 3-6 (C)
11: 1(A), – (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x4x1 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

8: 4-7-9 (A), 1-3-5(B), – (C)
9: 2-3-5 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 1-2-4-8 (A), 5-7 (B), 3-6 (C)
11: 1 (A), – (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x6x1 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 3x3x4x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/2/1/1,3,5) Paid $64.37

7/2: Belmont Park (5th-9th)

digg del.icio.us TRACK TOP
By kasept | Filed in Uncategorized | No comments yet.

BELMONT PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Cotton Candy Cutie 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Stay Fond 2-1 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Malarkey 3-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Tequila Sunday 5-1 7th

6th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Edge of Fire 9-2 4th
Next Best: #7 Creed 6-5 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #3 Mister Winston 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Villainous 8-1 5th

7th: Opt CLM/C, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Complexity 5-2 WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #6 Nicodemus 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Sniper Shot 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Win Win Win 6-1 2nd

8th: NY-Mount Vernon, F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Fifty Five 4-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #5 Classic Lady 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 War Canoe 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Fetching 15-1 6th

9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 9f-Inner Turf

Most Likely: #2 Herwaze 7-2 6th
Next Best: #11 Paoinite 3-1 9th
Best Value: #4 Apollo’s Abraxas 10-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Cainudothetwist 9-2 2nd

P5 Grid:

5: 5-6(A), – (B), 8 (C)
6: 4-7(A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-6-9(A), – (B), 3-5-7 (C)
8: 1-3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2 (A), 4-6-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-5 (6/7/9/1,7/4) Paid $380.75

P4 Grid:

6: 4-7(A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-6-9(A), 3-5-7 (B), – (C)
8: 1-3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-11 (A), 4-6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (7/9/1,7/4) Paid $73.37

THISTLEDOWN

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: Ohio Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f (X-C P5-Leg A; DD)

Thoroughly nutty assembly of 14 including an Amoss claimant (Dean Martini) and Stidham MDN (Established) that will be stratospheric prices. Using Hough’s dirt returnee South Bend prominently as well as widely drawn Storm the Court & Unrighteous (B’s/C’s) in Cross Country P5..

Most Likely: #1 Dean Martini 20-1 WON ($31.20)
Best Value: #12 Established 30-1 12th
Next Best: #4 Lebda 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Sprawl 15-1 5th

All Stakes Cross Country P5 Grid:

TDN 8th: 1-4-12 (A), 6-10 (B), 13-14 (C)
BEL 9th: 1-6 (A), 5-8(B), 2-3 (C)
CD 10th: 5(A), – (B), 2 (C)
BEL 10: 4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
CD 11th: 3-5-10(A), – (B), 1-4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x1x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-5 (1/4,7,8/5/4/10) Paid $1,079.50(A-B-A-A-A)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: 70th Vagrancy (G3), F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Come Dancing returns to sprinting after noble (if foolhardy) Apple Blossom try. Working like a crazy horse (:57.4?!), but she’s a short price and there are options. And note a lack of true lead speed beyond Jakarta..

Most Likely: #1 Royal Charlotte 7-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Come Dancing 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Jakarta 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Chalon 5-2 6th

8th: 77th New York (G2), F&M-4+, 10f-Inner Turf (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Call Me Love 9-5 4th
Next Best: #7 Mean Mary 7-2 WON ($4.50)
Best Value: #3 My Sister Nat 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Valiance 15-1 5th

9th: 42nd True North (G2), 4+6.5f (X-C P5-Leg B, P3, DD)

Promises Fulfilled SCR’Dreturns in similar fashion to Come Dancing: At a low price and in uncertain form. Wait for It SCR’Dis consistent, cuts back and figures to sit a nice trip behind the speed with Franco..

Most Likely: # #1 Diamond King 5-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Stan the Man 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Yorkton 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Firenze Fire 2-1 WON ($4.20)

10th: Just a Game (G1), F&M4+, 1m-T (X-C P5-Leg D, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Newspaperofrecord 8-5 WON ($4.10)
Next Best: #6 Uni 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #5 Regal Glory 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Got Stormy SCR

11th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-Inner Turf

Most Likely: #6 Sir Chubby 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Winning Factor 6-1 WON ($7.30)
Best Value: #9 Montauk Summer 6-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Brice 7-2 4th

P5 Grid:

7: 1-5 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)
8: 1 (A), 7(B), – (C)
9: 1-5-6 (A), 2-3-8(B), – (C)
10: 4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-6-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

8: 1 (A), 7(B), – (C)
9: 1-2-3-5-6-8(A), – (B), – (C)
10: 4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-6-9 (A), – (B), 8-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x2x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 1x6x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (6,7/4,7,8/4/3,13) Paid $31.25(A-A-A-A)

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: ALW/NC, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Just Might 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Smart Remark 20-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Wellabled 3-1 WON ($15.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Holiday Stone 6-1 9th

8th: 117th Bashford Manor (G3), 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Not sure how they beat the favorite if he runs back to debut..

Most Likely: #6 Cazadero 8-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #3 Gatsby 4-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Hulen 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Herd Immunity 9-2 3rd

9th: 45th Fleur de Lis (G2), F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Serengeti Empress 2-1: As BEL match demonstrated, pace rates edge..4th
Next Best: #5 Midnight Bisou 3-5: Respect fully, but will have to run down quality foe..WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #7 Motion Emotion 15-1: Finally moved forward for Baltas last out..2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Go Google Yourself 8-1: Keeps good company and always tries hard..6th

10th: 38th Stephen Foster (G2), 4+, 9f (X-C P5-Leg C, DD)

While there’s several here within stiking distance of him, it’s hard to find a vulnerability in Tom’s d’Etat..

Most Likely: #5 Tom’s d’Etat 1-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #2 Pirate’s Punch 15-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Fearless 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 By My Standards 5-2 2nd

11th: 50th Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (X-C P5-Leg E, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Crystal Cliffs 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Stunning Sky 20-1
Next Best: #10 Harvey’s Lil Goil 5-1 WON ($24.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Micheline 8-1
Hi-5 Play: #1 Dominga 5-1 5th

P5 Grid:

7: 3-5-6-9 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
8: 6(A), – (B), 2-3-4-5 (C)
9: 4-5(A), – (B), – (C)
10: 5(A), – (B), 2 (C)
11: 3-5-6-10(A), 1-4-7-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x2x1x8 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 4x1x2x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick-5 (6/6/5/5/10) Paid $298.60(A-A-A-A-A)

P4 Grid:

8: 2-3-6(A), – (B), 4-5 (C)
9: 4-5(A), – (B), – (C)
10: 5(A), 2 (B), 1-6 (C)
11: 3-5-6-10(A), 1-4-7-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x8 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/5/5/10) Paid $45.35(A-A-A-A)

6/24: Indiana Grand (11.99% T/O P5)

digg del.icio.us TRACK TOP
By kasept | Filed in Uncategorized | No comments yet.

INDIANA GRAND

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: IN-ALW/N4L, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Pentafecta)

My favorite.. Drinkatthecreek offers the triple whammy: Dropping down, cutting back, turf to dirt!

Best Value: #2 Drinkatthecreek 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Krunch 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Black Sapphire 8-5 4th
Super Add: #1 Pretty Assets 6-1 3rd

5th: CLM/N2X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Eskendereya’s Dream 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #2 Waverunner 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Tapango 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Pradar 6-1 4th

6th: CLM/B, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Naughty Alfred 8-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #4 Asongforyou 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Moonline 12-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Cabot Trail 12-1 2nd

7th: CLM/N3X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Lemon Blitz 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Peppered 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #4 Lucky Lookin 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Stack Em High 6-1 4th

8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Pentafecta)

Best Value: #1 Amazina 10-1 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #5 Zuzanna 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #6 More Roses 2-1 5th
Super Add: #2 War Cabinet 7-2 4th

P5 Grid:

4: 2-5(A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
5: 8(A), 2 (B), 4-7 (C)
6: 4-5(A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-5 (5/3,5,8/2,3,5,7/1,2,7/1) Paid $86.70

P4 Grid:

5: 2-8(A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
6: 4-5(A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (3,5,8/2,3,5,7/1,2,7/1) Paid $23.25