CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+ 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Kantex 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Your So Sillea 7-2 WON ($4.84)
Exotics Use: #6 Altered Shot 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Leeloo 10-1 3rd

8th: Jefferson Cup, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 More Than Looks 5-2 WON ($5.26)
Best Value: #1 Ocean Pointe 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Noises Off 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Gaslight Dancer 6-1 7th

9th: Ack Ack (G3), 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Stage Raider 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 O Besos 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Zozos 6-5 WON ($3.54)
Super Add: #3 Three Technique 3-1 3rd

10th: Lukas Classic (G3), 3+, 9f (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Trademark 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Rattle N Roll 7-5 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Whelan Springs 12-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Americanrevolution 5-2 6th

11th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Metallurgic 5-1 12th
Best Value: #11 Royal Sandrin 15-1 10th
Next Best: #1 Athens Moon 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Elegant Trip 4-1 8th

P5 Grid:

7: 5-6-8 (A), 7-9 (B), – (C)
8: 7 (A), – (B), 1 (C)
9: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 4-5-7 (A), 2-6-9 (B), – (C)
11: 8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x2x6x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-C-A-A-A): 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1 in 8th)

P4 Grid:

8: 1-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
10: 4-5-7 (A), 2-6-9 (B), – (C)
11: 1-8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x6x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T ($1 70/30 P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Gimme Mo Baby 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Lakota Spirit 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Speed Lane 5-1 WON ($10.60)
Super Add: #4 Cornelia Fort 12-1 4th

6th: SA Sprint (G2), 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Very interesting and important edition considering Breeder’s Cup comes over this strip 5 weeks from today. Clearly goes through Baffert who sends troika of high quality sophomores, but Dr. Schivel earned favoritism on Jon White’s line and comes in hot and fresh..

Best Value: #8 Speed Boat Beach 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Dr. Schivel 9-5 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Fort Bragg 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Arabian Lion 5-1 6th

7th: CA-MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f-T (P4, $3 Turf P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Petit Filet 6-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #4 Asada Fries 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Lookatherglide 12-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Sassy Prancelot 6-1 6th

8th: Awesome Again (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Hadn’t noticed potential for how competitive Bye Bye Bobby (15-1) was until seeing Clocker Report and noting his effort topping stablemate Senor Buscador. While Slow Down Andy is the one to beat, ‘other’ Fincher and Piroli (12-1) are the fun prices that can impact this..

Most Likely: #3 Slow Down Andy 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #5 Bye Bye Bobby 15-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Piroli 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Defunded 2-1 2nd

9th: Eddie D (G2), 3+, 6.5f-DHT (Golden P4, DD, Hi-5)

Bran and Lane Way are the top contenders, but it is the hill course and turnbacks yield nice priced surprises regularly. I’m a Gambler has been knocking on the breakthrough door and this configuration may suit him. Internet will lose it’s mind if Peter Miller jumps up with Radical Right (20-1), but he’s a clear contender with solid mark on lawn (11/1-4-3) and career best Beyer (95) coming 2 back in DMR lawn dash..

Best Value: #7 I’m a Gambler 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Bran 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Lane Way 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #11 Radical Right 20-1 9th

10th: City of Hope (G2), 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Hong Kong Harry way the horse to beat, but Il Bellator (15-1) finished a length behind him in the Shoemaker and Irideo (8-1) actually finished in front of both of them. Also, I’m not convinced the Hit the Road (15-1) can’t run at this level anymore..

Most Likely: #4 Hong Kong Harry 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #1 Il Bellator 15-1 –
Next Best: #9 Irideo 8-1 –
Exotics Use: #3 Hit the Road 15-1 4th

$3 Turf P3 Grid:

7: 7-11 (A), 10 (B), – (C)
9: 2-7 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
10: 4 (A), 1 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2 = 12 x $3 = $36
All A’s: 2x2x1 = 4 x $3 = $12
Backup (A-C-A): 2x1x1 = 2 x $3 = $6 (7-11 w/ 6 w/ 4)

$3 Turf P3 (7-6-4) Paid $187.50 (A-C-A)

P5 Grid:

6: 2-8 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)
7: 4-7-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
9: 2-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 5 (2/7/3/6/4) Paid $424.95 (A-A-A-A-A)

P4 Grid:

7: 4-7-11 (A), 2-10 (B), – (C)
8: 3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 4 (7/3/6/4) Paid $123.65 (A-A-A-A)

PARX ~ PA DERBY/COTILLION DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

10th: Dirt Mile, 3+, 1m (Philly Big 5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Dr B 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Dr Ardito 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Gunite 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Nimitz Class 9-2 WON ($15.00)

11th: Gallant Bob (G3), 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Gordian Knot 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Nautical Star 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Ryvit 5-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Damon’s Mound 4-1 WON ($5.60)

12th: Cotillion (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Occult 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Defining Purpose 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Pretty Mischievous 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Ceiling Crusher 5-1 WON ($8.60)

13th: Pennsylvania Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #10 Il Miracolo 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Saudi Crown 7-2 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Magic Tap 5-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Daydreaming Boy 12-1 8th

14th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f

Best Value: #10 Glory Dia 8-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Wicked Sight 5-1 12th
Exotics Use: #6 Practicality 15-1 11th
Super Add: #7 Our Uptown Girl 8-1 7th

Philly Big 5 Grid (15% takeout, single ticket, 70 daily/30 carry wager):

10: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 5-10 (A), – (B), 4-9 (C)
12: 5 (A), 7 (B), 2-3 (C)
13: 3-4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
14: 9-10 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-C-A-A-A): 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-9 in 11th)
Backup (A-A-C-A-A): 3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-3 in 12th)

P4 Grid:

11: 5-10 (A), 4-9 (B), – (C)
12: 5-7 (A), – (B), 2-3 (C)
13: 3-4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
14: 9-10 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-C-A-A): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-3 in 12th)

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Cellist 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Vintage Print 12-1 5th
Next Best: #8 War Campaign 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Street Ready 4-1 6th

7th: Bourbon Trail, 3yo, 9.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Big Data 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Slip Mahoney 5-2 WON ($6.76)
Exotics Use: #3 Denington 7-2 4th
Super Add: #4 Shirl’s Bee 15-1 6th

8th: Harrods Cereek, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Everso Mischievous 2-1 WON ($4.38)
Next Best: #3 Loyal Company 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Bourbon Bash 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Mount Up 7-2 6th

9th: Seneca O/N, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 She’s Lookin Lucky 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Taxed 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Poblano 3-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Xigera 9-2 WON ($7.80)

P4 Grid:

6: 4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-7 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)
8: 3-6 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
9: 1-3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

10th: Dogwood (G3), 3yo-F, 7f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Yesternight 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Metaphysical 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Twice as Sweet 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Norah G 12-1 6th

11th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Bru Na Boinne 6-1 WON ($5.42)
Next Best: #2 Call Again 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Amber Cascade 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Forever After All 4-1 6th

P5 Grid:

7: 2-7 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)
8: 6 (A), 3 (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 1-3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-C-A-A-A): 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36

P4 Grid:

8: 6 (A), 3 (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 1-3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-4 (A), 7-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 1x3x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (C-A-A-A): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: OC/C, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Maniacally difficult sequence. Even if logicals win, will pay handsomely given all the compelling necessary coverage..

Any of the 7 (SCR #1a) can win. And this is the first leg!

Most Likely: #2 Kuramata 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Tut’s Revenge 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Duke of Hazzard 3-1 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Winfromwithin 4-1 4th

5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

A dozen maidens that are thoroughly impossible to decipher. Look at Jane Lyon home bred Nyxed for instance, who is first time with Linda Rice after nearly a year away and a half to GSW & G1 placed Moon Over Miami. She’s 12-1 making her 3yo debut. Can win. Use as many as you can afford..

Best Value: #5 Nyxed 12-1 4th-DQ’d to 11th
Next Best: #6 Queen of the Mud 10-1 WON ($22.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Madaket’s Arrow 9-2 5th
Super Add: #9 Isola 8-1 10th

6th: CLM, 3+m 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Budget tix will likely lean on Six Percent, but there are a few others that wouldn’t shock. Burgee runs races that fit, but do you trust Shivmangel 6 weeks after claim? Castellano ‘sees fit to ride’. Forty Two Ace, Salto de Tigre and Durkin’s Call are plausible too..

Most Likely: #4 Six Percent 3-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Burgee 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2b (POE) Forty Two Ace 8-1 8th/WON ($3.30)
Exotics Use: #9 Just Call Ray 6-1 2nd

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Some stakes types here and a Brant/Brown first North America in Francesco Clemente. Ribaudo’s Daunt the horse to beat out of the Sword Dancer/Bowling Green tries upstate..

Most Likely: #4 Daunt 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Tide of the Sea 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Francesco Clemente 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Exact Estimate 4-1 WON ($5.20)

8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #6 Radio Red 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Perfect Munnings 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Mariachi 7-2 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #8 Big Engine 6-1 7th

9th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 8.5f-Outer

Most Likely: #11 Myles 5-1 9th
Best Value: #4 Fast Study 10-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Atlanta’s Acuna 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Utamaro 8-1 12th

P6 Grid:

4: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 4 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
7: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 5-6 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
9: 4-11-12 (A), – (B), 7-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x1x4x3 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x1x1x2x3 = $24
Backup (A-A-A-A-A-C): 2x2x1x1x2x3 = $24 (7-9-10 in 9th)

P5 Grid:

5: 5-6 (A), – (B), 1-9 (C)
6: 2-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 5-6 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
9: 4-11-12 (A), 7-9-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x1x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (C-A-A-A-A): 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-6 in 5th)

P4 Grid:

6: 2-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4 (A), – (B), 1-2-8 (C)
8: 5-6 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
9: 4-7-11-12 (A), 9-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x1x2x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-C-A-A): 3x3x2x3 = 54 x .50 = $27 (1-2-8 in 7th)

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Stormquist 6-5 WON ($3.12)
Best Value: #9 Wecallemfuncoupons 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Waldrip 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 East From West 8-1 6th

6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Wiki Lio 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Beaux Artes 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Ball Gown 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Mischievous Gal 3-1 WON ($7.12)

7th: OC/N3X, 3+, 5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Coppola 9-5 WON ($3.38)
Best Value: #5 Bodenheimer 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Shimmer Me Timbers 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Kavod 4-1 3rd

8th: OC/N2X, 3yo, 6f (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Major Blue 12-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Giant Mischief 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Blue Light 4-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Retained 8-1 9th

9th: MSW-R, 2yo-F, 1m (Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Despo’s Dream 10-1 10th
Next Best: #12 Shimmering Allure 5-2 WON ($6.12)
Exotics Use: #8 Rock Star Doctor 12-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Sterling Luck 20-1 12th

P5 Grid:

5: 9-10 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
6: 1-5-7 (A), 2-6-9 (B), – (C)
7: 1 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
8: 5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 9-12 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x2x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x3x1x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (C-A-A-A-A): 2x3x1x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-6 in 5th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (2,7,10/2,8/1/2,5,6,12/12) Paid $61.60

P4 Grid:

6: 1-5-7 (A), 2-6-9 (B), – (C)
7: 1-5 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
8: 5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 9-12 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x2 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-C-A-A): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-6 in 7th)

$1 Pick 4 (2,8/1/2,5,6,12/12) $63.32 ($31.66 for .50)

PRESQUE ISLE DOWNS ~ MASTERS DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: Presque Isle Mile, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Carrothers 5-2 5th
Next Best: #9 Hush of a Storm 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Franz Josef 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 He’s a Mess 8-1 2nd

6th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Maldives Model 10-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Ensemble 8-5 DH-3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Toolcat 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 Sideswiped 20-1 5th

7th: Presque Isle Masters (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Midnight Stroll 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Loyalty 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Marissa’s Lady 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Accomplished Girl 5-1 WON ($12.40)

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Starship Empire 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Hey Padre 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Carloun 6-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Van 12-1 6th

9th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 10f

Best Value: #10 On the Couch 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 County Court 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Flawless Bourbon 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #6 Fire’s Finale 9-2 7th

P5 Grid:

5: 2 (A), – (B), 5-9 (C)
6: 1-3-8 (A), 4-9 (B), – (C)
7: 2-12 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
8: 1-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (C-A-A-A-A): 2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (5-9 in 5th)

P4 Grid:

6: 1-3-8 (A), 4-9 (B), – (C)
7: 2-12 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
8: 1-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18