6/20: Belmont Park ($235k P6 C/O)

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By kasept | Filed in 2018 | No comments yet.

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

3 day $235k C/O starts here..

This is a treacherous sequence that ends with an insane 12 horse NY-MSW where 9 are separated by less than 2 lengths..

Daria’s Angel drops for Diodoro and should get a gentler pace to stalk than the one she encountered last time. Formal Event strongest on paper form from highly unreliable barn. Stars Wilburn ran a race 2 back that puts her into a pay slot at a price. First Tomoe broke her maiden at GP last summer and has fishtailed since..

Most Likely: #9 Daria’s Angel 9-2
Next Best: #4 Formal Event 5-2
Best Value: #7 Stars Wilburn 15-1
Exotics Use: #2 First Tomoe 7-2

5th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f-IT (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Tricky group with surface switchers from Ja. Servis & Carlos Martin as well as Gullo & Bush firsters that sport intriguing pedigrees for assignment. Weaver’s Be Gone Daddy logical fave dipping down after modest MSW tries over the winter..

Most Likely: #2 Be Gone Daddy 2-1
Next Best: #6 Freeload 6-1
Best Value: #7 Hustle N Heart 8-1
Exotics Use: #3 Uncle Pockets 9-2

6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Hits keep coming with this N2L featuring droppers and a potentially hot pace scenario. Giant Boxer (6-1) goes turf to dirt while cutting back and dropping down below level of maiden win in January..

Best Value: #5 Giant Boxer 6-1
Next Best: #7 Tee Up 7-2
Exotics Use: #8 Ribbonite 9-2
Super Add: #9 Pure Praise 6-1

7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Belgian & Mongo Nation are worthy faves, but Love Your Buttons menaces from off the pace..

Most Likely: #3 Belgian 6-5
Next Best: #4 Mongo Nation 2-1
Best Value: #2 Love Your Buttons 6-1
Exotics Use: #6 Daddy’s Home 4-1

8th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (DD)

Pat Kelly better with old school 2nd/3rd off layoffs (13%/14%) and may be readying Fire Key for SAR, but 5yo mare perfectly suited to wire this if ready today. For Pick-X purposes, if it’s not Fire Key, it could be any of the rest including unlisted Clement pair (Weekfair/Blessed Silence). Just one more element in maniacal skein..

Most Likely: #3 Fire Key 9-5
Best Value: #10 Wheatfield 15-1
Next Best: #9 Jc’s Shooting Star 4-1
Exotics Use: #8 Miss Gossip 12-1

9th: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m-T

So, you’ve made it this far in the P6, P5, P4, P3, Double even.. Now what? Fully inscrutable state bred set of 12 with 4 exiting the May 11th 8.5f-T event (Spa Jazz, Pirelli Tower, Ten Eyck, Zechariah), 3 coming from the May 12th 6f-T dash (Singapore Trader, Lem Me Tel Ya, Scatsuku) and 2 (Jimmy Jazz, Bad Guy) out of a May 26th turf route. More Than a Saint held own v. FG open company when last seen. Paynter’s Prize makes his seasonal debut. Riendo is a first time starter..

Best Value: #11 Scatsuku 6-1
Next Best: #10 More Than a Saint 5-1
Exotics Use: #4 Pirelli Tower 3-1
Super Add: #3 Singapore Trader 10-1

P6 Grid:

4: 4-9 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-5 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), 3-7 (B), 4-8 (C)
6: 5 (A), – (B), 7-8 (C)
7: 3-4 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
8: 3 (A), – (B), 4-8-9-10 (C)
9: 10-11 (A), 4 (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x2x1x3 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A’s: 2x2x1x2x1x2 = 16 x $2 = $32

P4 Grid:

6: 5-7-8 (A), 3-9 (B), – (C)
7: 3-4 (A), 2 (B), 6 (C)
8: 3 (A), – (B), 1-4-8-9-10 (C)
9: 3-4-10-11 (A), 2-6-8-9 (B), 1-5-7-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x1x8 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x1x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve

6/16: Churchill Downs (Stakes P4/P5)

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By kasept | Filed in 2018 | No comments yet.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: 21st Matt Winn (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Justify parades about 90 minutes before Ax Man parades here. As mentioned on Wknd Prvw ATR, Home Base (10-1) may be emerging and should be more prepared for the stretch out now..

Most Likely: #7 Ax Man 4-5 3rd
Best Value: #2 Home Base 10-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Combatant 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Funny Duck 5-1 4th

6th: 29th Wise Dan (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

As discussed before the Dixie was scuttled on Preakness Day, World Approval’s no show in the Kilroe was particularly alarming, but the extra 3 weeks may a plus for the Live Oak home bred by versatile Lonhro who has worked sharp and runs well fresh. Divisidero an obvious player. 4yo debut of Parlor (10-1) was terrific for streaking Kenneally (28/13 at meet for 46%) and remember that he knocked on the door of good horses as a 3yo. Mr Cub (10-1) should keep Shining Copper SCR’Dcompany up front and will be the target for late runners. Mr. Misunderstood is dirtied up having improved as a 4yo with very little to show for it in Grade I, II and III tries..

POST SCR NOTE:With Shining Copper coming out, elevating Mr Cub who is now controlling speed..

Best Value: #6 Mr Cub 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 World Approval 6-5 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Parlor 10-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Divisidero 3-1 4th

7th: 43rd Fleur de Lis H. (G2), F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

2nd/3rd choices Blue Prize & Valadorna feel like the top players ahead of ML fave Farrell who will face plenty of pace pressure from her inside. Awestruck (from Rusty Arnold & Watts Humphrey) is a distaff version of Parlor having lurched forward as a 4yo..

Most Likely: #3 Blue Prize 7-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #6 Awestruck 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Valadorna 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Song of Spring 6-1 5th

8th: 38th Stephen Foster H. (G1), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Clearly a repeat of the Alysheba makes Backyard Heaven a winner here, but there is pace to his outside in need-the-lead Irish War Cry and inside from Uncle Mojo. Patch’s return was — wait for it — eye-opening and Hawaakom has pace to chase. Pavel may have found a clever spot. Honorable Duty will save ground in an up-close stalking trip. Lookin At Lee showed a new dimension in Derby Day ALW win. Matrooh, a three-quarter to Funny Cide, came alive in the Hanshin when trying the poly..

Best Value: #2 Patch 10-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Backyard Heaven 6-5 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Pavel 5-1 WON ($15.60)
Super Add: #7 Lookin At Lee 12-1 8th

9th: 49th Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Crazily competitive group for $100k. I count 8 with a chance to win..

Most Likely: #8 Beyond Blame 6-1 WON ($9.00)
Best Value: #6 Cash Out 12-1 5th
Next Best: #13 Stave 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 She’s Pretty Lucky 10-1 10th

P5 Grid:

5: 7 (A), 2 (B), 3-4-5-6 (C)
6: 4-6-8 (A), – (B), 1-5(C)
7: 3-6-7 (A), – (B), 2-5-9 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 7-9(B), 3-4-8 (C)
9: 6-8(A), – (B), 1-3-7-13 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 4-6 (A), 1-8 (B), 3-5-7 (C)
7: 3-6-7 (A), – (B), 2-5-9 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 7-9(B), 3-4-8 (C)
9: 6-8-13 (A), – (B), 1-3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

6/9: 150th Belmont Stakes Day

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By kasept | Filed in 2018 | No comments yet.

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Queen of Castle 12-1 8th
Next Best: #6 War Canoe 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 La Moneda 3-1 WON ($5.30)
Super Add: #9 Table for Six 8-1 5th

2nd: 7th Easy Goer, 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mask 2-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Rugbyman 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Breaking the Rules 4-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Dark Vader 9-2 3rd

3rd: 50th Ogden Phipps (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Ivy Bell 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Abel Tasman 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Unchained Melody 12-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Pacific Wind 7-2 4th

4th: 87th Acorn (G1), 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Top 3 can win and there’s a real chance Monomoy Girl and Talk Veuve hook up immediately to provide 2nd/break Caldonia Road with a perfect behind-the-duel stalking trip..

Best Value: #5 Caldonia Road 3-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Monomoy Girl 4-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Talk Veuve to Me 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Gio Game 15-1 3rd

5th: 130th Brooklyn (G2), 4+, 12f (P3, DD)

War Story has now made $2.5MM and can add another $240k here with anything close to his A-/B+ efforts. Note that Outplay (8-1) is lone speed and needs to be used as a C on outlier chance he stays the 12f unperturbed..

Most Likely: #9 War Story 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Hoppertunity 5-2 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #3 Hard Study 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Take Your Guns 6-1 4th

P5 Grid:

1: 6-8 (A), 1-9 (B), 7 (C)
2: 2 (A), – (B), 3-6-7 (C)
3: 2-6-7 (A), – (B), 1-4-8 (C)
4: 3-5-7 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
5: 2-9 (A), 3-4 (B), 6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 2-3 (A), – (B), 4-6-7 (C)
3: 2-6-7 (A), 1-4-8 (B), – (C)
4: 3-5-7 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
5: 2-9 (A), 3-4 (B), 6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

6th: 35th Jaipur (G2), 4+, 6f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Wild set here with half of the 8 led by pacer/closer pairings from both Clement/Generazio (Pure Sensation/’17 winner Disco Partner) and Miller/Rockingham (Stormy Liberal/Conquest Tsunami). The 2 players beyond that heavy-handed quartet are speed of the speed (?) Pocket Change (10-1) and Pletcher’s (where-did-he-come-from?) Blind Ambition (5-1). Longest prices Frisky Magician (30-1) and Holding Gold (12-1) both are far from impossible. Brutal start for P6 players..

Most Likely: #5 Disco Partner 5-2 WON ($5.10)
Best Value: #3 Pocket Change 10-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Blind Ambition 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Holding Gold 12-1 4th

7th: 34th Woody Stephens (G2), 3yo, 7f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Fascinating cast with usual assortment of turnbacks from Classic scene (Promises Fulfilled, World of Trouble, Strike Power) and credentialed 3/4-7/8-1m types like Kanthaka (3/3 at trip), Engage and Madison’s Luna. From inside and outside, 50% of this group wants to be on or near the lead, so it’s hard to imagine that stalkers and closers don’t make their presence felt. Still Having Fun (15-1) clearly meant for this trip all along after trying routes. Wasn’t getting run off winner Mitole at Pimlico, but should be on the scene late at bonus tab with ideal new rider in Rosario..

Best Value: #6 Still Having Fun 15-1 WON ($28.00)
Next Best: #11 World of Trouble 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Engage 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Promises Fulfilled 12-1 3rd

$1 EXACTA (6-3) PAID $63.25
$1 TRIFECTA (6-3-9) PAID $444.00
$1 SUPERFECTA (6-3-9-11) PAID $1,876.50

8th: 25th Just a Game (G1), F&M-4+, 1m-T P4, P3, DD)

Terrific group of 8 and almost any could win with several haven taken turns beating each other. A Raving Beauty is the fresh face and won the Beaugay as she pleased. On Leave can adjust to the pace. Lull dangerous if unattended up front. Proctor’s Ledge may prove best at this trip ultimately. Off Limits 3rd/break toting gaudy trip/strip marks..

Most Likely: #7 A Raving Beauty 5-2 WON ($9.30)
Next Best: #3 Off Limits 7-2 4th
Best Value: #1 On Leave 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Proctor’s Ledge 4-1 2nd

$1 PICK THREE (5/6/7) PAID $218.50

9th: 125th Metropolitan H. (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Entertaining lineup for this and hard to choose which pace player might stay on (Bee Jerset, Ransom the Moon) v. which of the stalking/closing types reach contention on time (Limousine Liberal, Mind Your Biscuits, McCracken, Good Sam, Awesome Slew). And of course you have Bolt d’Oro to decide on who gets away from Justify..

Best Value: #11 Awesome Slew 6-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Bee Jersey 5-1 WON ($8.50)
Exotics Use: #8 Ransom the Moon 10-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Good Samaritan 10-1 7th

New York/Met Mile DBL Will Pays ($2):

1. 59.00
2. 78.50
3. 140.50
4. 115.50
5. 128.00
6. 232.00
7. 892.00
8. 137.50
9. 362.50
10. 64.50
11. 83.50

10th: 146th Manhattan (G1), 4+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Authentic pace parties and the sharper 10f trip give this cast a scrambling look. Mix and match styles and sprinkle liberally with prices. Channel Maker’s Kilroe effort would impact this in a big way. Good value key horse in this context..

Best Value: #9 Channel Maker 20-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Robert Bruce 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Beach Patrol 5-2 13th
Super Add: #13 Spring Quality 12-1 WON ($38.00)

11th: 150th Belmont Stakes (G1), 3yo, 12f (P3, DD)

Have said all that needs be said about a Triple Crown try from what looks like a uniquely talented horse. Logic and history say to bet against and go for the score opportunity and don’t blame anyone for taking that approach. Built like Point Given, Justify looks to gallop this group into submission on an oval that suits his style and gifts. Should be an exciting culmination to what has been another compelling and entertaining Classic Season..

Most Likely: #1 Justify 4-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #8 Vino Rossi 8-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Free Drop Billy 30-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Restoring Hope 30-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Hofburg 9-2 3rd

NYRA Bets P5 Grid:

7: 3-6-11 (A), 4-9-12 (B), 1-7 (C)
8: 3-7(A), – (B), 1-4-5-6 (C)
9: 10-11 (A), 5-8 (B), 1-2-3-4 (C)
10: 1-9-10 (A), – (B), 3-11-13(C)
11: 1(A), – (B), 2-4-5-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x4x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 NYRA BETS LATE PICK 5 (6/7/10/13/1) PAID $5,684.00(A-A-C-A-A)

P4 Grid:

8: 1-3-7(A), 4-5-6 (B), 2-8 (C)
9: 5-8-10-11 (A), – (B), 1-2-3-4 (C)
10: 1-9-10 (A), 3-11-13(B), 2-8 (C)
11: 1(A), – (B), 2-4-5-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x4x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 PICK FOUR (7/10/13/1) PAID $639.25

Gold Cup/Belmont DBL:

GC: 4 (A), 1-6 (B), 5-8 (C)
BS: 1(A), 2-4-8 (B), 5-7-9 (C)

Gold Cup/Belmont Will Pays ($2):

1. 16.40
2. 277.00
3. 95.50
4. 39.20
5. 395.00
6. 213.00
7. 80.00
8. 52.00
9. 215.00
10. 136.00

12th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Battle of Blenheim 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Snap Decision 6-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Monster Bea 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Slim Shadey 5-2 WON ($5.30)

13th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f

Most Likely: #1 Proven Resources 5-2 5th
Best Value: #11 Hammerin Aamer 15-1 WON ($16.60)
Next Best: #6 Autostrade 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Just Whistle 7-2 DNF

P4 Grid:

10: 1-9-10-13 (A), 2-3-8-11 (B), 4-5-7-8 (C)
11: (A), – (B), 2-4-5-7-8 (C)
12: 3-5-8-9 (A), – (B), 6-11 (C)
13: 1 (A), 6-11 (B), 3-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x1x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 4x1x4x1 = $16 ($8 for .50)

$0.50 PICK FOUR (13/1/3,7/11) PAID $857.50

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: 121st Tremont, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Early New York juvenile event that honors Frank McCabe’s Tremont (Virgil), the 13 for 13 Champion of 1886 and one of the greatest 2yo’s of early American breeding..

Most Likely: #6 Sir Truebador 2-1: Full to Regally Ready..4th
Next Best: #7 Mae No Never 9-5: Ascot the priority?3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Outshine 7-2: $625k debut mud winner; Gets dry/fast..5th
Super Add: #3 Social Fan 10-1: Sneaky looking $50k WVa bred..7th

6th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$127k P6 C/O starts here..

Thoroughly torturous set of 11 including many well meant types that should have graduated by now and 4 premium-bred first time starters toting solid worktabs. P6 C/O players should avail themselves the benefit of the toteboard looking for steamers in this tough heat..

Most Likely: #8 Fallstar 7-2: 2nd start for Chad; Cuts back while turf to dirt..8th
Next Best: #6 Illudere 5-1: Jerkens’ FTS held own with Rocketry, Sec. At War..SCR’D
Best Value: #11 Encinitas 8-1: Lynch may be weekend’s lightening in bottle..3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Orbed 6-1: Buzz Beler’s pricey colt has run into toughies..4th

7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (NYRA Bets P5, P3, DD)

$63k NYRA Bets P5 C/O starts here..

Another killer as at least 8 of the 12 can win and that’s before you figure out if the 2 first time turfers (KMc’s Almithmaar & Ward’s Battle Station) will take to the green stuff. Raging Bull will be a clear favorite, but if he were the nutz, wouldn’t Brandt/Brown find a stake spot for him? Morrison has kept top company and gives locals their first look at Adam Beschizza (who IS the nutz). Have At It gets 1st Lasix for 3yo debut but must work out a trip from the #12. Bravo lands Bond’s first out winner Prioritze and you can envision a ground-saving inside-outside rally for him into what may become a heated pace. Worth noting his effort as he beat Steeles Run who looks to be a major player (9-2) in the MSW nightcap..

Most Likely: #9 Morrison 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Raging Bull 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #12 Have At It 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Prioritize 12-1 6th

8th: 40th True North (G2), 4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Eye-crossing group with murky pace scenario. Can’t help but root for Charlie Baker’s miracle comeback story with Joking SCR’D, but Peter Miller brought Roy H here last year and won and tractable Bobby Abu Dhabi looks as good here with 3 wins at the in-between 715 yard distance..

Most Likely: #4 Bobby Abu Dhabi 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Westwood 6-1 DNF-Eased
Next Best: #3 Imperial Hint 9-2 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Always Sunshine 15-1 4th

9th: 75th New York (G2), F&M-4+, 10f-IT (P3, New York/Met Mile DBL, DD)

Hard not to lean heavily on Chad Brown’s Jenny Wiley EXA pair..

Most Likely: #8 Fourstar Crook 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #5 Sistercharlie 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Esquisse 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Mom’s On Strike 5-1 4th

10th: 5th Belmont Gold Cup (G2), 4+, 16f-T (Gold Cup/Belmont DBL, DD)

Marathon event brings Euro invasion including the Queen’s Call to Mind..

Best Value: #4 Funny Kid 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Call to Mind 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Nessy 5-2 6th
Super Add: #5 Canessar 6-1 2nd

Gold Cup/Belmont DBL:

GC: 4 (A), 1-6 (B), 5-8 (C)
BS: 1 (A), 2-4-8 (B), 5-7-9 (C)

11th: MSW, 3+, 11f-IT

Most Likely: #8 Steeles Run 9-2 6th
Best Value: #6 My Dream 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Into the Breach 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Prompt 5-1 2nd

P6 Grid:

6: 6-8 (A), 5-11 (B), 1-3-10 (C)
7: 7-8(A), – (B), 12 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), – (B), 3(C)
9: 5-8(A), – (B), – (C)
10: 4 (A), 1(B), 6 (C)
11: 6-8 (A), – (B), 2-5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x2x2x2 = 128 x $2 = $256
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x1x2 = 32 x $2 = $64

NYRA Bets P5 Grid:

7: 7-8-12 (A), 2-3-5 (B), 4-6-10 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), – (B), 1-3-7-8 (C)
9: 5-8(A), – (B), 1-2-7-9 (C)
10: 4 (A), 1-6 (B), 3-5 (C)
11: 6-8 (A), – (B), 2-5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 4x2x2x1x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

P4 Grid:

8: 4-6 (A), 3-7 (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 5-8(A), – (B), 1-2-7-9 (C)
10: 1-4-6 (A), – (B), 3-5 (C)
11: 5-6-8 (A), 2-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

6/7: Belmont Park (Festival Day 1; 1st-9th)

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BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Fair Archer 10-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Whiskey Run 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Wild Road 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Chasindamoney 6-1 3rd

2nd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Terrific ALW set with hatful of late-developing types from fancy outfits..

Most Likely: #5 Professor Snape 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Final Frontier 15-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Bugle Notes 8-5 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Ajnadeen 5-1 2nd

3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Cosita Mia 7-2 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #1 Kidoro 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Mybigitalianfriend 5-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Sweet Avery 8-1 5th

4th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$34k P6 C/O starts here..

Funky group with very little authentic pace signed on. Joy Drive adds hood and Jose Ortiz..

SCR’strim field to 6..

Most Likely: #3 Joy Drive 5th
Best Value: #4 Nigel’s Destiny WON ($13.80)
Next Best: #6 Helooksthepart 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Bolita Boyz 3rd

5th: OC/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (NYRA Bets P5, P3, DD)

Intriguing turf route with Bill Mott holding a heavy hand. Not a great deal of front runners involved and some prices do lurk including rare Leatherbury invader (if coming) and MDN breakthrough I’m the Captain Now from Tagg..

Most Likely: #3 Red Knight 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Gauguin 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Chateau de Vizelle 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 I’m the Captain Now 10-1 4th

P5 Grid:

1: 3-4 (A), 2-6 (B), 1-5-8(C)
2: 1-3-5 (A), 2-6-7 (B), – (C)
3: 1-3-8(A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
4: 3 (A), – (B), 4-6-7 (C)
5: 3-8 (A), – (B), 2-9-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x3x1x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 1-3-5 (A), 2-6-7 (B), – (C)
3: 1-3-8(A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
4: 3-4(A), 6-7 (B), 1-8 (C)
5: 3-8 (A), – (B), 2-9-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

6th: 107th Astoria, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Throwback juvenile event has origins at Gravesend and was also run at Jamaica and Aqueduct and its’ winners include Ruffian, Meadow Star, Affectionately, Jersey Girl (Pletcher’s first stakes winner) and the first ever, Astarita, explaining why there’s a stake in her name..

Most Likely: #7 Tijori 7-5: Cali visitor superb in debut..4th
Best Value: #4 Lady Apple 8-1: MDN nabbed by PHX TB’s, moved to Asmussen..2nd
Next Best: #1 Wonder Stone 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Athens Queen 8-1 WON ($24.40)

7th: 5th Intercontinental (G3), F&M-4+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Distaff counterpoint to the Jaipur honors Juddmonte & Frankel’s $2,000,000 earning ’05 BC F&M Turf winner. Tremendously competitive group with what looks to be a spirited pace. Baffert moves Faypien to the lawn here and being out of a Freud mare, could like it. We scored with Drysdale’s La Sardane at Churchill and she looks plenty inviting at 20-1 in her N. A. stakes debut. She won the Group 2 Sandringham at Chantilly last year..

Best Value: #2 La Sardane 20-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #10 Stormy Victoria 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Thundering Sky 8-1 8th
Super Add: #1 Malibu Stacy 15-1 4th

8th: 5th Wonder Again (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-IT (DD)

As Tweeted this morning, there is a real harmony of NYRA conducting the Intercontinental & Wonder Again concurrently, their careers culminating together in the 2005 Breeder’s Cup F&M Turf which was their 4th meeting. Wonder Again had vanquished Juddmonte Farms’ Hasili daughter in the 2004 Diana, but lost to her in the 2004 Just a Game & in the Cup. They both were beaten by Sand Springs in the 2005 Just a Game which hints at how terrific the Division was at that time with these mares as well as Ouija Board, Ticker Tape, Riskaverse, Film Maker, Moscow Burning, Megahertz and more..

Outstanding set of soph gals here with the favorites looking imposing. Significant Form better keep tabs on Animosity SCR’D(15-1) up front, though Wertheimer Euro poacher Armoricaine could be attending the pace too. ‘Other’ Chad Brown runners Altea (8-1) & Mighty Scarlett (8-1), Weaver’s Daddy Is a Legend (7-2) and Lynch’s La Signare (6-1), who lost to stunning Toinette at KEE, all have license to perform..

Most Likely: #5 Significant Form 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #9 La Signare 6-1 WON ($14.60)
Next Best: #8 Daddy Is a Legend 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Altea 8-1 5th

9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T

And after talking about those great turf mares from a decade ago, note Film Maker’s 3yo War Front daughter Her Latest Film in this good group of diploma seekers. Similarly, Toner has #9 Honored Promise (20-1) whose Darby Dan lineage is shared by Wonder Again going back to foundation mare Soaring..

Best Value: #1 Emmy Performance 8-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #4 Competitionofideas 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Her Latest Film 4-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Compression 5-1 3rd

P6 Grid:

4: 3 (A), – (B), 4-6 (C)
5: 3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 4-7 (A), – (B), 1-3-8(C)
7: 2-10 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)
8: 5-9(A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
9: 1-4 (A), 6-9-12 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x2x2x4x5 = 80 x $2 = $160
All A’s: 1x2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x $2 = $64

P5 Grid:

5: 3-8 (A), – (B), 2-9-10-11 (C)
6: 4-7 (A), – (B), 1-3-8(C)
7: 2-10 (A), – (B), 1-4-7-8 (C)
8: 5-9(A), 1-8 (B), 2-6 (C)
9: 1-4 (A), 6-9-12 (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x4x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

P4 Grid:

6: 1-4-7 (A), – (B), 3-8(C)
7: 2-4-10 (A), – (B), 1-7-8 (C)
8: 5-9(A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
9: 1-4 (A), 6-12 (B), 5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (8/2/9/1) Paid $2,392.75(C-A-A-A)