Downs P5 the Sat. focus

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By kasept | Filed in Uncategorized | No comments yet.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

If left unattended, Student Body will wire this field..

Best Value: #1 Student Body 5-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Drinks On Broadway 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Wicked Lick 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #5 My Sweet Stella 6-1 WON ($8.80)

8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Amoss fave on far outside has been solid in first two career starts and wins with efforts in range of those. Will dominate with any improvement..

Most Likely: #12 Miss Vicki 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Honor Ride 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 What a Star 7-2 WON ($12.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Soliloquy 15-1 7th

9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Nice group with favorite meriting slight edge exiting G3 Louisville..

Most Likely: #3 Nessy 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #6 Cite 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 War Daddy 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Southern Wild 5-1 4th

10th: 28th Chicago H. (G3), 7f (DD)

Finley’sluckycharm a likely winner, but there’s a chance she gets pressure on either side and proves vulnerable late spotting field considerable weight. Note she has NOT won beyond 6f..

Best Value: #2 Athena 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Finley’sluckycharm 4-5 WON ($2.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Ivy Bell 30-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Sweetgrass 10-1 8th

11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Miss Tutu 5-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #11 Soil 8-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Tizthesound 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 My Kinda Devil 7-2 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #8 Merry Memories 5-1 4th

P5 Grid:

7: 1-3-4 (A), – (B), 2-5 (C)
8: 12 (A), – (B), 4-6 (C)
9: 3-4-6 (A), – (B), 5-10 (C)
10: 2-8 (A), 5-9 (B), 3-11-12 (C)
11: 5-11 (A), 2-9 (B), 8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

8: 12 (A), 4-6 (B), 2-5-9 (C)
9: 3-4-6 (A), – (B), 5-10 (C)
10: 2-8 (A), 5-9 (B), 3-11-12 (C)
11: 2-5-9-11 (A), – (B), 8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x2x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/3,9,12,13/4,6,8,12/4,5,6,12) Paid $59.10

C/O’s, Foster Night make Saturday special

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By kasept | Filed in 2017 | No comments yet.

Wild Saturday has taken shape with carryover mania reaching a critical mass with Santa Anita ($230,866) and Belmont ($194,809) offering 2 day pots and Gulfstream forcing out the Rainbow 6 ($999,089). Later, Churchill has a fun Foster Night slate with 2 P5’s..

Start times: Belmont 4th-3:04pm; Gulfstream 6th-3:25pm; Santa Anita 5th-6:03pm; Churchill 5th-8:03pm.

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$231,866 Carryover starts here..

Best Value: #4 Rocket Fuel 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Forest Blue 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Texas Two Step 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Blue Anchor 12-1 WON ($39.20)

6th: 66th Honeymoon (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Sircat Sally a lovely filly and likely to extend streak, but Pacific Wind has upside and may be able to test the favorite late going 9f..

Best Value: #2 Pacific Wind 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Sircat Sally 3-5 WON ($2.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Beau Recall 4-1 2nd

7th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Kenzou’s Empire 4-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Zachian 8-1 11th
Next Best: #8 Specimen 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Rick’s Dream 6-1 2nd

8th: S/HCP, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Terrific starter ‘cap with many angles to evaluate on horses from a host of clever outfits..

Best Value: #10 Trifecta 6-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Hay Dude 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Sky Preacher 3-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Buymeabond 12-1 4th

9th: 72nd Summertime Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

With Abel Tasman out of the picture today, a chance for some late developers to earn black type..

Most Likely: #3 It Tiz Well 7-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Faypien 7-2 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Noted and Quoted 3-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Sheza Chattykat 15-1 6th

10th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Oregon 7-2 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #2 Kopitar 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Member State 4-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Divisor 12-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #3 Awesome Heights 12-1 5th

P6 Grid:

5: 3-4 (A), 6-7 (B), 8-9 (C)
6: 2-4 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
7: 13 (A), 5-8 (B), 2-6-11 (C)
8: 5-10 (A), – (B), 2-3 (C)
9: 3-6 (A), – (B), 8 (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), 2-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A’s: 2x2x1x2x2x1 = 16 x $2 = $32

$2 Pick-6 (6/4/11/5,7,8/6/1,6,12) Paid $84.00 (5OF6) x 3 = $252.00

P4 Grid:

7: 5-8-13 (A), 2-6-11 (B), – (C)
8: 2-3-5-10 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-9 (C)
9: 3-6 (A), 8 (B), 4-7-9 (C)
10: 6 (A), 2 (B), 11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x4x2x1 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (11/5,7,8/6/1,6,12) Paid $125.75

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Space Mountain 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Race Me Home 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Kismet’s Heels 7-2 10th
Super Add: #3 Mucho Macho Bets 8-1 8th

5th: 20th Matt Winn, 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

McCraken likely of course, but Colonelsdarktemper broke through to new level last out and will get first run behind solid DWL stretchout Aquamarine..

Most Likely: #2 McCraken 4-5 WON ($2.40)
Best Value: #3 Coloneldarktemper 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Aquamarine 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Excitations 9-2 5th

6th: 28th Wise Dan (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Nice group top to bottom. Feels like pace will be honest. Given opportunity to go narrow elsewhere, I’d spread liberally here..

Best Value: #6 Conquest Panthera 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Pleuven 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Bondurant 8-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Blofeld 10-1 5th

7th: 42nd Fleur De Lis (G2), F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Yes Forever Unbridled is very likely, but note that she didn’t fire off 5+ month break in 2015 and today she returns off 7+ months. That said, if she doesn’t run her A race, where do you turn? Doesn’t look like Apology will get away easy up front with Big World close at hand. After that Walkabout, Carrumba and Romantic Vision look competitive..

Most Likely: #1 Forever Unbridled 4-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #6 Romantic Vision 8-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Big World 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Carrumba 6-1 3rd

8th: 36th Stephen Foster H. (G1), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

There is authentic front end company for Gun Runner to his left and right, so it will be interesting to see how Geroux approaches the run to the turn. Honorable Duty looks like the most obvious threat

Most Likely: #3 Gun Runner 4-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #4 Honorable Duty 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Breaking Lucky 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Texas Chrome 12-1 6th

9th: 48th Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Once again, the 3yo filly turfers provide a fun wagering scenario..

Most Likely: #4 Proctor’s Ledge 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #11 Starr Bear 8-1
Next Best: #12 Chubby Star 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Sweeping Paddy 4-1 WON ($9.20)

P5 Grid:

5: 2 (A), – (B), 1-3-5 (C)
6: 2-6-7-8 (A), 1-3-4-5 (B), – (C)
7: 1-6 (A), – (B), 2-3-5-8 (C)
8: 3 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
9: 2-4-11-12 (A), 1-7-8-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x8x2x1x8 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 1x4x2x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick-5 (2/5/1,4/3/2) Paid $78.10

P4 Grid:

6: 2-6-7-8 (A), 1-3-4-5 (B), – (C)
7: 1-6 (A), – (B), 2-3-5-8 (C)
8: 3 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
9: 2-4-11-12 (A), 1-7-8-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x2x1x8 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 4x2x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/1,4/3/2) Paid $60.55

10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Miss Kentucky 5-2 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #9 Golden Amber 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #12 Socata 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Missseventhirteen 8-1 9th

11th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Portal 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #3 Leading Cause 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Tapsolute 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Unbridled Rebel 15-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Sevier 12-1 5th

P5 Grid:

7: 1 (A), – (B), 2-3-5-6-8 (C)
8: 3 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
9: 2-4-11-12 (A), 1-7-8-9 (B), – (C)
10: 3-9 (A), 12 (B), 5-6 (C)
11: 3-8-9 (A), – (B), 2-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x1x8x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 1x1x4x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick-5 (1-3-2-1/2/3/8-8) Paid $55.70

P4 Grid:

8: 3 (A), – (B), 1-2-4-7-8 (C)
9: 2-4-11-12 (A), 1-7-8-9 (B), – (C)
10: 3-9 (A), 12 (B), 5-6 (C)
11: 3-8-9 (A), – (B), 2-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x8x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 1x4x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (2/3/8-8) Paid $89.80 ($44.90 for .50)

$99k SA C/O starts nice weekend

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SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: Cal-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 All of a Sudden 7-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Tee Em Eye 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Mis Strawberry Dee 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Princess Kendra 5-1 WON ($22.80)

6th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Shakti 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Scathing 9-2 4th
Next Best: #8 Paschalitsa 7-2 WON ($12.80)
Exotics Use: #6 Rockantharos 6-1 6th

7th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 EXCESSIVE KID 4-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Mexican Groove 15-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Guggenheim 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Little Scotty 5-1 WON ($12.60)

8th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Li’l Grazen 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Quiet No More 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Majestic Diva 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Pure Perfection 15-1 WON ($44.00)

9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 10f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Newsman 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Vigilante 7-2 7th
Best Value: #3 Powerfoot 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Royal Albert Hall 3-1 8th

10th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo-F, 5.5f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Furious Fire 8-1 WON ($24.80)
Next Best: #4 Todos Santos 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Sally Simpson 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Send It 12-1
Hi-5 Play: #10 Cheyenne Dancer 6-1 5th

P6 Grid:

5: 5-8 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-4-6 (C)
6: 4-7 (A), – (B), 2-6-8 (C)
7: 4 (A), – (B), 3-7-9 (C)
8: 7 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-5-10 (C)
9: 2-6 (A), 3-8 (B), 4 (C)
10: 4-8 (A), 1 (B), 9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x1x1x4x3 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A’s: 2x2x1x1x2x2 = 16 x $2 = $32

P4 Grid:

7: 4 (A), 3-9 (B), 7 (C)
8: 7-10 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-5 (C)
9: 2-6 (A), 3-4-8 (B), – (C)
10: 1-4-8-9-10 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x5 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x2x2x5 = $20 ($10 for .50)

Crown closes with stakes bonanza

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BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Quite a few here that do not get a camera pointed at them too often. May have been the wet track last fall that propelled him, but want to take shot that Exulting (15-1) may be ready to return to the corker he ran that day breaking his maiden..

Best Value: #8 Exulting 15-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Battle Midway 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Vincento 7-2 5th
Super Add: #7 Thebigfundamental 5-2 WON ($4.90)

2nd: 7th Easy Goer, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

This went from a prospective small field to a really solid group of ‘notch below’ sophomores. Fair amount of speed lines up, though it’s not impossible that one of them shakes loose. Wicked Macho (8-1) flashed talent in Derby Day Downs debut, has drilled like a champ since and may be tactical when it comes to the pace picture. You’re to Blame (4-1), to use a Serlingism, is ‘dirtied up’ after two excusable beats and may be more the horse to beat than favored West Coast (5-2)..

Best Value: #3 Wicked Macho 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 You’re to Blame 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 West Coast 5-2 WON ($5.70)
Super Add: #6 Tale of Silence 15-1 5th

3rd: 129th Brooklyn (G2), 4+, 12f (P3, DD)

Send It In (SCR’ing from here) and Tu Brutus put on a show in Excelsior and then Tu Brutus came back with spectacular performance in the Flat Out. War Story a good fit. Sunny Ridge (Holy Bull) turned in a blah effort at Charles Town, but may return to his good races on the big oval..

Most Likely: #5 Tu Brutus 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Sunny Ridge 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Governor Malibu 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 War Story 6-1 WON ($10.00)

4th: 87th Acorn (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

As discussed this week, everyone is looking to beat Abel Tasman, but it better be because of price as her one turn (7f) ALW win at DMR last year was excellent. Mark Casse and Ron Anderson made compelling cases for Salty who had the worst of it in the Kentucky Oaks but draws ideally for this assignment. Sweet Loretta and Union Strike were ‘win early’ juvies that have been managed smartly to arrive here eligible for success..

Best Value: #8 Salty 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Abel Tasman 2-1 WON ($6.30)
Exotics Use: #7 Sweet Loretta 5-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Union Strike 8-1 5th

5th: 49th Ogden Phipps (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Songbird returns for 4yo debut and may not be as much of a hummingbird as she was as a younger filly having filled out considerably. Has nice enough cast around her, but expect she comes back better than she left..

Most Likely: #5 Songbird 1-2 WON ($2.70)
Next Best: #7 Carina Mia 6-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Bar of Gold 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Highway Star 10-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

1: 4-8 (A), 1-7 (B), 3-5-6 (C)
2: 3-7-8 (A), – (B), 5-6-9 (C)
3: 5 (A), – (B), 1-3-7 (C)
4: 1-3-7-8 (A), 2-4-5-6 (B), – (C)
5: 5 (A), – (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x8x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x3x1x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

2: 3-6-7-8 (A), 1-4-5-9 (B), 2-10 (C)
3: 5 (A), – (B), 1-3-7 (C)
4: 1-3-7-8 (A), 2-4-5-6 (B), – (C)
5: 5 (A), – (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x1x8x1 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A’s: 4x1x4x1 = $16 ($8 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (7,10/7/3,6/5) Paid $57.37 (A-C-A-A)

6th: 34th Jaipur (G3), 4+, 6f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Another entertaining edition of this lawn dash which starts with last year’s Generazio entry exacta of Pure Sensation & Disco Partner. Both back and just as eligible for success today. Green Mask ran in that ’16 Jaipur and is far better form now than a year ago. Hogy is one of my favorite horses in training and hasn’t missed a superfecta since October ’15. Holding Gold (closer) and Stormy Liberal (presser) have races that impact. Fun affair..

Most Likely: #4 Green Mask 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Pure Sensation 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Hogy 8-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Disco Partner 6-1 WON ($11.60)

7th: 33rd Woody Stephens (G2), 3yo, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

New York-bred Gold for the King, in the hands of assassin Charlie Baker, has never been worse than 3rd and even then, only under-performed on off going. Adjusts to any pace and bypassed easier assignment for this. Won’t lose..

Best Value: #4 GOLD FOR THE KING 15-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Recruiting Ready 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Long Haul Bay 5-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Guiseppe the Great 12-1 2nd

8th: 24th Just a Game (G1), F&M-4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

After jockeys’ embarrassing decision-making yesterday in the New York, expect Celestine & Sassy Little Lila will not be left totally to own devices up front here. Geroux and Roca Rojo, already the likeliest winners, has kept closer company when necessary previously and should get first run..

Most Likely: #2 Roca Rojo 9-5 7th
Next Best: #5 Celestine 3-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Antonoe 8-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Dickinson 5-2 3rd

9th: 124th Metropolitan H. (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Realizing the Met hasn’t received the attention it deserves and may end up as the race we talk about most afterwards. Pace, with Sharp Azteca and Mor Spirit setting, could get prompted which would open it up to all running styles. Returned to one-turning in Casse barn, Awesome Slew was left with a tad too much to do in the Churchill Downs. This has been the target all along for Mrs. Weber’s homebred and Rosario should get him in position to succeed today. Have been talking about 30-1 Virtual Machine for months and remember that Connect, whom he chased home in the Westchester, would have been the choice had he not been injured. Castellano gets on Tom’s Ready (15-1) who won Woody Stephens on this day last year and may be poised for career best..

Most Likely: #12 Awesome Slew 6-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Virtual Machine 30-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Mor Spirit 5-2 WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #5 Sharp Azteca 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Tom’s Ready 15-1 7th

10th: 116th Manhattan (G1), 4+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Very nice set for this New York turf institution and several contenders get the footing they like best..

Most Likely: #4 Time Test 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Potemkin 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 World Approval 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Ascend 20-1 WON ($57.00)

11th: 149th Belmont Stakes (G1), 3yo, 12f (P3, DD)

Has been an engaging Triple Crown season that fittingly comes to a confusing end. Nice enough combination of stakes-credentialed and aspiring types line up and took a mix and match approach when projecting event last week in the Xpressbet Wagering Guide while substituting Irish War Cry for the absent Classic Empire. There are some players that may be more likely than others, but this has always been a race where contenders pop up thanks to the configuration of the oval and the stamina required to finish the 12 panels. Horses like Senior Investment, Twisted Tom and Multiplier fit the profile of the more surprising type, while Tapwrit, Irish War Cry and Gormley have the established background resumes. Stand by your selections and feather in as many supporting players as you can afford. It’s a race to have some fun with..

As always, has been a privilege presenting the Triple Crown season to you on ATR. Hope everyone has enjoyed the odyssey!

Most Likely: #2 Tapwrit 6-1 WON ($12.60)
Best Value: #8 Senior Investment 12-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Irish War Cry 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Twisted Tom 20-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Gormley 8-1 4th

DBL Grid:

GC: 10-12 (A), 5-11-13 (B), 3-9 (C)
BS: 2-7-8 (A), 1-6 (B), 3-4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5×5 = 25 X $2 = $50
Backup (C+A/B/C): 2×8 = $16

$2 Daily Double (10-2) Paid $51.00

P4 Grid:

8: 2-5 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-6-7 (C)
9: 9-10-12 (A), 3-5-8 (B), 1-2-7 (C)
10: 4-6 (A), – (B), 1-5-7-9 (C)
11: 2-7-8 (A), 1-3-10 (B), 4-5-6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

12th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #2e McLaughlin entry 5-1 3rd/6th
Next Best: #3 Revved Up 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1e Ownership entry 7-2 5th/12th
Super Add: #10 Arcature 12-1 10th

13th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f

Best Value: #5 River Echo 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Story to Tell 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Realm 3-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Do Share 6-1 WON ($17.80)

P4 Grid:

10: 4-6 (A), – (B), 1-5-7-9 (C)
11: 2-7-8 (A), 1-3-10 (B), 4-5-6-9 (C)
12: 1-2-3 (A), – (B), 6-7-8-10 (C)
13: 3-5 (A), 6-10 (B), 1-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x4 = 1444 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

Distance extremes for Festival Friday

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BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-OCLM/CND, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Bust Another won Mike Lee here and at this trip last year and race 2 back will win this; Bobby On Fleek clearly a different horse on dry fast strip; Bavaro may be coming back to best and Davis will see that he makes lead; Toohottoevenspeak runs his best races at 7/8th and took step forward for Schos last out. Won’t be 20-1

Best Value: #7 Bavaro 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Bobby On Fleek 1-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Toohottoevenspeak 20-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Sudden Surprise 5-1 6th

2nd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Favorites look solid, but Sand City (City Zip) has license to like move to lawn..

Most Likely: #1 Dreamy Margarita 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #10 Sand City 10-1 9th
Next Best: #5 She’s Dreamin 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Spring Folly Late SCR

3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Looks like a bit of a chess match with not a lot of obvious pace signed on other than good ol’ Fox Rules who lands ideal pilot in Jose Ortiz. Monster Bea was OK v. serious company as a 3yo and should be better 2nd off break..

Best Value: #5 Monster Bea 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Fox Rules 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Turbo Street 7-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Zennor 5-2 WON ($8.90)

4th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Mr Classical debuts for Juddmonte/Brown and has tab that says go; Rough Sea a potentially clever debut claim ($50k) by savvy Niall Saville; $375k Marshall Plan doggedly pursued leader in debut before being caught late; Well bred Newman totes dangerous ‘eased last’ line; Emancipation is the full brother of Orb..

Most Likely: #2 Mr Classical 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Marshall Plan 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Newman 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Irst 8-1 6th

5th: 120th Tremont, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Nick Tammaro made good case for Pletcher fave as more than just speed of the speed..

Most Likely: #7 Salmanazar 2-1 7th
Best Value: #1 He Hate Me 8-1 WON ($13.80)
Next Best: #5 Direct Dial 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Analyze the Odds 6-1 5th

P5 Grid:

1: 7-8 (A), – (B), 1-3 (C)
2: 1-10 (A), 5-7 (B), 4-12 (C)
3: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 6-8 (C)
4: 2-5-6 (A), – (B), 7-10 (C)
5: 7 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

2: 1-10 (A), 5-7 (B), 4-12 (C)
3: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 6-8 (C)
4: 2-5-6 (A), – (B), 7-10 (C)
5: 1-5-7 (A), – (B), 2-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x = 36 x .50 = $18

6th: MSW, 3+, 11f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Im the Captain Now 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Into the Breach 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Rocketry 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #9 Markitoff 12-1 8th

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Top pair own edge on good group, but Rice’s Tiz He the One (first turf) and Pletcher’s J. S. Choice (first as 3yo) offer price options..

Most Likely: #3 Bricks and Mortar 7-2 WON ($7.30)
Next Best: #8 Snap Decision 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #12 J. S. Choice 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Cruz Diez 8-1 5th

8th: 39th True North (G2), 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Plenty of pace to set up Whitmore..

Most Likely: #8 Whitmore 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Roy H 12-1 WON ($14.80)
Next Best: #3 Noholdingback Bear 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Stallwalkin’ Dude 3-1 4th

9th: 74th New York (G2), F&M-4+, 10f-IT (P3, NY-Met Mile DBL, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Dacita 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Kitten’s Roar 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Sea Calisi 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Suffused 6-1 5th

DBL Grid:

NY: 4-8 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-7-9 (C)
Met: 2-3-5-9-12 (A), 8-10-11 (B), 1-4-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4×8 = $32

10th: 4th Belmont Gold Cup (G3), 4+, 16f-T (Gold Cup-Belmont DBL, DD)

UK shoppes market via Oddschecker: https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-ra…k/22:46/winner

Most Likely: #12 Wicklow Brave 5-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Red Cardinal 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #5 Clondaw Warrior 12-1 10th
Exotics Use: #13 St Michel 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Wall of Fire 8-1 8th

DBL Grid:

GC: 10-12 (A), 5-11-13 (B), 3-9 (C)
BS: 2-7-8 (A), 1-6 (B), 3-4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5×5 = 25 X $2 = $50
Backup (C+A/B/C): 2×8 = $16

11th: 61st Bed o’ Roses (G3), F&M-4+, 7f

Most Likely: #9 By the Moon 2-1 WON ($4.50)
Best Value: #7 Mia Torri 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 High Ridge Road 4-1
Exotics Use: #5 Lightstream 7-2 3rd

P4 Grid:

8: 8 (A), – (B), 3-7-9 (C)
9: 2-4-6-8 (A), – (B), 1-3-5-7 (C)
10: 5-10-12 (A), 4-11-13 (B), 9 (C)
11: 7-9 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x6x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 1x4x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)