KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES (EARLY)

7th: 88th Ben Ali (G3), 4+, 9f (P5, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Wet weather looks to pass through Lexington at various points during Saturday..

Most Likely: #2 Rafting 3-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Hollywood Handsome 3-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Rated R Superstar 6-1 WON ($14.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Chip Leader 5-2 6th

8th: 22nd Giant’s Causeway, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Morticia 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Lady Aurelia 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Jennifer Lynette 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Triple Chelsea 6-1 WON ($18.60)

9th: 37th Lexington (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 My Boy Jack 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #10 Zanesville 20-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Honor Up 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Seven Trumpets 8-1 5th

10th: 30th Jenny Wiley (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Cambodia 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 La Coronel 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Off Limits 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Sistercharlie 7-2 WON ($8.80)

Stakes P4 Grid:

7: 2-3 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-4-7 (C)
8: 3-7-8 (A), 4(B), – (C)
9: 12(A), – (B), 2-3-4-6-10 (C)
10: 1-3-7-8-11 (A), 4-5 (B), 2-6-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x7 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x3x1x5 = 30 x .50 = $15

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/4/1,5,12/7) Paid $443.70

11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #13 Alberobello 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #4 Hanalei Moon 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Spark Joy 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Silla Manila 4-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Song of Mine 4-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

7: 2-3-5-6 (A), – (B), 1-4-7 (C)
8: 3-8 (A), – (B), 4-7 (C)
9: 12(A), – (B), 2-3-4-6-10 (C)
10: 1-3-7-8-11 (A), – (B), 4-5 (C)
11: 13(A), 1-4 (B), 2-5-7-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x1x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 4x2x1x5x1 = 40 x .50 = $20

$0.50 Pick-5 (5/4/1,5,12/7/3,6,13,14,15,16) Paid $900.55(A-C-A-A-A)

$0.50 Pick-5 (5/4/1,5,12/7/3,6,13,14,15,16) Paid $14.40 (4OF5)

P4 Grid:

8: 3-4-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 12(A), – (B), 2-3-4-6-10 (C)
10: 1-3-7-8-11 (A), – (B), 4-5 (C)
11: 4-13(A), 1-5-7 (B), 2-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x5x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A’s: 4x1x5x2 = 40 x .50 = $20

$0.50 Pick-4 (4/1,5,12/7/3,6,13,14,15,16) Paid $131.70

OAKLAWN PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: 21st Northern Spur, 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P4, P3)

Title Ready is OK, but not 3-2 OK..

Best Value: #7 Ego Trip 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Ike 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Title Ready 3-2 4th
Super Add: #6 High North 7-2 WON ($11.80)

9th: 45th Count Fleet (G3), 3+, 6f (P3)

Plenty of speed and ANY capable of laurels..

Most Likely: #4 Whitmore 7-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #6 Smart Spree 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Wilbo 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Ivanfallunovalot 4-1 5th

10th: 72nd Oaklawn H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P3)

Horse to beat Accelerate doesn’t need lead and has first time by stands to gain position..

Most Likely: #10 Accelerate 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Hawaakom 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Untrapped 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Hedge Fund 4-1 10th

11th: 82nd Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Unbeaten Magnum Moon another of the prep season’s clear faves and should take logical next step towards Louisville today. For price boost, want to tinker with ‘other’ Asmussen Dream Baby Dream (15-1) who is steadily progressing and has right off pace look out of Sunland. Solomini is a grinder that need only be 4th or better for gate slot at Churchill..

Most Likely: #6 Magnum Moon 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #4 Dream Baby Dream 15-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Solomini 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Machismo 20-1 9th

P4 Grid:

8: 1-5-6-7 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-8 (C)
9: 4-5-6 (A), 1-2-3 (B), – (C)
10: 4-5-10 (A), 7-11(B), 2-3 (C)
11: 6(A), – (B), 2-3-4-5-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x5x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 4x3x3x1 = $36 ($18 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/4/11/6) Paid $88.30

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 123rd Gazelle (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

$165k 2-day C/O starts here..

Understand those wanting to try to beat Midnight Disguise, but she’s the only one here that’s proven around 2 turns and it came in stakes company at that..

Most Likely: #3 Midnight Disguise 8-5 4th
Best Value: #6 My Miss Lilly 5-1 WON ($7.90)
Next Best: #5 Sara Street 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Smokinpaddylassie 3-1 5th

7th: 106th Excelsior (G3), 4+, 9f (NYRA Bets P5, P3, DD)

Curious lineup and all I know for sure is that I want the horses that have won at the trip and over the strip..

Most Likely: #3 Zanotti 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Wild About Deb 5-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Backsideofthemoon 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Control Group 2-1 5th

8th: 118th Carter H. (G1), 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Fun group for this early season 7f G1, with some solid types mixing it up with potentially high quality ouchy sprinters like Army Mule. Thought #2 hole might be an issue for Army Mule, but note that there aren’t any pace players lined up near him and Joe Bravo should be able to gain whatever position he wants..

Most Likely: #2 Army Mule 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #4 Do Share 5-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Awesome Slew 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Skyler’s Scramjet 3-1 4th

9th: 58th Bay Shore (G3), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Going into this with a low confidence level..

Most Likely: #4 National Flag 7-5 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #6 Aveenu Malcainu 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Engage 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Justaholic 8-1 7th

10th: 94th Wood Memorial (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Not sure why there’s an effort to discount chances of Enticed, or for that matter, why there’s sentiment that Restoring Hope has just been tossed in here pall mall. Restoring Hope was excluded from Sunland try on earnings and his drill for this earned the rare California ‘breeze’ designation as stressed by Jay Privman Friday. Suppose Old Time Revival has wire potential and Dale Romans lauded King Zachary on ATR this week, but anything other than top pair would surprise me..

Most Likely: #5 Enticed 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #8 Restoring Hope 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Old Time Revival 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 King Zachary 20-1 6th

11th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-Outer Turf

Most Likely: #5 Lucky Ramsey 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #4 Nile Prince 10-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Strut N Stomp 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Adventist 12-1 9th

P6 Grid:

6: 3 (A), – (B), 4-5-6(C)
7: 3 (A), 4 (B), 1-2-7 (C)
8: 2-4 (A), – (B), 9-11 (C)
9: 4(A), 5-6 (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), – (B), 4-7 (C)
11: 4-5-9 (A), – (B), 1-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x2x3x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A’s: 1x1x2x1x2x3 = 12 x $2 = $24

NYRA Bets P5 Grid:

7: 3-4 (A), 1-2-7 (B), 5-6 (C)
8: 2-4 (A), – (B), 9-11 (C)
9: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), – (B), 4-7 (C)
11: 4-5-9 (A), – (B), 1-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x2x3 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

8: 2-4-11 (A), 3-5-9-10 (B), – (C)
9: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), – (B), 4-7 (C)
11: 4-5-9 (A), – (B), 1-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x3x2x3 = 126 x .50 = $63
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 32nd Commonwealth (G3), 4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Westwood may be loping along on the lead here..

Best Value: #3 Westwood 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Limousine Liberal 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Conquest Windycity 4-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Behavioral Bias 6-1 4th

7th: 22nd Shakertown (G2), 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Stay tuned. Turf course condition obviously an unknown right now..

Best Value: #5 Bucchero 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #13 Disco Partner 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Big Handsome 6-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Commute 5-1 4th

8th: 17th Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Super edition and the California speed of American Girl looms large..

Most Likely: #11 American Girl 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Salty 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Lewis Bay 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Miss Sunset 9-2 2nd

9th: 81st Ashland (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Like Analyze It Friday, the opportunity to lean on Monomoy Girl in P5/P4 a big help..

Most Likely: #1 Monomoy Girl 4-5 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #3 Patrona Margarita 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Eskimo Kisses 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Tyfosha 15-1 7th

10th: 94th Blue Grass (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD, Hi-5)

Like Enticed in New York, Good Magic the clear horse to beat and feels exceedingly likely after better than appeared seasonal debut. Spread far and wide in the exotics..

Most Likely: #11 Good Magic 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #7 Blended Citizen 15-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Free Drop Billy 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Tiz Mischief 30-1 7th

P5 Grid:

6: 3-5-6 (A), 2-10 (B), – (C)
7: 5-9-13 (A), 2-10 (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 2-3-8-11 (A), 4-10-12(B), – (C)
9: 1(A), – (B), 2-3-7 (C)
10: 11(A), – (B), 2-7-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x7x1x1 = 175 x .50 = $87.50
All A’s: 3x3x4x1x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 5-9-13 (A), 2-7-8-10 (B), – (C)
8: 2-3-8-11 (A), 4-5-10-12(B), – (C)
9: 1(A), – (B), 2-3-7 (C)
10: 11(A), – (B), 2-7-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x8x1x1 = $56 ($28 for .50)
All A’s: 3x4x1x1 = $12 ($6 for .50)

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: 38th Providencia (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Bolt d’Oro v. Justify later the marquis event, but Paved v. Ms Bad Behavior an excellent matchup in its’ own right between emergent McCarthy & Baltas fillies..

Most Likely: #4 Paved 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Ms Bad Behavior 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Fatale Bere 6-1 WON ($17.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Pulpit Rider 9-2 4th

6th: 7th Echo Eddie-Cal, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Another excellent head to head with Take the 101 and Heck Yeah..

Most Likely: #4 Take the One O One 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #3 Heck Yeah 7-5 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #6 Fire When Ready 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Rewired 12-1 7th

7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

$106k P6 C/O starts here..

Treacherous start to the P6 carryover with this jumbled turf mile. Not sure the C/O is approachable for small money..

Best Value: #4 Tartini 6-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Mesut 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Accountability 8-1 WON ($11.00)
Super Add: #10 Malibu Music 12-1 9th

8th: OC/N1X, 4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Swayze 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Sigur Ros 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Sheer Flattery 6-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Conqueror 7-2 WON ($9.80)

9th: 81st Santa Anita Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Have gone back and forth between the established Ruis colt and emerging Baffert upstart. Raw talent will have to overcome the experience factor if Justify is to beat Bolt, but Mike Smith does have a potential tactical edge in his favor. Like everyone else, really looking forward to this showdown..

Most Likely: #6 Justify 4-5 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #3 Bolt d’Oro 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Instilled Regard 5-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Jimmy Chila 30-1 7th

10th: 20th Royal Heroine (G2), F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Tricky read. Top 3 appear necessary to get through leg in multis..

Most Likely: #7 Madame Stripes 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Thundering Sky 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Enola Gray 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Sophie P 12-1 6th

11th: 79th Santa Anita Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Midnight Bisou may be prove special..

Most Likely: #3 Midnight Bisou 6-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #5 Finess Bere 15-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Spectator 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Thirteen Squared 9-2 3rd

12th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (DD, Hi-5)

Tough, deep finale to sequences..

Most Likely: #10 Queen Blossom 4-1 7th
Best Value: #9 Arch of Troy 12-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Pantsonfire 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #7 The Tulip 4-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #1 Laseen 3-1 Refused

P6 Grid:

7: 2-4 (A), – (B), 1-10 (C)
8: 6-8 (A), 1-2(B), 3-5-7 (C)
9: 3-6(A), – (B), – (C)
10: 5-7 (A), 6 (B), – (C)
11: 3(A), – (B), 5-7-9 (C)
12: 10 (A), 2-9 (B), 1-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x3x1x3 = 144 x $2 = $288
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x1x1 = 16 x $2 = $32

P5 Grid:

8: 1-6-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 5-7-10 (C)
9: 3-6(A), – (B), – (C)
10: 5-7 (A), 6 (B), 2-3-9 (C)
11: 3(A), – (B), 5-7-9 (C)
12: 2-9-10 (A), 1-7 (B), 5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x1x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

9: 3-6(A), – (B), – (C)
10: 5-6-7 (A), – (B), 2-3-9 (C)
11: 3(A), 5-7 (B), 2-8-9 (C)
12: 1-2-7-9-10 (A), – (B), 5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 2x3x1x5 = $30 x .50 = $15

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/3/3/2,3,8) Paid $38.90(A-C-A-A)

DUBAI WORLD CUP NIGHT

POST-SCRATCHES

WAGERING NOTE:For those asking about the “Omni” bet in the menu, it is essentially an exacta combining any horses finishing in the money.. Pays 1st-2nd, 2nd-3rd and 1st-3rd..

1st: Godolphin Mile (G2), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Kimbear 4-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Heavy Metal 2-1 WON ($9.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Economic Model 7-2 7th
Super Add: #10 Secret Ambition 20-1 10th

2nd: Kahayla Class (Arabian G1), 5+, 10f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Ziyaad 10-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Barnamaj 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Al Zahir 6-1 5th
Super Add: #13 Paddys Day 12-1 11th

3rd: Gold Cup (G2), 2m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Vazirabad 2-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #10 Frontiersman 10-1 4th
Next Best: #14 Rare Ryhthm 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Dal Harralid 7-1 15th

4th: UAE Derby (G2), 3yo, 9.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Gold Town 6-5 4th
Next Best: #4 Mendelssohn 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #7 Yulong Warrior 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Rayya 10-1 2nd

5th: Al Quoz Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f-T/Straight (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Blue Point GATE SCR
Best Value: #6 Holding Gold 30-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Jungle Cat 9-2 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Stormy Liberal 20-1 2nd

6th: Golden Shaheen (G1), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Roy H 4-5 3rd
Next Best: #2 X Y Jet 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Mind Your Biscuits 4-1 WON ($10.00)
Super Add: #3 Reynaldothewizard 30-1 7th

7th: Dubai Turf (G1), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Benbatl 7-2 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #7 Vivlos 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Janoobi 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Real Steel 10-1 3rd

8th: Sheema Classic (G1), 4+, 12f-T (DD)

Best Value: #5 Poet’s World 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Cloth of Stars 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Rey de Oro 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Hawkbill 8-1 WON ($10.60)

9th: World Cup (G1), 3+

Most Likely: #9 West Coast 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Talismanic 7-2 9th
Best Value: #6 Forever Unbridled 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 North America 8-1 10th

P4 Grid:

6: 2-6 (A), 1(B), – (C)
7: 5-6-7-8 (A), 2-4-12-15 (B), – (C)
8: 3-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 9 (A), – (B), 2-5-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x8x3x1 = $72 ($36 if .50 allowed)
All A’s: 2x4x3x1 = $24 ($12 if .50 allowed)

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

9th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Rainbow 6 distribution today with pool likely to total $20,000,000..

Best Value: #6 Dawood 6-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Art Collection 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Wisely 5-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Rhode Island 6-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #10 Sensational Slam 20-1 11th

10th: Opt Clm/C, 4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Ready for Rye 9-2 4th
Next Best: #9 Outplay 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Weekend Hideaway 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Realm 6-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Cherry Wine 15-1 8th

11th: Honey Fox (G3), F&M-4+, 1m-T/0′ (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 On Leave 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Stormy Victoria 4-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Island Reward 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Lull 5-2 WON ($8.60)
Super/Hi-5: #6 Grizzel 10-1 6th

12th: Gulfstream Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Coach Rocks 8-1 WON ($7,60)
Next Best: #9 Princess Warrior 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Cache 8-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Take Charge Paula 4-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #12 Mirahab 15-1 9th

13th: Pan American (G2), 4+, 12f-T/0′ (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Sadler’s Joy 2-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Hi Happy 3-1 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #6 Tiz a Slam 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Bigger Picture 6-1 7th
Super Add: #9 One Go All Go 8-1 2nd

14th: Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)

Confusing group as there’s simply no guarantees regarding the pace. If Strike Power isn’t tackled early by Promises Fulfilled (or an outside posted drop over), he could wire. If 2-3 do get involved from the outside, the pace will get hot. Catholic Boy feels like a beneficiary of a good trip regardless..

Most Likely: #6 Catholic Boy 7-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Storm Runner 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Strike Power 4-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Mississippi 12-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #8 Audible 9-5 WON ($5.20)

P6 Grid:

9: 1-2-6-7 (A), – (B), 4-5-8-10 (C)
10: 3-7-8-9-11 (A), – (B), 1-6-10 (C)
11: 3-10 (A), – (B), 2-6-7 (C)
12: 2-3-4-9 (A), – (B), 5-12 (C)
13: 8 (A), 3-6 (B), 2-7-9 (C)
14: 6 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x2x4x3x1 = 480 x .20 = $96
All A’s: 4x5x2x4x1x1 = 160 x .20 = $32

P5 Grid:

10: 3-7-9(A), 8-11 (B), 1-6-10 (C)
11: 3-10 (A), – (B), 2-6-7 (C)
12: 2-4-9 (A), 3-12 (B), 5 (C)
13: 8 (A), 3-6 (B), 2-7-9 (C)
14: 6 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x5x3x1 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 3x2x3x3x1 = 54 x .50 = $27

P4 Grid:

11: 3-10 (A), 2-6-7 (B), – (C)
12:2-3-4-9-12 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
13: 8 (A), 3-6 (B), 2-7-9 (C)
14: 5-6 (A), – (B), 1-4-7-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x3x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x5x1x2 = $20 ($10 for .50)

3/24: FG (7th-11th); X-C P4; SA ($262k P5 C/O)

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FAIR GROUNDS

PRE-SCRATCHES

7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Proctor stretches out Aspening and she’ll appreciate it; Real Sister has enough turf in her pedigree to take to it and at 15-1 the price is right; Firster Maybe Wicked from dangerous Cox is a full to turf tigress Mizzcan’tbewrong (5 W’s, $178k) & GSW and G1 placed Money’soncharlotte..

Most Likely: #6 Aspening 9-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Real Sister 15-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Maybe Wicked 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Tizaprincessa 6-1 3rd

8th: 93rd New Orleans H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

The Player is loose up front and should be tough to real in. Scuba, who looked finished at one point in the fall, has been refreshed wintering in NOLA..

Most Likely: #1 The Player 9-5 DNF-Pulled Up
Next Best: #5 Good Samaritan 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #3 Scuba 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Leofric SCR’D

9th: 26th Muniz Memorial (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Terrific (though somewhat paceless) edition of this event that honors widely admired Fair Grounds racing secretary Mervin Muniz Jr. As discussed with Gary Stevens while remember Thunder Gulch this week, Lucullan ships in for KMc and looks poised for step forward after sharp 4yo debut in Florida. Already credible here, it would be appropriate for Forge (Dubawi/Heat Haze) to run well for Juddmonte today with his 2nd dam, legendary Hasili, having passed Friday..

Best Value: #6 Lucullan 8-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Forge 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Mr. Misunderstood 5-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Arklow 10-1 2nd

10th: 51st Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (Black Gold P5, P3, DD)

Too much pace on to not look for presser/off the pace players. Geroux takes over on Eskimo Kisses and should save ground setting up shop midpack. Wouldn’t give up on Wonder Gadot just yet..

Best Value: #4 Eskimo Kisses 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Wonder Gadot 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 America’s Tale 10-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Classy Act 5-2 4th

11th: 105th Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Pletcher’s Derby prospects continue to rise after Magnum Moon’s impressive Rebel effort last week, Noble Indy appearing ready to punch ticket today, Audible’s return next week in FL Derby and a host of others for Wood, Blue Grass, etc. Blinkers go on the Repole/WinStar bay, but don’t think Velazquez wants to be part of a pace battle which could develope.Stevens will need to get position inside with Bravazo. Lone Sailor (mid pack) and My Boy Jack (deep closer) will come from off the pace. The prospects for Lone Sailor go beyond the sentiment attached to the G M B Racing colorbearer, as discussed last Friday with Tom Amoss in the wake of patriarch Tom Benson’s passing. Solid at 2, the Majestic Warrior colt was flummoxed in the season-opening Lecomte with blinkers and an inside trip, but better in his ALW try closing into a slow pace with the hood removed..

Most Likely: #2 Noble Indy 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #1 Bravazo 7-2 8th
Best Value: #8 Lone Sailor 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 My Boy Jack 5-2 3rd

P4 Grid:

8: 1-5 (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
9: 6-8-9 (A), 1-4-5-10-11 (B), – (C)
10: 1-3-4-8 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
11: 2 (A), 1 (B), 7-8-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x8x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x3x4x1 = $24 ($12 for .50)

NATIONAL CROSS COUNTRY P4

PRE-SCRATCHES

AQU 8th: S/ALW, 4+, 1m

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Tiz No Bluff 4-1 3rd/2nd
Best Value: #2 Brianbakescookies 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Cookie Crisp 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Sumner 5-1 8th

SA 5th: Santa Monica (G2), F&M-4+, 7f

Most Likely: #5 Selcourt 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #3 Paradise Woods 1-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Marley’s Freedom 6-1 2nd

GP 11th: OC-$62.5k/C, 4+, 8.5f-t/96′

Most Likely: #3 Rocketry 5-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Conquest Sandman 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #8 J R’s Holiday 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Deeply Undervalued 3-1 4th

GP 12th: Hutcheson (G3), 3yo, 6f

Most Likely: #1 Impact Player 9-5 5th
Best Value: #6 Stouche 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Belle Tapisserie 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Tricks to Doo 2-1 3rd

P4 Grid:

AQU 8: 1-2-6-8 (A), 4-5-7-9 (B), 3 (C)
SA 5: 3-5 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)
GP 11: 3-7 (A), – (B), 1-2-5-8 (C)
GP 12: 1-6 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x2x2x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 4x2x2x2 = $32 ($16 for .50)

SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 4+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

$262k P5 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #
Next Best: #
Exotics Use: #
Super Add: #
Hi-5 Play: #

2nd: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Once On Whiskey 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #1 Facts Matter 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Paddock Pick 3-1 2nd

3rd: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Always Believe 4-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Powder 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Time for Ebby 8-1 WON ($21.60)
Super Add: #3 Fair Regis 5-2 3rd

4th: Cal-MSW, 3+, 6.5f-OFF THE TURF(P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #
Best Value: #
Next Best: #
Exotics Use: #
Super/Hi-5: #

SA 5th: Santa Monica (G2), F&M-4+, 7f

Most Likely: #5 Selcourt 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #3 Paradise Woods 1-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Marley’s Freedom 6-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

1: – (A), – (B), – (C)
2: 5 (A), – (B), 1-6 (C)
3: 4-5 (A), 3-6 (B), 1-2 (C)
4: – (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 3-5 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)

P4 Grid:

2: 5 (A), – (B), 1-6 (C)
3: 3-4-5-6 (A), – (B), 1-2 (C)
4: – (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 3-5 (A), 1-4 (B), – (C)

3/17: Turfway (6th-10th); Oaklawn (7th-10th)

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TURFWAY PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 36th Latonia, F&M-4+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Purely a Dream 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Sky Flower 8-1 WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Proud and Fearless 7-2 12th
Super Add: #5 Susie Bee 6-1 6th

7th: 31st Rushaway, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 VIOLENT STORM 6-1 5th
Best Value: #12 Front Door 12-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Year of the Kitten 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Alternative Route 6-1 WON ($17.20)

8th: 18th Kentucky Cup Classic, 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Royal Son 2-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Camelot Kitten 6-1 WON ($12.80)
Next Best: #8 Designed for War 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Senior Investment 5-1 7th

9th: 36th Bourbonette Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #10 Bet She Wins 3-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Consolida 5-1 5th
Best Value: #5 In the Mood 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Queen’s Fate 8-1 8th

10th: 47th Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)

Ridiculously competitive..

Best Value: #9 Dreamer’s Point 15-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Blended Citizen 6-1 WON ($14.40)
Exotics Use: #11 Ride a Comet 5-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Pony Up 6-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #3 Archaggelos 6-1 11th

P5 Grid:

6: 4-7-8 (A), – (B), 3-5-9-11 (C)
7: 2 (A), – (B), 5-7-12 (C)
8: 4 (A), 9 (B), 3-8 (C)
9: 2-10 (A), – (B), 3-5-11 (C)
10: 4-8-9-11 (A), 2-3-5-7 (B), 1-6-10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x2x2x8 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x1x1x2x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

7: 2-5-7-12 (A), – (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 4 (A), 9 (B), 3-8 (C)
9: 2-10 (A), – (B), 3-5-11 (C)
10: 4-8-9-11 (A), 2-3-5-7 (B), 1-6-10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x8 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 4x1x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

OAKLAWN

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #9 Mitole 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Florida Boys 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Ike 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Infinity Squared 4-1 8th

8th: 70th Essex H., 4+, 8.5f (P3)

Most Likely: #5 Dazzling Gem 3-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Dalmore 12-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Untrapped 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Hedge Fund 4-1 WON ($7.00)

9th: 32nd Azeri (G2), F&M-4+, (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Blue Prize 7-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Tiger Moth 5-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Actress 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Terra Promessa 8-1 5th

10th: 58th Rebel (G2), 3yo, 8.5f

Fun edition with interesting mix of regional players signed on. Solomini returns and Magnum Moon looks poised for coming out party. Combatant is making steady progress. Zing Zang is out of the Asmussen Creator mode..

Most Likely: #3 Solomini 3-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Combatant 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Magnum Moon 7-2 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Zing Zang 20-1 6th

P4 Grid:

7: 9 (A), 2-5 (B), 10 (C)
8: 5-4-8 (A), – (B), 2-3 (C)
9: 1-4-8 (A), 3-7 (B), – (C)
10: 3-4-10 (A), – (B), 1-7-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50
All A’s: 1x3x3x3 = $27 ($13.50 for .50)