Archive for the 'Uncategorized' Category

12/1: Aqueduct ($72k C/O)

Saturday, December 1st, 2018

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: Demoiselle (G2), 2yo-F, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Molto Bella 3-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Enliven 6-5 5th
Best Value: #4 Positive Spirit 6-1 WON ($24.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Filly Joel 7-2 3rd

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-T/Outer (P6, P3, DD)

$72k P6 C/O starts here..

Brutally tough start to DBL carryover sequence..

Most Likely: #12 Way Smart 7-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Lulu’s Pom Pom 12-1 12th
Next Best: #7 Something Joyful 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Dream Passage 3-1 WON ($7.30)

6th: Go for Wand (G3), F&M-3+, 1m (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Marley’s Freedom 1-1 WON ($3.10)
Next Best: #5 Your Love 4-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Come Dancing 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Bonita Bianca 6-1 4th

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-T/Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Toughest ‘Ombre 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Adonis Creed 9-2 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Almithmaar 6-1 10th
Super Add: #10 Fear 8-1 8th

8th: Remsen (G2), 2yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Maximus Mischief 6-5 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #5 Network Effect 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Bourbon War 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Jungle Warrior 8-1 5th

9th: Cigar Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #2 Sunny Ridge 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Copper Town 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Timeline 10-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Pat on the Back 15-1 5th

10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f

Best Value: #5 Wrong Ben 8-1 WON ($13.60)
Next Best: #11 Quest for Fire 2-1 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Smokin Platinum 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Expediter 12-1 10th

P6 Grid:

5: 12 (A), – (B), 2-7-8-11 (C)
6: 1(A), 5 (B), 4-7-8 (C)
7: 2-3-6(A), – (B), 8-10 (C)
8: 6(A), 5 (B), 3 (C)
9: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), 1-3-8(C)
10: 5-11 (A), – (B), 7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x3x2x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A’s: 1x1x3x1x3x2 = 18 x $2 = $36

$2 PICK SIX (2/1,3,6/6/6/8/5) PAID $95.00 (5 OF 6) x 2 = $190.00

NYRA Bets P5 Grid:

6: 1(A), 5 (B), 4-7-8 (C)
7: 2-3-6(A), – (B), 8-10 (C)
8: 5-6(A), – (B), 3 (C)
9: 2-5-7 (A), 1-3-8(B), 4-6 (C)
10: 5-11 (A), – (B), 7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 NYRA BETS LATE PICK 5 (1,3,6/6/6/8/5) PAID $891.75

P4 Grid:

7: 2-3-6(A), 7-8-10 (B), – (C)
8: 5-6(A), – (B), 3 (C)
9: 2-5-7 (A), 1-3-8(B), 4-6 (C)
10: 5-11 (A), – (B), 7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 PICK FOUR (6/6/8/5) PAID $360.25

11/30: AQU ($30k P5 C/O); Stronach 5 ($88k C/O)

Friday, November 30th, 2018

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-OFF/TURF(NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 SINGAPORE TRADER WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #6 Ode to the Hunt 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Mango M 3rd

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 True Gold 2-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Hot Diggitty 7-2 5th
Best Value: #10 Kadens Courage 6-1 WON ($12.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Fleet Warrior 15-1 4th

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

All the talk of Stonerside this week with the passing of Bob McNair and here’s one of their top female families with Face It (Tapit), half to It’s Tricky (Mineshaft), the 2-1 favorite. Her ‘niece’ Enliven, It’s Tricky’s last living foal, runs Saturday in the Demoiselle..

Most Likely: #4 Face It 2-1 WON ($4.10)
Best Value: #3 Harkness 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Aikenetta 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Out of Trouble 4-1 7th

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-T/Outer (DD)

Dirty is obviously ouchy, but if he runs his A race, he’ll win..

Most Likely: #2 Dirty 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #13 Rappel 10-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Pagliacci 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Bourbon Currency 10-1 8th
Super Add: #11 Outrageous Bet 10-1 10th

9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #11 La Cat Warrior 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Hopper Dropper 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Formal Start 5-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #10 All Clear 4-1 6th

P5 Grid:

5: 1(A), – (B), 6 (C)
6: 2-7-10(A), – (B), 3-5-6 (C)
7: 3-4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
8: 2-13 (A), – (B), 8-10-11 (C)
9: 1-11 (A), 3-10 (B), 2-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x5x2x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 2-7-10(A), – (B), 3-5-6 (C)
7: 3-4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
8: 2-13 (A), – (B), 8-10-11 (C)
9: 1-11 (A), 3-10 (B), 2-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

STRONACH 5 ~ $88k C/O

PRE-SCRATCHES

P5 Grid:

LRL 8: 5(A), – (B), 1-3 (C)
LRL 9: 5(A), 3 (B), 1-8 (C)
GG 2: 5-6 (A), – (B), 3-8 (C)
LRL 10: 6-8-9 (A), 1-3-5 (B), – (C)
GG 3: 3-6-9 (A), – (B), 2-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x2x6x3 = $72
All A’s: 1x1x2x3x3 = $18
Full A-B-C: $138

11/28: Aqueduct ($20k C/O)

Wednesday, November 28th, 2018

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-OFF/TURF(P6, P3, DD)

$20,590 P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #1 Winifred J 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Marquet Legacy Gate SCR
Best Value: #10 Two Cent Tootsie 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Brezza 9-2 6th

5th: CLM, 3+, 1m (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Halloween Horror 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Zap Zap Zap 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Kenyan 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Ro Bear 6-1 WON ($23.60)

6th: MSW, 3+, 1m-OFF/TURF(P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Zealous 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Yamano Maker 5-2 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #4 Hero’s Welcome 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Dance for Oro 8-1 3rd

7th: CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Gypsy Jane 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Nth Degree 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Mo Flash 2-1 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Lemon Crush 3-1 6th

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Mr. Buff 9-5 WON ($5.90)
Next Best: #4 Hammerin Aamer 3-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Krewe Chief 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Own Agenda 12-1 7th

9th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #1 Big Guy Ian 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #5 Too Fast to Pass 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Professor Snape 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Ostrolenka 6-1 5th

P6 Grid:

4: 1-7 (A), 4-10 (B), 2-9 (C)
5: 5 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
6: 1-11(A), – (B), 4 (C)
7: 1 (A), 5-6 (B), 3-4 (C)
8: 4-7(A), – (B), 6 (C)
9: 1-5 (A), – (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x2x3x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A’s: 2x1x2x1x2x2 = 16 x $2 = $32

P5 Grid:

5: 2-5 (A), – (B), 3-4-6(C)
6: 1-11(A), 4 (B), 9-12 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 5(B), 3-4 (C)
8: 4-7(A), – (B), 6 (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 7 (B), 3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x2x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

P4 Grid:

6: 1-11(A), 4 (B), 9-12 (C)
7: 1-5-6 (A), 3-4 (B), 2 (C)
8: 4-7(A), 6 (B), – (C)
9: 1-5-7 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x3x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 PICK FOUR (11/5/5,7/1) Paid $67.75

11/24: Churchill Downs (Stars of Tomorrow II)

Saturday, November 24th, 2018

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: ALW/N1X, 2yo-F, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF(P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Boxwood WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #12 Support 2nd

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Kiss More 15-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Bess 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Naughty Joker 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Super Add: #5 Blunt Force 8-1 8th

7th: OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Lunar Orbit 3-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Fancy Dress Party 8-1 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #4 Midnight Karma 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Kajawa 5-1 3rd

8th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Many good looking 2nd time starters and Corruze intrigues at fat 8-1. Big chance if able to move comfortably to main track..

Best Value: #11 Corruze 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Boldor 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Distant Shore 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Super Steed 4-1 WON ($8.20)

9th: Golden Rod (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Not a lot of pace here..

Best Value: #6 Liora 12-1 WON ($56.80)
Next Best: #5 Restless Rider 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Break Curfew 9-5 7th
Super Add: #2 High Regard 15-1 3rd

10th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Classic Czar 15-1 4th
Next Best: #9 King Ford 7-2 10th
Exotics Use: #11 Thousand Percent 8-1 5th
Super Add: #1 So Alive 5-2 6th

11th: KY Jockey Club (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

This is some wild group. Any lack of pace in the girls’ race is made up for here, so it looks like you want horses that will be running late..

Best Value: #5 Plus Que Parfait 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Roiland 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Signalman 5-2 WON ($9.20)
Super Add: #11 Mick’s Star 30-1 12th

12th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #11 Bundibunan 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Locally Owned 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Derby Date 8-1 5th
Super Add: #10 War of Will 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Hi-5 Play: #9 Curlin Grey 8-1 6th

P5 Grid:

8: 10-11 (A), – (B), 2-3-(C)
9: 5-(A), 8 (B), 1-2-3 (C)
10: 9-12 (A), – (B), 1-6-11 (C)
11: 1-5-10 (A), 7-9-11 (B), 4-6-12-13 (C)
12: 6-11 (A), – (B), 2-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

9: 5-6-8 (A), – (B), 1-2-3 (C)
10: 9-12 (A), 1-11 (B), 6 (C)
11: 1-5-10 (A), 7-9-11 (B), 4-6-12-13 (C)
12: 6-11 (A), – (B), 2-9-10(C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

11/21: Aqueduct ($263k P6 C/O)

Wednesday, November 21st, 2018

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$263k P6 C/O starts here..

Complex sequence(s) start with this MDN turf puzzle where those with experience are OK and firsters from Brown (Demarchelier), Casse (Lisbon), Pletcher (Dr. English), Clement (Sea of Hope) and Wayne Potts (American Commander) add to the confusion. Mott (Seismic Wave) and Clement (A.P. Indian half Malthael) players start the discussion and though Handel (Bronxville) isn’t strong getting runners to win moving to grass, note that sire He’s Had Enough is having success with his progeny trying the lawn (4/18 for 22% first turf)..

Best Value: #3 Seismic Wave 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Malthael 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Demarchelier 7-2 WON ($6.30)
Super Add: #7 Bronxville 15-1 8th

5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-T/Outer (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

$37k NYRA Bets P5 C/O starts here..

P5 starts with 7-5 fave Mrs. Ramona G. who looks vulnerable. Eloweasel constantly loses ground under Johnny, but is the right key. Nomorerichblondes could move up for Rice moving to turf..

Best Value: #7 Eloweasel 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Nomorerichblondes 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Mrs. Ramona G. 7-5 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #5 Annie Rocks 5-1 3rd

6th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

This is the kind of race that can make or break P6’s with a small budget single like Okeamo (MSW to MCLM) knocking out many if he falters. Problem is that the rest of this lineup is a cast of very shaky suspects. Millies Party Boy, Clonedsimmard and Dublin Leprechaun have races within range of the favorite and slowish router Local Edition is trying dirt for the first time while adding blinkers for Tom Bush..

Most Likely: #7 Okeamo 6-5 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #8 Local Edition 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Millies Party Boy 5-2 6th
Super Add: #5 Raging Fire 15-1 3rd

7th: MSW, 3+, 9.5f-T/Outer (P3, DD)

Here’s a gallopers event to start the second half of the P6 and it looks like they’ll be chasing Chantry Flats who just missed in similar gambit 10/25. Rhode Island, Argonne and Mini P are the nearest pursuers and newly gelded Azzedine (20-1) is far from impossible getting back to lawn for turf route upsetter-by-appointment Naipaul Chatterpaul..

Best Value: #3 Rhode Island 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #1a Argonne 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Chantry Flats 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Mini P 7-2 WON ($11.60)

8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (DD)

If you’ve made it this far, the nominal feature will give you a headache with not a single cast member an easy toss. Pace looks legit and potentially swift, so stalker/closers will have their shot. Cerretalto, 2/2 this strip, not only returns to state bred company, but runs for the $40k tag having cleared the NY/N2X in February. Gets 5-9 pounds on field with Reylu and should get nice behind-the-speed trip. And he’s 8-1. T Loves a Fight (12-1) & Sicilia Mike (8-1) are also prices that look to run. Benevolence has been consistent for ‘Aqueduct Mike’ Tannuzzo. Blewitt returns but feels like an underlay (9-5) against field of hard hitters..

Best Value: #8 Cerretalto 8-1 WON ($11.80)
Next Best: #6 Benevolence 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Sicilia Mike 8-1 4th-DH
Super Add: #1 T Loves a Fight 12-1 7th

9th: NY-CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T

Tricky nightcap with 9yo war horse Fox Rules up front and blinkered stretchout player Tiz a Chance potentially pressing. Macagone feels likely to draft close and Mobridge should enjoy a cozy inside suck-along voyage. With Exultation and Cloontia merit looks..

Most Likely: #1 Mobridge 3-1 2nd-DH
Best Value: #9 With Exultation 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Cloontia 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Macagone 5-2 9th
Super Add: #2 Fox Rules 8-1 2nd-DH

P6 Grid:

4: 3-8 (A), 1(B), 5-7-9 (C)
5: 7 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
6: 7(A), – (B), 1-5-8 (C)
7: 1-3 (A), – (B), 2-7(C)
8: 6-8(A), 4 (B), 1-2-7-9 (C)
9: 1-9 (A), 2-4-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x1x2x3x5 = 90 x $2 = $180
All A’s: 2x1x1x2x2x2 = 16 x $2 = $32

P6 P5 Grid:

5: 2-6-7 (A), – (B), 4-5 (C)
6: 7(A), – (B), 1-5-8 (C)
7: 1-3 (A), 2-7(B), 4-6 (C)
8: 4-6-8(A), – (B), 1-2-7-9 (C)
9: 1-9 (A), 2-4-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x3x5 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 7(A), 8 (B), 1-4-5-6 (C)
7: 1-2-3-7(A), – (B), 4-6 (C)
8: 4-6-8(A), – (B), 1-2-7-9 (C)
9: 1-9 (A), 2-4-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 1x4x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12