Archive for the 'Uncategorized' Category

4/4: Oaklawn (6th-10th)

Saturday, April 4th, 2020

OAKLAWN PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Market King 6-1
Next Best: #9 Exultation 7-2
Exotics Use: #3 Special Reserve 15-1
Super Add: #8 Jack Van Berg 9-2

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Inthemidstofbiz 4-1
Best Value: #9 Cardamon 9-2
Next Best: #10 Super Wonder Girl 8-1
Exotics Use: #3 Maryanorginger 7-2

8th: OC/N$Y, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Answer In 3-1
Best Value: #1 Finnick the Fierce 6-1
Next Best: #3 General Trev 9-2
Exotics Use: #10 Adhar 12-1

9th: Purple Martin, 3yo-F, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Edgeway 3-1
Best Value: #6 Lexi On the Move 8-1
Next Best: #8 Frank’s Rockette 5-2
Exotics Use: #2 Ring Leader 6-1

10th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f

Most Likely: #4 Aztec Empire 4-1
Best Value: #11 Tiz the Journey 10-1
Next Best: #7 Copper King 6-1
Exotics Use: #12 On d’Oro 6-1

P5 Grid:

6: 9-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-9 (A), 3-10 (B), – (C)
8: 1-5 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
9: 4 (A), – (B), 6-8 (C)
10: 4-7-11 (A), 5-12 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x1x5 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x2x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

7: 2-9 (A), 3-10 (B), – (C)
8: 1-5 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
9: 4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 4-7-11 (A), 5-12 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve

3/28: Gulfstream (FL Derby Day)

Saturday, March 28th, 2020

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: Cutler Bay, 3yo, 1m-T/60′ (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Vitalogy 5-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Moon Over Miami 15-1 8th
Next Best: #9 South Bend 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Get Smokin 8-1 3rd

5th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Network Effect 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Chewing Gum 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #11 Almashriq 8-1 11th
Exotics Use: #2 Olympic Village 10-1 8th

6th: Hal’s Hope (G3), 4+, 9f (P3, DD< Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Realm 6-1 10th
Next Best: #1 Harvey Wallbanger 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 You’re to Blame 7-2 6th
Super Add: #8 Sir Anthony 15-1 7th

7th: Sanibel Island, 3yo-F, 1m-T/0′ (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Seducer 8-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Cheermeister 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Onyx 6-1 11th
Super Add: #8 She’s My Type 5-1 3rd

8th: Sir Shackleton, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Last Judgement 4-1 8th
Best Value: #10 He Hate Me 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Jackson 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Home Base 6-1 5th

9th: Sand Springs, F&M-4+, 1m-T/60′ (Rainbow 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Newspaperofrecord SCR renders ML moot..

Most Likely: #2 Zofelle 2nd
Best Value: #7 Getmotherarose 6th
Next Best: #12 Valedictorian 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 East Moon 10th

10th: Orchid (G3), F&M-4+, 11f-T/0′ (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Mean Mary 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #7 Cap de Creus 10-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Gentle Ruler 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Kelsey’s Cross 10-1 9th

P4 Grid:

7: 5-9 (A), – (B), 2-8 (C)
8: 3-7-10 (A), 5-6-7-8 (B), – (C)
9: 2-7-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6-7 (A), 5 (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x7x3x3 = 126 x .50 = $63
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

11th: Gulfstream Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Spice Is Nice 3-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Lake Aveue 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Lucrezia 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Tonalist’s Shape 5-2 6th

12th: Pan American (G2), 4+, 12f-T/60′ (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Zulu Alpha 3-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Channel Cat 9-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Bemma’s Boy 10-1 WON ($20.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Spooky Channel 20-1 5th

13th: Arthur Appleton (G3), 4+, 1m-T/0′ (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 HEMBREE 12-1 4th
Next Best: #1 English Bee 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 March to the Arch 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Sombeyay 7-2 2nd

14th: Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Tiz the Law 6-5 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #12 Ete Indien 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Gouverneur Morris 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Independence Hall 9-2 5th

P6 Grid:

9: 2-7-12
10: 5-6-7
11: 4-5-7-9
12: 1-9
13: 1-2-3
14: 7-12

3x3x4x2x3x2 = 432 x .20 = $86.40

P5 Grid:

10: 5-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 4-5-7 (A), 6-8-9 (B), – (C)
12: 1-9 (A), – (B), 2(C)
13: 2 (A), – (B), 1-3-10 (C)
14: 7-12 (A), 5-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x2x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

11: 4-5-7 (A), 6-8-9 (B), – (C)
12: 1-9 (A), – (B), 2(C)
13: 1-2-3 (A), – (B), 10-11-12 (C)
14: 7-12 (A), 5-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

3/21: Fair Grounds (Louisiana Derby Day)

Saturday, March 21st, 2020

FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Reprobate 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Mystic Guide 7-2 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Cernan 9-2 11th
Super Add: #2 Malahini 20-1 10th

8th: Tom Benson Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (Black Gold P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Dream Passage 9-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Altea 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Notapradaprice 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Winning Envelope 9-2 4th

9th: New Orleans Classic (G2), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Fearless 9-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Silver Dust 2-1 4th
Best Value: #8 By My Standards 6-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Gun It 6-1 7th

10th: Marvin Muniz Memorial H. (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P3m, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Instilled Regard 5-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Factor This 10-1 WON ($21.00)
Next Best: #12 Synchrony 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Channel Maker 6-1 8th

11th: Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Finite 3-5 4th
Next Best: #4 Bonny South 4-1 WON ($14.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Tempers Rising 9-2 2nd

12th: Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9.5f

Best Value: #8 Royal Act 10-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Wells Bayou 8-1 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #10 Enforceable 7-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Major Fed 8-1 4th

Black Gold ‘Must Pay’ P5 Grid:

8: 1-2 (A), 5-9 (B), – (C)
9: 3-6-8(A), – (B), 4-9 (C)
10: 6-9(A), 8-12 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
11: 6 (A), – (B), 4(C)
12: 3-8-10 (A), – (B), 1-2-13 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

9: 3-6-8(A), – (B), 4-9 (C)
10: 6-8-9-12 (A), – (B), 1-3-4 (C)
11: 6 (A), 4(B), – (C)
12: 3-8-10 (A), 1-2-13 (B), 4-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x4x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (8/9/4/3,15,16) Paid $607.35

3/14: X-C P5; Turfway (STK P4); Oaklawn (5th-11th)

Saturday, March 14th, 2020

CROSS COUNTRY P5; TURFWAY STK P4, OAKLAWN 5TH-11TH

POST-SCRATCHES

OAKLAWN 5th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Looks like we won’t avoid wet track as Hammer reports rain expected off/on most of the day..

Best Value: #8 Dreamonmebaby 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Blackberry Wine 4-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Shaka 8-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Sturgill 15-1 10th

OAKLAWN 6th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Captain Bombastic 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Ready to Roll 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Taishan 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #4 Villainous 7-2 4th

OAKLAWN 7th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Ruler of the Nile 8-15th
Next Best: #9 Silver Ride 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Curate 7-2 8th
Super Add: #8 Nifty 4-1 2nd

OAKLAWN 8th: Essex, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Pioneer Spirit 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Bankit 5-2 7th
Best Value: #5 Bravazo 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Snapper Sinclair 7-2 2nd

OAKLAWN P4 Grid:

5: 8-9(A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-5 (A), 1-4 (B), – (C)
7: 1-4-9 (A), – (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 4-7 (A), 5-6 (B), 2(C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

OAKLAWN 9th: Azeri (G2), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Serengeti Empress 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #2 Mylady Curlin 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Street Band 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Lady Apple 5-2 5th

TURFWAY 8th: Rushaway, 3yo, 8.5f (Stakes P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Something Natural 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Vanzzy 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #6 Amen Corner 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Crypto Cash 7-2 4th

TURFWAY 9th: KY Cup Classic, 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Royal Mesa 15-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Somelikeithotbrown 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Signalman 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #12 Blended Citizen 5-2 5th

AQUEDUCT 9th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (X-C P5)

Cross Country starts here and it’s a messy proposition. Second timers Honey Money & Darling’s Cure debuted solidly and have license to improve. After that, any number of oddballs, misfits and firsters could impact. Very tricky call for tickey-building in another challenging sequence..

Most Likely: #11 Honey Money 3-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #10 Darling’s Cure 5-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Steal My Heart 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Dancing Kiki 4-1 3rd

TURFWAY 10th: Bourbonette Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Impeccable Style 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Oxum Power 8-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Laura’s Light 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Baby Karats 50-1 7th

OAKLAWN 10th: Rebel (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Wet forecast has moderated a good deal, so hard to know this morning how track will be this afternoon. On topic, and amazingly, 6 of the 8 here have off track wins to their credit. Return of G1 Hopeful winner Basin, G1-placed American Theorum and class test for undefeated LA-bred No Parole enhance group already established with meeting of last out stake winners Nadal & Silver Prospector and late running Smarty Jones placer Three Technique. Nadal figures to establish early position but doubt he Rosario wants to engage No Parole too early. Basin and American Theorem figure to get stalking spots behind those two with Three Technique and Silver Prospector prepared to make middle and late moves respectively. Superfecta for this really engaging group is in there somewhere..

Most Likely: #1 Nadal 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #4 Silver Prospector 7-2 6th
Best Value: #8 American Theorem 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Three Technique 7-2 4th

TURFWAY 11th: Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #11 Invader 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Halo Again 8-1 4th
Next Best: #10 The Stiff 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Unthrottled 30-1 11th

OAKLAWN 11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f

Looks like a set with upside as several have run races that were good enough to graduate..

Best Value: #6 Sacred Union 8-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Tipsy Gal 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Cynical Gal 5-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Lucky Betty 6-1 9th

X-C P5 Grid:

AQU 9: 10-11(A), 4 (B), 6 (C)
TP 10: 4-7-9 (A), – (B), 3-5-11 (C)
OP 10: 1-4 (A), 3-5-6-8 (B), – (C)
TP 11: 11 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
OP 11: 5-6-12 (A), – (B), 3-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x6x1x3 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A’s: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

TURFWAY STK P4 Grid:

8: 2-7 (A), 1-6 (B), – (C)
9: 8-9-10 (A), 11-12 (B), – (C)
10: 4-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 6-11 (A), – (B), 4-5-10-12(C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

OAKLAWN P5 Grid:

7: 4-9 (A), – (B), 1-8 (C)
8: 7 (A), 4 (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)
10: 1-4-8 (A), 3-5-6 (B), – (C)
11: 5-6-12 (A), – (B), 3-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

OAKLAWN P4 Grid:

8: 4-7 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), 1-4 (B), – (C)
10: 1-4-8 (A), 3-5-6 (B), – (C)
11: 5-6-12 (A), – (B), 3-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

3/7: Aqueduct (5th-10th); X-C P5 (AQU/TAM/OP)

Saturday, March 7th, 2020

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (Empire 6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Freudian Sip 9-2 6th
Next Best: #9 Quickflash 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Ten Twenty Nine Gate SCR
Super Add: #5 Morgantown 6-1 DH-3rd

6th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Chasing Losses 7-2 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #2 Kitten Heels 9-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Queen Kimberly 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 A d’Oro 4-1 2nd

7th: 64th Stymie, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

VERY good, well matched group.. American Anthem may float up from his 7-2 third choice ML and should sit right behind the speed. Diamond King rarely misfires. Claim of the year in NY in ’19 Wicked Trick turned out to be a one turn dirt horse all along. Joevia back to the East after ambitious Razorback try..

Best Value: #4 American Anthem 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Diamond King 3-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Wicked Trick 5-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Joevia 6-1 7th

8th: 43rd Tom Fool (G3), 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Tough, consistent and classy Mind Control a very deserving favorite in nice assembly of this early season sprint standard. Plenty of pace-interested parties here which should suit Sacco’s stalking ML choice. Happy Farm turned in string of solid efforts while steadily climbing the ladder off the claim in ’19 and should fire off the bench for Servis & Lezcano. Sicilia Mike in sharp form for Sciacca and closed stoutly into a mundane open company ALW pace 4 weeks ago. Late action makes for exotics booster at the least. Scramjet an AQU terror last couple of years and has string of 5f drills for return for Nevin. Fired big try off similar layoff in ’18 Gravesend..

Most Likely: #4 Mind Control 7-5 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #5 Happy Farm 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Sicilia Mike 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Skyler’s Scramjet 8-1 8th

TAMPA 10th: FL Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Cross Country P5 Starts Here..

Best Value: #4 Mirabell Mei 15-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Outburst 8-1 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #2 New York Groove 7-2 12th
Super Add: #6 Walk In Marrakesh 3-1 2nd

9th: 40th Busher, 3yo-F, 1m (DD)

Returning 1-2 Demoiselle finishers Lake Avenue & Maedean rate the obvious edge assuming natural prgression, but in form Mo City & steady improver Kansas Kis merit looks..

Most Likely: #5 Lake Avenue 1-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Mo City 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Maedean 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Kansas Kis 15-1 2nd

TAMPA 11th: Tampa Bay Derby (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Chance It 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Spa City 10-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Sole Volante 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 King Guillermo 15-1 WON ($100.40)

10th: 67th Gotham (G3), 3yo, 1m

Deep and wildly competitive group with stakes winning Mischievous Alex and Montauk Traffic the clear horses to respect and beat. Last out MDN breakers Attachment Rate (Romans), War Stopper (Rudy), Sixto (Guillot) and Informative (St. Lewis) offer intrigue and value. Attachment Rate scored 2nd/layoff when stretched to this trip at GP, while War Stopper lept forward with the addition of blinkers. Sixto beat a hot-looking MSW group at first asking and Informative has that Uriah St. Lewis race-into-contention feel. Additionally, Necker Island & Untitled have kept top company and can absolutely win on best. Celtic Striker & First Deputy are both 2x winners entering today’s fray off career tops. Finally, Flap Jack (30-1) makes his 3yo debut for Jack Sisterson and looks like the ’20 version of Lexitonian who won the Chick Lang for the team last year. Has been working brilliantly at FG for 3yo debut and appeared like a distinctly happy, on-ready horse in videoposted from Belmont Thursday. Might not be good enough to win, but the type that’s worth trying in spot where pace is going to be honest and a winner could come from anywhere..

Best Value: #9 Flap Jack 30-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Montauk Traffic 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Sixto 8-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Attachment Rate 9-2 3rd

OAKLAWN 9th: Honeybee (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Alta’s Award 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Fiftyshays Ofgreen 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Ring Leader 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Shedaresthedevil 6-1 WON ($7.80)

CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

TAM 10: 2-4-8(A), 1-3-6-12 (B), 10-11 (C)
AQU 9: 5 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)
TAM 11: 4 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
AQU 10: 4-7-8-9 (A), 2-5-6(B), 3-10 (C)
OP 9: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), 1-2(C)

Simple (A+B): 7x1x1x7x3 = 147 x .50 = $73.50
All A’s: 3x1x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

AQU Late P5 Grid:

6: 2-(A), – (B), 3-11 (C)
7: 4-(A), 3-5 (B), 1-2 (C)
8: 4-5 (A), – (B), 2-7-8 (C)
9: 5 (A), 1 (B), 4 (C)
10: 4-5-6-7-8-9 (A), – (B), 2-3-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x2x6 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x2x1x6 = 48 x .50 = $24

AQU All Stakes P4 Grid:

7: 4-6(A), 3-5 (B), 1-2 (C)
8: 4-5 (A), – (B), 2-7-8 (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 4 (B), 2 (C)
10: 4-5-6-7-8-9 (A), – (B), 2-3-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x6 = 48 x .50 = $24