TAMPA BAY DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: Columbia, 3yo, 1m-T (All Stakes P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Fulmineo 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Move to Gold 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Two Ghosts 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Tok Tok 3-1 7th

8th: H’cap, F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Sterling Silver 8-5 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #3 Dream Concert 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Easy Come Easy Go 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Lady Radler 6-1 6th

9th: Hillsborough (G2), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Star Fortress 7-2 5th
Best Value: #7 Elusive Princess 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Fluffy Socks 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Sparkle Blue 8-1 WON ($15.40)

10th: Florida Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Absolutely wild assembly of fillies. Mix and match prices and take a big swing..

Most Likely: #10 Weight the Risks 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Destiny Star 8-1 8th
Best Value: #1 Poolside With Slim 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Dynamic Pricing 7-2 7th

11th: Tampa Bay Derby (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Domestic Product 8-5 WON
Best Value: #10 Sturdy 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 No More Time 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Grand Mo the First 12-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

7: 3-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
9: 7-8 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
10: 1-8-10-11 (A), 5-6-7-12 (B), – (C)
11: 5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x8x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x1x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (ACAAA): 2x1x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (3 in 8th)

P4 Grid:

8: 1-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 7-8 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
10: 1-8-10-11 (A), 5-6-7-12 (B), – (C)
11: 5-10 (A), – (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x8x2 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A’s: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (ACAAA): 2x2x4x1 = 16 x .50 = $8 (7 in 11th)

12th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

CANCELLED

Most Likely: #3 Notinamillionyears 5-2
Next Best: #2 Startup Mentality 7-5
Exotics Use: #9 Sirius Light 10-1
Super Add: #5 Where’s Emma 12-1

P4 Grid:

9: 7-8 (A), – (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 1-8-10 (A), 5-6-11 (B), 7-12 (C)
11: 5-7-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 23 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: (CAAA) 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-3 in 9th); (ACAA) 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (7-12 in 10th)

 

SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P6, P3, Hi-5)

Ahead of the Coast to Coast action, this 6.5f MSW clearly packs a wallop of 3yo’s with pairs of Glatts and Bafferts leading the charge..

Best Value: #8 Santarena 6-1: $425k Omaha Beach has SW sibs, hearty worktab.. 4th
Next Best: #10 Winterfell 3-1: $400k Arrogate looks poised for stalk/go trip.. 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Feel the Magic 6-1: Owns 2yo experience; Will be finishing.. 2nd
Super Add: #6 Canada Gate 7-2: Juddmonte home bred spars with Winterfell.. 7th

5th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P5, $3 Turf P3/5-7-9, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Firsttimeinforever 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Thrumps Dream 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Irish Patsy 4-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Myfavoritedaughter 5-1 8th

$3 Turf P3 Grid:

5: 1-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 3-4-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-6-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3 = 36 x $3 = $108

$3 Turf Pick 3 (1-3-6) Paid $219.00

COAST 2 COAST PICK 5

PRE-SCRATCHES

GULFSTREAM 9th: Silks Run, 4+, 5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Big Invasion 7-5 4th
Next Best: #6 Kanthari 4-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Yes I Am Free 6-1 DH-2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Coppala 9-2 WON ($16.20)

GULFSTREAM 10th: Hurricane Bertie (G3), F&M-4+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Olivia Darling 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Cheetara 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Unifying 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Spirit Wind 9-5 3rd

SANTA ANITA 6th: Santa Ysabel (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Kinza 4-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #6 Nay V Belle 4-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Where’s My Ring 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Ultimate Authority 4-1 4th

SANTA ANITA 7th: San Simeon (G3), 4+, 6.5f-Downhill Turf (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Sumter 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Lane Way 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Mucho Del Oro 6-1 WON ($7.80)
Super Add: #4 Dancing Buck 6-1 2nd

SANTA ANITA 8th: Beholder Mile (G1), F&M-4+, 1m (Golden Hour P4, DD, Hi-5)

Can Sweet Azteca wire this group? Figures to spar with returning Adare Manor while invading Pletcher mares get to stalk and pounce..

Most Likely: #2 Adare Manor 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Sweet Azteca 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #5 Interstatedaydream 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Green Up 3-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

GP 9: 2 (A), – (B), – (C)
GP 10: 5-8 (A), 1-2-4 (B), – (C)
SA 6: 4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
SA 7: 3-4-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
SA 8: 2-6 (A), – (B), 3-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x2x4x2 = $80
All A’s: 1x2x2x4x2 = $32
Backup (CAAAA): 1x2x2x4x2 = $32 (3-5 in SA 8th)

9th: CA-MSW, 3yo-F, 5f-T ($5 Golden Hour DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Jane Kendeigh 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Headed for Om 3-1 WON ($14.60)
Exotics Use: #11 Pippa Phillips 4-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Breezy Blue 12-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

5: 1-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 4 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
7: 3-4-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
9: 4-6-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x4x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (ACAAA): 3x1x4x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (6 in 6th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (1-4-3-6-6) Paid $233.10 (A-A-A-A-A)

P5 Grid:

6: 4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 3-4-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
9: 4-6-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x4x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick 4 (4-3-6-6) Paid $90.10 (A-A-A-A)

 

3/3: Santa Anita (5th-10th; C2C P5)

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GULFSTREAM ~ COAST 2 COAST PICK 5

POST-SCRATCHES

10th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T ($1 Coast 2 Coast P5, DD)

Most Likely: #5 What Say Thee 6-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Sir London 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Scramble 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Fredo 4-1 2nd

COAST 2 COAST P5 Grid:

GP 10: 3-5 (A), 4-10 (B), – (C)
GP 11: 11-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
SA 7: 3-6-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
SA 8: 2-4 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
SA 10: 6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4x1 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x3x2x1 = $24
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x3x2x1 = $24 (3 in SA 10th)

11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 9f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #12 Sassy Princess 12-1 WON ($18.80)
Next Best: #11 Grayosh 5-1 DNF-Dropped rider
Exotics Use: #8 Mama Bella 6-1 4th
Super/Hi-5: #5 Katherine Thomas 10-1 5th

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Crosby Beach 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #8 Truly Quality 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Genius Jimmy 8-1 WON ($17.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Tesoro 6-1 9th

6th: San Felipe (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 McVay 3rd
Next Best: #1 Scatify 4th

7th: Kilroe Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (P4, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Du Jour 3-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #3 Easter 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #9 First Peace 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Dandy Man Shines 8-1 5th

8th: Santa Anita H. (G1), 4+, 10f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Salesman 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Highland Falls 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Newgrange 5-2 6th
Super Add: #5 Newgate 4-1 WON ($8.40)

9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-Downhill Turf (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Sunshine Babe 15-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Don’t Ju Forget 7-2 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Hayley Levade 6-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Just Nails 12-1 2nd

10th: Buena Vista (G2), F&M-4+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Ruby Nell 7-2 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #3 Lucky Girl 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Closing Remarks 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Mouffy 5-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

6: 1-4 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
7: 3-6-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-4 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
9: 2-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 2x3x2x3x2= 36 x .50 = $18 (3 in 10th)

P4 Grid:

7: 3-6-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-4 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
9: 2-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6 (A), 3 (B), 8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 3x2x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x3x2= 36 x .50 = $18 (8-11 in 10th)

$3 Turf P3 Grid:

7: 3-6 (A), 9 (B), – (C)
9: 2-8 (A), 7-9 (B), – (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1 = 12 x $3 = $36
All A’s: 2x2x1 = 4 x $3 = $12
Backup (AAC): 2x2x1 = 4 x $3 = $12 (3 in 10th)

GULFSTREAM

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Tour the City 9-2 5th
Best Value: #1 El Rezeen 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Domingo 6-1 WON ($19.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Got Sunny 15-1 7th

2nd: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Acclaimed Victor 4-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Be You 6-1 WON ($11.60)
Next Best: #1 Big City 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Tapakena 9-2 5th

3rd: Colonel Liam, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Okiro 15-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Abrumar 7-2 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Cugino 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 Triple Espresso 9-2 4th

4th: HCP, 4+, 9f-Tapeta (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Exact Estimate 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #6 Rockemperor 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Skyro 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Armstrong 9-2 7th

5th: OC/Cond., 4+, 7.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: ##2 J P Hellish 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 English Bee 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Never Surprised 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Loyal Company 20-1 6th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-8 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
2: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 6-10 (A), – (B), 1-2 (C)
5: 2-5-9 (A), 4-6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAACA): 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-2 in 4th)

$0.50 PICK FIVE CONSO (5-2-5-10-11) PAID $28.70 x 5 = $143.50

P4 Grid:

2: 2-6 (A), 1-3-8 (B), – (C)
3: 3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 6-10 (A), – (B), 1-2 (C)
5: 2-5-9 (A), 4-6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x2x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACA): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-2 in 4th)

6th: OC/Cond., 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Kingsbarns 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #1 Baby Yoda 12-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Howling Time 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Positive Review 4-1 4th

7th: Mac Diarmida, 4+, 11f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Kingmax 9-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Main Event 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Anglophile 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Headline News 12-1 6th

P4 Grid:

4: 10 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 2-4-5-6-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 5 (A), – (B), 1 (C)
7: 1-2-3-7-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x1x5 = 25 x $2 = $50
All A’s: 2x5x1x2 = 20 x .50 = $10
Backup (AACA): 1x5x1x5 = 25 x .50 = $12.50 (1 in 6th)

8th: Herecomesthebride (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Crown Imperial 15-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Life’s an Audible 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Pounce 20-1 WON ($20.00)
Super Add: #6 Show Off 10-1 8th

9th: Davona Dale (G2), 3yo-F, 1m (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Leslie’s Rose 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #4 Fiona’s Magic 8-1 WON ($20.20)
Next Best: #3 Just F Y I Late SCR
Exotics Use: #8 Into Champagne 6-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

5: 2-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 5 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-10 (A), 2-3-7 (B), – (C)
8: 2-7-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 3/SCR-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x5x3x4 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

10th: The Very One (G3), F&M-4+, 11f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Sister Lou Ann 5-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Miss Yearwood 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 R Calli Kim 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Anatollian 6-1 2nd

P4 Grid:

7: 1-10 (A), 2-3-7 (B), – (C)
8: 2-7-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4 (A), – (B), 3/SCR-8 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), 6-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACA): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3-8 in 9th)

11th: Gulfstream Mile (G2), 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Tumbarumba 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Shaq Diesel 15-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Steal Sunshine 5-2 WON ($5.00)

12th: Canadian Turf (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Smokin’ T 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Emmanuel 2-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Ice Chocolat 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Turf King 8-1 8th

13th: Honey Fox (G3), F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #3 Be My Sunshine 9-2 6th
Next Best: #6 Chili Flag 9-5 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Walkathon 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 For the Flag 8-1 7th

$3 Turf P3 Grid:

10: 5-6-8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 2-3-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 3-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 4x3x3 = 36 x $3 = $108

$3 TURF PICK THREE (10/3/6) PAID $86.40

14th: Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Real Macho 4th
Next Best: #1 Speak Easy Late SCR
Best Value: #7 Frankie’s Empire 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Dornach WON ($2.40)

P5 Grid:

10: 5-8 (A), – (B), 6-10 (C)
11: 5-6 (A), 3 (B), – (C)
12: 2-3-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 3-6 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
14: 1/SCR-4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (CAAAA): 2x3x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (6-10 in 10th)

$0.50 PICK FIVE CONSO (10-1/2/3/7-3/9-6-1/3/5/6/8) PAID $2.20 x 2 = $4.40

P4 Grid:

11: 3-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 2-3-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 3-6 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
14: 1/SCR-4 (A), 7 (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x3x2x1 = 18 x .50 = $18 (5 in 14th)

2/24: Oaklawn Park (Rebel Day; X-C P5)

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OAKLAWN PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P5, DD)

Best Value: #5 Seize the Grey 9-2 WON ($13.60)
Next Best: #4 Imperial Gun 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Blown Cover 2-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Maximus Magic 15-1 2nd

2nd: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Feels like a firster (2 from Asmussen, one each from Morse, Swearengen & Diodoro) will supersede the ones that have been nibbling at graduation (DiVito, Sharp, Robertson, Lukas). But which? Morse runs a snappy debut outfit and Mo El Grande (5-1) has license to be ready today. May get lost on the board too..

Best Value: #6 Mo El Grande 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sir Otto 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Run Jalen Run 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Excitable Boy 12-1 WON ($18.20)

3rd: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Motown Dynamic the filly to beat, but Maker offers Havaha (Hansen), half to Serengheti Empress (Alternation). Mike Lauer has seasonal debut of Pewter’s Promise, a home bred full sister to his excellent multiple Indy stake winning Mowins. Mohaymen offspring are slow developers and she could boost the exotics getting 7# from the field with bug boy Bealmear..

Most Likely: #3 Motown Dynamic 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #2 Havaha 12-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Cruise Missle 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Pewter’s Promise 20-1 6th

4th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Very tricky read. No shortage of pace..

Best Value: #4 Efficiency 12-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Favorite Outlaw 9-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Unraptured 7-2 12th
Super Add: #2 Gunflash 4-1 11th

5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Interesting group that appears to be lacking speed. No short of pedigree on display including Parcells’ first time 3yo half to Faiza (Her Best Friend), Danza/Majestic Harbor half Tap the Champagne (Tapit), Laoban half Happy Talk (Arrogate), Salutos Amigos half Off the Lam (Curlin) and Take Charge Brandi daughter Who’s Ticket (Quality Road)..

Best Value: #3 Tap the Champagne 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Enigmatic 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Pepper’s Girlfriend 8-1 10th
Super Add: #1 Her Best Friend 15-1 8th

6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Polterer 10-1 WON ($22.20)
Next Best: #8 Sun Thunder 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Pledgeofallegiance 12-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Infiltrator 20-1 7th

7th: AR-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Cox firster by Good Magic for Staton Flurry is plenty likely, but note that Jonesborohurricane’s SCR’D half sister She’s Storming (Hightail) was a debut winner for this team at 47-1 in 2022..

Most Likely: #10 Snow Flurry 2-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Haulin Ice 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #13 Aurora Gee 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Presleys Turn 15-1 11th

P4 Grid:

4: 4-11 (A), 2-8 (B), – (C)
5: 3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 6-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-10 (A), 13 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s:2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

8th: Carousel, F&M-4+, 6f (X-C P4/Leg A, P5, All STK P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Zeitlos 7-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #9 I’m the Boss of Me 10-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Mucho Macho Girl 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Let’s Be Clear 8-1 6th

Cross Country P5 Grid:

OP 8: 8 (A), 9 (B), 7 (C)
AQ 8: 2-3-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
OP 9: 2-4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
OP 10: 1-12 (A), 8-11 (B), – (C)
OP 11: 7 (A), – (B), 11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x4x1 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 1x4x4x2x1 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (CAAAA): 1x4x4x2x1 = 32 x .50 = $16 (7 in OP 8)
Backup (AAAAC): 1x4x4x2x1 = 32 x .50 = $16 (11 in OP 11)

AQUEDUCT 8th: NY-Haynesfield, 4+, 1m (X-C P4/Leg B, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Dr Ardito 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Whittington Park 8-1 WON ($27.20)
Next Best: #7 Maker’s Candy 8-5 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Overstep 10-1 4th

9th: Honeybee (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (X-C P4/Leg C, Late P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Neom Beach 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Band of Gold 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 West Omaha 7-5 3rd
Super Add: #8 Tapit Janallie 10-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

5: 3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 6-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-10 (A), – (B), 13 (C)
8: 8 (A), 7-9 (B), – (C)
9: 2-4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x1x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AACAA): 2x3x1x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 (13 in 7th)

P4 Grid:

6: 6-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-10 (A), – (B), 13 (C)
8: 7-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 3x2x3x4 = 72 x 50 = $36
Backup (ACAA): 3x1x3x4 = 36 x .50 = $18 (13 in 7th)

10th: Razorback (G3), 4+, 8.5f (X-C P4/Leg D, P3, DD)

Note that Von Hemel will SCR Ain’t Life Grand, opting for a return in Sunday’s ALW feature..

Best Value: #12 Escapologist 20-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Magic Tap 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Notary 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 U. S. Army 15-1 8th

11th: Rebel (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (X-C P4/Leg E, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Timberlake 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #11 Just Steel 7-2 7th
Best Value: #3 Common Defense 30-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Northern Flame 5-1 3rd

All Stakes P4 Grid:

8: 7-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 8-12 (A), 7-11 (B), – (C)
11: 7 (A), 11 (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x4x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 3x4x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3 in 11th)

12th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f

Most Likely: #7 Crushed It 1-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Give Me a Reason 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #12 Gotta Have Dreams 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Sicilian Defense 10-1 12th

P5 Grid:

8: 7-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 8-12 (A), 7-11 (B), – (C)
11: 7 (A), – (B), 11 (C)
12: 2-7 (A), 12 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x4x2x1x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAACA): 3x4x2x1x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

9: 2-4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 8-12 (A), 7-11 (B), – (C)
11: 7 (A), 11 (B), 3 (C)
12: 2-7 (A), 12 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 4x2x1x2 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup (AACA): 4x2x1x2 = 16 x .50 = $8 (3 in 11th)

FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: LA-ALW/N3L, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Macho Beanie 5-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Doctored Deal 4-1 WON ($16.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Like This 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Coptor 12-1 4th

2nd: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-OFF/TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 The Reds 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Freedom’s Way 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Agent Creed 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Point Proven 7-2 WON ($8.00)

3rd: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

SCR’s down to Nash, Hawks Creek & Tuscan Sky..

Most Likely: #7 Tuscan Sky 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #3 Nash 9-5 2nd

4th: LA-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Wish Carefully 3-1 5th
Next Best: #1 He’s Just Lucky 9-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Causeway Benny 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Benji Star 4-1 WON ($11.60)

5th: ALW/N3L, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Liuzza 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Standoutsensation 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Our Pretty Woman 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #3 Splash Master 6-1 6th

P5 Grid:

1: 4-10 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
2: 13 (A), – (B), 10 (C)
3: 3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 1-11 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)
5: 4-5-8 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x2x4x5 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x1x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups (CAAAA & ACAAA): 2x1x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-7 in 1st) + 2x1x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (10 in 2nd)

P4 Grid:

2: 13 (A), – (B), 10 (C)
3: 3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 1-11 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)
5: 4-5-8 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x4x5 = 40 x .50 = $20
All A’s: 1x2x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6
Backups (CAAA): 1x2x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6 (10 in 2nd)

6th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Gourmet 4-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Quality Credit 7-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Beelieve Her 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Harbor Springs 6-1 WON ($12.20)

7th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Yikes.. Super live MDN group with deep pedigrees/star siblings..

Most Likely: #2 Banned for Life 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #11 Higgins Boat 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Discreet Mischief 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Mister Lincoln 8-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Drip 5-1 WON ($8.80)

8th: Col. Power, 4+, 5.5f-OFF/TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Just Might 2nd
Next Best: #3 Minnesota Ready WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Pirate Rick 3rd
Super Add: #9 Mischievous Rogue 7th

P4 Grid:

5: 4-5-8 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)
6: 8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-4-11 (A), – (B), 7-9 (C)
8: 3-4 (A), 8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACA): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (7-9 in 7th)

9th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Cornishman 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Django 10-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Antiquarian 7-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #7 El Magnifico 5-1 3rd

10th: Al Stall Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Not So Close 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Creative Cairo 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Watch This Birdie 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Spirit and Glory 3-1 WON ($8.00)

P4 Grid:

7: 2-4-11 (A), 7-9 (B), – (C)
8: 3-4 (A), 8 (B), – (C)
9: 1-6-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

11th: Mineshaft (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Best Actor 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Smile Happy 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Money Supply 8-1 WON ($20.20)
Super Add: #8 Happy American 8-1 7th

12th: Fair Grounds (G3), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Strong Quality 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Harlan Estate 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Camp Hope 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Johny’s Fireball 10-1 3rd

13th: Rachel Alexandra (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Intricate 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Alpine Princess 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Pennick 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 V V’s Dream 5-2 5th

14th: Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 9f

Superb lineup for this 9f test and because of the trying trip, I’m hard-pressed to favor the short-priced players that are making seasonal debuts (Sierra Leone, Honor Marie, Reak Men Violin) when Track Phantom, Hall of Fame, Catching Freedom (and 12-1 Resilience) are in form..

Most Likely: #7 Hall of Fame 6-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Track Phantom 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Resilience 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Sierra Leone 4-1 WON ($7.40)

P5 Grid:

10: 3-8 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
11: 3-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 4 (A), 5 (B), 2-6 (C)
14: 4-7-8-10-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x1x2x5 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x2x1x1x5 = 20 x .50 = $10
Backup (AAACA): 2x2x1x2x5 = 40 x .50 = $20 (2-6 in 13th)

P4 Grid:

11: 3-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 3 (A), – (B), 1-8-9 (C)
13: 4-5 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
14: 4-7-8-10-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x5 = $40 ($20 for .50)
All A’s: 2x1x2x5 = 20 x .50 = $10
Backup (ACAA): 2x3x2x5 = 60 x .50 = $30 (1-8-9 in 12th)