4/13: Keeneland (4th-11th)

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KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES:

4th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Teen Idol 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Lou’s Legacy 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Red State 4-1 WON ($8.50)
Super Add: #4 Fracture 15-1 2nd-DQ’d to 5th

5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Spaliday 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Pin Up Betty 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Ready for Shirl 6-1 WON ($17.86)
Exotics Use: #10 Embark 15-1 6th

6th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 8.5f ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Julia Shining 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Magical Lute 6-1 WON ($16.12)
Exotics Add: #7 Musical Mischief 5-1 2nd

7th: Giant’s Causeway (G3), F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Oeuvre 8-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Bling 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Elm Drive 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #12 Love Reigns 8-1 2nd

$3 P3 Grid:

7: 2-4-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 6-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 3x3x2 = 18 x $3 = $54

P4 Grid:

4: 3-6-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-2-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 1-2 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-4 (A), 11-12 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

8th: OC/N3X, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Messy bunch..

Best Value: #4 Brigadier General 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Giant Game 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Hayes Strike 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Classic Catch 2-1 4th

9th: Jenny Wiley (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Surge Capacity 5-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Star Fortress 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Gina Romantica 3-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Didia 4-1 3rd

10th: Lexington (G3), 3yo,. 8.5f (DD)

Best Value: #3 Dilger 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Liberal Arts 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Hades 7-2 7th
Super Add: #2 The Wine Steward 5-2 2nd

11th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Incinerator 15-1 10th
Next Best: #8 St. Armands Key 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Beyond Stoked 6-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Pure Poetry 6-1 7th

P5 Grid:

7: 4 (A), 2 (B), 11-12 (C)
8: 1-4 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
9: 6-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (11-12 in 7th)

P4 Grid:

8: 1-4 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
9: 6-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

4/12: Keeneland (5th-10th)

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KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF/TURF ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Purloin 2nd
Next Best: #10 Just Better WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #14 Spice 5th

6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

A tricky group to read..

Most Likely: #12 Bellofthebluegrass 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Lotsandlotsofcandy 15-1 12th
Next Best: #9 On Command 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Elegant Vision 20-1 9th

7th: Limestone, 3yo-F, 5.5f-OFF/TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Foxxy Cleopatra 7th
Best Value: #14 Hot Beach WON ($3.98)
Next Best: #4 Zoe’s Prime 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Kodiac Wintergreen 3rd

8th: ALW/N2L, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Classic Legacy 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #11 Tunisian Spring 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Polster 12-1 10th
Super Add: #5 Suncroft 7-2 WON ($16.76)

9th: Maker’s Mark Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Fairly confusing group with soft-ish conditions adding murkiness. Can’t you make a case that Emmanuel gets control from on/near lead?

Best Value: #2 Emmanuel 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Integration 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Master of the Seas 4-5 WON ($3.54)
Super Add: #5 Kubrick 20-1 6th

10th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5d (Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Gilded Craken 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Midnight Raid 3-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #10 Ejtimaa 10-1
Super Add: #1 Laughinalltheway 9-2 2nd

P5 Grid:

6: 5-9-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-9 (A), 14 (B), – (C)
8: 3-9-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2 (A), – (B), 4-8 (C)
10: 4-5 (A), 10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x1x3 = 81 x .50 = $40.50
All A’s: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (4-8 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

7: 4-9 (A), 5-14 (B), – (C)
8: 3-9-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2 (A), 8 (B), 4 (C)
10: 4-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (AACA): 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 (4 in 9th)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: ALW/N1x, 3+, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Encouraging group of older horses with fresh, emerging faces like Vespucci & Bendoog..

Best Value: #9 Mistical Curlin 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Vespucci 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Bendoog 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #1 Cascais 10-1 2nd

8th: Gazelle (G3), 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Brinkerhoff shopped for spot for solid MDN Where’s My Ring. Life Talk is a thoroughly vulnerable fave. Cox pair get gets services of Rosario & Franco..

Best Value: #4 Barbratina 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Where’s My Ring 7-2 WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #7 Gin Gin 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Whocouldaskformo 6-1 4th

9th: Bay Shore, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

As discussed by Nick Tammaro on Wknd Prvw, more than enough speed to set up Mission Beach (8-1)..

Best Value: #1 Mission Beach 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Maximus Mischief 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Proprietary Trade 3-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Classic Joke 8-1 9th

10th: Wood Memorial (G2), 3yo, 9f (Big 3/Pick 3, DD)

Maybe the tact to take is that the wide draw for Uncle Heavy is getting us the best price (8-1) possible off his legit Withers win? Plenty of speed to clear off in front of Sanchez to get a decent spot into the first turn..

Best Value: #13 Uncle Heavy 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Tuscan Sky 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Deterministic 7-5 8th
Super Add: #2 El Grande O Gate SCR

$3 Big 3/Pick 3 Grid:

AQU 10 (4:07p): 4-9-13 (A), – (B), 1-2 (C)
KEE 10 (5:52p): 6-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
SA 10 (7:45p): 3-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 3x2x3 = 18 x $3 = $54
Backup (CAA): 2x2x3 = 12 x $3 = $36 (1-2 in Wood)

$3 PICK THREE (1/10/3) Paid $226.50 (C-A-A))

11th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f

Doubt that Grandilla goes off at 8-1..

Best Value: #3 Grandilla 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Arianna Rye 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Better Be Smart 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Peony 2-1 WON ($5.90)

P5 Grid:

7: 6-9 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
8: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-4 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
10: 4-9-13 (A), – (B), 1-2 (C)
11: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAACA): 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (1-2 in 10th)

P4 Grid:

8: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-4 (A), 2-7 (B), – (C)
10: 4-9-13 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
11: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 3yo, 9.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$66K P6 C/O starts here..

Cabernaydo (One of the best name for a horse I’ve crafted) shows up here for the new connections. Has to work out a trip from wide post but price worthwhile..

Best Value: #12 Cabernaydo 20-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Tapakena 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Stop the Press 4-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Artepus 7-2 7th

6th: Commonwealth (G3), 4+, 7f (All STK P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Call Me Fast 8-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Minnesota Ready 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Here Mi Song Late SCR
Super Add: #6 Bo Cruz 12-1 WON ($)

7th: Appalachian (G2), 3yo-F, 1m-T (All STK P4, $3 Turf P3/7-9-11, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Pounce 3-1 11th
Best Value: #4 Grecian Goddess 10-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Poolside With Slim 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Living Magic 30-1 7th

$3 TURF P3 Grid:

7: 1-2-4-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 6-7-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 5x3x1 = 15 x $3 = $45

8th: Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Big Pond 20-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Vahva 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Red Carpet Ready 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Alva Starr 5-2 WON ($6.32)

9th: Shakertown (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Arzak clear horse to beat, but first time 5yo Let My People Go looks poised for breakthrough effort for outfit that excels here..

Best Value: #7 Let My People Go 10-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Arzak 4-1 WON ($9.24)
Exotics Use: #11 Coppola 6-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Beer Can Man 8-1 10th

10th: Blue Grass (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Just a Touch the horse to beat stretching out off ground losing Gotham try..

Most Likely: #6 Just a Touch 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Sierra Leone 2-1 WON ($5.32)
Best Value: #7 Lat Long 30-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Top Conor 15-1 6th

P6 Grid:

5: 9-10-11-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 6-7-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 4x2x2x2x3x1 = $96

ALL STK P5 Grid:

6: 8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 7-8 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
9: 6-7-11 (A), 4-10 (B), – (C)
10: 6-10 (A), – (B), 1-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x5x2 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-7 in 10th)

ALL STK P4 Grid:

7: 4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 7-8 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
9: 6-7-11 (A), 4-10 (B), – (C)
10: 6-10 (A), – (B), 1-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-7 in 10th)

11th: ALW/C, 4+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Running Bee 8-5 WON ($5.04)
Best Value: #8 Injunction 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Accredit 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Master Piece 7-2 3rd

P4 Grid:

8: 7-8 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
9: 4-6-7-10-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6-10 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
11: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x4x1 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x5x2x1 = 20 x .50 = $10

.50 Pick Four (6-6-10/11-1/2) Paid $75.21

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Santa Anita Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

As discussed all week, Corposo just as eligible on figs as Kopion or Kinza.. I’ll be presenting the trophy to the winner

Best Value: #5 Corposo 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Kinza 4-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Kopion 9-5 4th

7th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P6, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Royal Charter 5-1 WON ($10.80)
Best Value: #5 Mrs. Astor 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Summer Lake 9-2 12th
Exotics Use: #12 Just Nails 5-1 4th

$3 TURF P3 Grid:

7: 5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 2x3x3 = 18 x $3 = $54

8th: CA-OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 So I’m Told 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 California Tiger 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Tizz a Good Thing 4-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Left Hand Man 5-1 WON ($6.60)

9th: Monrovia (G3), F&M-4+, 6.5f-Downhill (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Lucky Girl 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Chimosa 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Graceland Gray 3-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Ag Bullet 9-5 WON ($5.00)

P4 Grid:

6: 2-3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-6 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 1-6 (B), 5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-8 in 9th)

10th: Santa Anita Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Stronghold 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #7 McVay 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Imagination 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Tapalo 5-1 5th

11th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (DD, Hi-5)

Brutal group to decipher..

Best Value: #3 Sydney Street 8-1
Next Best: #8 Aligato 5-1 WON ($13.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Santo Dios 15-1
Super Add: #9 One of These Days 20-1

12th: CA-Echo Eddie, 3yo, 6.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Shady Tiger 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #8 Two by Four 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Tom Seaver 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Known Idea 8-1 5th

P6 Grid:

7: 5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 2x2x3x3x1x2 = $72

P5 Grid:

8: 3-6 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
9: 1-4-7 (A), 5-6-8 (B), – (C)
10: 3-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x3x1x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

9: 1-4-7 (A), 5-6-8 (B), – (C)
10: 3-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-8 (A), 10 (B), – (C)
12: 3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 PICK FOUR (2,6/3/8/3) Paid $118.55

GULFSTREAM PARK ~ FLORIDA DERBY DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: OC/N1X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Rotterdam 4-1
Next Best: #6 Read On 5-1
Best Value: #10 Mutaawid 30-1
Exotics Use: #12 Sir London 6-1

5th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Six Kings 4-1
Next Best: #6 Mindframe 7-2
Best Value: #7 Ponce de Leon 6-1
Exotics Use: #10 Idoneo 5-1

6th: Pan American (G2), 4+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Kertez 2-1
Next Best: #6 Tawny Port 9-5
Best Value: #3 Lucky Curlin 12-1
Exotics Use: #4 Street Ready 10-1

7th: Ghostzapper (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Lure Him In 6-1
Next Best: #6 Steal Sunshine 9-5
Exotics Use: #8 Donegal Forever 6-1
Super Add: #5 Tumbarumba 2-1

P4 Grid:

4: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 4-6-7-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-5-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 2x4x2x4 = 64 x .50 = $32

8th: Sanibel Island, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Destiny Star 20-1
Next Best: #8 Hello Hollywood 9-2
Exotics Use: #7 Ozara 8-5
Super Add: #9 Pharoah’s Wine 7-2

9th: Sir Shakleton, 4+, 7f (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Shaq Diesel 6-1
Next Best: #6 Oscar Eclipse 4-1
Exotics Use: #7 Ticking 15-1
Super Add: #8 Dreaming of Kona 12-1

P5 Grid:

5: 4-6 (A), 7-10 (B), – (C)
6: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)
8: 1-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

10th: Orchid (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-T ($3 Turf P3/10-12-13, P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 La Mehana 2-1
Next Best: #6 McKulick 8-5
Exotics Use: #4 Surprisingly 5-2
Super Add: #8 Anatolian 8-1

$3 TURF P3 Grid:

10: 1-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 3-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 3x2x3 = 18 x $3 = $54

P5 Grid:

7: 1-6 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)
8: 1-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

11th: Gulfstream Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Ways and Means 8-5
Best Value: #8 Fiona’s Magic 6-1
Next Best: #5 Into Champagne 5-1
Exotics Use: #6 Gun Song 4-1

12th: Sand Springs, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Marketsegmentation 7-5
Best Value: #9 Fast as Flight 10-1
Next Best: #1 Candy Light 5-1
Exotics Use: #5 Fuente Ovejuna 15-1

13th: Appleton, 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Ice Chocolat 9-2
Best Value: #6 Quality G 12-1
Next Best: #4 Big Everest 7-2
Exotics Use: #5 Never Surprised 5-1

14th: Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Fierceness 8-5
Next Best: #2 Hades 7-2
Best Value: #5 Real Macho 20-1
Exotics Use: #9 Conquest Warrior 3-1

P5 Grid:

10: 1-6 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
11: 4-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
14: 2-10 (A), – (B), 1-5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-5-9 in 14th)

P4 Grid:

11: 4-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
14: 2-5-10 (A), 1-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x5 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

 

OAKLAWN PARK ~ ARKANSAS DERBY DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Julliard 6-1
Next Best: #4 Bourbon Bash 5-2
Exotics Use: #5 Clear the Air 7-5
Super Add: #6 I’m Wide Awake 15-1

7th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Ak Sar Ben Derby 4-1
Best Value: #5 Elko County 8-1
Next Best: #1 Militant 9-5
Exotics Use: #2 Django 9-2

8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

“I’ll have a Bloody Mary and a steak sandwich.. and a steak sandwich..”

Best Value: #7 Underhill’s Tab 8-1
Next Best: #5 Captivating Boy 3-1
Exotics Use: #2 Ten Days Later 12-1
Super Add: #4 Media Mogul 8-1

AQUEDUCT 8th: Excelsior, 4+, 9f (Cross Country P5, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Messier 9-2
Best Value: #3 Kuchar 8-1
Next Best: #4 Kinetic Sky 2-1
Exotics Use: #8 Curbstone 12-1

COAST TO COAST P5 Grid:

AQU 8: 3-4-5 (A), 7-8 (B), – (C)
OAK 9: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
OAK 10: 6 (A), – (B), 4-5 (C)
OAK 11: 1-5 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
OAK 12: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x1x4x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (4-5 in OP 10th)

9th: Oaklawn Mile (G3), 4+, 1m (P5, All Stakes P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Nautical Star 12-1
Next Best: #4 Midnight Rising 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 Last Samurai 15-1
Super Add: #7 Frosted Grace 4-1

P4 Grid:

6: 4-7 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
7: 5-8 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
8: 5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

10th: Matron, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Zeitlos 7-2
Best Value: #4 Mucho Macho Girl 8-1
Next Best: #5 Leeloo 3-1
Exotics Use: #2 Traverse 15-1

11th: Fantasy (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 My Mane Squeeze 3-1
Next Best: #12 Thorpedo Anna 7-2
Best Value: #4 All Things Go 10-1
Exotics Use: #8 West Omaha 4-1

12th: Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Liberal Arts 15-1
Next Best: #7 Muth 8-5
Exotics Use: #2 Timberlake 9-5
Super Add: #6 Informed Patriot 30-1

All Stakes P4 Grid:

9: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
11: 1-12 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
12: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

13th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m

Most Likely: #10 Thestral 4-1
Best Value: #2 Sister Kisses 12-1
Next Best: #3 Wildwood Bye 5-1
Exotics Use: #5 Absinthe 5-2

P5 Grid:

9: 1-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
11: 1-12 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
12: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 2-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

10: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
11: 1-12 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)
12: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 2-10 (A), – (B), 3-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-11 in 13th)

Good luck!
Steve

 


FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Corporal 3-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Mister Lincoln 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Coach Campbell 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 House United 6-1 4th

6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Battle Scars 5-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Calicoco 4-1 WON ($15.20)
Best Value: #2 Athens Moon 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Solid Country Gold 9-2 9th

7th: Crescent City Derby-LA, 3yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Spinning Aces 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Blue Eyed George 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 El Dinero 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #6 Sonofaship 5-1 2nd

8th: Tom Benson Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 Oeuvre 5-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Tryinmyheartout 10-1 13th
Next Best: #10 Delahaye 4-1 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Spirit and Glory 4-1 8th

P4 Grid:

5: 6 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 7-10 (A), 2-8 (B), – (C)
7: 1-2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-12 (A), 9-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x4 = $48
All A’s: 1x2x3x2 = $12

9th: New Orleans Classic (G2), 4+, 9f (Bayou/Bluegrass P5, P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Velocitor 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Touchuponastar 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Money Supply 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Super Corinto 12-1 8th

Bayou/Bluegrass P5 Grid:

FG 9: 3-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
TP 11: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
FG 11: 6 (A), – (B), 5-7 (C)
TP 12: 3-6 (A), 8-10 (B), – (C)
FG 12: 3-12 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x4x4 = $96
All A’s: 3x2x1x2x2 = $24
Backup (AACAA): 3x2x2x2x2 = $48 (5-7 in FG 11th)

10th: Muniz Memorial (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Webslinger 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Gigante 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #13 I’m Very Busy 4-1 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Irish Aces 15-1 6th

11th: Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Intricate 2-1
Best Value: #7 Our Pretty Woman 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Tarifa 8-5 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #1 V V’s Dream 8-1

12th: Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9.5f

Best Value: #3 Antiquarian 12-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Track Phantom 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Hall of Fame 8-1 10th
Super Add: #4 Agate Road 8-1 7th

P5 Grid:

8: 1-12 (A), 9-10 (B), – (C)
9: 3-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 6 (A), – (B), 1-5-7 (C)
12: 3-12 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x3x2x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAACA): 2x3x2x3x2 =72 x .50 = $36 (1-5-7 in 11th)

P4 Grid:

9: 3-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 6 (A), 7 (B), 1-5 (C)
12: 2-3-12 (A), 4-5-10-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x7 = 84 x .50 = $42
All A’s: 3x2x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (AACA): 3x2x2x3 =36 x .50 = $18 (1-5 in 11th)

TURFWAY PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: Animal Kingdom, 3yo, 6f (.20 All STK Jackpot P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Shards 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Valentine Candy 2-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Tejon Pass 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Vote No 5-1 6th

8th: Rushaway, 3yo, 8.5f (All STK P5, P3, DD)

SCR #2 Blue Eyed George & #9 Tennessee

Best Value: #12 Footprint 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Neat SCR
Exotics Use: #10 Le Gris 12-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Two Ghosts 15-1 11th

9th: Latonia, F&M-4+, 8.5f All STK P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Forever After All 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Sister Lou Ann 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Chop Chop 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Botanical 6-5 5th

10th: Kentucky Cup Classic (G3), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Surly Furious 7-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Verstappen 10-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Wolfie’s Dynaghost 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Cellist 8-1 WON ($14.78)

11th: Bourbonette Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Winnable 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Band of Gold 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Trial 10-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Alpine Princess 2-1 3rd

12th: Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Lucky Jeremy 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Northern Flame 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Endlessly 5-2 WON ($4.88)
Super Add: #8 Otello 15-1 9th

P5 Grid:

8: 8/SCR-10-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-2 (A), 3 (B), – (C)
11: 2-6 (A), – (B), 1-7 (C)
12: 3-6 (A), 8-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (AAACA): 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (1-7 in 11th)

P4 Grid:

9: 4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-2 (A), 3 (B), – (C)
11: 2-6 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
12: 3-6-8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

13th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m (Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Starlight Love 8-1 10th
Next Best: #11 Whiskey Decision 5-2 WON ($8.74)
Exotics Use: #7 Tiz Sweet Emotion 10-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Claret Beret 8-1 6th

P4 Grid:

10: 1-2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-6 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
12: 3-6-8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 5 (A), 11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x2x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12