Santa Anita's best morning clocker service xpress bet

2016-02-10 16:24:46

GULFSTREAM PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: 11th Ladies' Turf Sprint, F&M-4+, 5f-T/96' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Lady Shipman likely still too much for rest of division, but it is first start back and comes with occasional quirk of a new barn..

Most Likely: #2 Lady Shipman 3-5 WON ($2.40)
Best Value: #7 Catching Fireflies 10-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Aquinnah 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Jewel of a Cat 6-1 3rd

5th: 31st Fred Hooper (G3), 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

With Valid absent, this event becomes that much more competitive, with 6 of 7 owning wins over the strip. (Morning Calm is an 8th runner but tries first dirt anywhere). Wildcat Red (11/5-4-1 at GP) can control pace from the bell and whomever expects to have a say will need to stay within striking range. Ami's Flatter was stunning in 4yo debut 1/13 and return to that will be hard to deny, but also poised to regress off career best. Velazquez not typically aggressive but may need to gain position from rail. Tommy Macho can lay close but better be ready to fire off brief break. Just Call Kenny may be a fun price use here given proximity to cast of the Donn back in December and Grande Shores was strong in the Hal's Hope as well as 2nd a zot to Valid in this a year ago. Tough calls in all slots..

Most Likely: #3 Tommy Macho 2-1 WON ($9.00)
Best Value: #5 Grande Shores 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Wildcat Red 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Just Call Kenny 15-1 5th

6th: 73rd Suwannee River (G3), F&M4+, 9f-T/96' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 A Little Bit Sassy 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Light in Paris 4-1 4th-DH
Exotics Use: #4 Rainha Da Bateria 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 E B Ryder 10-1 6th

7th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

A number of well bred types involved with Good Genes, full brother of Awesome Feather, working nicely for return to track..

Best Value: #12 Good Genes 10-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Riddler 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Dig Deep 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Malibu Action 7-2 7th

8th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T/0' (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Cloontia 6-1: Liked Wicked Strong's brother 1/2/16 at 50-1.. 6th
Next Best: #13 Inspector Lynley 5-2: LDK son out of Criminologist needs trip.. WON ($)
Exotics Use: #3 Southern Wild 8-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Ninety One Assault 8-1 3rd

9th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 7.5f-T/96' (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Artytype 7-2 7th
Best Value: #5 While Ye May 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Dissident 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Sakara 15-1 6th

10th: 11th Gulfstream Park Turf Sprint, 4+, 5f-T/0' (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Always entertaining, a 14 horse turf sprint. Turf rail at 0', so inside gets edge. Beantown Saint (8-1) could float up and was improving as the winter neared. Got light freshening and a tightener across state..

Best Value: #2 Beantown Saint 8-1 11th
Next Best: #10 Power Alert 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Pure Sensation 3-1 5th
Super Add: #13 Amelia's Wild Ride 5-1 2nd

11th: MSW, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Toughest 'Ombre 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Wheels Up Now 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Kelly Tough 6-1 WON ($13.40)
Super Add: #8 Equine Perfection 12-1 10th

12th: 34th Gulfstream Park Turf H. (G1), 4+, 9f-T//0' ~~ NOW 96' (DD, Hi-5)

NOTE COURSE CHG TO 96'

Best Value: #7 Takeover Target 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 The Pizza Man 4-5 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Lukes Alley 8-1 WON ($12.20)
Super Add: #2 Legendary 10-1 7th

13th: Donn H. (G1), 4+, 9f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Itsaknockout 4-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Financial Modeling 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Valid 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Keen Ice 5-2 6th

P5 Grid:

9: 3 (A), 4-5 (B), 2-7-10 (C)
10: 2-10 (A), 4-9-13 (B), -(C)
11: 3-4 (A), 5-8 (B), 1-2 (C)
12: 6-7 (A), - (B), 1-2-8 (C)
13: 7 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x4x2x1 = 120 x .50 = $60

P4 Grid:

10: 2-10 (A), 4-9-13 (B), - (C)
11: 3-4 (A), 5-8 (B), 1-2 (C)
12: 6-7 (A), - (B), 1-2-8 (C)
13: 7 (A), 4-8 (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: 78th Bob Lewis (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$40k C/O starts here..

As discussed with Privman, Haskin & Hammer on Weekend Preview, plenty of intrigue lined up against Los Al Futurity hero Mor Spirit. Baffert told me Friday that while confident in Eskendereya colt long term, may be vulnerable in this particular spot. Stretchout sprinters I Will Score and Uncle Lino test distance capabilities here while Dressed in Hermes and Path of David try dirt again. Do not ignore Guillot's talented MDN Laoban who may not win but will boost exotics..

Most Likely: #5 Mor Spirit 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #2 I Will Score 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Laoban SCR
Exotics Use: #7 Uncle Lino 5-1 2nd

5th: 34th Las Virgenes (G2), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Songbird a universal free square turning P6 C/O sequence into P5..

Most Likely: #6 Songbird 1-5 WON ($2.10)
Next Best: #3 Street Fancy 6-1 6th
Best Value: #1 She's a Warrior 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Land Over Sea 8-1 2nd

6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Very tricky group of pricey claimer/ALW nibblers. Pace feels honest with Lovenseek the candidate to shake loose if unchallenged. Baffert's Opsec back off break and lone runner that's cleared condition and in for price..

Best Value: #10 Rock Shandy 6-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Opsec 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Lovenseek 6-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Tuco 6-1 2nd

7th: 78th San Antonio (G2), 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Good honest H'cap group gets Donworth and El Kabeir added to the local mix..

Most Likely: #5 Hoppertunity 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #7 Imperative 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Donworth 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 El Kabeir 6-1 7th

8th: 64th San Marcos (G2), 4+, 10f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Hay Dude 5-2 6th
Next Best: #7 Flamboyant 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #1 Gaga A 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Chiropractor 4-1 8th

9th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Seventh Sense 5-2: Reneesgotzip bro looks debut ready.. 8th
Best Value: #4 Giant Expectations 12-1: Oddball Cali NY-bred can impact.. 4th
Next Best: #1 Storm the Shore 6-1: Bowed OK for Whitey: Exits potential key race.. 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Ten Blessings 4-1: Indian Blessing daughter may need longer.. WON ($8.20)
Super Add: #6 Opportunistic 6-1: With 'Storm' out of Denman's Call race; Arrives late.. 7th

P6 Grid:

4: 2-5 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
5: 6 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
6: 4-10 (A), 2-8 (B), 6-7-11 (C)
7: 5-7 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
8: 7-8 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
9: 12 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x3x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96

$2 Pick 6 (4/5-5/6-6-5-7-7) Paid $38.20 (5 of 6)

P4 Grid:

6: 2-4-8-10 (A), 3-6-7-11 (B), - (C)
7: 2-5-7 (A), 3-6-8 (B), 1-4 (C)
8: 7-8 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
9: 12 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x6x2x1 = 96 x .50 = $48 (All A's: 4x3x2x1 = $24)