2016-09-24 13:33:01

LAUREL PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


If things go his way, talented Trevor McCarthy could be in store for a career day..


4th: Brookmeade-R, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Secret Or Not 4-1
Best Value: #5 Complete St. 9-2
Next Best: #7 Skipalute 9-2
Exotics Use: #9 Magician's Vanity 6-1


5th: Commonwealth Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Tricky group with Motion's It's the Truth (15-1) the lynchpin up front. Could forget to stop. Involuntary (10-1) will follow her and feels like a viable key horse getting first run. Stella Rose, My Impression and Noble Beauty are the obvious short price players.

Most Likely: #9 Stella Rose 5-2
Best Value: #10 Involuntary 10-1
Next Best: #7 My Impression 6-1
Exotics Use: #5 Noble Beauty 4-1


6th: Commonwealth Turf Cup (G2), 3+, 1m-T (Rainbow P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Blacktype 4-1
Next Best: #12 Force the Pass 3-1
Best Value: #10 Phlash Phelps 12-1
Exotics Use: #1 Farhaan 6-1


7th: Commonwealth Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Revved Up 5-1
Best Value: #7 Deeply Undervalued 6-1
Next Best: #10 Isotherm 7-2
Exotics Use: #2 American Patriot 5-2


P4 Grid:

4: 1-5 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)
5: 9-10 (A), 5-6-7 (B), 1 (C)
6: 7 (A), 10-12 (B), 1-5 (C)
7: 5-7 (A), 2-10 (B), 4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x4 = 120 x .50 = $60



BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD)

Late P5 starts here..

On Tap won't be 8-1..

Most Likely: #7 On Tap 8-1
Best Value: #2 Core Portfolio 8-1
Exotics Use: #9 Altar Boy 5-2
Super Add: #11 Show Bound 6-1


7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mission Driven 5-1
Best Value: #4 Patterson Cross 8-1
Exotics Use: #1 Zennor 9-2
Super Add: #10 Hunter O'Reily 8-1


8th: 29th Noble Damsel (G3), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Mrs. McDougal 9-5
Next Best: #6 Zindaya 5-2
Exotics Use: #7 Stormy Victoria 3-1
Super Add: #8 My Sweet Girl 15-1


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (DD)

Brutally tough turf sprint with gaggle of hard-hitting claimers. 5-2 Speeding Comet had something go wrong upstate. Will use defensively given favorite's unsettling gap in tab..

Most Likely: #1 Rapscallion 4-1
Best Value: #2 Whateveryouwant 10-1
Next Best: #7 The Imposter 3-1
Exotics Use: #5 Speeding Comet 5-2


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #6 Sea Pebble 7-2
Next Best: #2 Palladian Bridge 5-2


P5 Grid:

6: 2-7 (A), 9-11 (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), 5-7-10 (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), 6-7-8 (C)
9: 1-2 (A), 5-7 (B), 8-10 (C)
10: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


P4 Grid:

7: 1-2-4 (A), 5-7-10 (B), 3-6-8-9 (C)
8: 5 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-3-8 (C)
9: 1-2 (A), 5-7 (B), 8-10 (C)
10: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72



PHILADELPHIA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: Frosted (PA Derby Champion) S., 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #7 Tale of Life 3-1
Best Value: #2 Encryption 9-2
Next Best: #5 Mr. Jordan 2-1
Exotics Use: #1 Cyrus Alexander 6-1


9th: Gallant Bob (G3), 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Noholdingback Bear 5-2
Best Value: #11 Who's Out 12-1
Next Best: #3 Threefiveindia 7-2
Exotics Use: #2 Mind Your Biscuits 9-2


10th: 50th Cotillion (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

The place to go aggressively against Songbird is going to be the Distaff. Carina Mia and Cathryn Sophia rock solid, but what's different today that elevates them over Songbird here?

Most Likely: #5 Songbird 1-2
Best Value: #1 Carina Mia 5-1
Next Best: #2 Cathryn Sophia 5-2
Super Add: #4 Land Over Sea 10-1


11th: 40th Pennsylvania Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Fascinating edition that should result in AGSC giving event elusive G1 as 1-2-3 from Derby, 1-3-4 from Haskell, 5 exiting Travers & King's Bishop and more assemble. Plenty of pace signed on, but be aware that speed holds well here and outside paths the ideal trip. Hard-trying Gun Runner has right style and launching point. Hit It Once More has pilot who knows his way around this oval and can impact with same stalk and go trip he employed in May at Belmont. Sunny Ridge ran well off long break in Haskell and should be first to attack from second flight under deadly rally pilot Bravo. Nyquist enters off throwback worktab featuring series of mile drills and may be ready for best. Cupid and Summer Revolution, possibly Awesome Slew, figure to set fast pace and any could get dangerous if somehow loose..

Most Likely: #7 Gun Runner 6-1
Best Value: #12 Hit It Once More 20-1
Next Best: #9 Nyquist 5-2
Exotics Use: #10 Sunny Ridge 12-1


P4 Grid:

8: 2-7 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-4-6 (C)
9: 5-11 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-7-10 (C)
10: 5 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
11: 7-9-10-12 (A), 1-2-3-5 (B), 4-6-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x8 = 128 x .50 = $64


Good luck!
Steve