Twin Spires xpress bet

2014-04-20 12:54:12





 

SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

P6 must pay..

Best Value: #6 Denotation 6-1
Next Best: #5 Spy Girl 3-1
Exotics Use: #8 Enchanted Fortune 4-1
Super Add: #2 Faith Hope Love 7-2


5th: MCLM/$75k, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P3)

Best Value: #1 Comealongwithme 10-1
Next Best: #9 Secret Appeal 7-2
Exotics Use: #11 Nazareth 4-1
Super Add: #4 Papa's Dancing 15-1


6th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3)

Tricky group..

Most Likely: #4 Good Samurai 3-1
Next Best: #7 Happy Idea 5-2
Best Value: #2 Sams Blue Cat 6-1
Exotics Use: #8 Seeking Asylum 7-2


7th: OC, 4+, 6.5f-T (P3)

Rangi may be tough to reel in again. Some fun prices on hand to utilize under and over him though..

Most Likely: #8 Rangi 5-2
Next Best: #9 A Toast to You 6-1
Best Value: #10 Examen 12-1
Exotics Use: #1 Circa'sgoldengear 8-1


8th: 32nd Santa Lucia, F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD)

Beholder returns here and admittedly will not be 100% tight and like Princess of Sylmar weeks ago at AQU, has bigger fish to fry. Should overwhelm this group, but note nice effort from Magic Union at OP and City of Dawn making second start for sneaky, savvy Powell..

Most Likely: #3 Beholder 1-5
Best Value: #6 City of Dawn 20-1
Next Best: #4 Magic Union 4-1
Exotics Use: #5 Eblouissante 4-1


9th: CLM, 4+, 10f-T (Super Hi-5)

Hi-5 must pay..

3-turn turf finale a difficult read. Proud Boss dangerous under featherweight if no one addresses him..

Most Likely: #6 Bench Light 5-2
Best Value: #7 Affretanando 10-1
Next Best: #11 Extensive 10-1
Exotics Use: #8 Dreamcatcher 9-2
Super/Hi-5: #3 Hawk's Eyes 6-1


<$150 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 1 with 4 with 8 with 3 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1 with 4 with 8 with 3 with 6 - $2.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 9,11 with 4 with 8 with 3 with 6 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 1 with 7 with 8 with 3 with 6 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 1 with 4 with 9 with 3 with 6 - $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 1 with 4 with 8 with 3 with 7,11 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 9,11 with 4 with 8 with 3 with 6 - $4.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1 with 7 with 8 with 3 with 6 - $2.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1 with 4 with 9 with 3 with 6 - $2.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1 with 4 with 8 with 3 with 7,11 - $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 9,11 with 7 with 8 with 3 with 6 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 9,11 with 4 with 9 with 3 with 6 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 9,11 with 4 with 8 with 3 with 7,11 - $16.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 1 with 7 with 9 with 3 with 6 - $4.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 1 with 7 with 8 with 3 with 7,11 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 1 with 4 with 9 with 3 with 7,11 - $8.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 1 with 4 with 8 with 3 with 6 - $2.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 4,5,8 with 4 with 8 with 3 with 6 - $12.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 1 with 2,3,8 with 8 with 3 with 6 - $12.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 1 with 4 with 1,10 with 3 with 6 - $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 1 with 4 with 8 with 3 with 3,5,8,10 - $16.00

Total: $144.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 8,9 with 3 with 6,7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,8 with 8,9 with 3 with 6,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,10 with 3 with 6,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8,9 with 3 with 11 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,8 with 1,10 with 3 with 6,7 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,8 with 8,9 with 3 with 11 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,10 with 3 with 11 - $2.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 8,9 with 3 with 6,7 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 4,7 with 3 with 6,7 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8,9 with 4,5,6 with 6,7 - $12.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8,9 with 3 with 3,5,8,10 - $8.00

Total: $52.00


Good luck!
Steve

 

SANTA ANITA PARK (4/13)


PRE-SCRATCHES

4th: 66th Santa Barbara (G3), F&N-4+, 10f-T (P6, P3, DD)

2.5 turn turf stake lacks much pace definition with Changethechannel and Miss Serendipiity the ones with early lick. Stormy Lucy (now with Moger) and Customer Base (Proctor/Glen Hill) the class of the field and Drysdale's Topic (8-1) the interesting price consideration..

Most Likely: #7 Customer Base 5-2 8th
Best Value: #8 Topic 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Stormy Lucy 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Miss Serendipity 7-2 2nd


5th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m (P3)

Pacey Big Kick might be dangerous on front end but expect Cat Burglar stays close and has first run ahead of mid-pack stalking units Omega Star and Governor Charlie..

Most Likely: #3 Cat Burglar 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #7 Omega Star 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Governor Charlie 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Big Kick 5-1 4th


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3)

Key to this downhill ALW is inside players Oliver's Tale and re-blinkered Cacau aswell as Cal-bred last out winner Major Truth. Oliver's Tale is speedy (ran within half of Points Offthebench in '13) and puts back-to-back starts together for first time in a year today. Hood produced career best try from Cacau 2 back and Almeida puts the hood back on for this.

Most Likely: #1 Oliver's Tale 7-2 WON ($11.40)
Best Value: #8 Monument 9-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Kochees 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Hawkedon 5-1 2nd


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P3)

Tricky looking MCLM starter and I think you want a stranger. Romar Success missed entire 3yo season and returns in hands of savvy Powell off series of sharp drills. Has a rite to have developed past anything here. Smells like new money..

Best Value: #10 ROMAR SUCCESS 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Remind Mee 9-2 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Head South 6-1 10th
Super Add: #8 Market Notes 12-1 6th


8th: 47th San Simeon (G3), 4+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Fun edition of this. Pataky Kid (12-1) makes 4yo bow and may be perfect for this course..

Best Value: #2 Pataky Kid 12-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Lakerville 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Sweet Swap 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #3 Chiloquin 6-1 7th


9th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 A Little Luckier 5-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Kid Rollins 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Itsabeautifulday 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Nonna Reese 5-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #6 Cleverly Beverly 9-2 4th

$1 Exact 5 (3-8-4-6-5) Paid $1,295.60


<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 1 with 10 with 2,8 with 5 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 5,8 with 10 with 2,8 with 5 - $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 1 with 6,9 with 2,8 with 5 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 1 with 10 with 3,5 with 5 - $2.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 1 with 10 with 2,8 with 3,8 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 6,9 with 2,8 with 5 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 10 with 3,5 with 5 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 10 with 2,8 with 3,8 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 6,9 with 3,5 with 5 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 6,9 with 2,8 with 3,8 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 10 with 3,5 with 3,8 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,10 with 10 with 2,8 with 5 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,2,5,8,12 with 2,8 with 5 - $5.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 10 with 2,8 with 4,6 - $2.00

Total: $45.00