Archive for the '2018' Category

8/25: Saratoga (149th Travers Day)

Saturday, August 25th, 2018

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Larry Best’s $850k Greyes Creek debuts here from tricky rail, but Norm Casse’s Bird baby for Whitney looks to have breakaway speed. Fixedincome Larry half Puttheglassdown can improve 2nd out off solid bow. Dallas Stewart brings LA-bred Classy John in from the Spectrum where he zipped in sub :59 for first start..

Best Value: #2 Mischievous Bird 9-2 7th
Next Best: #1 Greyes Creek 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Puttheglassdown 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Classy John 8-1 WON ($26.40)

2nd: NY-ALW/C, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Wildly competitive NY turf ALW, where boxcar mutuels live.. Pecking order: 5-1-7-9-3-4-2-10-12-8-6-11..

Most Likely: #5 Collective Effort 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Carthon 15-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Mango M 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Shiraz 8-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Blame the Thief 30-1 10th

3rd: ALW/C, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Good group with SCRof Tommy T taking lick out of the already-modest pace scenario..

Best Value: #7 Cerretalto 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Silver Dust SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Souper Catch 4-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Hollywood Star 6-1 5th

4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Six of the 10 are stretching out from sprints, which should provide for a prompted pace scenario..

Best Value: #4 Salvator Mundi 10-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Digital Footprint 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Social Paranoia 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 Moon Colony 7-2 4th

5th: Opt CLM/C, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Tathqeef 8-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Bird’s Eye View 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Scholar Athlete 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Mr Maybe 20-1 5th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-2 (A), 3-5-6 (B), – (C)
2: 1-5-7 (A), – (B), 3-4-9 (C)
3: 7-8 (A), – (B), 4-6 (C)
4: 3-4 (A), – (B), 7-9 (C)
5: 1-2 (A), 7 (B), 3-4-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x2x3 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

2: 1-5-7 (A), – (B), 3-4-9 (C)
3: 7-8 (A), 4-6 (B), 2-3-5 (C)
4: 3-4 (A), 7-9 (B), – (C)
5: 1-2-7 (A), – (B), 3-4-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

6th: 34th Allen Jerkens (G1), 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Obviously, if Promises Fulfilled maintains the Amsterdam form he will be very difficult to beat. And really, who is going to run with him early? Firenze Fire, Still Having Fun and Engage are the next set of players with Telekinesis, Seven Trumpets and interesting turf emigre Gidu the puncher’s chance longshots..

Most Likely: #1 Promises Fulfilled 8-5 WON ($4.50)
Next Best: #8 Firenze Fire 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Still Having Fun 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Engage 4-1 4th

7th: 69th Personal Ensign (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (NYRA Bets P5, P3, DD)

Wow Cat had to need the Shuvee as a tightener being away over 6 months and can win today..

Best Value: #4 Wow Cat 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Elate 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Abel Tasman 6-5 WON ($3.50)
Super Add: #5 Farrell 6-1 5th

8th: 40th Ballerina (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

As usual, a great lineup of hard-hitting F&M’s that had a collective 7f record of 38/15-8-6 (before the SCR of Highway Star). Marley’s Freedom looks to pick up on an old West Coast invasion theme for this race hearkening back to Intangaroo & Maryfield..

Most Likely: #7 MARLEY’S FREEDOM 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #6 Lewis Bay 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Union Strike 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Finley’sluckycharm 3-1 7th

9th: 39th Forego (G1), 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

City of Light draws perfectly and can stalk or go as needed..

Most Likely: #8 City of Light 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Limousine Liberal 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 No Dozing 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 C Z Rocket 9-2 4th

10th: 44th Sword Dancer (G1), 3+, 12f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Feels like there will be some actual pace on here and with added ground, that gives Castellano and Sadler’s Joy their best chance. Would be thrilled for The Youngs and Highland Sky to win a race like this..

Most Likely: #10 Sadler’s Joy 7-2 6th
Next Best: #7 Channel Maker 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Highland Sky 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Funtastic 9-2 7th

11th: 149th Travers (G1), 3yo, 10f (P3, DD)

We didn’t need Justify to make for a very entertaining Travers. There’s Queen’s Plate winning filly Wonder Gadot (whose last fast dirt effort contends), turfy players in Catholic Boy & Mendelssohn, 4 Triple Crown event money finishers in Gronkowski, Bravazo, Good Magic and Tenfold and GSW’s Vino Rosso and King Zachary too. Travers one of the few major prizes Team Asmussen yet to claim and steady-developer Tenfold the right price key here in a Curlin-sired trifecta..

Most Likely: #10 Tenfold 8-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Good Magic 2-1 10th
Best Value: #7 King Zachary 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Bravazo 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Gronkowski 4-1 9th

P5 Grid:

7: 1-4-6 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
8: 7(A), – (B), 5-6-8
9: 8 (A), – (B), 1-5-6 (C)
10: 3-5-7-10 (A), 2-4-6-9 (B), 1-8 (C)
11: 7-9-10 (A), 3-4-11(B), 2-5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x1x8x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

8: 7(A), – (B), 5-6-8
9: 8 (A), – (B), 1-5-6 (C)
10: 3-5-7-10 (A), 2-4-6-9 (B), 1-8 (C)
11: 4-7-9-10 (A), 2-3-5-11(B), 1-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x1x8x8 = $64 ($32 for .50)
All A’s: 1x1x4x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)

12th: 30th Ballston Spa (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #3 Proctor’s Ledge 4-1 6th
Next Best: #1 A Raving Beauty 7-5 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Off Limits 3-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Quidura 4-1 WON ($9.50)

13th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #5 Azzedine 2-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Victor Lounge 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Proximate to Power 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Wisely 5-1 6th

P4 Grid:

10: 3-5-7-10 (A), 4-9 (B), 2-6-8 (C)
11: 7-9-10 (A), 3-4-11(B), 2-5-8 (C)
12: 1-3 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
13: 5-9 (A), – (B), 2-3-10-11(C)

Simple (A+B): 6x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 4x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

8/24: Saratoga (NY Summer Showcase)

Friday, August 24th, 2018

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Analyzethisandthat 9-2 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #1 Beachside 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Qian B C 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Pipes 4-1 3rd

2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Freud’s Affair 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 H Man 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Bluegrass Express 5-1 WON ($14.00)
Super Add: #6 Samay 6-1 2nd

3rd: 41st Albany-NY, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

This is a very good edition of Big Triple series finale. Speke SCR’Dadds blinks setting up a pace pairing with NY Derby winner Sea Foam. Somebody, (Singapore Trader? Analyze the Odds? Spectacular Kid?), is going to sit a perfect trip behind those two and have first run..

Best Value: #2 Singapore Trader 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Analyze the Odds 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Evaluator 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Sea Foam 2-1 WON ($5.60)

4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Nondescript bunch with 4 first timers, 5 second outs (3 moving to lawn) and stretchout candidate Caralicious from Mitch Friedman..

Best Value: #1 Miss After School 15-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Shak’s Hidden Gem 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Gypsy Mama 10-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Mensa Member 3-1 2nd

5th: 4th Funny Cide-NY, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Well matched set of 2yo boys with enough pace types involved to set up a late runner..

Most Likely: #7 La Fuerza 5-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Bankit 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Dalliance 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Bustin to Be Loved 9-2 3rd

P5 Grid:

1: 7(A), – (B), 1-3-6 (C)
2: 2-3-4 (A), – (B), 1-5-6 (C)
3: 2-6 (A), – (B), 1-5-7(C)
4: 1-2-3 (A), 7-10(B), – (C)
5: 5-7 (A), 2-4-6(B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 2-3-4 (A), – (B), 1-5-6 (C)
3: 2-6 (A), – (B), 1-5-7(C)
4: 1-2-3 (A), 7-10(B), – (C)
5: 5-7 (A), 2-4-6(B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

6th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Frisky Magician 5-2 8th
Best Value: #7 Discretionary Marq 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Banana Thief 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Samedi Sky Late SCR

7th: 5th Seeking the Ante-NY, 2yo-F, 6.5f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Collegeville Girl Gate SCR
Best Value: #7 She’s Trouble 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Party Like Grandma 7-2 WON ($7.90)
Exotics Use: #6 Time Warp 5-1 5th

8th: 38th Yaddo-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Fifty Five 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #2 La Moneda 5-2 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #8 Lady Joan 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Tizzelle 12-1 5th

9th: 4th Fleet Indian-NY, 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Take Charge Aubrey 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Split Time 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Rachel’s Blue Moon 8-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Indy’s Lady 8-1 4th

10th: 39th West Point-NY, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Offering Plan 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Tapitation 8-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Kharafa 6-1 WON ($37.40)
Exotics Use: #2 The J Y 20-1 8th

11th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #12 Brockmoninoff 5-2 WON ($5.90)
Next Best: #2 Wild William 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Enchanted Forest 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Causeforcelebration 7-2 3rd

P5 Grid:

7: 4 (A), – (B), 1-6-7 (C)
8: 7 (A), 2(B), 5-6-8 (C)
9: 2-3-7 (A), – (B), 9-11(C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), 4-10(C)
11: 2-3-5-8-9-12(A), 4-6-7-10-14 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x3x1x11 = $66 ($33 for .50)
All A’s: 1x1x3x1x6 = $18 ($9 for .50)

P4 Grid:

8: 2-7 (A), – (B), 5-6-8 (C)
9: 2-3-7 (A), – (B), 9-11(C)
10: 6 (A), 4-10(B), 1-2-7 (C)
11: 2-3-5-8-9-12(A), – (B), 4-6-7-10-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x6 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 2x3x1x6 = 36 x .50 = $18

8/22: Saratoga ($166k DBL C/O)

Wednesday, August 22nd, 2018

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th:NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

$166,166 DBL P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #4 Mr. Buff 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #6 Blugrasscat’s Smile 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Ostrolenka 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 All About Ashley 4-1 6th

6th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 9f-OFF/TURF(NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Admiral Blue 3rd
Best Value: #7 Total Tap 6th
Next Best: #6 Trustworthy WON ($9.50)
Exotics Use: #5 Zinger 4th

7th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Makin’ Out 5-2 WON ($4.50)
Next Best: #1 Mrs. Orb 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Adorina 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 In Denile 6-1 3rd

8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Driven by Speed 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Broken Border Gate SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Vortex Road 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Conquest Hardcandy 8-1 WON ($10.40)

9th: John’s Call-R, 3+, 13f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Rocketry 5-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Gold Shield 8-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Call Provision 3-1 4th-DQ’d from 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Focus Group 6-1 WON ($10.60)

10th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f

Most Likely: #4 Wild Type 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Change of Control 5-2 6th
Best Value: #7 Jazzy J 15-1 WON ($27.60)
Exotics Use: #5 The Leeman Dinner 6-1 9th

P6 Grid:

5: 4(A), – (B), 2-5-6 (C)
6: 1-7 (A), – (B), 2-5-6(C)
7: 1-8(A), – (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 6 (A), 1/SCR-5 (B), 4(C)
9: 8-9 (A), 4-10 (B), 5-6 (C)
10: 4-10 (A), – (B), 2-5-7(C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x2x3x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A’s: 1x2x2x1x2x2 = 16 x $2 = $32

P5 Grid:

6: 1 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-5 (C)
7: 1-8(A), – (B), 6-7-9 (C)
8: 1/SCR-5-6 (A), – (B), 4(C)
9: 8-9 (A), 4-10 (B), 5-6 (C)
10: 4-10 (A), – (B), 2-5-7(C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4x2 = 72 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

7: 1-8(A), – (B), 6-7-9 (C)
8: 1/SCR-5-6 (A), – (B), 4(C)
9: 8-9-10 (A), 4-6 (B), 5 (C)
10: 4-10 (A), 2-5-7(B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $16

8/20: Saratoga ($48k C/O)

Monday, August 20th, 2018

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N3L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Canadian Flyer 9-2
Best Value: #2 Mini Miles 10-1
Next Best: #4 Rappel 4-1
Exotics Use: #1e Diodoro entry 5-2

2nd: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Wappinger 2-1
Best Value: #1 Lutenanny 8-1
Next Best: #10 Stay Good 3-1
Exotics Use: #2 Zecha 5-1

3rd: MSW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Point to Remember 7-5
Next Best: #6 Domain 3-1
Exotics Use: #2 Big Muddy 5-2

4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$48k P6 C/O starts here..

Brutal start to carryover sequence with what looks to be a modest group featuring just one runner with experience, the DQ’d Super Simple (Guacamole up). Watch board for tote action before sending in P6 play..

Best Value: #7 Temperence 15-1
Next Best: #6 Introduced 9-2
Exotics Use: #10 Miss Hanna Jo 4-1
Super Add: #9 It’s a Shaw Thing 20-1

5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Messy-looking bottom level event which includes the eyebrow-raising first off the claim drop of King Kranz, taken for $62,500 on 7/7 and is offered for $12,500 here..

Most Likely: #6 Missle Bomb 3-1
Best Value: #1 Roll Tide Roll 8-1
Next Best: #7 King Kranz 5-2
Exotics Use: #5 Rectify 8-1

P5 Grid:

1: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), 1 (C)
2: 1-11 (A), 2-10 (B), 5-9 (C)
3: 5 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
4: 6-7-10 (A), – (B), 1-5-9 (C)
5: 1-6 (A), 5-7 (B), 8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 1-2-10-11 (A), – (B), 5-9 (C)
3: 5 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
4: 6-7-9-10 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
5: 1-6 (A), 5-7 (B), 8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x6x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 4x1x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

6th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Little Code 7-2
Best Value: #10 Miko 6-1
Next Best: #11 Arch of Troy 4-1
Exotics Use: #3 China Rider 8-1

7th: Opt CLM/C, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Quality Time 4-1
Best Value: #1 Rumble Doll 6-1
Next Best: #9 Miss Gossip 9-2
Exotics Use: #10 Jumby Bay 4-1

8th: Evan Shipman-NY, 3+, 9f (DD)

State-bred standard honoring the great mid-century turf writer came up terrific..

Most Likely: #7 Pat On the Back 2-1
Best Value: #6 Wine Not 5-1
Next Best: #3 Twisted Tom 3-1
Exotics Use: #1 Control Group 9-2

9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 9f-IT

Most Likely: #1 Riendo 9-2
Next Best: #6 Cuarenta 5-1
Best Value: #5 Millie’s Party Boy 8-1
Exotics Use: #8 Last Chant 15-1

P6 Grid:

Sequence is far too treacherous to be played for small money.. All A play listed as action bet only..

4: 6-7-10 (A)
5: 6 (A)
6: 6-10-11 (A)
7: 1-6 (A)
8: 7 (A)
9: 1-6 (A)

All A’s: 3x1x3x2x1x2 = 36 x $2 = $72

P5 Grid:

5: 6 (A), – (B), 1-5-7 (C)
6: 6-10-11 (A), – (B), 1-2-9 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 9-10 (B), 4-8 (C)
8: 3-6-7 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
9: 1-6 (A), – (B), 3-5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x4x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 6-10-11 (A), – (B), 1-2-9 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 9-10 (B), 4-8 (C)
8: 3-6-7 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
9: 1-6 (A), – (B), 3-5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve

8/18: Saratoga (Alabama; $40k C/O)

Saturday, August 18th, 2018

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 9f-OFF/TURF(P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Causeur 5th
Next Best: #13 Ding Dong Ditch 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Blasphemy 4th
Super Add: #7 Valycove 3rd

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 7f-OFF/TURF(P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Standard Deviation WON ($2.90)
Next Best: #4 Malthael 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Vineyard Sound 2nd
Super Add: #11 My America 4th

3rd: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Excellent, old fashioned $50k claimer with droppers & turn-backs peppering the pot..

Most Likely: #4 J S Bach 2-1 WON ($7.90)
Next Best: #2 Sir Ballantine 10-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Fundy’s Tide 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Daddy D T 9-2 6th

4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Ahead of Plan 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Principled 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 He’s the Souperwon 4-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Endorsed 6-1 WON ($18.60)

5th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Shape Shifter 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Gypsy Janie 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Richie’slilwildcat 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Our Girl Abby 7-2 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 8-12-13 (A), – (B), 1-7-10(C)
2: 13(A), 4 (B), 3-11 (C)
3: 2-3-4-6 (A), – (B), 1-5-7 (C)
4: 7 (A), 2 (B), 4-5 (C)
5: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x4x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 4-13(A), – (B), 3-11 (C)
3: 2-3-4-6 (A), 1-5-7 (B), – (C)
4: 7 (A), 2 (B), 4-5 (C)
5: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x7x2x3 = 84 x .50 = $42
All A’s: 2x4x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Among the 3 that have started, there isn’t a pace player unless Most Mischief is better out of the gate today. And the firsters haven’t shown much sharp gate action either. Mrs. Weber’s Wild Medagliad’oro finished fast in bow behind Absolutely Aiden and merits the nod..

Most Likely: #5 Wild Medagliad’oro 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #10 Quick Entry 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Most Mischief 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Kentucky Wildcat 12-1 6th

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-OFF/TURF(P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Hollywood Cat 4th
Next Best: #8 Lovely La La 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Cartwheel WON ($9.40)
Super Add: #13 Beach Princess 3rd

8th: Lake Placid (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

On a normal lawn, would use Daddy Is a Legend, Rushing Fall & Thewayiam and move on. But over a boggy strip, dynamics can be different. Go Noni Go figures to lead a long way over the heavy going and Rushing Fall get the edge with the stalking voyage. Those that look to come from off the pace will find it hard to accelerate..

Most Likely: #6 Rushing Fall 9-5 WON ($4.70)
Next Best: #2 Daddy Is a Legend 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Go Noni Go 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Thewayiam 7-2 7th

9th: Alabama (G1), 3yo-F, 10f (DD)

Terrific running of this long time standard with division star Midnight Bisou and cast of stakes winning/stakes placed players including emergent She’s a Julie. Discussed the last few days on ATR and tweeted that stylistically, Alabama winners need to be on or near the pace. The last 6 Alabama winners (Elate, Songbird, Embellishthelace, Stopchargingmaria, Princess of Sylmar, Questing) ~ and 9 of the last 11 ~ had the lead at the quarter pole with only Royal Delta and Blind Luck coming from further back in the last 2f. Today, She’s a Julie & Talk Veuve to Me figure to spar up front and recognize that Piedi Bianchi exits a sprint and may be forward early given her inside draw. Add in stalking/pressing interests of Coach Rocks and Auspicious Babe and there’s a likelihood of authentic splits at the Classic trip. Midnight Bisou (7-5), Eskimo Kisses (6-1) and Figarella’s Queen (15-1) are the fillies that look to have the opportunity to take advantage of any heated action on the lead. Bred for the distance Figarella’s Queen has moved up since returning to dirt and gets the ideal rider for a well-timed run at potentially tiring leaders..

Best Value: #6 Figarella’s Queen 15-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Midnight Bisou 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Eskimo Kisses 6-1 WON ($20.00)
Super Add: #8 Talk Veuve to Me 5-2 4th

10th: CLM, 3+, 7f-OFF/TURF

Seven are left for the finale and Brimstone looks like the pacesetter, but 7f is different than the 9f romp he exits. If Thunder & Swing take part in the early running, Bitumen can pick them all off late and may be an inviting number..

Best Value: #6 Bitumen 4th
Next Best: #10 California Swing 2nd
Exotics Use: #13 Driven by Thunder WON ($6.90)
Super Add: #16 Brimstone 3rd

P6 Grid:

5: 5 (A), 7 (B), 3-4 (C)
6: 5 (A), – (B), 3-10 (C)
7: 3-8-10(A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6(A), – (B), 1-4-5 (C)
9: 2-3-6 (A), – (B), 4-7-8 (C)
10: 6 (A), 10 (B), 13-16 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x3x2x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A’s: 1x1x3x2x3x1 = 18 x $2 = $36

P5 Grid:

6: 5 (A), – (B), 3-10 (C)
7: 3-8-10(A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6(A), – (B), 1-4-5 (C)
9: 2-3-6 (A), 4-7-8 (B), – (C)
10: 6-10 (A), 13-16 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x2x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 3-8-10(A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6(A), 1-4-5 (B), – (C)
9: 2-3-6 (A), 4-7-8 (B), – (C)
10: 6-10 (A), – (B), 13-16 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x6x2 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18