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11/21: Aqueduct ($263k P6 C/O)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$263k P6 C/O starts here..

Complex sequence(s) start with this MDN turf puzzle where those with experience are OK and firsters from Brown (Demarchelier), Casse (Lisbon), Pletcher (Dr. English), Clement (Sea of Hope) and Wayne Potts (American Commander) add to the confusion. Mott (Seismic Wave) and Clement (A.P. Indian half Malthael) players start the discussion and though Handel (Bronxville) isn’t strong getting runners to win moving to grass, note that sire He’s Had Enough is having success with his progeny trying the lawn (4/18 for 22% first turf)..

Best Value: #3 Seismic Wave 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Malthael 3-1 5th
Exotics …

4/7: AQU ($165k C/O), KEE (Stakes P5), SA ($106k C/O)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: 123rd Gazelle (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

$165k 2-day C/O starts here..

Understand those wanting to try to beat Midnight Disguise, but she’s the only one here that’s proven around 2 turns and it came in stakes company at that..

Most Likely: #3 Midnight Disguise 8-5 4th
Best Value: #6 My Miss Lilly 5-1 WON ($7.90)
Next Best: #5 Sara Street 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Smokinpaddylassie 3-1 5th

7th: 106th Excelsior (G3), 4+, 9f (NYRA Bets P5, P3, DD)

Curious lineup and all I know for sure is that I want the horses that have won at the trip and over the strip..

Most Likely: #3 Zanotti 7-2 …

3/10: Aqueduct (7th-10th); Santa Anita (4th-11th)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: 63rd Stymie, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Treacherous start to the all stakes P4. Hit It Once More will make the lead but is going to face more pace pressure than in Haynesfield win. Davis will want to maneuver Harlan Punch (back on shortest rest yet) to Hit It’s outside and we’ll see how much of a duel develops. 10-1 Fellowship comes to town and should enjoy an excellent stalking trip outside the pacesetters. The rest of the field will get opportunities to make their runs and entire group is separated by less than 3 lengths on paper..

Most Likely: #5 Watershed 6-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Fellowship 10-1 5th
Next …

2/17: Aqueduct (6th-9th); Fair Grounds (2nd-9th)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mizzen Max 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #1 Eighth Commandment 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Awsum Roar 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Strawberry Tequila 3-1 3rd

7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Tricky group. And note Quai Voltaire would move up in off going..

Best Value: #2 Truly a Moon Shot 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Javelin 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Alum 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Gehrig 5-1 6th

8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #3 Nigel’s Destiny 8-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Hammerin Aamer 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 …

2/3: AQU (8th-9th); GP (8th-12th); SA (5th-9th)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: 138th Withers (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Distance the question to float here and Servis choosing to get it answered early on the Trail with Firenze Fire. Meanwhile, we know Avery Island & Marconi want the trip. Solid, experienced Bal Harbour ships up from FL and provides some value. Six line up and without a great deal of pace, this is a chess match among the jocks..

SCR NOTE ~ California Night SCR’ing from Withers leaving no authentic speed.. Avery Island and an aggressive Carmouche on Bal Harbour likely spar sparingly.

Best Value: #3 Bal Harbour 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Marconi 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Avery Island …