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5/10: Churchill Downs ($385k Must Pay P6 C/O)



3rd: CLM, 4+, 7f (.20 P6, P3, DD)

$385k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here..

You know I’m a sucker for the triple whammy and Boyd Crowder adds a few more to the karma moves dropping down, cutting back, going turf to dirt and putting blinkers on. Plus Walsh reaches for his go to guy in Lanerie..

Best Value: #4 Boyd Crowder 9-2
Next Best: #7 Tiznoble 5-1
Exotics Use: #8 Chief of Staff 7-2
Super Add: #5 Catanova 9-2

4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Very competitive group with a few trying the lawn for the first time..

Most Likely: #5 Zipp On By 7-2
Best Value: #6 Mutation 20-1
Next Best: #2 El Venue 10-1
Exotics Use: #3 …

Derby on tap after Baffert swipes Oaks

Cold, wet day at the Downs for Oaks and hopes for a cleaner Derby forecast have not materialized.. The early situation is detailed below and looks impossible now that track won’t be wet by 6:46p feature post. Turf holding up well though and the grass stakes should be terrific. Other than strong rail opportunities, (utilized by Mena for instance on the Wes Hawley 30-1 ALW upsetter), main track was pretty fair as evidenced by the Abel Tasman’s wide last-to-first Oaks rally under Mike Smith. No monster scores Friday, but a few helpful pops, especially the early P3, made for an OK wagering day. Hope everyone did well. Let’s make the most of Derby Day!

TURF: GOOD (Lane 1, on the …

Questions abound in unusual Derby


1st: OC/C, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Geothermal 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Rise Up 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Rocket Time 3-1 WON ($5.20)

2nd: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Pinson 10-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Divine Interventio 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1e Oxley entry 5-2 2nd/3rd
Super Add: #8 Unexplained 4-1 5th

3rd: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Jazzy Times 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #11 Grand Candy 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Jimbo Fallon 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Seeking …