KENTUCKY DOWNS

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Seisei 6-1 WON ($16.44)
Best Value: #7 Trail Ridge Road 15-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Eminent Victor 9-5 12th
Exotics Use: #12 Soft Touch 6-1 4th

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Dulcia 12-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Reflexivity 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Our Dotsie 12-1 6th
Super Add: #12 Irish Patsy 10-1 4th

7th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Gotta Keep Him 4-1 7th
Best Value: #12 Anthonian 10-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Mourne Mountains 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Liam’s Journey 5-1 2nd

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 10.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Good American 9-2 WON ($7.52)
Best Value: #2 Lay the Groundwork 8-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Fiddle 5-1 11th
Exotics Use: #9 Pretty Provocative 8-1 6th

P5 Grid:

5: 3-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 2-6 (A), 9-12 (B), – (C)
7: 11-12 (A), 6-10 (B), – (C)
8: 1-2 (A), – (B), 9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-A-A-C): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (9-11 in 8th)

9th: Juvenile, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Mozlzil 30-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Value Engineer 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Aspenite 3-1 WON ($15.06)
Super Add: #8 Blue Eyed George 10-1 10th

10th: Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #8 Bella Haze 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Kodiac Wintergreen 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Latte Lizzie 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Sea Dancer 9-2 5th

11th: MSW, 3+, 7f-T (Hi-5_

Best Value: #5 Gold Franc 6-1 –
Next Best: #1 Baie Longue 3-1 WON ($6.82)
Exotics Use: #4 Tunisian Spring 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Raven’s Nest 15-1 –
Hi-5 Play: #12 Sunset Town 8-1 –

P5 Grid:

7: 11-12 (A), 6-10 (B), – (C)
8: 1-2-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-6-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 8 (A), – (B), 10 (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 4-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: (A-A-A-C-A): 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (10 in 10th)

P4 Grid:

8: 1-2-9-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-6-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 8 (A), 10 (B), 7 (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 4-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 4x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: (A-A-C-A): 4x3x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (7 in 10th)

KENTUCKY DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Lilac Girl 5-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Mo Bills 15-1 WON ($8.58)
Next Best: #11 Frontal Attack 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lemon Bomb 8-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Million Dollar Cat 20-1 11th

5th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Torigo 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Auden 9-2 6th
Next Best: #11 Brigade Commander 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Earl of Dassel 30-1 5th

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 10.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Dripping Gold 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 O P Firecracker 12-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Corelli 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Henley’s Joy 6-1 11th

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Frothy 8-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Le Beau 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Heartstruck 12-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Hola Gata 7-2 WON ($11.50)

8th: Franklin-Simpson (G2), 3yo, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Frosted Departure 12-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Sweet Cherry Pie 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Playlist 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Private Creed 9-2 WON ($14.02)

P5 Grid:

4: 3-6-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 2 (A), – (B), 9 (C)
6: 2-4-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-4 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)
8: 1-7 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-C-A-A-A): 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (9 in 5th)

9th: Ladies Turf (G3), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Sparkle Blue 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 New Year’s Eve 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Haughty 4-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Querobin Dourada 15-1 5th

P4 Grid:

6: 2-4-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-7 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
9: 2-6-7 (A), 4-5 (B), 1-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-C): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-3 in 9th)

10th: Turf Sprint (G2), 3+, 6f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Cogburn 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1 One Timer 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Olympic Runner 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Bad Beat Brian 10-1 3rd

11th: Ladies Turf Sprint (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Quaria Comet 5-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Our Flash Drive 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Wakanaka 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Gal in a Rush Late SCR

12th: Kentucky Turf Cup (G2), 3+, 12f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Never Explain 8-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Red Knight 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Verstappen 9-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Foreign Relations 12-1 10th

P5 Grid:

8: 1-7 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
9: 6-7 (A), 2 (B), 4-5 (C)
10: 1-7 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)
11: 2-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 2-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (A-C-A-A-A): 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (4-5 in 9th)
Backup (A-A-C-A-A): 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3-4 in 10th)

P4 Grid:

9: 2-6-7 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
10: 1-7 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)
11: 2-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 2-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

COLONIAL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

10th (6:20pm ET): Virginia Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (DD)

Best Value: #9 Integration 8-1 WON ($15.40)
Next Best: #11 Program Trading 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Gigante 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Activist Investing 10-1 7th

DEL MAR

POST-SCRATCHES

10th (8:59pm ET): Del Mar Debutante (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Chatalas 5-1 4th
Best Value: #13 Laurent 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Tamara 7-2 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #12 Gate to Paradise 20-1 3rd

KENTUCKY DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Baby Voss 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Miranda Rights 8-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Spirit Maker 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 He’s Got Swagger 8-1 4th

5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Candy Corn 6-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Act of Mutiny 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Committee of One 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Palm Tree 10-1 WON ($10.34)

6th: ALW/C, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

SCR 1-2-3-6-10-11

Most Likely: #4 Oeuvre WON ($2.72)
Best Value: #12 Twirled 4th
Next Best: #8 Souper Munnings 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Last Leaf 2nd

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 12.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Boltoro, whose half brother Deep Strike runs in the 5th, gets the Biscuit back on and has run a couple of races lately that can win this. Dixie Supreme and Robin Sage are double digits and very viable for any pay slot. Wildly competitive affair..

Best Value: #7 Boltoro 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Sri Lanka 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Dixie Supreme 15-1 11th
Super Add: #12 Robin Sage 12-1 WON ($50.36)

P4 Grid:

4: 3-4-7-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-6 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
6: 4 (A), – (B), 8-12 (C)
7: 2-7-9 (A), 4-10-12 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 4x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: (A-A-C-A): 4x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 (8-12 in 6th)

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

SCR 3-6-7-12-13-16 which gets dangerous #14 Chasing the Crown (5-2) in to the field. Ed Seltzer’s Axthelm returns to Franklin and Saffie has won 2 already at the meet. (Actually is 8/2-1-2 thus far)..

Best Value: #8 Axthelm 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Fair Dinkum 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #14 Chasing the Crown 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 Underdressed 8-1 3rd

9th: One Dreamer-R, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (DD)

Most likely: #5 Viareggio 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 For the Flag 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Present Moment 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Sister Lou Ann 6-1 WON ($10.46)

10th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Tough finale with 5 going to lawn for first time (6-7-8-9-11) and McPeek debuting I’m a Mess, American Pharoah out of Julia Tuttle, so a half to Tom’s D’Etat..

Most Likely: #3 Judgement 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Foreseen 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Yatta 3-1 WON ($7.12)
Exotics Use: #10 Joke Master 12-1 10th

P5 Grid:

6: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-7-9-12 (A), 3-4-5-10 (B), – (C)
8: 4-8-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5 (A), – (B), 7 (C)
10: 1-3-8 (A), 6-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x8x3x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 1x4x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-C-A): 1x4x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

7: 2-7-9-12 (A), 3-4-5-10 (B), – (C)
8: 4-8-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5 (A), – (B), 7 (C)
10: 1-3-8 (A), 6-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x3x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 4x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-C-A): 4x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7 in 9th)

SARATOGA ~ CLOSING DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, 4+, 7f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Very difficult read..

Most Likely: #7 Senor Jobim 5-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Float On 5-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Sagamore Mischief 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Swiftsure 8-1 WON ($6.60)

5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Scherzando 12-1 2nd ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #4 Voleuse 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 (POE) Russi 9-2 WON ($10.40)/5th
Super Add: #3 Okaloosa 4-1 4th

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (Must Pay P6, P3, DD)

Note that the body of the field are all first time starters. The AE’s all have made debuts (#’s 11-16) and any that draw in appear to instantly command respect ahead of the #’s 1-10..

Most Likely: #9 Wisecracker 9-2 6th
Next Best: #1 Sorority Prank 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Winwood 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Solo’s Fury 5-2 2nd

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (Must Pay P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Snowy Evening 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Overacting 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Smokie Eyes 5-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Waterville 7-2 WON ($8.90)

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Agility Late SCR
Next Best: #8 Win for Gold 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Always Charming 4-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Callaloo 6-1 5th

P5 Grid:

4: 1-7 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
5: 6 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 1-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-6-7 (A), 2-10 (B), – (C)
8: 4–8 (A), – (B), 9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-A-C): 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (9-10 in 8th)

P4 Grid:

5: 4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 1-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-6-7 (A), 2-10 (B), – (C)
8: 4–8 (A), 9-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

9th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 American Know How 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #5 Borletti 6-1 10th
Next Best: #8 Alexis Zorba 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Be There 12-1 4th

10th: Hopeful (G1), 2yo, 7f (DD)

This should be really good..

Best Value: #6 Gold Sweep 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Timberlake 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Valentine Candy 12-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Yo Yo Candy 20-1 10th

11th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-Inner

Next Best: #11 Lt. Mitchell 5-2 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #8 Chulligan 9-2 7th
Super Add: #5 Fake Celebrity 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Unaffected 20-1 10th

P5 Grid:

7: 4-6-7 (A), 2-10 (B), – (C)
8: 4–8 (A), – (B), 9-10 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 8 (B), – (C)
10: 5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 8-11 (A), 5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x2x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (A-C-A-A-A): 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (9-10 in 8th)

P4 Grid:

8: 4–8-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-5-8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Hammerin Aamer 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Magnolia Midnight 7-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Durkin’s Call 9-2 2nd/4th
Super Add: #2 Sprinklehead 12-1 5th (4th for mutuels)

5th: MSW-R, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$251k P6 C/O starts here..

Treacherous start to sequence..

Most Likely: #2 Cowes 7-2 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #10 Piccata Prince 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Nano Man 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Magic Beach 6-1 4th

6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Caitlinhergrtness 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Nikitis 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Genetics 3-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Alpine Princess 4-1 WON ($8.90)

7th: S/ALW, 3+, 9f-Inner (P4, P3, DD))

Best Value: #3 Born a Gambler 8-1 5th ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #2 Ski Patrol 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1a Jarreau 3-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Empire Attraction 9-2 4th

P4 Grid:

4: 6-7 (A), 1 (B), – (C)
5: 2-10 (A), 3-6 (B), 4-8 (C)
6: 2-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-C-A-A): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Well-matched heat with 4 of these (4-7-11-12) fogged up on the PP’s after running in events taken off the grass..

Best Value: #11 Can’t Fool Me 12-1 WON ($16.40)
Next Best: #10 Dontmesswithtess 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Miss Kristy 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #12 Anileate 15-1 5th

9th: Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (DD)

This feature and tomorrow’s Hopeful are as strong and compelling as any in recent memory. Every indication is that Ways and Means has unlimited upside and given the challenges of the rest of the P6 sequence, is your best single option..

Most Likely: #8 Ways and Means 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Sugar Hi 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Brightwork 5-2 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Wonder Ride 12-1 3rd

10th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner

Best Value: #9 Dark Pool 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Jet City Woman 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Whiskey Lullaby 9-2 WON ($6.40)
Super Add: #7 Rosy Tomorrows 6-1 6th

P6 Grid:

5: 2-10 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)
6: 5-9 (A), 2 (B), – (C)
7: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 10-11 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
9: 8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3x1x2 = $144
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x1x2 = $32

P5 Grid:

6: 2-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 7-10-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 8 (A), 3 (B), 9 (C)
10: 1-9 (A), 3-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-C-A): 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (9 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

7: 2-3 (A), 1 (B), – (C)
8: 7-10-11-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 8 (A), 3 (B), 9 (C)
10: 1-3-7-9-13 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x4x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (A-A-C-A): 2x4x1x5 = 40 x .50 = $20 (9 in 9th)