7/13: Saratoga (Diana, Sanford; X-C P5)
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: MSW-$, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)
Best Value: #5 Amore Sofia 5-1
Next Best: #4 Dare to Breeze 4-5
Exotics Use: #2 Mischief Maxey 9-2
Super Add: #3 Gerlin’s Empire 6-1
2nd: Kelso (G3), 4+, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #5 Carl Spackler 2-1
Next Best: #4 Talk of the Nation 2-1
3rd: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Celestial Gaze 3-1
Best Value: #3 Didinger 12-1
Next Best: #1a (POE) Top Gunner 2-1
Exotics Use: #7 Lost in Rome 8-1
4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 CLASSIC LEGACY 5-2
Next Best: #2 Illuminaire 7-5
Best Value: #6 Vinco 12-1
Exotics Use: #4 Kunshan Bridge 8-1
5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)
Best Value: #3 Rebel Red 5-1
Next Best: #1e Brown entry 6-5
Exotics Use: #7 Ramblin’ Wreck 4-1
Super Add: #8 Samburu 8-1
P5 Grid:
1: 4-5 (A), 2-3 (B), – (C)
2: 4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 3-4 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
4: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B):
All A’s:
P4 Grid:
2: 4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 3-4 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
4: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B):
All A’s:
6th: NY-ALW/N1Z, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Act of Congress could prove tough to catch here. After that, there’s 7-8 that look eligible..
Most Likely: #10 Act of Congress 5-1
Next Best: #1 Turriga 5-1
Best Value: #3 City Blocks 30-1
Exotics Use: #7 Stolen Future 7-2
7th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f ($1 P6, P3, DD)
This is a problematic group of babies..
Best Value: #2 Moment’s Notice 8-1
Next Best: #3 Tenacious Leader 5-2
Exotics Use: #7 Munson 6-1
Super Add: #1 Tough Catch 8-1
P4 Grid:
4: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 1-10 (A), – (B), 3-7 (C)
7: 1-2-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
All A’s: 1x3x2x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)
Backup (AACA): 1x3x2x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
8th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)
Yeesh. More problematic maidens, albeit for a different reason..
These have clear talent and there’s easily 7 conceivable for graduation
(1-1a-2-3-5-7-10)..
Best Value: #5 Escondido 10-1
Next Best: #10 Hurricane Nelson 3-1
Exotics Use: #3 Upstanding 4-1
Super Add: #2 Point Clear 5-1
MONMOUTH 9th: Blue Sparkler, 3yo-F, 5f-T (DD)
Best Value: #8 Shuangxi 5-1
Next Best: #4 Tiffany Girl 2-1
Exotics Use: #3 Super Freaky Girl 4-1
Super Add: #5 El Terreno 9-2
Cross Country P5 Grid:
MTH 9: 4-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
SAR 9: 8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
MTH 10: 6-7 (A), – (B), 3-5 (C)
SAR 10: 1-6 (A), 3-4-5 (B), – (C)
SAR 11: 3-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AACAA): 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3-5 in MTH 10th)
9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Irish Aces is certainly ‘likeliest’ dropping back from stakes
placement, but also has a license to regress which would open the window
to a host of alternatives. Cherie brings Taking Candy back from year
layoff and he was terrific here last summer taking ALW ahead of Saranac
2nd to Carl Spackler. Will be obscured v. those with recency..
Best Value: #10 Taking Candy 10-1
Next Best: #8 Irish Aces 2-1
Exotics Use: #9 Beuys 5-1
Super Add: #1 Tidal Forces 10-1
P5 Grid:
5: 1-3-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 10 (A), 1 (B), 3-7 (C)
7: 2-3 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
8: 3-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (3-7 in 6th)
P4 Grid:
6: 1-10 (A), – (B), 3-7 (C)
7: 2-3 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
8: 3-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 8-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAA): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
MONMOUTH 10th: CLM, 3+, 6f
Most Likely: #6 Palm Island 9-5
Next Best: #7 Threethirtythree 9-2
Best Value: #3 Cruising Derek 15-1
Exotics Use: #5 Little Skippy 8-1
10th: Diana (G1), F&M-4+, 9f-Inner (P3, DD)
The 1st Beat Byk race of the season and it’s an absolute war. Moira
should be ready to fire and Whitebeam has a tactical edge with
uncertainty of where the speed is coming from.. Play to qualify to win a
seat to NHC: https://www.ntra.com/nhc/beatbyk/
Most Likely: #1 Moira 5-1
Next Best: #6 Whitebeam 4-1
Best Value: #3 Mission of Joy 10-1
Exotics Use: #5 Gina Romantica 8-1
11th: Sanford (G3), 2yo, 6f (DD)
Jerry Robb returns with Studlydoright and while he won’t be 14-1
again, he won’t be close to favored either. Right back. Mentee and Baby
Dukes could end up sparing up front and Butch Reid’s debut winner offers
value at 12-1..
Most Likely: #6 Studlydoright 7-2
Best Value: #3 Baby Dukes 12-1
Next Best: #5 Three Echoes 4-1
Exotics Use: #8 Mo Plex 8-1
12th: OC-S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T
Best Value: #7 Three Zero 6-1
Next Best: #9 Rhythm Nic 9-2
Exotics Use: #2 Dr Oseran 7-2
Super Add: #5 Heymackit’sjack 8-1
P5 Grid:
8: 3-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 8-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 3-4-5-10 (B), – (C)
11: 6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
12: 7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x3x6x1x2 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3 in 11th)
P4 Grid:
9: 8-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-3-6 (A), 4-5-10 (B), – (C)
11: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x6x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Good luck!
Steve