PHILADELPHIA PARX

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: PA-Prince Lucky, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Gordian Knot 2-1 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #4 Ninetyprcentmaddie 9-5 Gate SCR
Exotics Use: #9 In Spades 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Keithsendshelloooo 8-1 2nd

6th: PA-Plum Pretty, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Leader of the Band 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Trolley Ride 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Love in the Air 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Midnight Obsession 6-1 4th

7th: Parx Dirt Mile, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Too Boss 9-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Derby House 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Mind Control 6-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Milton the Monster 12-1 7th

8th: Greenwood Cup (G3), 3+, 12f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Magic Michael 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Fearless 6-5 7th
Best Value: #5 Riden With Biden 8-1 WON ($19.20)
Exotics Use: #7 The Reds 5-1 8th

P4 Grid:

5: 4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

9th: Turf Monster (G3), 3+, 5f-T (Must Pay Philly 5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Boat’s a Rockin 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 That’s Right 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Uncle Ernie 8-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Breezy Gust 10-1 6th

10th: Gallant Bob (G3), 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Alottahope 10-1 12th
Next Best: #8 Witty 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Provocateur 4-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Runninsonofagun 6-1 3rd

P4 Grid:

7: 2-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-8 (A), – (B), 5-7 (C)
9: 1-7 (A), 5-9 (B), – (C)
10: 8-12 (A), 3-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (5-7 in 8th): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

11th: Cotillion (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Green Up 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Adare Manor 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Shahama 8-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Gerrymander 8-1 8th

12th: PA Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Skippylongstocking 10-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Cyberknife 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Taiba 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #1 Zandon 5-1 2nd

13th: PA-Alphabet Soup, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #6 Midnight Hauler 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Buy Land and See 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #7 You Must Chill 3-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Wait for It 6-1 5th

Must Pay P5 Grid:

9: 1-7 (A), 5-9 (B), – (C)
10: 8-12 (A), – (B), 3-9 (C)
11: 1-2-7 (A), – (B), 3-5-6-9 (C)
12: 4-5-8 (A), – (B), 1-6 (C)
13: 6 (A), 1 (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups ($72): $18 (3-9 in 10th) $24 (3-5-6-9 in 11th) + $12 (1-6 in 12th) + $18 (7 in 13th)

P4 Grid:

10: 8-12 (A), 3-9 (B), – (C)
11: 1-2-7 (A), – (B), 3-5-6-9 (C)
12: 4-5-8 (A), 1-6 (B), – (C)
13: 1-6 (A), – (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups ($33): $24 (3-5-6-9 in 11th) + $9 (7 in 13th)

PRESQUE ISLE DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: Dobbens Landing, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Enjoy the Music 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Nice Ace 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Petit Verdot 10-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Newstome 15-1 5th

5th: S/ALW, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 The Sinner is You 7-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #4 Beat the Dealer 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Fuel the Bern 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Emicrack 4-1 2nd

6th: Presque Isle Mile, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Harlan Estate 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 He’spuregold 12-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Carpenters Call 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Title Ready 5-2 7th

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Valentine Bug 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #5 Jo Jo Hans 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 He’s a Mess 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Viski Jones 9-2 9th

8th: Presque Isle Masters (G2), F&M-

Most Likely: #6 Caravel 5-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Change of Control 7-2 9th
Best Value: #8 Maggie’s Bid 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Jeanie B 8-1 5th

9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f

Best Value: #4 Red Dubonnet 20-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Joyful Candy 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Golden Oak 8-1 5th
Super Add: #6 American Chaos 7-2 4th

P6 P5 Grid:

5: 3 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
6: 2-3-9 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
7: 3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-7-12 (A), 6-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x2x2x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A’s: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (4 in 5th)

P4 Grid:

6: 2-3-9 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
7: 3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-7-12 (A), 6-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x2x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Communication Memo 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Release McCracken 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Create Trouble 6-1 11th
Super Add: #3 Army Star 15-1 7th

6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (Derby City 6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Pro Oxident 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Unbridled Honor 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Gulfstream Way 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Uber Kirk 15-1 WON ($21.20)

7th: Open Mind, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Bell’s the One 6-5 WON ($3.08)
Next Best: #1 Sconsin 8-5 3rd

8th: Locust Grove (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Lil Tootsie 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Envoutante 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Played Hard 2-1 WON ($6.24)
Super Add: #1 Gold Spirit 6-1 4th

P4 Grid:

5: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-9 (A), 4-11 (B), – (C)
7: 4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-4-5 (A), – (B), 1-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x3 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (1-3 in 8th): 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8

9th: Iroquois (G3), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Damon’s Mound 5-2 6th
Next Best: #9 Echo Again 2-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Curly Jack 5-1 WON ($23.66)
Exotics Use: #6 Jace’s Road 7-2 3rd

10th: Louisville TB Society, 3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Miles Ahead 6-1 WON ($7.46)
Next Best: #7 Top Gunner 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Isolate 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #4 Necker Island 5-2 3rd

11th: Pocahontas (G3), 2yo-F, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Grand Love 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Fun and Feisty 6-1 WON ($14.46)
Next Best: #11 Justa Warrior 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Shoplifter 15-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #3 Naughty Gal 5-1 12th

P5 Grid:

7: 1-2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-4-5 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
9: 3-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 5-7 (A), 4-6 (B), – (C)
11: 5 (A), – (B), 10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x4x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (10-11 in 11th): 3x3x2x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36

P4 Grid:

8: 2-4-5 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
9: 3-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 5-7 (A), 4-6 (B), – (C)
11: 5-10 (A), – (B), 4-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x4x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (4-11 in 11th): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

BEL/AQU

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Occult 3-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Padma 9-5 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #6 Royal Poppy 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Spun Special 8-1 3rd

[u]7th: Jockey Club Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 11f-T (P5, P3, DD)/U]

Most Likely: #1 McKulick 4-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #5 Miss Yearwood 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Toskana Belle 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Beside Herself 4-1 4th

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Klickitat 5-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Immortalization 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Phantom Smoke 7-2 7th
Super Add: #7 Carpe’s Dream 12-1 5th

9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Expressman 2-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Nabokov 6-1 WON ($18.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Mackillop 6-1 6th
Super Add: #1a American Gentleman 10-1 3rd

10th: Jockey Club Derby (G3), 3yo, 12f-T (DD)

Best Value: #6 Ardakan 4-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Nations Pride 1-1 WON ($3.10)
Exotics Use: #1 Classic Causeway 2-1 3rd

11th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer

Best Value: #9 Ard Macha 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Royal Dancer 7-5 WON ($3.30)
Exotics Use: #4 Shinfull 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Lemon Red 8-1 8th

P5 Grid:

7: 1 (A), – (B), 4-5 (C)
8: 4-6-7-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 7 (A), – (B), 2-5 (C)
10: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 8-9 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x1x2x4 = $40 ($20 for .50)
All A’s: 1x5x1x2x2 = 20 x .50 = $10
Backups: $20 (4-5 in 7th) + $20 (2-5 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

8: 4-6-7-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 7 (A), – (B), 2-5 (C)
10: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 8-9 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x2x4 = $40 ($20 for .50)
All A’s: 5x1x2x2 = 20 x .50 = $10
Backup: $20 (2-5 in 9th)

WOODBINE

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Bijou Baby 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Bedazzle Me 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 State of Mind 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Flysofreeashleeb 4-1 8th

7th: Summer (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (.20 P6, .20 P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Appraise 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Mysterious Night 6-5 WON ($3.10)
Exotics Use: #6 Phillip My Dear 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Sammy Stone 20-1 6th

[u]8th Seaway (G3), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)[u]

Streaking Hazelbrook irresistible at 8-1 (or so) against usual suspects here..

Best Value: #7 Hazelbrook 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Lady Speightspeare 2-1 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #5 Souper Sensational 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Beyond Mybudget 10-1 7th

9th: Woodbine Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (.20 P4, P3, DD)

Ivar at 4-1 easily preferable to overrated Modern Games. Homer Screen’s near miss to top West Coast miler Hong Kong Harry makes him a player at attractive number..

Most Likely: #2 Ivar 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Homer Screen 10-1 11th
Next Best: #5 Modern Games 7-5 WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Shirl’s Speight 12-1 4th

10th: Natalma (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

One of the day’s most interesting groups. Sure looks like there’s pace aplenty..

Best Value: #3 G Laurie 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Wickenheiser 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Cairo Consort 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Adora 6-1 5th

11th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Big Band Luzziann 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #5 Lido Key 5-2 2nd
Next Best Value: #4 Gabby Squared 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Guileful 8-1 10th

P5 Grid:

7: 1-3 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
8: 7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
10: 1-3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

8: 7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-7 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
10: 1-3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 4-5-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
Backup (5 in 9th): 2x1x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

KENTUCKY DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: H’cap, 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Duke of Hazzard 10-1
Next Best: #6 Accredit 8-1
Exotics Use: #9 Field Pass 5-2
Super Add: #7 Majestic Eagle 20-1

6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Too Many Twizzlers 4-1
Best Value: #9 Blue Norther 10-1
Next Best: #1 Sousa Summer 7-2
Exotics Use: #10 Favorite Outlaw 6-1

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Amaryllis Kiss 7-2
Best Value: #8 Fiddle 10-1
Next Best: #12 Point Well Taken 7-5
Exotics Use: #4 Rosalita 6-1

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Favored Evan Sing is OK, but not sure the 6.5f benefits him..

Best Value: #6 Cloudy 8-1
Next Best: #7 Lyrical Poet 6-1
Exotics Use: #10 Summer Assault 12-1
Super Add: #8 Shadow Sphinx 6-1

9th: Juvenile, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Really Good 5-2
Next Best: #8 Reckoning Force 5-1
Best Value: #10 Mikey Bananas 12-1
Exotics Use: #9 Laver 8-1

P5 Grid:

5: 6-8-9 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
6: 4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 6-8-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 1-2-8-10 (B), – (C)
9: 2 (A), – (B), 8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 6-8-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 6-7-8-10 (A), 1-2-4 (B), – (C)
9: 2 (A), 8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x7x2 = 84 x .50 = $42
All A’s: 2x3x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

10th: Gun Runner, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Fuerteventura 9-2
Next Best: #8 St Anthony 12-1
Next Best: #12 American Mayhem 4-1
Exotics Use: #9 Fort Washington 5-1

11th: One Dreamer-R, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Burning Ambition 6-1
Best Value: #6 Curly Ruth 12-1
Next Best: #8 Navratilova 5-1
Exotics Use: #7 Alms 7-2

12th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Must Pay Hi-5)

Slightly mysterious end to the season. Navy Fleet a half to Ivar for Paolo Lobo.

Most Likely: #10 Revenue Train 5-1
Next Best: #4 Letter of Gold 9-5
Best Value: #3 Take It South 20-1
Exotics Use: #11 Self Confident 8-1
Hi-5 Play: #6 Beck and Girl 12-1

P5 Grid:

8: 6-7-10 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
9: 2-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), 8-12 (C)
11: 2-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 4-10 (A), 3-11 (B), 5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x1x3x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (8-12 in 10th): 3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36; (5-6 in 12th) 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

9: 2-8 (A), – (B), 9-10 (C)
10: 6-8-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 4-10 (A), 3-5-6-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x6 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (9-10 in 9th): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve

KENTUCKY DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Fantail 8-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Kant Believe It SCR
Exotics Use: #2 American Starlet 6-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Bitty Boss 15-1 11th

4th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Sutherland 4-1 WON ($10.76)
Best Value: #9 Almanzo 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Cynwyd 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Vinco 20-1 10th

5th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Bad Beat Brian 10-1 WON ($12.52)
Best Value: #7 Outadore 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Newsworthy 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Maxwell Esquire 5-1 4th

6th: Untappable, 2yo-F, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 ALLURING ANGEL 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Danse Macabre 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Recinto Rompere 9-2 5th

7th: Music City, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Poppy Flower 4-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Glenall 15-1 8th
Next Best: #13 Static Fire 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Bubble Rock 5-1 6th

8th: Ladies Marathon (G3), F&M-3+, 10.f-T (DD)

Family Way hard hitting and consistent but a few are well within striking distance of her..

Most Likely: #8 Family Way 3-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Adventuring 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #7 Stand Tall 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Flippant 6-1 7th

9th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Mad Madame Mim 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Words of Praise 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Sabalenka 7-2 WON ($7.54)
Super Add: #1 Safeen 12-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #7 Psychedelic 8-1 6th

P5 Grid:

5: 4-7-9 (A), (B), – (C)
6: 8 (A), 2 (B), – (C)
7: 3-10 (A), 8-13 (B), – (C)
8: 1-8 (A), – (B), 4-7 (C)
9: 3-4-12 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (4-7 in 10th): 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 2-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 3-10 (A), 8-13 (B), – (C)
8: 1-8 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
9: 3-4-12 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12