BELMONT@AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Matt Doyle 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Southern Flag 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Tiger Town Boy 6-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Watasha 10-1 WON ($10.40)

5th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 On Palm Sunday 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Bargaining Power 4-1 –
Exotics Use: #1 (POE) Ridewiththedevil 7-2 WON ($4.90)
Super Add: #8 Media Sensation 8-1 –

6th: 131st Futurity (G3), 2yo, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Determined Jester 6-1 –
Next Best: #3 Inflation Nation 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Nagirroc 5-2 WON ($9.20)
Super Add: #1 Dunedin 8-1 –

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Sweet Mystery 1-1 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #6 Know It All Audrey 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Caramocha 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 New York Banker 6-1 –

8th: 61st Knickerbocker (G3), 3+, 9f-T (DD)

Terrific edition of this..

Best Value: #4 King Cause 10-1 WON ($32.80)
Next Best: #5 L’Imperator 9-2 –
Exotics Use: #8 Pao Alto 4-1
Super Add: 6 Pixelate 8-1 2nd

9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer

Best Value: #1 Seems to Whisper 10-1
Next Best: #6 Robyn and Eli 3-1
Exotics Use: #7 Eli Dancer 4-1
Super Add: #13 Mo Damorninggrouch 9-2

P6 Grid:

4: 2-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 2-12 (A), – (B), 1-8 (C)
6: 3-8 (A), 2 (B), – (C)
7: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-5 (A), 6-8-10 (B), – (C)
9: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x1x5x2 = $120
All A’s: 2x2x2x1x2x2 = $32
Backup (1-8 in 5th): 2x2x2x1x2x2 = $32

P5 Grid:

5: 2-12 (A), – (B), 1-8 (C)
6: 2-3-8 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
7: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-5-8 (A), 6-10 (B), – (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x1x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (1-8 in 5th): 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 2-3-8 (A), 1-7 (B), – (C)
7: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-5-8 (A), 6-10 (B), – (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 7 (B), 5-8-13 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x5x3 = 75 x .50 = $37.50
All A’s: 3x1x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (5-8-13 in 9th): 3x1x3x3 = 27 x .50 = $13.50

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Tecumseh Caroline 5-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Good Boo Joo 3-1 –
Exotics Use: #1 Avery Blue 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #11 Don’t Ju Forget 5-1 3rd

2nd: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Rogue Son 4-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #8 Careless Kitten 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 College Boy 6-1 –
Exotics Use: #9 Dad Bod 6-1 3rd

3rd: Cal-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Hot Legs Romolo 5-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Dark Marcus 4-1 –
Exotics Use: #8 Fore Flag 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #6 Touch of Zen 15-1 3rd

4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Sonic Brees 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #6 Fireman Dan 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Smiling at Val 3-1 –
Exotics Use: #2 Tom Bombadil 4-1 –

5th: Surfer Girl (G3), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Court Snort 20-1 –
Next Best: #3 Commanche Country 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Sell the Dream 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Excelia 4-1

P5 Grid:

1: 3-9 (A), 1-11 (B), – (C)
2: 1-8 (A), – (B), 7-9 (C)
3: 1-3-8 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
4: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 2-3-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x5x1x4 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 2x2x3x1x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (7-9 in 2nd): 2x2x3x1x4 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick 5 (1,5/1/8/1/3,9,10) Paid 285.10

P4 Grid:

2: 1-8 (A), – (B), 7-9 (C)
3: 1-3-8 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
4: 1 (A), 6 (B), – (C)
5: 2-3-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x2x4 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x3x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (7-9 in 2nd): 2x3x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick 4 (1/8/1/3,9,10) $59.30 (A-A-A-A)

6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Major confrontation between Baffert 2yos for top clients Zedan (Arabian Lion) & Pegram/Watson/Weitman (Elwood Blues)..

Most Likely: #6 Arabian Lion 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #5 Elwood Blues 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Navy Man 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Storming Machine 4-1 7th

7th: Swingtime-R, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Natural Colour 5-1 –
Next Best: #4 Hamwood Flier 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Warrens Candy Girl 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Rocking Redhead 8-1 –

8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Exalted 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Perfect Flight 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Hero Status 9-5 –
Super Add: #6 Street Ruckus 3-1 3rd

9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-DHT (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Time to Party 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Yeng Again 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Respect the Code 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Go On 10-1 3rd

10th: Zuma Beach (G3), 2yo, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Packs a Wahlop 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #2 Gas Me Up 10-1 4th
Next Best: #10 For a Laugh 4-1
Exotics Use: #8 Giver Not a Taker 6-1 –

P5 Grid:

6: 6 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-6 (A), 2-7 (B), – (C)
8: 1-2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5-8-10 (A), – (B), 7-9 (C)
10: 2-5 (A), 8-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (7-9 in 9th): 1x2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick 5 (6/4/2,4/5,9/5,6,13) $63.60 (A-A-A-A-A)

P4 Grid:

7: 4-6 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
8: 1-2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5-8-10 (A), – (B), 7-9 (C)
10: 2-5 (A), 8-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (2-7 in 7th; 7-9 in 9th): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 + 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$2 Pick 4 (4/2,4/5,9/5,6,13) $33.60 (A-A-A-A)

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Gulfstream Way 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Osbourne 7-2 5th
Best Value: #11 Embrace 8-1 WON ($30.16)
Exotics Use: #1 Implementation 8-1 10th

6th: Woodford (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Golden Pal the one to beat, yada, yada, yada, but there’s a lot of speed here and he sure looked vulnerable out of the Troy..

Most Likely: #4 Golden Pal 4-5 WON ($2.74)
Best Value: #2 Bad Beat Brian 15-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Oceanic 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Gear Jockey 8-1 4th

$3 All Stakes Turf P3 Grid:

6: 4 (A), 2 (B), 5-6 (C)
8: 5 (A), – (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 6-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x3 = 6 x $3 = $18
All A’s: 1x1x3 x $3 = $9
Backups: 2x1x3 (5-6 in 6th) = 6 x $3 = $18 + 2x1x3 (2-4 in 8th) = 6 x $3 = $18

7th: TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

As stressed yesterday with Marty (Hermis™) McGee, Li’l Tootsie won’t lose..

Best Value: #1 LI’L TOOTSIE 15-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Sconsin 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Club Car 9-2 5th
Super Add: #7 Slammed 3-1 WON ($6.78)

8th: First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Regal Glory 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Princess Grace 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 In Italian 3-1 WON ($7.74)
Exotics Use: #3 Technical Analysis 5-2 4th

9th: Breeders Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

There’s too many stretch outs here for the race not to open up to a presser/closer..

Best Value: #3 Honed 12-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Instant Coffee 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Lost Ark 6-1 6th
AE Alert: #15 Carmel Road 5-1 13th
Super Add: #2 Loggins 4-1 2nd

10th: Coolmore Turf Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T

Best Value: #9 Casa Creed 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Santin 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Ivar 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Set Piece 15-1 4th

All Stakes P5 Grid:

6: 4 (A), 2-6 (B), 5-7 (C)
7: 1-5 (A), 3 (B), – (C)
8: 5 (A), – (B), 2-3-4 (C)
9: 3-5-10 (A), 2-7-15 (B), – (C)
10: 6-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x1x6x3 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A’s: 1x2x1x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: $18 (5-7 in 6th) + $27 (2-3-4 in 8th)

All Stakes P4 Grid:

7: 1-5 (A), 3 (B), – (C)
8: 5 (A), 2 (B), 3-4 (C)
9: 3-5-10 (A), 2-7-15 (B), – (C)
10: 6-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 2x1x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: $18 (3-4 in 8th)

11th: MSW, 3+, 7f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Cape Trafalgar 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Rewire 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Old Point 7-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Call Me Fast 6-1 WON ($22.16)

P4 Grid:

8: 5 (A), 2 (B), 3-4 (C)
9: 3-5-10 (A), 2-7-15 (B), – (C)
10: 6-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 1x3x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: $18 (3-4 in 8th)

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: Rodeo Drive (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Zero pace. Why can’t Going to Vegas wire again this year?

Best Value: #3 Going to Vegas 5-2 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #2 Fluffy Socks 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Family Way 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Scarabea 6-1 5th

6th: Chandelier (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Home Cooking 3-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Justique 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 And Tell Me Nolies 3-1 WON ($18.80)
Super Add: #4 Hunting Coco 7-2 6th

7th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Who’s Candy 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Moraweth 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Uncle Jeff 7-2 –
Super Add: #9 Forgiving Spirit 8-1 WON ($15.20)

8th: American Pharoah (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Hejazi 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 National Treasure 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Cave Rock 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Skinner 5-1 6th

9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f-T (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Turn On the Jets 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Rip City 7-2 9th
Best Value: #4 Neptune’s Storm 8-1 8th

10th: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Midnight Jostar 4-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Red King 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Hawk of War 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Fly the Sky 5-1 6th

P5 Grid:

6: 3-7 (A), – (B), 4-5 (C)
7: 10-12 (A), 1-9 (B), – (C)
8: 5-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6-10 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (4-5 in 6th): 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

7: 10-12 (A), 1-9 (B), – (C)
8: 5-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6-10 (A), 5-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: ALW/N3X, 3+, 5.5f-T ($3 Turf P3/4th-8th-10th, P3, DD)

Very tricky start to $3 Turf P3 with favored Joker On Jack (3-1) & Johnny Unleashed (7-2) not having any obvious edge over the rest of the field..

Best Value: #1 Torontotoro 6-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Therideofalifetime 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Mark of the Z 15-1 WON ($14.52)
Super Add: #5 Strike Me Down 8-1 5th

$3 Turf P3 Grid (4th-8th-10th):

4: 1-2-9 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
8: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 5 (A), 7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x2 = 20 x $3 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x1 = 6 x $3 = $18

5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Miss Mattie B 8-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Golden Sights 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Beguine 7-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Nosilverspoonhere 8-1 9th

6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Briterdayzahead SCR’D exits the Instant Coffee (Futurity tomorrow) SAR MDN-breaker and is the logical fave in a murky group, but McPeek moves Sir (15-1) to the main track after an OK KY Downs debut..

Best Value: #11 Sir 15-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Liberty’s Hauler 9-2 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Golden Bandit 4-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Mobster 8-1 3rd

7th: Phoenix (G3), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

O’Dwyer sets Sibelius up for a BC Sprint try here with rock solid Special Reserve & Necker Island providing early and late competition. Meanwhile, I’ll go to the well (again) on constant breakout candidate Top Gunner at 10-1..

Best Value: #3 Top Gunner 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Sibelius 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Special Reserve 2-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Necker Island 7-2 6th

8th: Jessamine (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

While looking very competitive, note that this has generally been won by a top choice with California Angel ($37.60) last year the only surprise winner in the last 7 runnings (4 faves under 3-2, a 3-1 and 5-2). With that said, Ky Downs mile graduate Sabalenka (10-1) is as likely as the 5 lower priced options and will save ground for Whit Beckman & Jose Ortiz..

Best Value: #1 Sabalenka 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Happy Gal 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Dulcia 15-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Knockyoursocksoff 30-1 2nd

9th: Alcibiades (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD)

Notably, Casse, McPeek, Cox, Motion (who all have runners here), are responsible for 8 of the last 10 Alcibiades winners (Casse 3, Cox & McPeek 2 each) ..

Most Likely: #9 Fun and Feisty 7-2 8th
Best Value: #8 Infinite Diamond 10-1 14th
Next Best: #1 Wonder Wheel 9-2 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Kaling 6-1 11th

10th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 12f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Queen Bourbon 7-2 5th
Best Value: #7 Roughly a Diamond 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Federalist Paper 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Mia Martina 10-1 WON ($9.32)

P5 Grid:

6: 4-11 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
7: 3-5 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
8: 1-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 9 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2xx3x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 3-5 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
8: 1-6-8 (A), 3-7-11 (B), – (C)
9: 9 (A), – (B), 1-2-8-10 (C)
10: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x1x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup: 2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

 
Good luck!
Steve[

BELMONT@AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES // OFF THE TURF

4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-O/T (P6, P3, DD)

$71k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #16 Holiday Jazz 4th
Best Value: #9 Our Jessica 2nd
Next Best: #11 One Track Mine 8th
Exotics Use: #14 Infringement 6th

5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Jade’s Dream drops back to level of claim for Davey Jacobson. Note the absence of a clear pacesetter with Mr. Briggs (Vanned off last time) a candidate for the point and McCarthy a possibility to go forward with still developing Forestwood Lane..

Best Value: #3 Forestwood Lane 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Jade’s Dream 5-2
Exotics Use: #7 Majestic Tiger 3-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Forever Wicked 10-1 4th

6th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f-O/T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Sugar Gray Leonard 4th
Next Best: #2 Fast and Fearious 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Blinding Light 2nd
Super Add: #5 Digital Future 3rd

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-O/T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Curlin’s Wisdom WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #1 Street Tsar 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Can’t Beat Me 6th
Super Add: #5 Agent Creed 2nd

8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD)

Patty H, away since January, has a license to wire this group..

Best Value: #7 Patty H 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Mosienko 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Secret Love 9-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Movie Moxie 5-1 5th

9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 1m-O/T

Hungry bunch and a little tough to accept 2-1 on overdue Mr. Connecticit. There are 3 stretching out from sprints with Kimbo Dancer likely the fastest early, a scenario that sometimes find one forgetting to stop.. reminds me of Minit Maus MDN win going long

Most Likely: #12 Addicted to You 3rd
Best Value: #5 Kimbo Dancer 7th
Next Best: #10 Ableton WON ($11.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Sense a Giant 2nd

P6 Grid:

4: 16 (A), – (B), 9 (C)
5: 3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 2-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-5-7 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)
9: 12 (A), 5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x2x2x5x2 = $80
All A’s: 1x2x2x2x3x1 = $24
Backup: 1x2x2x2x3x1 = $24

P5 Grid:

5: 3-4 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
6: 2-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-7 (A), 3-5-6 (B), – (C)
9: 5-12 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

P4 Grid:

6: 2-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-4-5-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5-12 (A), 5-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x5x4 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x2x5x2 = 40 x .50 = $20

BELMONT/AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Bees and Honey 2-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #4 Brattle House 1-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Flashndynamite 15-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Vegas Weekend 9-2 4th

5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Limits of Power 4-1: Half to Yaupon for Shug.. 4th
Best Value: #1 Cascais 8-1: Full to Mundaye Call for Chad.. 3rd
Next Best: #8 Full Moon Madness 5-2: Sam Siegel homebred adds hood.. WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Mount Up 3-1: Army Mule from Todd/Viola/West Point.. 2nd

6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-OFF/TURF (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Courageous Oh La 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #15 Storm Shooter 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Bold Journey 10-1 DH–4th
Super Add: #14 Fenway 6-1 9th

7th: Woodward (G1), 3+, 9f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Life Is Good 1-9 WON ($2.10)
Best Value: #5 Informative 15-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Keepmeinmind 6-1 3rd

8th: Ms. Grillo (G3), 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Alluring Angel 9-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Be Your Best 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Free Look 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #1 Georgees Spirit 10-1 6th

Must Pay P5 Grid:

4: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-4-8 (A), 2-3-6 (B), – (C)
6: 10-15 (A), 6-14 (B), – (C)
7: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

9th: BEL Turf Sprint (G3), 3+, 6f-Outer (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Yes and Yes 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Dancing Buck 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Thin White Duke 9-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Arzak 4-1 4th

10th: Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #2 Top Recruit 5-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Gulfport 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Verifying 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #1 Andiamo a Firenze 6-1 4th

11th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f

Best Value: #5 Captainsdaughter 8-1 WON ($8.70)
Next Best: #3 Kant Hurry Love 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Tellaperfecttale 6-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Ribot’s Valentine 4-1 4th

P5 Grid:

7: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5-7-10 (A), 2-11-12 (B), – (C)
10: 2-6 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
11: 3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x6x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

8: 4-6 (A), 2 (B), – (C)
9: 2-5-7-10 (A), – (B), 11-12 (C)
10: 2-6 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
11: 3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x4x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
A-C-A-A Backup (11-12 in 9th): 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Prairie Dunes 3-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Tapit’s Conquest 5-2 WON ($)
Best Value: #7 Magnificent Mile 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Denington 7-2 6th

6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6f (Derby City 6, P3, DD)

Wasn’t sure there was enough pace in here for O Besos, but upon further review, there is..

Most Likely: #4 O Besos 9-5 WON ($3.56)
Next Best: #2 Surveillance 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Fore Left 9-2 3rd

7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Too many of us are landing on Curlins Incharge..

Best Value: #7 Curlins Incharge 10-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Desert Wolf 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Ten Days Later 6-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Pappy Wolfe 20-1 9th

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Strong Quality 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Complete Agenda 8-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Tiz Rye Time 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Tepeu 3-1 4th

P4 Grid:

5: 2-10 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
6: 2-4-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 7-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 7-10 (A), – (B), 1-3-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
A-A-A-C Backup (1-3-5): 2x3x3x3 = 54 x .50 = $27

9th: Ack Ack (G3), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Want to use prices v. Speaker’s Corner, but it sure looks like he gets his own way on the front end. Hernandez and Twilight Blue (12-1) (who’s going well) could stay close and create trouble. Fulsome (5-1) is 2 for 3 at CD and 1 for 1 at the flat mile. Don’t ignore Three Technique (12-1). And Asmussen mentioned Silver Prospector (12-1) for this when on with me Tuesday which usually indicates a plus effort..

Best Value: #10 Twilight Blue Gate SCR
Next Best: #1 Speaker’s Corner 1-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Fulsome 5-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Three Technique 12-1 3rd

10th: Lukas Classic (G2), 3+, 9f (DD)

Another scenario where pace is murky. Guessing Johnny V stays close with Happy Saver..

Best Value: #3 Happy Saver 5-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Hot Rod Charlie 8-5 WON ($4.66)
Exotics Use: #2 Art Collector 2-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Rich Strike 6-1 2nd

11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 One Time Mo 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Scarlet Stripe 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Amaryllis Kiss 3-1 10th
Super Add: #11 Delight of the Nile 10-1 9th

P5 Grid:

7: 7-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 7 (A), 10 (B), 3 (C)
9: 1-10/SCR (A), – (B), 3-5 (C)
10: 2-3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-7 (A), 8-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (3 in 8th) + $18 (3-5 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

8: 7-10 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
9: 1-10 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
10: 2-3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 3-7-8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x4 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 2x2x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
C-A-A-A Backup (3 in 8th): 1x2x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

SANTA ANITA

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: City of Hope (G2), 3+, 1m-T (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Beyond Brilliant 6-5 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #1 Cathkin Peak 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Prince Abama 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Irideo 5-2 5th

6th: SA Sprint (G2), 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Todo Fino SCR
Next Best: #2 Forbidden Kingdom 9-5 5th
Best Value: #3 Howbeit 8-1 WON ($14.40)
Exotics Use: #1 C Z Rocket 7-2 2nd

7th: Eddie D (G2), 3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Couthard 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Gregorian Chant 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Tango Tango Tango 8-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Air Force Red 5-1 5th

8th: Awesome Again (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Country Grammar 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 Royal Ship 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Express Train 7-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Slow Down Andy 12-1 3rd

9th: Unzip Me, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #4 Countess Rosina 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Connie Swingle 3-1 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Brandon’smylawyer 8-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Tezzaray 12-1 4th

10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-T (Hi-5)

Not the easiest way to end sequence(s)..

Most Likely: #7 The Dance Between 6-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Ragtime Rose 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Cahuilla 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Broadway Girls 12-1 5th

P5 Grid:

6: 2-7 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
7: 4-5 (A), – (B), 2-9 (C)
8: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6-7-10 (A), 4-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x1x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
A-C-A-A-A Backup (2-9 in 7th): 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 4-5 (A), 2-9 (B), – (C)
8: 4 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
9: 1-4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6-7-10 (A), 2-4-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x1x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
A-C-A-A Backup (2-7 in 8th): 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18