11/20: Aqueduct ($59k P6 C/O)

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AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Modern Love 5-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Give Me Kisses 7-2 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #3 Royal Poppy 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Ana’s Gun 3-1 2nd

6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Mozay 9-2 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #8 Mesaoria 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Expand the Map 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Western Land 12-1 7th

7th: Forever Together, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Lashara 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Messidor 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Finest Work 4-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Evvie Jets 9-2 2nd

8th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Breaking Stones 6-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #9 Brunate 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 My Last Mission Late SCR
Super Add: #5 Box of Joe 10-1 5th

9th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #8 Quality Stones 4-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Funny How 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Ruvies in Time 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Happy Sophia 4-1 6th

10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-Outer

Most Likely: #3 King Angelo 9-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Sousa Summer 8-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Just Say When 6-1 11th
Exotics Use: #10 Sugar Gray Leonard 10-1 8th

P6 Grid:

5: 1-9 (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
6: 6-8 (A), 1-4 (B), – (C)
7: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 8 (A), 6 (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 3-8 (A), – (B), 11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x1x2x2 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x3x1x1x2 = $24
Backups: $24 (3-6 in 5th) + $24 (2-4 in 9th) + $12 (11 in 10th)

P5 Grid:

6: 6-8 (A), 1-4 (B), – (C)
7: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)
10: 3-8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 8-9 (A), – (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)
10: 3-8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

KEENELAND ~ BREEDERS’ CUP SATURDAY

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Arabian Knight 2-1 WON ($3.52)
Best Value: #8 Rocket and Roll 12-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Fashion King 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Dakota Run 12-1 4th

2nd: OC/C, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Messier 4-1 11th/Eased-Bled
Next Best: #2 Nakatomi 9-2 WON ($8.94)
Exotics Use: #5 Gun It 6-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Endorsed 8-1 2nd

3rd: Breeders’ Cup F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Frank’s Rockette 6-1 11th
Next Best: #8 Goodnight Olive 3-1 WON ($5.70)
Exotics Use: #7 Obligatory 8-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Chain of Love 20-1 10th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Wicked Halo 10-1 3rd

4th: Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (G1), 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, .50 Turf P4/4th-6th-8th-10th, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Campanelle 8-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Golden Pal 2-1 10th
Exotics Use: #11 Casa Creed 6-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Highfield Princess 7-2 4th
Hi-5 Play: #7 Arrest Me Red 15-1 8th

Reverse Tri Key Play:

Target: #16 Oceanic (30-1) 13th

4-6-7-8-10-11 with 4-6-7-8-10-11 with 16 (6x5x1 = 30 x .50 = $15)

$0.50 All Turf P4 Grid:

4: 4-6-7-8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-5-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 2-5 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45

5th: Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 8f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Cyberknife 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Gunite 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Cody’s Wish 5-2 WON ($6.32)
Exotics Use: #10 Senor Buscador 12-1 8th

Early P5 Grid:

1: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
2: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 5-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 4-6-7-8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 5-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x3x5x3 = 90 x .50 = $45

$0.50 Pick 5 Conso (2,4,12/2/8,10/10/6,7,8) Paid $13.07 x 5 = $65.35

Early P4 Grid:

2: 2-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 5-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 4-6-7-8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 5-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x3 = 90 x .50 = $45

6th: Breeders’ Cup F&M Turf (G1), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Tuesday 8-1 WON ($10.38)
Next Best: #11 In Italian 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Nashwa 5-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Family Way 20-1 10th

7th: Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Jackie’s Warrior 4-5 3rd
Next Best: #2 Kimari 4-1 7th
Best Value: #4 American Theorem 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Aloha West 12-1 11th

BC Early P5 Grid:

3: 5-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 4-8 (A), 6-11 (B), 7 (C)
5: 5-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-5-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 9 (A), 2 (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x3x2 = 216 x .50 = $108
All A’s: 3x2x3x3x1 = 54 x .50 = $27
Backups: $13.50 (7 in 4th) + $13.50 (4 in 7th)

BC Early P5 Grid:

4: 4-8 (A), 6-7-11 (B), – (C)
5: 5-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-5-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 2-9 (A), – (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $9 (4 in 7th)

8th: Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1), 3+, 8f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Regal Glory 6-1 10th
Best Value: #6 Ivar 15-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Modern Games 7-2 WON ($4.75)
Exotics Use: #14 Domestic Spending 8-1 DNF-Pulled Up
Super Add: #9 Malavath 15-1 5th

Reverse Tri Key Play:

Target: #9 Malavath (15-1) 5th

4-5-6-8-11-14 with 4-5-6-8-11-14 with 9 (6x5x1 = 30 x .50 = $15)

9th: Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Nest 9-5 4th
Next Best: #7 Search Results 9-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Society 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Malathaat 3-1 WON ($7.76)

10th: Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 War Like Goddess 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Rebel’s Romance 3-1 WON ($13.92)
Best Value: #9 Gold Phoenix 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #4 Broome 12-1 6th

Reverse Tri Key Play:

Target: #9 Gold Phoenix (20-1) 10th

2-3-4-5-7-11 with 2-3-4-5-7-11 with 9 (6x5x1 = 30 x .50 = $15)

11th: Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Flightline 3-5 WON ($2.88)
Next Best: #1 Taiba 8-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Hot Rod Charlie 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Olympiad 10-1 2nd

BC Late P5 Grid:

7: 2-9 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
8: 4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 6-7 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
10: 2-5-9 (A), 3-4-11 (B), 7 (C)
11: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $9 (4 in 7th) + $6 (7 in 10th)

$0.50 Pick 5 Conso (6/4,12,16/1/5/4) Paid $6.30 x 3 = $18.90

BC Late P4 Grid:

8: 4-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 6-7 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
10: 2-4-5-9 (A), 3-7-8-11 (B), – (C)
11: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x8x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 3x2x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $9 (4 in 7th) + $6 (7 in 10th)

$0.50 Pick 5 Conso (6/4,12,16/1/5/4) Paid $6.30 x 3 = $45.85

12th: Fall Harvest, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Technical Analysis SCR
Next Best: #5 Shantisara 6-5 5th
Best Value: #3 Burning Ambition 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Dalika 7-2 6th

P4 Grid:

9: 6-7 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
10: 2-3-4-5-9-11 (A), 7-8 (B), – (C)
11: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 3-5-7/SCR (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x8x1x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x6x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

KENNELAND ~ BREEDERS’ CUP FRIDAY

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Business Model 6-1 WON-DH ($8.64)
Next Best: #6 B Dawk 2-1 WON-DH ($3.78)

Exotics Use: #9 Search Engine 5-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Open Road 3-1 3rd

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Eh.. This is a murky mess..

Best Value: #4 Lovin’ On the Run 12-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Affirmative Lady 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Vivid Dreams 9-2 8th
Super Add: #6 Klassy Bridgette 5-1 2nd

3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Call Me Fast 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Marsalis 6-5 WON ($4.42)
Exotics Use: #6 Pro Oxident 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Spartan Army 6-1 6th

4th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Arabian Lion 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #12 Protege 4-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Old Alliance 30-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Tres Soles 5-1 6th

5th: Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance (G2), 3+, 13f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Rattle N Roll 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Next 15-1 WON ($12.50)
Next Best: #6 Bal Harbour 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Win the Day 6-1 5th

P5 Grid:

1: 4-6-9 (A), – (B), 8 (C)
2: 4-10 (A), 6-8 (B), 2-5 (C)
3: 1-6-11 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
4: 9 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-2 (A), 6-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $6 (8 in 1st) + $18 (2-5 in 2nd) + $6 (3 in 3rd)

P4 Grid:

2: 4-6-8-10 (A), 2-5-7-11 (B), – (C)
3: 1-6-11 (A), – (B), 3-8 (C)
4: 9 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-2 (A), 6-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x3x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 4x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $8 (3-8 in 3rd)

6th: Breeders’ Cup Juvy Turf Sprint (G1), 2yo, 5.5f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 American Apple 20-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Private Creed 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Love Reigns 4-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Persian Force 15-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #9 Sharp Aza Tack 15-1 7th

$3 Turf P3 Grid:

6: 2-3-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-5-6 (A), – (B), 3-10 (C)
10: 4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 3x3x2 = 18 x $3 = $54
Backup: 3x2x2 = 12 x $3 = $36

7th: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, 2-day DBL/Distaff, DD, Hi-5)

Nine of the 14 signed on here are designated as speed or tracker types by TimeformUS which offers the opportunity for late runners despite use of the short stretch first finish line..

Best Value: #8 Atomically 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Chop Chop 4-1 13th
Exotics Use: #2 You’re My Girl 10-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Chocolate Gelato 7-2 12th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Alma Rosa 30-1 9th

Reverse Tri Key Play:

Target: #4 Sabra Tuff (30-1) 4th

2-6-7-8-9-10 with 2-6-7-8-9-10 with 4 (6x5x1 = 30 x .50 = $15)

P4 Grid:

4: 9 (A), – (B), 12 (C)
5: 1-2 (A), 6-9 (B), – (C)
6: 2-3-6-8 (A), 9-10-11-12 (B), – (C)
7: 7-8 (A), 2-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x8x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 1x2x4x2 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup: $8 (12 in 4th)

8th: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Filly Turf (G1), 2yo, 8f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Pleasant Passage 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Free Look 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Be Your Best 8-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Meditate 4-1 WON ($6.08)
Hi-5 Play: #3 Last Call 20-1 6th

9th: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (2-day DBL/Classic, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Cave Rock 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 Lost Ark 20-1 10th
Next Best: #10 National Treasure 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Verifying 10-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #6 Blazing Sevens 6-1 4th

10th: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 8f-T (2-day DBL/Turf, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Andthewinneris 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Silver Knott 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Really Good 30-1 12th
Exotics Use: #13 Major Dude 10-1 9th
Super/Hi-5: #12 Mo Stash 20-1 4th

2-day Juvy Turf/Turf DBL:

FR 10: 4-6-7 (A)
SA 10: 2-4-5-9 (A); 3-7-8-11 (B)

Main: 4-6-7 with 2-4-5-9 = 12 x $5 = $60
Backup: 4-6-7 with 3-7-8-11 = 12 x $2 = $24

P5 Grid:

6: 2-3-8 (A), – (B), 6-9 (C)
7: 2-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-5 (A), 3-6-10 (B), – (C)
9: 3 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 4-6-7-13 (A), 2-13 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x1x6 = 270 x .50 = $135
All A’s: 3x3x2x1x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
Backup: $24 (6-9 in 6th)

P4 Grid:

7: 2-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-5 (A), 3-6-10 (B), – (C)
9: 3 (A), – (B), 5-6-8-10 (C)
10: 4-6-12 (A), 2-7-13 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x1x6 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 3x2x1x3 = $18 x .50 = $9
Backup: $36 (5-6-8-10 in 9th)

BELMONT@AQUEDUCT ~ CLOSING DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-Mohawk, 3+, 8.5f-T (Must Pay P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 City Man 6-5
Next Best: #6 Sanctuary City 7-2
Best Value: #3 Ocala Dream 12-1
Exotics Use: #2 Cold Hard Cash 6-1

6th: NY-Iroquois, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Betsy Blue 2-1
Best Value: #5 Venti Valentine 8-1
Next Best: #6 Bank Sting 9-5
Exotics Use: #8 Mosienko 9-2

7th: NY-Maid O’ the Mist, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Miracle 9-2
Next Best: #6 Im Just Kidding 3-1
Exotics Use: #5 Gambling Girl 7-2
Super Add: #2 Security Code 8-1

8th: NY-Ticonderoga, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Giacosa 5-1
Next Best: #4 Finest Work 3-1
Exotics Use: #7 Marvelous Maude 5-2
Super Add: #3 Out of Sight 20-1

9th: NY-Empire Distaff, F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Sweet Mystery 5-1
Next Best: #7 Brattle House 2-1
Exotics Use: #5 Ice Princess 9-2
Super Add: #3 Caragate 10-1

10th: NY-Sleepy Hollow, 2yo, 1m

Best Value: #9 Quick to Accuse 8-1
Next Best: #2 Canarsie 3-1
Exotics Use: #7 Jackson Heights 8-1
Super Add: #5 Starquist 6-1

Must Pay P6 Grid:

5: 1-6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
6: 7 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
7: 8 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
8: 4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
10: 2-9 (A), – (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x3x2x3x2 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x1x2x2x2 = $16
Backups: $8 (3 in 5th) + $32 (5-6 in 6th) + $16 (5-7 in 10th)

P5 Grid:

6: 5 (A), 7 (B), 6 (C)
7: 5-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 2-9 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (6 in 6th)

P4 Grid:

7: 5-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), 2-3-8 (C)
10: 2-9 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-3-8 in 9th)

CHURCHILL DOWNS ~ OPENING DAY/STARS OF TOMORROW I

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Rags to Riches, 2yo-F, 8.5f (.20 Derby City P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Hoosier Philly 5-2
Next Best: #7 Fun and Feisty 2-1
Best Value: #5 T Max 9-2
Exotics Use: #2 Peacock Lass 3-1

7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Winnemac Avenue 6-1
Next Best: #8 Joking Way 5-2
Exotics Use: #2 Golden Nugget 4-1
Super Add: #12 Ridgepoint Road 15-1

8th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Highway Robber 12-1
Next Best Value: #11 Echo Again 5-2
Exotics Use: #9 Frank’s Honor 7-2
Super Add: #6 Tapit’s Conquest 3-1

9th: OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Bluelightspecial 20-1* (NOTE: 2 SCR’s will cut this number in half)
Next Best: #9 Pretty Mischievous 6-5
Exotics Use: #7 Jokes on Blue 5-1
Super Add: #3 Santa Fe Gold 15-1

10th: Street Sense (G3), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Jace’s Road 7-2
Next Best: #6 Red Route One 3-1
Best Value: #5 Two Phil’s 8-1
Exotics Use: #7 Frosted Departure 6-1

11th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Parkway 5-1
Next Best: #2 Desert Wolf 3-1
Exotics Use: #11 Tapit Shoes 4-1
Super Add: #7 Denington 6-1

P5 Grid:

7: 8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 7-11 (A), 6-9 (B), – (C)
9: 4-9 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
10: 3-6 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
11: 2-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

P4 Grid:

8: 7-11 (A), 6-9 (B), – (C)
9: 4-9 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
10: 3-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 2-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

Good luck!
Steve

BELMONT@AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: Awad, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Sendero 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Freedom Trail 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Conman 10-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Dandy Handyman 4-1 2nd

5th: Kelso (G2), 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$50k P6 C/O starts here..

VERY difficult carryover skein here. Not sure it can be hit on a modest budget; Baby Yoda in a distinct alternating pattern, but certainly the one to beat..

Best Value: #3 Morello 4-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Baby Yoda 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Empty Tomb 3-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Shackqueenking 5-1 3rd

6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Really well-matched group, but Mrs. Green saves ground, is improving and should be first to pounce on leader Stop War..

Most Likely: #1 Mrs. Green 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Mischievous Dream 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Gogo Shoes 9-2 WON ($12.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Stop War 7-2 5th

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Very little obvious pace involved here, which could open the door for sprint stretch out candidate Icy Star Down (12-1), second time router Tuscan Queen (15-1), or perhaps Malibu Curl (10-1) who gets the aggressive big boy. Maybe it’s as simple as the 2 Chad Browns, but Customer List appears to need a forward move to contend. Very tricky group in increasingly demanding sequence..

Best Value: #8 Tuscan Queen 15-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Customer List 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Icy Stare Down 12-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Parnac 9-2 WON ($8.30)

P4 Grid:

4: 2-4 (A), 1-3 (B), 6-7 (C)
5: 2-3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 1 (A), 4 (B), – (C)
7: 1-2-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x3x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x3x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

8th: Pumpkin Pie, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

As in the Bold Ruler that follows, pacesetter Oxana has real shot to wire. Effort 2 back from Boston Post Road would be imposing here..

Best Value: #6 Oxana 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Boston Post Road 9-5 WON ($3.30)
Exotics Use: #4 Dr B 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Glass Ceiling 5-2 4th

9th: Bold Ruler (G3), 3+, 6f (DD)

Nice group. Meraas tired at Spa but could take them a long way here. Jaxon gets first run at him with Runninson ready to pounce off the outside stalking trip. Factor It In and Eastern Bay are capable Midlantic invaders. And I haven’t mentioned Drafted!

Best Value: #8 Runninsonofagun 9-2 WON ($7.30)
Next Best: #4 Jaxon Traveler 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Meraas 5-1 10th
Super Add: #3 Factor It In 8-1 3rd

10th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-Outer

Has feel of wild ending to brutally tough multi sequences..

Best Value: #1 Inflation Adjusted 8-1 WON ($25.40)
Next Best: #6 Relate 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Frenchboro 10-1 11th
Super Add: #2 Sonic Speed 10-1 7th

P6 Grid:

5: 3-6 (A), 2 (B), – (C)
6: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-8 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
8: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-8 (A), – (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x2x2x2 = $96
All A’s: 2x1x2x2x2x2 = $32
Backups: 2x1x2x2x2x2 = $32 (1-3 in 9th)

P5 Grid:

6: 1 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-2-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-7 (C)
10: 1-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 1x4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups: 1x4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (2-7 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

7: 1-2-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-7 (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups: 4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (2-7 in 9th)

$0.50 Pic 4 (2/1,2/8/1) Paid $132.00 (A-A-A-A)

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: Bryan Station (G3), 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Play Action Pass 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Wit 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Balnikhov 8-1 WON ($15.28)
Super Add: #9 Wow What a Summer 30-1 9th

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: Twilight Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Degree of Risk 12-1 6th
Next Best: #9 War at Sea Gate SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Handy Dandy 6-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Perfect Flight 6-1 3rd