AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Outlaw Kid 3-1 7th
Best Value: #5 War Stopper 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Sheriff Bianco 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Chateau 7-2 3rd

5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Ice Princess 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Missy Greer 4-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Frost Point 5-2 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #7 Spooky Road 8-1 4th

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Nova Rags 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Happy Farm 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Hero Tiger 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Scilly Cay 5-1 7th

7th: Gravesend, 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Three Two Zone 5th
Next Best: #11 Little Vic 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Morello 3rd

8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m

Most Likely: #7 Masabeeh 7-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Amity Island 3-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Infringement 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Raffinity 9-2 2nd

P5 Grid:

4: 5-8 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)
5: 2-4 (A), 3 (B), – (C)
6: 6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-11 (A), – (B), 2-3-7 (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-3-7 in 7th)

P4 Grid:

5: 2-3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-11 (A), 7 (B), 2-3 (C)
8: 6-7 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-3 in 7th)

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: Eddie Logan, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Classical Cat 4-1 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #5 Nagirroc 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 First Peace 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Game Time 6-1 4th

5th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Single Track Mind 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Fleet Feet 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Carver 3-1 WON ($10.40)
Exotics Use: #10 San Anton 5-2 2nd

6th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Big Bell 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #2 Worthiness 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Big Newton 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Sapadilla 12-1 3rd

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-DHT (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Slevka 4-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Kitty Kitana 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 American Lily 5-1 10th
Super Add: #11 One Silk Stocking 8-1 WON ($16.60)

8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Sippin N Kissin 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Maynard 6-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Candy for Carmel 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Economical 8-1 3rd

9th: Blue Norther, 2yo-F, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Manhattan Jungle 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 G Laurie 5-2 11th
Best Value: #3 Ragtime Rosie 15-1
Exotics Use: #8 Tea N Conversation 6-1 4th

P5 Grid:

5: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 2-5 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
7: 6-10 (A), – (B), 8 (C)
8: 1-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5-6 (A), 3-8 (B), 11-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups: 2x2x1x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (8 in 7th) + 2x2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (11-12 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

6: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), 1-10 (C)
7: 6-10 (A), – (B), 8 (C)
8: 1-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5-6 (A), 3-8-11-12 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x6 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-10 in 6th) + 3x1x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9 (8 in 7th)

12/26: Santa Anita ~ Opening Day

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By kasept | Filed in Uncategorized | No comments yet.

SANTA ANITA ~ OPENING DAY

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Mathis Bros. Mile (G2), 3yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 I’m a Gambler 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Balnikhov 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Handy Dandy 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Sumter 3-1 3rd

2nd: MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Purified 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Princip 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Bletchley Park 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Palagio 3-1 3rd

3rd: San Gabriel (G2), 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Masteroffoxhounds 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Prince Abama 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Rip City 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Go On 10-1 6th

4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Yellow Brick 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Faustin 2-1 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #4 Sonoran 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Worcester 3-1 4th

5th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Middle P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Smart Code 8-1 WON ($12.60)
Next Best: #5 Dandy Man Shines 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Hawker 3-1 5th
Super Add: #12 Zio Jo 30-1 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-3 (A), – (B), – (C)
2: 1-2 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)
3: 2 (A), – (B), 1-6 (C)
4: 3-5 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
5: 2-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x.50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

2: 1-2 (A), 3-6 (B), – (C)
3: 2-6 (A), – (B), 1 (C)
4: 3-5 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
5: 2-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x.50 = $12
Backup: 2x1x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6

6th: San Antonio (G2), 3+, 8.5f (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Hopkins 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Country Grammer 7-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Hudson Ridge 6-1 5th

7th: Cal-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-DHT (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Big Beauty 7-2 6th
Next Best: #9 La Deuxieme Etoile 5-1 WON ($15.00)
Best Value: #2 Smiling Molly 8-1 11th
Exotics Use: #1 Flame McGoon 5-1 5th

8th: La Brea (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Fun to Dream 5-1 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #4 Midnight Memories 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Ain’t Easy 6-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Under the Stars 7-2 7th

Middle P4 Grid:

5: 2-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 1-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 8 (A), – (B), 2-9 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), 1-3-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x1x5 = $45
All A’s: 3x3x1x2 = $18
Backup: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 P4 (10-6-9-6) Paid $191.15 (A-A-C-A)

9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #12 Karakatsie 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Ballet Dancing 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Batyah 5-1 10th
Super Add: #5 Urban Fairytale 8-1 7th

10th: Malibu (G1), 3yo, 7f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Taiba 6-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #4 Nakatomi 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Forbidden Kingdom 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Apprehend 8-1 6th

11th: American Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 10f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Bellstreet Bridie 4-1 11th
Best Value: #1 Rhea Moon 8-1 WON ($15.60)
Next Best: #6 Mise En Scene 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Salimah 7-2 7th

P5 Grid:

7: 8-9 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
8: 4-5-6 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
9: 3-6-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 6-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x1x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 1x3x3x1x2 = 18 x .50 = $9

$0.50 P5 (9/6/3,13,14/6/1) Paid $798.70 (A-A-A-A-A)

P4 Grid:

8: 4-5-6 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
9: 3-6-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 1-5-6-9 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x1x4 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A’s: 3x3x1x4 = 36 x .50 = $18 ($9 for .50)

$0.50 P5 (9/6/3,13,14/6/1) Paid $87.05 (A-A-A-A)

12/3: Del Mar (5th-9th)

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DEL MAR

PRE-SCRATCHES

5th: Stormy Liberal, 3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Turn On The Jets 5-1 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #3 Rebel Posse 12-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Whatmakessammyrun 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Coulthard 5-1 5th

6th: OC/S-ALW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4m, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Army Star 4-1 WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #1 Flame Rider 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Crowning Gold 4-1 2nd

7th: Jimmy Durante (G3), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Favored Brown invader Liguria (3-1) just OK in what looks like a well-matched bunch. Quickly Park It (8-1) broke MDN here (at trip to boot) and Sell the Dream gets back on lawn where he offers top efforts among top contenders..

Best Value: #2 Quickly Park It 8-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Sell the Dream 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Thebestisyettobe 5-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Liguria 3-1 WON ($4.80)

8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #6 Direct Line 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Street Ruckus 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Atomic Drop 4-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Traegar 5-1 WON ($9.60)

9th: Hollywood Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f-T (Hi-5)

If 9f is OK for Wit, he’s going to be tough to beat. After him however, anyone appears eligible for pay slots..

Most Likely: #9 Wit 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 War At Sea SCR
Next Best: #3 Celestial City 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Spycatcher 12-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #1 Cabo Spirit 5-1 5th

P5 Grid:

5: 3-7 (A), – (B), 6-9 (C)
6: 1-6 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
7: 2-9-10 (A), 11-12 (B), – (C)
8: 2-6-8 (A), 1-4/SCR5 (B), – (C)
9: 9 (A), – (B), 3-8/SCR (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x4x1 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: 3x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-9 in 5th) + 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (3-8 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

6: 1-6 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
7: 2-9-10 (A), 11-12 (B), – (C)
8: 2-6-8 (A), 1-4/SCR5 (B), – (C)
9: 9 (A), – (B), 3-8/SCR (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x4x1 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x3x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-8 in 9th)

11/26: Churchill Downs (Stars II)

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CHURCHILL DOWNS ~ STARS II

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Notable pedigrees throughout including Lady Irene (a half to Beholder/Mendelssohn) and Medaglia Forever (Md’O out of Forever Unbridled).. Several of those that have run have some quality about them and it seems like the well bred firsters could impact as well..

Most Likely: #10 Bru Na Boinne 5-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Vahva 7-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #4 Lady Irene 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Market Profile 6-1 10th

5th: MSW, 2yo, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Point Proven 5-1 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #9 Spielman 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Endpoint 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Escapologist 5-1 3rd

6th: ALW/N2L, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Worthington and Deer District are forward-going and have right style to sit behind what looks like real pace. If looking for an oddball price, Scooteranddabigman is interesting with Mor Spirit turning out to be successful with turf movers (and off track runners). John Langemeir quite clever and reaches for Morales with whom he clicks at 24%..

Most Likely: #5 Worthington 3-1 WON ($9.10)
Next Best: #10 Deer District 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Scooteranddabigman 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Good Heart 7-2 6th

7th: Fern Creek, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Derby City P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Key of Life 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Twirled 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 The Great Maybe 4-1 5th

8th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Highway Robber 10-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Tres Soles 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Hit Show 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Rocket Can 7-2 2nd

9th: Ed Brown, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Mr Bob 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Top Recruit 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Powerful 5-2 WON ($7.16)
Super Add: #4 Frosted Departure 3-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

5: 7-9-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 3 (A), 4 (B), – (C)
8: 2-3 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
9: 3-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 5-10 (A), 1-4 (B), – (C)
7: 3 (A), 4 (B), – (C)
8: 2-3-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x1x4x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

10th: Golden Rod (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hoosier Philly 1-1 WON ($2.96)
Best Value: #3 American Rockette 10-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Knockyoursocksoff 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Defining Purpose 15-1 5th

11th: Kentucky Jockey Club (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Instant Coffee 5-2 WON ($5.08)
Next Best: #9 Cyclone Mischief 8-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Gigante 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Curly Jack 3-1 2nd

12th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (Hi-5)

Itzos the Rachel Alexandra half for Larry Best & Paolo Lobo..

Best Value: #2 King d’Oro 8-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Mobster 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Itzos 4-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Talladega 3-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

8: 2-3 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
9: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
10: 4 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
11: 8-9 (A), – (B), 1-4-5 (C)
12: 2-3-6-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x2x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x2x1x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups ($36): 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3 in the 10th) + 2x2x1x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-4-5 in 11th)

P4 Grid:

9: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
10: 4 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
11: 4-8-9 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
12: 2-3-6-11 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x5x4 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 2x1x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: 2x1x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3 in the 10th)

11/25: Churchill Downs (8th-12th)

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CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Solid Tune 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Waters of Merom 20-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Sue Ellen Mishkin 9-2 WON ($5.64)
Exotics Use: #8 Strong Silent 3-1 SCR

9th: Mrs. Revere (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Bubble Rock 5-2 WON ($5.32)
Best Value: #10 Quality Star 12-1 5th
Next Best: #6 California Angel 2-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Lovely Princess 8-1 4th

10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Milliken 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Call Me Fast 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Angkor 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #14 Seal Beach 6-1 WON ($11.98)

11th: Clark (G1), 3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Fulsome 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 West Will Power 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Rich Strike 2-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Proxy 7-2 WON ($7.08)

12th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Shady Road 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Star Table 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Twentytwenty Hoax DNF-Pulled Up
Exotics Use: #9 Awesome Ally Vee 8-1 4th

P5 Grid:

8: 3-7 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
9: 4-10 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 7-8-10 (A), 1-14 (B), – (C)
11: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 7 (A), – (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x5x3x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-7 in 9th) + 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2 in 12th)

P4 Grid:

9: 4-10 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)
10: 7-8-10 (A), 1-14 (B), – (C)
11: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 7 (A), – (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x3x1 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A’s: 2x3x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: 2x3x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9 (2 in 12th)