BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: S/ALW, F&M-3+. 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Voodoo Tales 5-2
Next Best: #6 My Donna Jean 2-1
Best Value: #5 Coast of Sangria 5-1
Exotics Use: #2 Lotsa Noodles 6-1

7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Very tricky group..

Best Value: #5 Tizallheart 4-1
Next Best: #1 Bartiromo 2-1
Exotics Use: #2 Dramatize 10-1
Super Add: #6 Lucky Nancy R. 10-1

8th: OC/N2X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #1 Irish Score 5-1
Next Best: #5 Run of the River 8-5
Exotics Use: #4 Summer Solo 3-1

9th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f

Most Likely: #1 Purling 5-2
Best Value: #3 Forbidden Talent 12-1
Next Best: #2 Little Gabby Girl 6-1
Exotics Use: #7 Vinhdication Spot 20-1

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 1,5 with 1 with 1,3 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5 with 1 with 1,3 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,6,8 with 1 with 1,3 – $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,5 with 4,5 with 1,3 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,5 with 1 with 2,7 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 2,6,8 with 1 with 1,3 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5 with 4,5 with 1,3 – $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5 with 1 with 2,7 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,6,8 with 4,5 with 1,3 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,6,8 with 1 with 2,7 – $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,5 with 4,5 with 2,7 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 1 with 1,3 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 3,4 with 1 with 1,3 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,5 with 6 with 1,3 – $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,5 with 1 with 4,5,6,9 – $4.00

Total: $58.00

Good luck!
Steve

The best of the game is going to be showcased at Belmont Park today with a backdrop of an attempt at the rarest of feats in all of sport. Since Baltimore, we have spent a good portion of 45 hours on ATR discussing the prospects of California Chrome winning again in New York and there is no obvious reason as of today to think that he cannot. In advance of the 6:52p feature and thanks to a brilliant job by the NYRA racing office, we are to be treated to a non-stop festival of handicapping puzzles providing 7+ hours of wagering opportunities. Like a Breeders’ Cup Saturday card, it will likely take just one or two hits to make the day a winning one, so fire away and don’t panic if you don’t score immediately. The big hit is there for you individually — maybe in the 13th — and for all of us in the 11th with a win by the favorite. Hope everyone enjoyed ATR coverage from Belmont as much as I enjoyed bringing it to you. Best of luck to participants on track and off. Safe trips to all..

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Live prices appear to abound to start day with Away Game (12-1), Spartiatis (10-1) and Wabbajack (8-1) jumping out, but top three faves have real merit. Bernardo (3-1) 7/2-1-2 at BEL, gets Jose Ortiz back and return to race two back plenty good enough. Jimmy Connors (4-1) adds blinks to already certain leadership and can wire. $1,000,000 Tapit son Forever Thing (7-2) is first time as a 4yo and has likely progressed considerably since last summer..

Most Likely: #7 Forever Thing 7-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Away Game 12-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Spartiatis 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Jimmy Connors 4-1 8th

2nd: 4th Easy Goer, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Legend’s last 2 efforts have been outstanding and though he faces a quality cast, looks like a breakout star in the making getting classic conservative Bond development handling. Life in Shambles bested Tonalist in tandem drill a week ago..

Most Likely: #7 LEGEND 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Life in Shambles 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Pass the Coffee 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Misconnect 4-1 4th

3rd: 126th Brooklyn (G2), 4+, 12f (P3, DD)

A dress rehearsal for the Belmont 6 hours later and interesting to note that 7 of the riders of the 8 here have calls in the feature. The Drosselmeyer prep players look like the right ones and Eriugena provides value entering on a roll with a pedigree that screams the trip..

Most Likely: #3 Micromanage 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Ground Transport 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Eriugena 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Ever Rider 5-1 4th

4th: 31st Jaipur (G3), 4+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Fun cast with the amazing Ben’s Cat on hand to make his turf debut in New York and 6 of the 11 looking possible on top. With Marriedtothemusic choosing to run Friday in the True North, pace duties fall to Marchman and Ben’s Cat and the pair may take some catching. Positive Side adds Lasix after bleeding in the CD stake and gets heads up lawn pilot Nakatani..

Most Likely: #9 Positive Side 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Ben’s Cat 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Upgrade 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Marchman 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Anyriderill Do 20-1 6th

5th: 30th Woody Stephen — formerly Riva Ridge (G2), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Havana never had a chance to distinguish himself on the Triple Crown stomp this winter and spring, but this spot appears prime for Champagne winner to kickstart his sophomore season. Top Fortitiude has been a favorite of mine from day one and I love that Kory Owens was compelled to show up for this. Social Inclusion may overwhelm this set cutting back from Preakness, but it feels equally likely that he gets nothing. Tough call..

Most Likely: #3 Havana 6-1 11th
Best Value: #12 Top Fortitude 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Social Inclusion 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Kobe’s Back 15-1 4th

$100 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,8,9 with 7 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 – $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 1 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 1,5 with 9 with 3 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 2,3 with 4,5,8,10 with 3 – $8.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 2,3 with 9 with 11,12 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,8,9 with 1 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 – $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,8,9 with 7 with 1,5 with 9 with 3 – $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 3,8,9 with 7 with 2,3 with 4,5,8,10 with 3 – $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 3,8,9 with 7 with 2,3 with 9 with 11,12 – $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 1 with 1,5 with 9 with 3 – $2.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 1 with 2,3 with 4,5,8,10 with 3 – $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 1 with 2,3 with 9 with 11,12 – $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 1,5 with 4,5,8,10 with 3 – $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 1,5 with 9 with 11,12 – $4.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 2,3 with 4,5,8,10 with 11,12 – $16.00

A’s with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 2,4 with 7 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 – $2.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 3,5,8 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 – $6.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 4,8 with 9 with 3 – $2.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 2,3 with 9 with 6,10 – $4.00

Total: $101.00

<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 1,4,5 with 9 with 3 – $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,3 with 4,5,8,10 with 3 – $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,3 with 9 with 11,12 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 1,4,5 with 4,5,8,10 with 3 – $12.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 1,4,5 with 9 with 11,12 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,3 with 4,5,8,10 with 11,12 – $16.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,8 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 – $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 6,7,8 with 9 with 3 – $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,3 with 6,11 with 3 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,3 with 9 with 7,10 – $4.00

Total: $65.00

6th: 84th Acorn (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

You can get creative and try to create some alternate scenarios, but on her best, My Miss Sophia remains second of her sex to Untapable. As Andy Serling points out, she may be best on the lead in two turn routes, but she broke her maiden on a one turn layout and doesn’t have to be part of the hot pace. After her, any among House Rules, Fiftyshadesofgold, Sweet Reason, Unbridled Forever and returning Artemis Agrotera are plausible..

Most Likely: #8 My Miss Sophia 6-5 7th
Best Value: #7 Unbridled Forever 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Artemis Agrotera 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Sweet Reason 10-1 WON ($20.80)

7th: 46th Ogden Phipps — formerly Hempstead H. (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

The billing for this started nearly three months ago and needs no further embellishment with a set of 4yo fillies that are collectively 12/12 going the 8.5f trip. Princess of Sylmar looks to get her set up here but I don’t think she can get to Beholder. The Breeders’ Cup Distaff in June..

Most Likely: #5 Beholder 7-5 4th
Next Best: #6 Princess of Sylmar 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Close Hatches 5-2 WON ($7.80)

8th: 21st Just a Game (G1), F&M-4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Top pair line up from the 9 & 10 holes with Discreet Marq needing to find early forward position and Better Lucky not wanting to get shuffled too far back..

Most Likely: #10 Better Lucky 3-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Discreet Marq 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Somali Lemonade 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Stephanie’s Kitten 4-1 5th

9th: 121st Metropolitan H. (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Spectacular edition of this historic event and cannot blame anyone for taking their price shots. Of the prime contenders, Palace Malice (8-5), Normandy Invasion (5-1) and Shakin It Up (6-1) are the most logical. Perfectly drawn Shakin It Up is the key if that price is holding. Looking to the numbers, consistent Moreno (10-1) and turnback Romansh (15-1) have real chances. Vyjack will be every bit of his ML 30-1 tab and could charge the exotics 2nd/layoff..

Most Likely: #13 Shakin It Up 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Palace Malice 8-5 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #5 Moreno 10-1 12th
Exotics Use: #9 Normandy Invasion 5-1 10th
Super Add: #12 Romansh 15-1 3rd

10th: 113th Manhattan (G1), 4+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Entire group may be separated by less than 3 lengths on paper, which makes you want to take a chance and find a price. Rookie Sensation (12-1) has been much improved as a 4yo, though his record obscures it. Was able to close ground on hard-baked Santa Anita lawn and that bodes well for his prospects on a real turf course. Shipped to NY by Shirreffs immediately after near miss in Last Tycoon and :59.4 drill 5/19 tells you what you need to know. Surprise package in slightly soft running of this century-plus standard..

Best Value: #3 ROOKIE SENSATION 12-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Real Solution 5-1 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Imagining 7-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Grandeur 5-1 4th

10th: 146th Belmont S. (G1), 3yo, 12f (P3, DD)

The Belmont Stakes has unique constructs on an annual basis that are further amplified under Triple Crown attempt conditions. The urge to anoint a Triple Crown winner is based on performances that seem germane, the Derby and Preakness, but in reality, are not. The 11th and 12th furlongs of the Belmont — a quarter of a mile further than the Derby — makes handicapping this ‘test of the Champion’ completely different. To distill the equation in another way, how would you approach the merits of these 11 horses if all were exiting 6f races but were now going 1 mile? Or pretend every horse in the Derby had never been beyond a mile and were now going a mile and a quarter. Two extra furlongs is 4+ football fields AFTER the group has already run the Derby distance. With that planted in your mind, recall all the implausible horses over the years that have invaded the pay slots of this event. They do so because the speed figures and general maxims of our handicapping on a daily basis do not apply as readily for these uncharted waters. With that established, feel free to include the likes of Commissioner (20-1), Medal Count (20-1), Matuszak (30-1) and even Matterhorn (30-1) with the major players that you feel you know.

We have all come to know the Triple Crown candidate best of course and there’s nothing in his approach to the race that suggests he cannot — or will not — succeed today. Victor Espinoza will have every opportunity to choose his position early with none of the horses around him interested in being forwardly placed from the bell. Depending on what Samraat, General a Rod and Tonalist do, California Chrome and Espinoza can stalk or dictate. He can win on the front end if the pace is moderate and he can get first run on whomever is left in front after the first 6f to a mile. Either way, he will have to brace for challenges later from credentialed Wicked Strong and Ride On Curlin and/or Commissioner and the other one-paced grinders. If up to the task, we will be treated to a performance and Triple Crown winner that will stand up to the requisite scrutiny of the achievement’s heavy mantle. Despite all the obvious faults of the stance from a wagering perspective, I’m voting for..

Most Likely: #2 California Chrome 3-5 4th-DH
Next Best: #9 Wicked Strong 6-1 4th-DH
Best Value: #8 Commissioner 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Ride On Curlin 12-1 11th
Super Add: #4 Commanding Curve 15-1 9th

<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 9,10 with 1,13 with 3,8 with 2 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,13 with 3,8 with 2 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 9 with 3,8 with 2 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 1,13 with 1,4 with 2 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 1,13 with 3,8 with 9 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 9 with 3,8 with 2 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,13 with 1,4 with 2 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,13 with 3,8 with 9 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 9 with 1,4 with 2 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 9 with 3,8 with 9 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 1,13 with 1,4 with 9 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,13 with 3,8 with 2 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 5,12 with 3,8 with 2 – $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 1,13 with 3,8 with 4,5,8,11 – $16.00

Total: $64.00

12th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #11 Shining Copper 8-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Developer 20-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Ghurair 9-5 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #4 North Star Boy 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Artic North 10-1 8th

13th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f

Most Likely: #11 Celebrator 10-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Pazolini 3-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #12 Quick Money 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Protocol 6-1 7th
Super Add: #15 Associate 15-1 9th

<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 8,11 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 2 with 11 with 8,11 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 8 with 11 with 8,11 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 7,8 with 8,11 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 10,12,15 – $3.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 8 with 11 with 8,11 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 2 with 7,8 with 8,11 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 2 with 11 with 10,12,15 – $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 8 with 7,8 with 8,11 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 8 with 11 with 10,12,15 – $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 7,8 with 10,12,15 – $6.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,6,7 with 2 with 11 with 8,11 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 1,3,4,5,6,7,9,10,11 with 11 with 8,1 – $18.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 2,4 with 8,11 – $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 1,5 – $2.00

Total: $65.00

SANTA ANITA PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Screaming Skylar 9-5
Best Value: #3 Soul Crusader 8-1
Next Best: #2 Bennett Jean 5-2
Exotics Use: #5 Champion Risk 8-1

4th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Theatre Star 7-5
Best Value: #1 Kathleen Rose 5-2

5th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Wine Country Wanda 9-5
Best Value: #5 Do It Mobile Style 5-1
Next Best: #3 Lust for Life 5-2
Exotics Use: #8 Nonna Reese 3-1

6th: Cal-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Tiz a Kiss 5-1
Next Best: #3 Wonderful Lie 7-2
Exotics Use: #4 Miss Well Molded 5-2
Super Add: #8 Van Dien Avenue 15-1

7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Fit to Rule 8-5
Best Value: #5 Graeme Crackerjack 9-2
Next Best: #4 When We Met 7-2

8th: CLM, 3yo, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Number Five 4-1
Next Best: #3 Hobbits Hero 6-5
Exotics Use: #8 Sir Macho 8-1
Super Add: #4 Green Tag 6-1

<$125 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 3,7 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,3 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 3,7 – $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 3,7 – $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2 with 5 with 2 with 2 with 3,7 – $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2 with 2 with 3,4 with 2 with 3,7 – $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 8 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $2.00 pick P6: 2,3 with 1 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 3,7 – $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 2,3 with 2 with 5 with 2 with 2 with 3,7 – $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 2,3 with 2 with 2 with 3,4 with 2 with 3,7 – $16.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 2,3 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 8 – $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1 with 5 with 2 with 2 with 3,7 – $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1 with 2 with 3,4 with 2 with 3,7 – $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 8 – $2.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2 with 5 with 3,4 with 2 with 3,7 – $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2 with 5 with 2 with 2 with 8 – $2.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2 with 2 with 3,4 with 2 with 8 – $4.00

A’s with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 5,6 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 3,7 – $8.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2 with 3,8 with 2 with 2 with 3,7 – $8.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2 with 2 with 8 with 2 with 3,7 – $4.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 4,5 with 3,7 – $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 2 with 4 – $2.00

Total: $124.00

<$55 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 2,3 with 2 with 3,7 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,8 with 2,3 with 2 with 3,7 – $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 4 with 2 with 3,7 – $1.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,3 with 4,5 with 3,7 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,3 with 2 with 8 – $1.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,8 with 4 with 2 with 3,7 – $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,8 with 2,3 with 4,5 with 3,7 – $12.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,8 with 2,3 with 2 with 8 – $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 4 with 4,5 with 3,7 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 4 with 2 with 8 – $0.50
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,3 with 4,5 with 8 – $2.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 2,3 with 2 with 3,7 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,5,6,7,8 with 2 with 3,7 – $5.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,3 with 3,6 with 3,7 – $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,3 with 2 with 1,4 – $2.00

Total: $51.50

Good luck!
Steve

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-MCLM, 3+, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Wake Up and Go 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Born in Brooklyn 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Mineral Water 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Rontos New York 6-1 2nd

5th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Jackson N Lorimer 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Alysaro 12-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Native Hero 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 American Creed 2-1 WON ($5.80)

6th: CLM, 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Sleepless Knight 2-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Horvat Clan 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Le Deluge 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Exporter 4-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Precious Metal 4-1 WON ($9.00)

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Otoy 6-1 9th
Best Value: #1 Ducks Dock 15-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Bold Forest 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Lead Singer 3-1 WON ($6.50)

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Rock Fall 6-5 WON ($3.10)
Next Best: #4 Real Estate Rich 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Risk Management 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Tiznowforamerica 4-1 4th

9th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m

Most Likely: #1 Saythreehailmary’s 1-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Maxana 6-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Accomplish First 5-2 WON ($7.90)
Exotics Use: #6 Jcs American Dream 12-1 2nd

<$150 P6 Play:

4: 10
5: 1-2-5-6
6: 1-2-3-5-7
7: 1-4-7-9
8: 5
9: 1

1x4x5x4x1x1 = 80 x $2 = $160

<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 4 with 5 with 1 – $3.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 2,3,7 with 4 with 5 with 1 – $3.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 1,5,7,9 with 5 with 1 – $8.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 4 with 1,4 with 1 – $4.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 4 with 5 with 2 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,7 with 1,5,7,9 with 5 with 1 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,7 with 4 with 1,4 with 1 – $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,7 with 4 with 5 with 2 – $1.50
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 1,5,7,9 with 1,4 with 1 – $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 1,5,7,9 with 5 with 2 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 4 with 1,4 with 2 – $2.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 4 with 5 with 1 – $0.50
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 4 with 5 with 6,10 – $2.00

Total: $47.00

Thought Belmont might head into a third carryover day Friday but overdue Lord Trondor broke maiden in nightcap to close big return of $186,500 for 2 winners. At Santa Anita, the tricky sequence produced 2 favorites and some mid-range prices for an excellent payoff of nearly $86k. Beautiful day in New York for Empire-bred Showcase…

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-MCLM/$20k, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a B Shanny 8-5
Next Best: #10 Dr Disco 5-1
Best Value: #8 Lucci the Lion 12-1
Exotics Use: #2 Say Mr. Sandman 8-1

2nd: Kingston-NY, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Kharafa 5-2
Next Best: #1 Lubash 2-1
Best Value: #7 Compliance Officer 10-1
Exotics Use: #9 Street Game 12-1

3rd: Bouwerie-NY, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Henry’s Gal 3-1
Next Best: #2 Flipcup 5-2
Best Value: #3 Isabelle 5-1
Exotics Use: #6 Ms. Sylvia A. 6-1

4th: Mt. Vernon-NY, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Effie Trinket 2-5
Best Value: #2 Mah Jong Maddnes 10-1
Next Best: #7 Roses for Romney 8-1
Exotics Use: #3 Frosty Bay 15-1

5th: Mike Lee-NY, 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Captain Serious 5-1
Best Value: #7 Swell 10-1
Next Best: #9 Loki’s Vengeance 6-1
Exotics Use: #3 Eye Luv Lulu 20-1

<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 2,5 with 5 with 7,10 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 1,4 with 2,5 with 5 with 7,10 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 7,8,9 with 2,5 with 5 with 7,10 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 3,6 with 5 with 7,10 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 2,5 with 5 with 3,9 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 7,8,9 with 2,5 with 5 with 7,10 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 1,4 with 3,6 with 5 with 7,10 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 1,4 with 2,5 with 5 with 3,9 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 7,8,9 with 3,6 with 5 with 7,10 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 7,8,9 with 2,5 with 5 with 3,9 – $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 3,6 with 5 with 3,9 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 1,4 with 2,5 with 5 with 7,10 – $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 1,8 with 5 with 7,10 – $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 2,5 with 5 with 1,5 – $4.00

Total: $68.00

6th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 So Lonesome 3-1
Best Value: #8 Giant Finish 12-1
Next Best: #2 Sneaky Kitten 7-2
Exotics Use: #3 Powerful Instinct 4-1

7th: Critical Eye-NY, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 La Verdad 1-1
Next Best: #4 Macha 6-1
Best Value: #3 Miss Da Point 12-1
Exotics Use: #2 Hot Stones 10-1

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Sanctify 8-1
Best Value: #6 Waterway 12-1
Next Best: #9 Hooked Forever 5-1
Exotics Use: #12 Soul House 7-2
Super Add: #7 Lord of Love 10-1

9th: Commentator-NY, 3+, 1m (DD)

Wildly competitive edition of this..

Most Likely: #1 Prohibition 6-1
Next Best: #5 Zivo 2-1
Best Value: #3 Big Business 12-1
Exotics Use: #7 Readtheprospectus 8-1
Super Add: #11 Bernardo 20-1

10th: MSW-NY, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Crazy finale. As discussed with Nick Tammaro, thought City Zip daughter Barrier to Entry (30-1) from Fox Ridge and Pat Kelly was as viable as any here making first career turf start..

Best Value: #2 Barrier to Entry 30-1
Next Best: #6 Winter Wish 9-2
Exotics Use: #1 Colloquial 15-1
Super Add: #9 Keen Katana 15-1

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 6,8 with 1,5 with 2,6 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 9,12 with 1,5 with 2,6 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 6,8 with 3,7,11 with 2,6 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 6,8 with 1,5 with 1,9,11 – $6.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 9,12 with 3,7,11 with 2,6 – $6.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 9,12 with 1,5 with 1,9,11 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 6,8 with 3,7,11 with 1,9,11 – $9.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 7 with 1,5 with 2,6 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 6,8 with 8,9,10,12 with 2,6 – $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 6,8 with 1,5 with 4,5,7,8 – $8.00

Total: $59.00

Good luck!
Steve