NY-breds bide time until Belmont’s main event

By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized  |  
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Thought Belmont might head into a third carryover day Friday but overdue Lord Trondor broke maiden in nightcap to close big return of $186,500 for 2 winners. At Santa Anita, the tricky sequence produced 2 favorites and some mid-range prices for an excellent payoff of nearly $86k. Beautiful day in New York for Empire-bred Showcase…

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-MCLM/$20k, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a B Shanny 8-5
Next Best: #10 Dr Disco 5-1
Best Value: #8 Lucci the Lion 12-1
Exotics Use: #2 Say Mr. Sandman 8-1

2nd: Kingston-NY, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Kharafa 5-2
Next Best: #1 Lubash 2-1
Best Value: #7 Compliance Officer 10-1
Exotics Use: #9 Street Game 12-1

3rd: Bouwerie-NY, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Henry’s Gal 3-1
Next Best: #2 Flipcup 5-2
Best Value: #3 Isabelle 5-1
Exotics Use: #6 Ms. Sylvia A. 6-1

4th: Mt. Vernon-NY, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Effie Trinket 2-5
Best Value: #2 Mah Jong Maddnes 10-1
Next Best: #7 Roses for Romney 8-1
Exotics Use: #3 Frosty Bay 15-1

5th: Mike Lee-NY, 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Captain Serious 5-1
Best Value: #7 Swell 10-1
Next Best: #9 Loki’s Vengeance 6-1
Exotics Use: #3 Eye Luv Lulu 20-1

<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 2,5 with 5 with 7,10 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 1,4 with 2,5 with 5 with 7,10 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 7,8,9 with 2,5 with 5 with 7,10 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 3,6 with 5 with 7,10 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 2,5 with 5 with 3,9 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 7,8,9 with 2,5 with 5 with 7,10 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 1,4 with 3,6 with 5 with 7,10 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 1,4 with 2,5 with 5 with 3,9 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 7,8,9 with 3,6 with 5 with 7,10 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 7,8,9 with 2,5 with 5 with 3,9 – $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 3,6 with 5 with 3,9 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 1,4 with 2,5 with 5 with 7,10 – $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 1,8 with 5 with 7,10 – $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,4 with 2,5 with 5 with 1,5 – $4.00

Total: $68.00

6th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 So Lonesome 3-1
Best Value: #8 Giant Finish 12-1
Next Best: #2 Sneaky Kitten 7-2
Exotics Use: #3 Powerful Instinct 4-1

7th: Critical Eye-NY, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 La Verdad 1-1
Next Best: #4 Macha 6-1
Best Value: #3 Miss Da Point 12-1
Exotics Use: #2 Hot Stones 10-1

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Sanctify 8-1
Best Value: #6 Waterway 12-1
Next Best: #9 Hooked Forever 5-1
Exotics Use: #12 Soul House 7-2
Super Add: #7 Lord of Love 10-1

9th: Commentator-NY, 3+, 1m (DD)

Wildly competitive edition of this..

Most Likely: #1 Prohibition 6-1
Next Best: #5 Zivo 2-1
Best Value: #3 Big Business 12-1
Exotics Use: #7 Readtheprospectus 8-1
Super Add: #11 Bernardo 20-1

10th: MSW-NY, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Crazy finale. As discussed with Nick Tammaro, thought City Zip daughter Barrier to Entry (30-1) from Fox Ridge and Pat Kelly was as viable as any here making first career turf start..

Best Value: #2 Barrier to Entry 30-1
Next Best: #6 Winter Wish 9-2
Exotics Use: #1 Colloquial 15-1
Super Add: #9 Keen Katana 15-1

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 6,8 with 1,5 with 2,6 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 9,12 with 1,5 with 2,6 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 6,8 with 3,7,11 with 2,6 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 6,8 with 1,5 with 1,9,11 – $6.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 9,12 with 3,7,11 with 2,6 – $6.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 9,12 with 1,5 with 1,9,11 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 6,8 with 3,7,11 with 1,9,11 – $9.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 7 with 1,5 with 2,6 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 6,8 with 8,9,10,12 with 2,6 – $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 6,8 with 1,5 with 4,5,7,8 – $8.00

Total: $59.00

Good luck!
Steve

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