SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

“They’re off at Saratoga..”

Most Likely: #6 Bear Alley 5-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Royal Tryst 6-1 WON ($13.40)
Next Best: #9 Kershaw 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Dark Storm 10-1 4th

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Chocolate Gelato 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #5 Two Minute Drill 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Half a Chance 9-5 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Thirty Thou Kelvin 6-1 6th

3rd: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T/12′ (P3, DD)

Five class droppers and not much pace signed on..

Most Likely: #4 High Tide 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #9 Grand Journey 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Takafumi 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Street Copper 15-1 5th

4th: MSW, 3+, 11f-Inner/9′ (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Vintage Year 8-1 4th ~ Depaula Play of the Day!
Next Best: #3 Remote 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Grand Cay 4-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Snow’s Island 6-1 WON ($19.40)

5th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Yeesh.. Eye-crossing group..

Most Likely: #3 Majority Partner 9-2 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #7 The Institute 10-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Catching Cupid 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Hereby 8-1 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 6-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
2: 6 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 4-9 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
4: 3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 2-3-7 (A), 4-6-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 5-6 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)
3: 4-9 (A), 3-5 (B), – (C)
4: 3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 2-3-7 (A), 4-6-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

6th: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T/12′ (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

King Moonracer is supposed to win this..

Most Likely: #9 King Moonracer 7-2 4th
Best Value: #11 Me ‘n Sap 15-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Just Say When 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Fast N Fearious 6-1 11th

7th: Wilton, 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Top pair stand out, but debut of quirky configuration makes things interesting..

Most Likely: #1 Goddess of Fire 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Tarabi 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Favor 7-2 5th
Super Add: #9 A Mo Reay 5-1 7th

8th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 9f-Inner/9′ (P3, DD)

Several things conspired against Customer List at PEN in seasonal debut and Chad gives her an opportunity here to restart campaign. After her, this is a potentially wild exotics scene..

Most Likely: #6 Customer List 6-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Candy Light 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Love to Run 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Big Tentations 20-1 10th

9th: Schuylerville (G3), 2yo-F, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Me and My Shadow 7-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Just Cindy 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Summer Promise 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Vedareo 8-1 5th

10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T/12′

Fast Corey is a likely winner and is not favored..

Most Likely: #5 Fast Corey 7-2 7th
Next Best: #6 Abuse of Power 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #4 Rigby 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Dame Time 6-1 4th

P5 Grid:

6: 9 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-7 (A), 6 (B), – (C)
8: 6-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 4-9 (B), – (C)
10: 4-5-6-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 1-7 (A), 6 (B), – (C)
8: 6-7-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 9 (B), 4 (C)
10: 4-5-6-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x4 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x3x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th (X-C Leg A): Belmont Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 10f-Inner (X-C P5, P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 New Year’s Eve 6-1 8th
Next Best: #1 McKulick 6-1 WON ($12.80)
Exotics Use: #4 With The Moonlight 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Concert Hall 3-1 4th

9th (X-C Leg B): Belmont Derby (G1), 3yo, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Royal Patronage 12-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Nations Pride 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Sy Dog 10-1 6th
Super Add: #13 Stone Age 9-2 3rd

HORSESHOE INDIANA

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: Schaefer Memorial, 3+, 1m-70y (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 South Bend 3-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Spa City 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Thomas Shelby 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Mr. Wireless 5-1 WON ($7.80)

9th: Snack-IN, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Latigo 5-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Mr Chaos 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #5 New Years Fever 7-2 5th
Super Add: #14 D’oro’s Wish 12-1 7th

10th (X-C Leg C): Schuster Memorial, 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Peace Achieved 12-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Ivar 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Somelikeithotbrown 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Duke of Hazzard 7-2 5th

11th (X-C Leg D): Indiana Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Interstatedaydream 9-5 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #8 Sixtythreecaliber 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Patna 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Runaway Wife 4-1 2nd

12th (X-C Leg E): Indiana Derby (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 King Ottoman 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Actuator 7-2 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Rattle N Roll 5-2 7th
Super Add: #7 Best Actor 4-1 2nd

Cross Country P5 Grid:

BEL 7: 1-6 (A), 4-10 (B), – (C)
BEL 9: 7-8-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
IND 10: 1-10-12 (A), – (B), 5-6-9 (C)
IND 11: 5 (A), – (B), 3-7-8 (C)
IND 12: 4-8 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 5-6-9 in IND 10th (2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18) + 3-7-8 in IND 11th (2x3x3x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54)

P5 Grid:

8: 5-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 4-10 (A), 5-14 (B), – (C)
10: 1-10-12 (A), – (B), 5-6-9 (C)
11: 5 (A), – (B), 3-7-8 (C)
12: 4-8 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 5-6-9 in 10th (3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18) + 3-7-8 in 11th (3x2x3x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54)

P4 Grid:

9: 4-5-10-14 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-10-12 (A), 5-6-9 (B), – (C)
11: 5 (A), – (B), 3-7-8 (C)
12: 4-8 (A), 6-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 4x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 3-7-8 in 11th (4x3x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Emboite 9-2 6th
Next Best: #4 Internal Capital 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Breakwater 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Sousa Summer 4-1 3rd

6th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Writeitontheice 12-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Endowed 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Air Show 7-2 5th

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Happy Hill Lil 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 She’s a Mia 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Autumn Glory 2-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Dufresne 8-1 3rd

8th: Dwyer (G3), 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Charge It 4-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #6 Nabakov 2-1 6th
Best Value: #2 No Sabe Nada 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Fluid Situation 5-1 3rd

9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

Most Likely: #10 O’Gotten Girl 5-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Silky Blue 10-1 4th
Next Best: #7 She’s the One 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Cruz Bay 10-1 9th

10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #9 Bay Street Money 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Poet of Life 7-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Thin White Duke 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Devil’s Outlaw 4-1 9th

P6 Grid:

5: 4-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 4 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
7: 1-2 (A), – (B), 3-9 (C)
8: 1 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
9: 5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 8-9-12 (A), – (B), 3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x1x2x2x3 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x2x1x2x3 = $24
Backups: $24 (3-9 in 7th) + $48 (2-6 in 8th) + $16 (3-7 in 10th)

P5 Grid:

6: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-2 (A), 3-9 (B), – (C)
8: 1 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
9: 5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 8-9-12 (A), 3-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 xx .50 = $18
Backups: $36 (2-6 in 8th)

P4 Grid:

7: 1-2 (A), 3-9 (B), – (C)
8: 1-2 (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
9: 5-10 (A), 7 (B), – (C)
10: 8-9-12 (A), 3-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = 24 xx .50 = $12
Backup: $12 (3-6 in 8th)

CROSS COUNTRY P5

Leg A: Belmont-Race 4 (2:34 pm) ~ G2 John Nerud (5)
Leg B: Delaware Park-Race 6 (3:00 pm) ~ G3 Delaware Oaks (8)
Leg C: Churchill Downs-Race 8 (4:35 pm) ~ G2 Fleur de Lis (5)
Leg D: Belmont-Race 8 (4:38 pm) ~ G3 Dwyer (6)
Leg E: Churchill Downs-Race 10 (5:47 pm) ~ G2 Stephen Foster (7)

X-C P5 Grid:

BEL 4: 1 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
DEL 6: 3-4-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
CD 8: 1-4 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
BEL 8: 1-6 (A), – (B), 2-3 (C)
CD 10: 1-3 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x2x4 = $72 ($36 for .50)
All A’s: 1x3x2x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)
.50 Backups: $12 (5 in BEL 4th) + $12 (2-3 in BEL 8th)

CHURCHILL DOWNS

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Tepin, 3yo-F, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Wicked Halo WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #1 Heartyconstitution 2nd

7th: American Derby, 3yo, 8.5f (.20 Derby City P6, P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 McLaren Vale 4-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Rattle N Roll 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #3 Search Engine 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Kuchar 5-1 2nd

8th: Fleur de Lis (G2), F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

A repeat of her stunner at Pimlico, this time against Pauline’s Pearl & Shedaresthedevil, would make Super Quick the summer facorite for the Distaff..

Most Likely: #1 Super Quick 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Pauline’s Pearl 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Shedaresthedevil 9-2 WON ($4.80)

9th: Kelly’s Landing, 4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Heart Rhythm 15-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Bango 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Kneedeepinsnow 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Startdfromdbottom 30-1 7th

10th: Stephen Foster (G2), 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Caddo River 10-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Olympiad 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Mandaloun 2-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Americanrevolution 7-2 2nd

P5 Grid:

6: 4 (A), – (B), 1 (C)
7: 5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 1-4 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
9: 2-3-5 (A), 4-6-7 (B), – (C)
10: 1-3 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x2x6x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 1x2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $12 (1 in 6th) + $6 (5 in 8th)

CROSS COUNTRY PICK 5

POST-SCRATCHES

BELMONT 8th: Mother Goose (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Juju’s Map 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Shahama 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Venti Valentine 5-1 4th

MONMOUTH 11th: Goldwood, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #10 Spun Glass 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Bay Storm SCR
Exotics Use: #6 Bout Time 4-1 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #8 Foriegn Exchange 30-1 6th

THISTLEDOWN 10th: Lady Jacqueline, F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Army Wife 3-1 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #5 Crazy Beautiful 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Microcap 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Maracuja 4-1 8th

CHURCHILL 9th: Chicago (G3), F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #1 Bayerness 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Sconsin 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Pennybaker 8-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Bell’s the One 7-2 3rd

THISTLEDOWN 11th: Ohio Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f

Most Likely: #7 Tawny Port 3-1 ($4.60)
Best Value: #1 Barese 9-2 4th
Next Best: #5 White Abarrio 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Ethereal Road 4-1 6th

P5 Grid:

BEL 8: 1-5 (A), – (B), 2-4 (C)
MTH 11: 5-6-10 (A), 2-4-8 (B), – (C)
TDN 10: 6 (A), – (B), 5-8 (C)
CD 9: 1-2-7 (A), 3-4-6 (B), – (C)
TDN 11: 1-7 (A), – (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x1x6x2 =144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (2-4 in BEL 8) + $36 (4-5 in TDN 10) + $9 (5 in TDN 11)

FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Has the look of a very productive group..

Most Likely: #2 Tulane Tryst 3-1: Exits serious try; Wins with repeat of it.. WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #8 Mr Sippi 6-1: 1st time as 3yo after useful fall tries.. 2nd
Next Best: #6 Wild for Wycliff 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Find New Roads 12-1 9th

6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Those with experience appear modest, opening the door for well bred (well meant?) firsters from Sharp (Win Worthy) & Cox (Snow House). McGee’s Amerman-home bred Temple City Blvd ~ pedigreed top/bottom for lawn ~ was rained off for debut and is 20-1. Casse exasperated by Commited, but has talent and is liable to connect dots at some point..

Most Likely: #6 Win Worthy 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Snow House 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Temple City Blvd 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Committed 6-1 7th

7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Grant Forster turns back Bold Confection, Jose Ortiz signs on and eschews Lasix after tying up post race of her first 2 races. Not losing..

Best Value: #8 BOLD CONFECTION 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Speightharmony 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Rookery 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Super Add: #7 Firingtothefront 8-1 7th

8th: Costa Rising-LA, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 No Parole 8-5 4th
Next Best: #6 Monte Man 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Classy John 12-1 WON ($61.00)
Exotics Use: #14 Bertie’s Galaxy SCR

9th: Crescent City Derby-LA, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Who Took the Money 5-2 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #7 Unanimously 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Wrongwayhighway 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Highland Creek 6-1 2nd

P4 Grid:

6: 4-6-7 (A), 5-8-9 (B), – (C)
7: 8 (A), – (B), 3-5-7 (C)
8: 2-6-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-7 (A), – (B), 1-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x3x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)
All A’s: 3x1x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: $27 (3-5-7) + $9 (1-6)

10th: Tom Benson, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Thoroughly impossible with slow-paced Al Stall Memorial the basis for the group with several season-starters looking to interlope. No combination appears outlandish for the pay slots..

Best Value: #5 Winter Sunset 20-1 –
Next Best: #6 Temple City Terror 8-1 –
Exotics Use: #13 Summer in Saratoga 10-1 WON ($20.20)
Super Add: #10 Winning Envelope 8-1 3rd

11th: New Orleans Classic (G2), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Owendale feels very likely, but given the lack of pace signed on, Chess Chief looks like a sneaky possibility..

Most Likely: #2 Owendale 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Chess Chief 6-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #8 Sonneman 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Enforceable 8-1 3rd

12th: Muniz Memorial (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

As discussed Friday, Colonel Liam just gets better and better. Far from a slam dunk though with many solid hard hitters involved..

Most Likely: #5 Colonel Liam 3-1 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #6 Logical Myth 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Peace Achieved 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Two Emmys 20-1 2nd

13th: Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Top 3 should cover it, but Li’l Tootsie can take them a long way if left alone..

Best Value: #5 Obligatory 5-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Clairiere 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Travel Column 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #4 Li’l Tootsie 4-1 5th

14th: Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9.5f

Excellent local group that exchanged blows in Lecomte & Risen Star is enhanced by invasion of Hot Rod Charlie and presence of breakthrough type Run Classic..

Most Likely: #6 Mandaloun 8-5 6th
Next Best: #5 Hot Rod Charlie 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #3 Run Classic 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Midnight Bourbon 5-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

10: 5-6-10-13 (A), 3-4-7-12 (B), – (C)
11: 2 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
12: 5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
13: 5-6-8 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
14: 5-6 (A), 3 (B), 4-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x1x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 4x1x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups: $24 (6) + $8 (4) + $24 (4-7)

$0.50 Pick-5 (13/6/1,4,5/2,8/5) Paid $1,133.05

P4 Grid:

11: 2 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
12: 5-6 (A), – (B), 7-9-10-12 (C)
13: 5-6-8 (A), 4 (B), – (C)
14: 3-5-6 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x4x5 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A’s: 1x2x3x3 = $18 ($9 for .50)
Backups: $9 (6) + $24 (7-10)

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/1,4,5/2,8/5) Paid $98.85