SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Jonathon Kiser Novice, 4+, 16.5-Nat’l Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Burn the Evidence 7-2 6th
Next Best: #5 Howyabud 5-2 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #1 Perfect Tapatino 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Going Country 5-1 3rd

2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Laughter 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a (POE) Glittering Prize 5-2 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Darn That Song 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Frosty Invasion 9-2 3rd

3rd: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Pintrack 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Leddy 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #5 Never Early 3-1 3rd

4th: CLM, F&M-3+m 1m-Inner/18′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Golden Voice 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Adelaide Miss 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Jasminesque 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Charge Account 4-1 WON ($8.90)

5th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T/18′ (P6, P3, DD)

Upper Level & Java Buzz the horses to beat here, but Triumphant Road (10-1) dropped by personal fave Foxysox, the wonderfully talented 5x turf GSW (2005-09) for Carla Gaines. Iris Smith paid $475k for this Quality Road filly and Eddie Barker is very deliberate handling her stock. Makes 3yo debut today and could take to grass at a nice number..

Best Value: #4 Triumphant Road 10-1 6th ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #2 Upper Level 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Java Buzz 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #3 Rockets Red Glare 6-1 4th

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner/18′ (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Collaboration 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Dream On Cara 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Smokie Eyes 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Amanda’s Folly 8-1 4th

P5 Grid:

2: 1-2 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
3: 2 (A), 6 (B), 7 (C)
4: 4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-4-7 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups ($36): (C-A-A-A-A ~ 6-7 in 2nd) ~ 6-7 w/ 2 w/ 3-4 w/ 1-2-4 w/ 3-4-7 = 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18; (A-C-A-A-A ~ 7 in 3rd) ~ 1-2 w/ 7 w/ 3-4 w/ 1-2-4 w/ 3-4-7 = 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

3: 2-6 (A), 3 (B), – (C)
4: 4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 3-4-7 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Tiegen 8-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #4 Troubleshooter 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Blewitt 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Vintage Hollywood 4-1 6th

8th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Swift Tap 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Sugar Grey Leonard 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Silipo 8-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Buckingham Prince 4-1 3rd

9th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T/18′ (DD)

Most Likely: #1e Brant Ownership entry 1-1 2nd/4th
Best Value: #4 Poca Mucha 6-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #2 Angel Palm 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Princess Fawzia 6-1 3rd

10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f

Best Value: #9 Braciole 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Cathedral Beach 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Yono 5-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Arthurian 15-1 4th

P5 Grid:

6: 1-3-4-7 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
7: 3 (A), – (B), 4 (C)
8: 6-9 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
9: 1 (A), – (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 7-9-11 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x4x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 4x1x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups ($36): $12 (A-C-A-A-A ~ 4 in 7th) + $24 (A-A-A-C-A ~ 2-4 in 9th)

P4 Grid:

7: 3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 6-9 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
9: 1 (A), – (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 7-9-11 (A), 4-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x5 = 40 x $1.50 = $60 ($40 for $1; $20 for .50)
All A’s: 2x2x1x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup ~ A-A-C-A (2-4 in 9th): 3-4 w/ 6-9 w/ 2-4 w/ 1-9-12 = 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 11f-Inner (P6, $3 Triple Play P3, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Baby Blythe 9-2 7th
Next Best: #6 Capital Structure 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #3 Ice Princess 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Mezcal 6-1 8th

Triple Play P3 Grid:

5: 6-9 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
9: 4-5 (A), – (B), 2 (C)

All A’s: 2x2x2 = 8 x $3 = $24
Backups (3 in 5th; 3 in 8th; 2 in 9th): 1x2x2 + 2x1x2 + 2x2x1 = 12 x $3 = $36

$3 Triple Play Pick 3 (6/6/2) Paid $331.50

6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Prank 9-5 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #2 Check Engine Light 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 My Betsy 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Misintention 10-1 4th

7th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD))

Best Value: #4 Ocala Dream 8-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Flop Shot 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Sanctuary City 10-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Hard Love 8-1 10th

8th: Bowling Green (G2), 4+, 11f-Inner (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Rockemperor 3-1 WON ($6.90)
Next Best: #2 Arklow 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Highland Chief 5-2 4th
Super Add: #1 L’emperator 6-1 3rd

9th: Amsterdam (G2), 3yo, 6.5f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Pappacap 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Accretive 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Gunite 4-1 WON ($16.80)
Super Add: #1 Pinehurst 6-1 8th

10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #7 Sharp Sensation 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Majestic Johnson 7-2 WON ($12.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Martinez 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Slugo 12-1 11th

P5 Grid:

6: 5 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x $1.50 = $54

P4 Grid:

7: 4-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 2-3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), – (B), 1-7-8-9 (C)
10: 6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)
Backup: 2x3x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Capture the Flag 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #4 Team Leader 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Swiss Guard 5-2 5th

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-Inner/18′ (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Montepuliano 9-2 10th
Best Value: #3 Determinedly 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 C’est Magnifique 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 Deccan Prince 6-1 4th

Triple Play P3 Grid:

2: 3-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 1-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 1-12 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 3x3x2 = 18 x $3 = $54

3rd: S/ALW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Wolfe County 9-3 5th
Next Best: #8 Endowed 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Royal Tryst 8-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Kissalot 15-1 WON ($30.40)

4th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T/18′ (Special P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Our Souper Love 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Devilly 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Creemore 10-1 10th
Super Add: #9 Union Dolly 10-1 WON ($22.60)

5th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

May not be good enough, but 5yo Finger Lakes invader Flying Emperor has never missed an exacta and has some tactical speed. 10-1 a good number to find out if he can be the next Top Shoter. (Stop Charlie Baker around the track and ask him if you don’t recognize the reference to his plucky 11x winning Ormsby gelding who went 7/4-0-0 at the Spa)..

Best Value: #2 Flying Emperor 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Amundson 7-2 WON ($14.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Bank On Shea 9-2 9th
Super Add: #5 Bronx Bomber 6-1 4th

P5 Grid:

1: 4-5 (A), – (B), 2-3 (C)
2: 3-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 8-9 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
4: 7-8 (A), 1-3-9-10 (B), – (C)
5: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups: $24 (2-3 in 1st) + $12 (3 in 3rd)

P4 Grid:

2: 3-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 8-9 (A), 3 (B), – (C)
4: 7-8 (A), 1-3-9-10 (B), – (C)
5: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x6x2 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner/18′ (P6, P3, DD

Most Likely: #9 Ensemble 7-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Blissful 9-2 7th
Next Best: #1 Marvelous Maude 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Finest Work 6-1 2nd

7th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T/18′ (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Built to Last 7-2 8th
Next Best: #4 Feathers Road 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Mister Chairman 4-1 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Heymackit’sjack 7-2 2nd

8th: 38th A. G. Vanderbilt (G1), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Jackie’s Warrior 1-5 WON ($2.50)
Best Value: #1 Kneedeepinsnow 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Ny Traffic 6-1 4th

P5 Grid:

4: 1-7-8 (A), 3-9-10 (B), – (C)
5: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 1-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-4 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)
8: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x3x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 5 (9/4/1,10,11,12/5,11,12,13/4) Paid $464.75

P4 Grid:

5: 2-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
6: 1-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-2-4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)

All A’s: 2x3x4x1 = $24 ($48 for $1)

$1 Pick 4 (4/1,10,11,12/5,11,12,13/4) Paid $64.50

9th: 59th Jim Dandy (G2), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Epicenter 3-2 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #4 Early Voting 8-5 4th

10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T/18′ (DD)

Best Value: #1 Bay Street Money 8-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Capensis 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Orchestration 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Colosseo 6-1 11th

11th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T/18′

Best Value: #7 Jack the Cat 4-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Big Agenda 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Healing 5-2 5th
Super Add: #1 The Last Zip 5-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

7: 1-4 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)
8: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4 (A), – (B), 3-5 (C)
10: 1-3-12 (A), – (B), 5-10 (C)
11: 3-7 (A), 1-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x1x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $12 (3-5 in 9th) + $12 (5-10 in 10th)

P4 Grid:

8: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4 (A), – (B), 3-5 (C)
10: 1-3-12 (A), 5-10 (B), – (C)
11: 3-7 (A), 1-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x5x4 = $40 ($20 for .50)
All A’s: 1x2x3x2 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup (3-5 in 9th): 1x2x3x2 = $12 ($6 for .50)

DEL MAR ~ SPOT PLAY

PRE-SCRATCHES

8th (8:37p ET): Bing Crosby (G1), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Bagboss 8-1 8th ~ Walsh has proven adept at judging West Coast spots to invade..
Next Best: #2 Shaaz 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Principe Carlo 6-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Get Her Number 12-1 2nd

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Acoustic Ave 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #10 Bobby the Tank 7-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Social Sidekick 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Ten Cent Town 9-2 2nd

7th: Curlin-R, 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Western River 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Artorius 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Be Better 4-1 9th
Super Add: #7 Creative Minister 2-1 3rd

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T/18′ (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Fauci 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #12 Runningwithscissors 12-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Noble Emotion 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Anaconda 6-1 10th

9th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #5 On the Hill 9-2 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #9 Baltasar 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Life Changer 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Dark Timber 12-1 DNF-Lost Rider

10th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T/18′

Best Value: #3 Voice of Spring 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Stella Mars 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Built Different 9-2 6th
Super Add: #5 More Mango 12-1 11th

P5 Grid:

6: 7-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
7: 1-8-9 (A), 3-5-7 (B), – (C)
8: 4 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-6 (A), 5-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x1x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 1-8-9 (A), 3-5-7 (B), – (C)
8: 4 (A), – (B), 12 (C)
9: 3-5-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 3-6 (A), 5-10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (12 in 8th): 3x1x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9

MONMOUTH PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Affable Monarch 9-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Awesome Aaron 7-2 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Our Lucky Man 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Dreaming of Gerry 5-1 6th

7th: ALW/C, 3yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Agent Creed 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Basso 5-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Larger Than Life 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Dominate the Moment 7-2 WON ($8.20)

8th: Monmouth Cup (G3), 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Highly Motivated 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #3 Informative 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Pipeline 3-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Rough Sea 6-1 5th

Cross Country P5 Grid:

MTH 8: 3-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
WO 8: 1-7 (A), 11-14 (B), – (C)
MTH 11: 1-8 (A), 4-10 (B), – (C)
MTH 12: 7 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
SAR 10: 1-2-5 (A), – (B), 4-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-7-8 in SAR 10th)

WO 8th: Connaught Cup (G3), 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Wildly competitive group including winners from last 2 runnings (Avie’s Flatter, Silent Poet). Not a lot of obvious speed, but with a much larger field than they’ve had recently, you’d expect the pace to be honest at the least..

Most Likely: #7 Filo de Arianna 4-1 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #1 March to the Arch 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #14 Shirl’s Speight 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Surly Furious 20-1 8th

9th: Matchmaker (G3), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Lemista 5-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #4 Lady Rockstar 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Fluffy Socks 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Vigilante’s Way 7-2 3rd

P4 Grid:

6: 1-2 (A), 4-7 (B), – (C)
7: 2-4 (A), 8-10 (B), – (C)
8: 3-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (6-7 in 9th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (2/10/7/2) Paid $143.00

10th: Molly Pitcher (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Hasn’t received the attention of the G1’s, but this is a good group and the pace scenario provides some potential intrigue, as does the Lasix status of Search Results (1st), Pennybaker (1/1) and Army Wife (3/3)..

Best Value: #2 Pennybaker 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Search Results 3-2 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Leader of the Band 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Beth’s Dream 6-1 7th

11th: United Nations (G1), 3+, 11f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Trio from the Manhattan are the prime candidates, but Vickie Oliver visited MTH for the Cliffhanger with Kentucky Ghost and he’s competitive, adds Geroux and is the right price player..

Best Value: #8 Kentucky Ghost 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Adhamo 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Gufo 3-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Tribhuvan 5-2 4th

12th: Haskell (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Jack Christopher looks to take next logical step in delayed progress on 3yo scene and there’s no reason to think he can’t or won’t. Taiba jumped into that same picture, perhaps to his own detriment, with his maiden and SA Derby wins. Best chance for him today would come if someone else were take starch out of Jack Christopher while he rates along as he did in SA Derby. Cyberknife and White Abarrio are solid, but a tick or two behind the top pair..

Most Likely: #7 Jack Christopher 3-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Taiba 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Cyberknife 6-1 WON ($17.60)
Exotics Use: #6 White Abarrio 5-1 7th

P4 Grid:

9: 2-4 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 1-2-3 (A), 4-5-7 (B), – (C)
11: 1-8 (A), 4-10 (B), – (C)
12: 7 (A), – (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x4x1 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A’s: 2x3x2 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backups: 2x3x2x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 (6-7 in 9th) + 2x3x2x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 (2 in 12th)

SAR 10th: Caress (G3), F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (DD)

This has potential to be a lot of fun, but note that this is another stakes spot where you have decisions to make about horses coming off Lasix, notably Bout Time (3-1), Robin Sparkles (15-1) and Souper Sensational (8-1)..

Best Value: #5 Toby’s Heart 8-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Caravel 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Miss J McKay 6-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Lady Edith 12-1 3rd