KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: 28th Commonwealth (G3), 4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Competitive group with many surface and distance switches on view. ML offers plenty of bonus tote options as faves like Laugh Track and Longhunter (3/0-0-0 on KEE main) don’t have to win..

Best Value: #3 Dimension 8-1
Next Best: #9 Occasional View 6-1
Exotics Use: #11 Piquant 12-1
Super Add: #4 Spring to the Sky 20-1

8th: 18th Shakertown (G3), 4+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Whole field is separated by about 3 lengths. Gantry better on dirt than turf and I’ll play against Havelock within the race..

Most Likely: #11 Ancil 8-1
Best Value: #1 Channel Marker 15-1
Next Best: #9 Hogy 5-1
Exotics Use: #8 Go Blue or Go Home 6-1

9th: 13th Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f ((P4, P3, DD)

Not a Judy the Beauty fan really, but hard to argue as the likely winner here being perfect (3/3) on this surface and well suited style-wise for scenario..

Most Likely: #4 Judy the Beauty 8-5
Best Value: #5 Wildcat Lily 12-1
Next Best: #2 Apropos 4-1
Exotics Use: #3 Heir Kitty 15-1

10th: 26th Jenny Wiley (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Chad Brown barn seemingly ignited and would be very surprising if Stephanie’s Kitten wasn’t prepared for best effort immediately. Plenty of quality throughout though..

Most Likely: #2 Stephanie’s Kitten 5-2
Best Value: #8 Discreet Marq 6-1
Next Best: #10 Centre Court 3-1
Exotics Use: #6 Fitful Skies 8-1

11th: 90th Blue Grass (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Last poly version of this race and it should be wildly entertaining. Noteworthy that last four runnings have seen winner (Java’s War, Dullahan, Brilliant Speed, Stately Victor) and at least one other super participant come from back half of field after 6f. No combination you employ will be too outlandish here..

Most Likely: #12 Vinceremos 8-1
Best Value: #2 Extrasexyhippzter 15-1
Next Best: #8 Dance With Fate 12-1
Exotics Use: #14 Gala Award 5-1

<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 4 with 2 with 2,12 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 4,11 with 11 with 4 with 2 with 2,12 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 1,8,9 with 4 with 2 with 2,12 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 4 with 8 with 2,12 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 4 with 2 with 8,14 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P5: 4,11 with 1,8,9 with 4 with 2 with 2,12 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 4,11 with 11 with 4 with 8 with 2,12 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 4,11 with 11 with 4 with 2 with 8,14 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 1,8,9 with 4 with 8 with 2,12 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 1,8,9 with 4 with 2 with 8,14 – $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 4 with 8 with 8,14 – $2.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,5,7 with 11 with 4 with 2 with 2,12 – $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 6,10,13 with 4 with 2 with 2,12 – $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 2,3,5,6,7,8,9 with 2 with 2,12 – $14.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 4 with 1,5,6,9 with 2,12 – $8.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 3,9 with 11 with 4 with 2 with 1,3,4,5,11,13 – $6.00

Total: $75.00

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 4,5 with 2 with 2,12 – $4.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 4,5 with 2 with 2,12 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 2,3 with 2 with 2,12 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 4,5 with 2 with 8 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 2,3 with 2 with 2,12 – $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 4,5 with 2 with 8 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 2,3 with 2 with 8 – $2.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10,13 with 4,5 with 2 with 2,12 – $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 6,7,9 with 2 with 2,12 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 4,5 with 1,6,8,9,10 with 2,12 – $20.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,11 with 4,5 with 2 with 11,13,14 – $6.00

Total: $60.00

12th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 9f-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Perfect Timber 4-1
Next Best: #11 North Star Boy 6-1
Best Value: #9 Al’s Uncle 50-1
Exotics Use: #5 Bravodino 7-2
Super/Hi-5: #1 Marine Patrol 8-1

<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2 with 2,12 with 6,11 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,5,9 with 2 with 2,12 with 6,11 – $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2 with 13,14 with 6,11 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2 with 2,12 with 9 – $1.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,5,9 with 2 with 13,14 with 6,11 – $8.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,5,9 with 2 with 2,12 with 9 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2 with 13,14 with 9 – $1.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,7 with 2 with 2,12 with 6,11 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,5,6,8,9,10 with 2,12 with 6,11 – $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2 with 1,3,5,8,11 with 6,11 – $5.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2 with 2,12 with 1,5,10 – $3.00

Total: $50.00

OAKLAWN PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

8th: 17th Northern Spur, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #1 Six Spot 9-2
Best Value: #8 Fabulous Kid 12-1
Next Best: #2 Bourbonize 4-1
Exotics Use: #6 Sheltowee’s Boy 9-2

9th: 12th Instant Racing, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #2 Jojo Warrior 2-1
Next Best: #1 Adrianne G 5-2
Best Value: 7 Midnight Eclipse 10-1
Exotics Use: #5 Sweetmary’s Success 7-2

10th: 58th Oaklawn H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P3)

Golden Lad emergent, will get first run on speed and is the one Will Take Will have to reach in stretch..

Best Value: #6 Golden Lad 4-1
Next Best: #2 Will Take Charge 1-1
Exotics Use: #4 Carve 12-1
Super Add: #7 Prayer for Relief 12-1

11th: 78th Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Even with SCR of Knock Em Flat, there is no shortage of early lick involved here. Stalking Tapiture and closing Commissioner/Conquest Titan should have open door. All participants except Tapiture desperate for Derby ducats and it’s hard to know who to marginalize. Should be a terrific end to the Oaklawn season..

Most Likely: #3 Tapiture 9-5
Best Value: #4 Ride On Curlin 12-1
Next Best: #8 Bayern 2-1
Exotics Use: #6 Commisioner 8-1

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1 with 2 with 2,6 with 3,4,8 – $6.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6,8 with 2 with 2,6 with 3,4,8 – $9.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,7 with 2,6 with 3,4,8 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2 with 2,6 with 6 – $1.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6,8 with 1,7 with 2,6 with 3,4,8 – $18.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6,8 with 2 with 2,6 with 6 – $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,7 with 2,6 with 6 – $2.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,7,9 with 2 with 2,6 with 3,4,8 – $12.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2 with 2,6 with 7,9 – $2.00

Total: $59.00

Good luck!
Steve

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MCLM/$30k, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

$73k P5 C/O starts here..

Tricky opening to the bonus P5 sequence..

Best Value: #5 Rico Rolando 5-1
Next Best: #3 Four More 3-1
Exotics Use: #8 Napa Valley 6-1
Super Add: #2 Margin 7-2

5th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Question here is how ready you expect Purely Hot to be as anything close to her typical effort will win this. There are options within striking distance of McCauley’s classy mare..

Most Likely: #2 Purely Hot 2-1
Best Value: #6 Mello Kisses 10-1
Next Best: #11 Rewardbyblitzing 8-1
Exotics Use: #5 Gettem Up Girl 6-1

6th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Rainy at KEE today and not sure how turf will play, but front end was strong over the weekend. Seems like many want to be involved in pace pressure here and I don’t see why favorites are any better than several others..

Best Value: #5 Part 8-1
Next Best: #8 Angry Moon 8-1
Exotics Use: #4 Xtra Luck 8-1
Super Add: #1 Heart to Heart 4-1

7th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (DD)

Mio d’Oro (Medaglia d’Oro) the brother of Ashland winner Karlovy Vary (Dynaformer) and breakthrough MSN win last time bodes well for Arnold trainee..

Most Likely: #3 Mio d’Oro 7-2
Best Value: #4 Fight the Tide 8-1
Next Best: #6 Little Distorted 4-1
Exotics Use: #10 Heuston 8-1

8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 9f-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Overtone 7-2
Best Value: #5 Easton Arch 6-1
Next Best: #2 Smart Ashley 4-1
Exotics Use: #7 Closer to You 12-1
Super/Hi-5: #1 Cinnamon Spice 4-1

<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 5,8 with 3 with 4 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2 with 5,8 with 3 with 4 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 6 with 5,8 with 3 with 4 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 1,4 with 3 with 4 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 5,8 with 4,6 with 4 – $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 5,8 with 3 with 2,5 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 6 with 5,8 with 3 with 4 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2 with 1,4 with 3 with 4 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2 with 5,8 with 4,6 with 4 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2 with 5,8 with 3 with 2,5 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 6 with 1,4 with 3 with 4 – $2.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 6 with 5,8 with 4,6 with 4 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 6 with 5,8 with 3 with 2,5 – $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 4 – $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 1,4 with 3 with 2,5 – $4.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 5,8 with 4,6 with 2,5 – $8.00

A’s with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4,12 with 2 with 5,8 with 3 with 4 – $3.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 5,11 with 5,8 with 3 with 4 – $4.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 2,3,6 with 3 with 4 – $3.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 5,8 with 7,10 with 4 – $4.00
21 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 5,8 with 3 with 1,7 – $4.00

Total: $72.00

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 5,8 with 3 with 4 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 11 with 5,8 with 3 with 4 – $1.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 1,4 with 3 with 4 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 5,8 with 4,6 with 4 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 5,8 with 3 with 2,5 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 11 with 1,4 with 3 with 4 – $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 11 with 5,8 with 4,6 with 4 – $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 11 with 5,8 with 3 with 2,5 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 4 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 1,4 with 3 with 2,5 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 5,8 with 4,6 with 2,5 – $8.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 5,8 with 3 with 4 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 2,3 with 3 with 4 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 5,8 with 7,8,10 with 4 – $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 5,8 with 3 with 1,6,7,8,10,11 – $12.00

Total: $56.00

Good luck!
Steve

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Here Comes Tommy SCR’D in sharp winter form and should sit excellent trip stalking up close from inside; Freddie G, OK anyway breaking MDN in Feb., can improve on barn switch and cutting back 300 yards; Ogremeister logical but outposted and may not press as much removing hood; Summer Place to Be makes 3yo debut here and would be competitive or more with natural improvement from juvy to soph..

Best Value: #8 Freddie G 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Wild Finish 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Summer Place to Be 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Ogermeister 2-1 5th

6th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Well matched group with what looks to be an honest pace. 4yo Catron has missed chunks of time but reasonable as fave if right; Hard-hitting 7yo Golden Itiz, now Valente/Jacobson, familiar to West Coast players as Siegel Family campaigner and a good fit at square price..

Most Likely: #11 Catron 2-1 4th
Best Value: #12 Golden Itiz 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Snake Pit 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Sliver and Onions 6-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Ithastobegeorge 30-1 6th

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

It may have been entirely slop-aided, but effort by Goodtolook two back would blitz this group; Pat Kelly runs them into shape and winter-campaigned Testosterone has a development pattern that can produce a forward move at a big price. Curious assembly and I think it will behoove to try some odd inclusions..

Most Likely: #3 Goodtolook 7-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Testosterone 15-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Sea to Sky 5-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Onecatschance 30-1 2nd

8th: 54th Bay Shore (G3), 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Very tricky read on this sophomore sprint standard with ‘cheap’ speed types (Oliver Zip, Loki’s Vengeance, Favorite Tale) lining up against ‘classy’ stakes experienced turnbacks (Financial Mogul, Coup de Grace, Kobe’s Back). ALW winners Charleymillionaire & The Admiral add to the intrigue in graded black type debuts. Jay Privman warned ATR listeners early on that Kobe’s Back would be a disaster going long, but he’s been excellent at the specialty seven-eighths trip. Sadler’s record out of town dreadful, but style of trip/effort from San Vincente would be highly effective here. Financial Mogul another who made it clear he wants one turn middle distance and price square. Oliver Zip has been too good this winter not to respect at 10-1. I think Coup de Grace is mediocre but barn excels at the cut back and with time..

Most Likely: #8 Kobe’s Back 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Financial Mogul 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Oliver Zip 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Coup de Grace 4-1 WON ($16.20)

9th: 119th Gazelle (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Hard to see how My Miss Sophia doesn’t get away with murder on the front end..

Most Likely: #4 My Miss Sophia 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #6 Bird Maker 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Sweet Reason 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Got Lucky 3-1 2nd

10th: 90th Wood Memorial (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Unabashedly rooting for Social Inclusion and 85yo Manny Azpurua but an already demanding assignment came up with added burden off difficult post. There’s no shortage of pace-interested parties to go with him here too including Schivarelli, Uncle Sigh and possibly Kristo. Undefeated Samraat has already established the ability to sit behind leaders and he and 10-1 Harpoon figure to enjoy garden spot voyages..

Most Likely: #8 Samraat 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Harpoon 8-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Uncle Sigh 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Social Inclusion 2-1 3rd

11th: 114th Carter H. (G1), 3+, 7f (DD)

Outstanding co-feature with 2 ML faves that are no better than the next 3 or even 4 choices. Strapping Groom figures to get an ideal position behind the race’s lone true speed in Dad’z Caps. Central Banker and Clearly Now make 4yo debuts and are both an appealing 5-1..

Most Likely: #5 Strapping Groom 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Central Banker 5-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Clearly Now 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Sahara Sky 2-1 2nd

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,8 with 4 with 4,8 with 1,5 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 4 with 4,8 with 1,5 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4 with 10,11 with 1,5 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4 with 4,8 with 2 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 4 with 10,11 with 1,5 – $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 4 with 4,8 with 2 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4 with 10,11 with 2 – $2.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,6,7 with 4 with 4,8 with 1,5 – $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2,3,6 with 4,8 with 1,5 – $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4 with 2,3,5,6,7,9 with 1,5 – $12.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4 with 4,8 with 6 – $2.00

Total: $60.00

12th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f

Best Value: #7 Greg’s Intuition 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Captain Serious 4-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Salisbury Knight 2-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Stenson 8-1 4th

<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,8 with 1,5 with 7 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,6 with 4,8 with 1,5 with 7 – $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 10,11 with 1,5 with 7 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,8 with 2 with 7 – $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,8 with 1,5 with 3,6,9 – $6.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,6 with 10,11 with 1,5 with 7 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,6 with 4,8 with 2 with 7 – $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,6 with 4,8 with 1,5 with 3,6,9 – $18.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 10,11 with 2 with 7 – $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 10,11 with 1,5 with 3,6,9 – $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,8 with 2 with 3,6,9 – $3.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 4,8 with 1,5 with 7 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2,3,5,6,7 with 1,5 with 7 – $5.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,8 with 3,6 with 7 – $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,8 with 1,5 with 8 – $2.00

Total: $65.00

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Good group to start great card. Mister Wonka a half to Papa Clem..

Most Likely: #2 Reno Rebel 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #3 J Serino 12-1 10th
Next Best: #6 Yard Line 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Missing Groom 6-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Vegas Strip 6-1 3rd

2nd: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3)

Storm Fighter 2nd off layoff and comebacker was OK versus open company. Returns to Cal-bred company here and will look to take them start to finish..

Most Likely: #1 Storm Fighter 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #4 I Run for Fun 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Poshsky 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Pulpit’s Express 4-1 6th

3rd: 3rd Echo Eddie-CA, 3yo, 6.5f (P3)

Gary Young leaned toward Machowsky for this and in hard to separate group, that’s enough to tip the scales for me. Favorite #9 Pray Hard missed the cut below, but needs some coverage in multis..

Most Likely: #4 Gangnam Guy 4-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Whine for Wine 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Oh Daddy Oh 4-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Life Is a Joy 9-2 2nd

4th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Brutally tough set coming down the hill with firsters Sammy Mandeville and Designated (half to MGSW Idiot Proof)showing potential..

Most Likely: #5 Footstepsinbronze 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Act 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Green Tag 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Snuggley Bear 4-1 2nd

5th: 75th Santa Anita Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3)

Ria Antonia returns to site of BC Juvy Filly win and is working smartly for spot that should set up nicely for stalk and pounce attack..

Most Likely: #3 Ria Antonia 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Arethusa 4-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Artemis 6-1 6th
Super Add #1 Fashion Plate 5-2 WON ($6.20)

<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,4 with 4 with 5,12 with 3 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 4 with 5,12 with 3 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 6,8,9 with 5,12 with 3 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 4 with 1,2,3,6 with 3 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 6,8,9 with 5,12 with 3 – $6.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 4 with 1,2,3,6 with 3 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 6,8,9 with 1,2,3,6 with 3 – $12.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 4 with 5,12 with 3 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 4 with 7,11 with 3 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 4 with 5,12 with 1,5,6 – $6.00

Total: $48.00

<$60 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 4 with 5 with 3 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 1,4 with 4 with 5 with 3 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,7,10 with 4 with 5 with 3 – $1.50
4 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 2,6 with 5 with 3 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 4 with 1,2,3,6,12 with 3 – $5.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 3,7,10 with 4 with 5 with 3 – $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 1,4 with 2,6 with 5 with 3 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 1,4 with 4 with 1,2,3,6,12 with 3
$10.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,7,10 with 2,6 with 5 with 3 – $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,7,10 with 4 with 1,2,3,6,12 with 3 – $7.50
11 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 2,6 with 1,2,3,6,12 with 3 – $10.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 1,4 with 4 with 5 with 3 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 8 with 4 with 5 with 3 – $0.50
14 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 8,9 with 5 with 3 – $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 4 with 7,11 with 3 – $2.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,4 with 4 with 5 with 1,5,6 – $3.00

Total: $59.50

6th: 3rd Evening Jewel-CA, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3)

Most Likely: #6 Rovenna 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #1 Norastone 12-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Chati’s On Top 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Princess Genevieve 8-1 5th

7th: 34th Providencia (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (

Top pair from the China Doll are the keys to this but there are a host quality missees involved, most notably Margot Machance who was excellent in her domestic debut. Top three seem interchangeable, so I’ll play it by price..

Best Value: #7 Margot Machance 9-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Nashoba’s Gold 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Diversy Harbor 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #2 Practising 8-1 6th

8th: 77th Santa Anita Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3)

This is an interesting edition of this race with what looks to be several of the best of the season’s 3yo’s together in one spot. But note Hoppertunity and California Chrome are Kentucky Derby certified already while Candy Boy and Schoolofhardrocks are looking to make their cases on the points scale. Doubt Stevens lets Sadler and Co. down with Candy Boy who runs like a horse desirous of the 9f and beyond..

Most Likely: #6 Candy Boy 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 California Chrome 6-5 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use:: #3 Hoppertunity 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Schoolofhardrocks 10-1 8th

9th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-T (P3)

Spread race as faves are vulnerable..

Most Likely: #2 Advisory 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sir Macho 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Tommy O 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Dance Humor 6-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Patriot’s Rule 12-1 WON ($40.00)

10th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (DD)

Another deep, difficult set..

Best Value: #3 Too Fast to Pass 8-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Explain 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Seeking the Sherif 4-1 WON ($9.80)
Super Add: #1 Toledo Eddie 4-1 8th

11th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #12 Kerrilynn 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #10 Joeandbetty’sbaby 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Indygo F M A 6-1 4th
Super Add: #7 I’m Tops 4-1 12th
Hi-5 Play: #9 Warren’s Internet 20-1 10th

<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 3,4 with 10,12 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 2 with 3,4 with 10,12 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 1,5,10 with 3,4 with 10,12 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 1,6 with 10,12 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 3,4 with 2 – $1.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 1,5,10 with 3,4 with 10,12 – $12.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 2 with 1,6 with 10,12 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 2 with 3,4 with 2 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 1,5,10 with 1,6 with 10,12 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 1,5,10 with 3,4 with – $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 1,6 with 2 – $1.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 2 with 3,4 with 10,12 – $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 3,6,7,8,9,11 with 3,4 with 10,12 – $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 7,8,9,10 with 10,12 – $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2 with 3,4 with 7,9 – $2.00

Total: $65.00

Some days your best play is no play at all. Had started to write up Wednesday’s Aqueduct action, but was struggling with decisions and scuttled the tabs. That turned out to be fortuitous because a strong bias carried some improbable horses to the winner’s circle including 60-1 Little Miss Lupe who tripped a rare ‘all’ payoff in the 6th-8th Pick 3. $29K carryover into Thursday. Monitor track status early on in the 3 sprints that begin the day.

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-MCLM/$16k, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Wood On the Fire the speed of the speed and horse to beat but Englehart turnback Kaepernick drops to the bottom and can stalk from down inside. Morley’s Maggie’s Lad returns for 3yo debut and won’t have to be special to succeed here..

Most Likely: #1 Wood On the Fire 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Kaepernick 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Maggie’s Lad 4-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #5 Bob and Jim 7-2 4th

5th: CLM, 4+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

This is a very solid, consistent group for $12.5k. Sovereign Default is clearly the one but Rice isn’t always aggressive and there are some players to the the outside that may apply pressure or try to grab control. If favorite gets out easy and track continues to be glib, it’s a parade. But if the pace happens to get contested, this will become a scramble where no one is impossible..

Most Likely: #1 Sovereign Default 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #3 Washington’s Rules 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Junior Officer 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Southbeachsandy 4-1 3rd

6th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Terrific sophomore ALW group with no less than 3 viable price candidates in Pass the Coffee (8-1), Life in Shambles (8-1) and Eye Luv Lulu (15-1) SCR’D. Lulu stretches out and goes from Phil Teator to Cornelio Velasquez and can wire if left to own devices.

Most Likely: #6 Oltre’ Oro 5-2 6th
Next Best: #4 Peter Island 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Pass the Coffee 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Life in Shambles 8-1 WON ($15.40)

7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Big Deluxe may build a big, insurmountable lead

Most Likely: #4 Sinistra 4-1 4th
Best Value: #6 The Brothers Rap 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 The Big Deluxe 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Ultimate Empire 7-2 5th

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Former Galluscio NYB stakes heroine Marriedtothemusic makes first start under care of Linda Rice..

Most Likely: #6 Marriedtothemusic 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #5 Mr. O’Leary 3-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Dighton 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Coolusive 6-1 3rd

9th: MCLM/$12.5k, 3+, 1m

Most Likely: #8 Magnificent Moon 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #3 Bundler 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Mad Props 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Aly’s Favorite Boy 12-1 5th

<$100 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $2.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 8 – $2.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

8 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 6 with 8 – $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 8 – $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 – $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 6 with 7 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 8 – $2.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 – $4.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 4 with 7 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 4 with 4 with 5 with 8 – $2.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 – $4.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 5 with 8 – $2.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 6 with 3,7 – $4.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 3,7 – $4.00

A’s with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2,4,5,6,7 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $10.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 1,3,7 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $6.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 1,3,6 with 6 with 8 – $6.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 1,2,3 with 8 – $6.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 with 6 with 1 0 $2.00

Total: $100.00

<$55 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $3.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 1,3 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 6,7 with 6 with 8 – $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 1,2,3,5 with 8 – $8.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 6,7 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 4 with 1,2,3,5 with 8 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 4 with 6 with 3,7 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 6,7 with 1,2,3,5 with 8 – $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 6,7 with 6 with 3,7 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 1,2,3,5 with 3,7 – $8.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 4 with 6 with 8 – $0.50
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,3 with 6 with 8 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 4 with 8 – $1.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 4 with 6 with 1 – $1.00

Total: $53.50

SANTA ANITA PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Tommy’s Stylin 2-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Pantera Rojo 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Kozani 5-2 6th
Super Add: #3 Life’s Journey 5-1 WON ($15.60)

5th: CLM, 4yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Holiday N Newport 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Tribal Dress 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Funny Gal 5-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Dream Baby 6-1 4th

6th: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Big Medicine Man 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Secret Wishes 5-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Village Kitten 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Street Maven 7-2 WON ($9.20)

7th: Santana Mile, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Fury Kapcori 7-5 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #2 Appealing Tale 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Clubhouse Ride 3-1 3rd

8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #4 Ready for More 5-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Power Ped 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 A Toast to You 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Hear the Ghost 9-2 3rd

9th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-4+, 5f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Nueva Fortuna 9-2 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #2 Sweet Heat 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Puttybadshark 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Rockin Cowgirl 3-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #9 Swiss Peak 6-1 8th

<$130 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 2,10 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 5 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 2,10 – $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 8 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 2,10 – $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 3 with 5 with 4 with 2,10 – $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 2 with 7 with 4 with 2,10 – $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 3,5 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

7 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 8 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 2,10 – $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 5 with 3 with 5 with 4 with 2,10 – $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 5 with 2 with 7 with 4 with 2,10 – $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 5 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 3,5 – $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 8 with 3 with 5 with 4 with 2,10 – $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 8 with 2 with 7 with 4 with 2,10 – $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 8 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 3,5 – $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 3 with 7 with 4 with 2,10 – $4.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 3 with 5 with 4 with 3,5 – $4.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 2 with 7 with 4 with 3,5 – $4.00

A’s with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 2,3,5 with 5 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 2,10 – $12.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 3,6,7 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 2,10 – $12.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 5,7 with 5 with 4 with 2,10 – $8.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 2 with 2 with 4 with 2,10 – $4.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 2 with 5 with 3,6,7 with 2,10 – $12.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 7,9 – $4.00

Total: $136.00

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2,3 with 5 with 4 with 2,10 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 5 with 4 with 2,10 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 2,7 with 4 with 2,10 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 5 with 3,6,7 with 2,10 – $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 5 with 4 with 3,5 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 2,7 with 4 with 2,10 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 5 with 3,6,7 with 2,10 – $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 5 with 4 with 3,5 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 2,7 with 3,6,7 with 2,10 – $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 2,7 with 4 with 3,5 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 5 with 3,6,7 with 3,5 – $6.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,9 with 5 with 4 with 2,10 – $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 5 with 1 with 2,10 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 5 with 4 with 7,9 – $2.00

Total: $59.00