SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Luck of the Kitten 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Kamarius 7-2 WON ($11.20)
Best Value: #4 The Truth Or Else 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Dubai Sky Gate SCR

2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Say Mr. Sandman 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Handy Stan 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Groupthink 8-5 3rd
Super Add: #4 Thnxtomyuncle 15-1 7th

3rd: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Contrary Opinion 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Bird Now 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Cosmic Gold 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Taghleeb 5-2 6th

4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Blame Jim 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #6 Bold Conquest 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Smithereen 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Money Changer 3-1 3rd

5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Piquant 7-2 DNF-Lost Rider
Next Best: #6 Frazil 4-1 DNF-Affected by incident
Best Value: #8 One King’s Man 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Be Bullish 3-1 2nd

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 – $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 2 with 4,6 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 – $12.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 8 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 5 with 2 with 4,6 – $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 – $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 2 with 8 – $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 – $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 2 with 8 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 8 – $6.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 2,4,8,9 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 – $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 4,6 with 2 with 4,6 – $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 1,3 – $4.00

Total: $73.00

<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 2 with 4 – $1.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 2 with 4 – $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4 – $6.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 6 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 5,6 with 2 with 4 – $2.00
7 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4 – $3.00
8 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 2 with 6 – $1.00
9 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 5,6,7 with 4 – $12.00
10 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 2 with 6 – $4.00
11 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 6 – $6.00

A’s with One C

12 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 4 with 2 with 4 – $2.00
13 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 3,4 with 4 – $4.00
14 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 1,3,8 – $6.00

Total: $57.00

6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Maniacally challenging group with perhaps 8-9 of the 12 possible with a square pace anticipated. Respect the obvious (4-8-10-12) and ponder the intriguing (3-5-6-9-11). Hard not to root for Al and Joe DiRico and #3 Mr Ciolko after the family was forced to put down their venerable sprint star stallion Disco Rico Thursday..

Best Value: #4 Vischer Ferry 8-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Thurgood 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Boston Strong 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Mr Ciolko 12-1 11th

7th: 100th Sanford (F2), 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Superb wagering affair and an upgrade from Friday’s filly version. Quite a bit of speed signed on and think you want one that can sit off..

Best Value: #2 Silverhill 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Nonna’s Boy 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Mr. Z 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Big Trouble 10-1 WON ($25.60)

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Thoroughly wide open start to the late quad..

Most Likely: #11 Weave 5-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Can’t Explain 20-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Tasmona 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Fade to Black 15-1 2nd

9th: OC/N2X, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hard Enough 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Casino Dan 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Battle Force 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 North Star Boy 6-1 WON ($11.60)

10th: 76th Diana (G1), F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Spectacular lineup for this always-engaging early season Spa standard. There is no bad combination..

Best Value: #6 Discreet Marq 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Alterite 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Strathnaver 10-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Stephanie’s Kitten 6-1 2nd

11th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #6 Alakazan Alakazan 4-1 4th-DH
Best Value: #7 McIlroy 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 All Included 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Jonrah 10-1 3rd

<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 5,9 with 6,7 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 6,8 with 1,2 – $4.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 5,9 with 6,7 – $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 6,8 with 1,2 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 5,9 with 1,2 – $4.00

A’s with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,5,6,12 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 – $10.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 8,9,10 with 6,8 with 6,7 – $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 1,2,3,10 with 6,7 – $8.00

Total: $62.00

Scene shifts to Saratoga after a rollicking opener at ‘old Del Mar’ that saw multiple longshots trip a $107k P6 carryover into Day 2. Based on Thursday’s wild action and the first weekend of cards at both major summer venues, it should be an outstanding 7 weeks. Coolish temps at San Diego gave rise to some strong front end efforts on the poly, so as usual, you need to monitor the meteorologics when dabbling at DMR. Certainly Barry Abrams’ implausible wire-to-wire winner Know More vwas the day’s most glaring beneficiary of the tight surface. The new turf course played fairly with Super Ability wiring the 5th and Enterprising rallying from last into a square pace in the Oceanside. ATR listeners benefited from Brad Free’s warning on $62.80 Passing Game and Jeff Seigel’s excellent tab of 24-1 runner up Eldorado Prado ($20.60 to place) who was beaten in a photo. Hope everyone did well and are ready for a great weekend with the Spa’s first day dawning gloriously..

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 King of Broadway 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Grandpa Len 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Goodnewsisnonews 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Winter Games 12-1 WON ($31.00)

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

First Maiden affair of the season. Be sure to utilize these sources for in-depth juvenile coverage this season:

• Doug Salvatore’s 2yo Opportunities at Twin Spires Blog: http://www.twinspires.com/blog/
• John Forbes’ Firsters: http://www.nyra.com/saratoga/blogs/firsters/
• Dan Ilman’s Spa Babies (DRF Plus): http://www.drf.com/news/premium/spa-…friday-july-18

Also eligible Overspending SCR the one to beat if she gets in..

Best Value: #2 Know It All Anna 4-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Wall Street Lady 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 By the Moon 8-1 WON ($14.00)
Super Add: #6 Vinolicious 5-2 5th

3rd: 96th Schuylerville (G3), 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Fashion Alert 3-5 WON ($2.40)
Next Best: #2 Tulira’s Star 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Mast Cove 20-1

4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Mumtaazah 5-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Premura 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Judy Legend 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Magsamelia 5-1 2nd
Super Add: 1e Jerkens entry 12-1 3rd

5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

There’s nothing overwhelming about 4-5 Can’thelpbelieving..

Best Value: #7 Papy 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Can’thelpbelieving 4-5 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #8 Duke of Perth 8-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Ave Nox 30-1 9th

<$75 P5/P4 Plays:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 – $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 8 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 – $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 8 – $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 – $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 8 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 8 – $4.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 4 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 2 with 3 with 3,7 – $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 1,4 with 3,7 – $8.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 1,2,6 – $6.00

Total: $72.00

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Fun state-bred group with trio of 2nd time starters facing off v. 5 debuters..

Most Likely: #2 Saluda 5-1 DNF
Next Best: #6 Full Tap 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 The Lewis Dinner 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 In Spite of Mama 7-2 4th

7th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Pretty cool to see 5yo and 6yo half brothers Tiz Sardonic Joe (Tiznow) and Joes Blazing Aaron (Graeme Hall) come together here..

Best Value: #5 Nubin Ridge 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Joes Blazing Aaron 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Monument Hill 4-1 3rd-2nd for wagering
Super Add: #3 Tiz Sardonic Joe 7-2 2nd-Purse money only

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Looks like pace up front will get spirited, so despite favoritism, think you have to look to late-arriving Ballerina Belle..

Most Likely: #10 Ballerina Belle 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Kiss Me Lola 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Aventure Love 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Zamquick 6th

9th: 2nd Sir Cat-R, 3yo, 1m-IT (DD)

Tough to stray to far from the faves..

Most Likely: #1 Storming Inti 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Tourist 8-5 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #6 J to the Croft 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Cabo Cat 4-1 4th

10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Deep set of state breds that won’t make it easy on multi-race plays..

Best Value: #10 Maura’s Pass 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Jet Majesty 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Traipse in Utopia 8-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Winter Wish 7-2 Paddock SCR-Flipped/Got loose

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-7-9 (C)
8: 10 (A), 1-3-4 (B), 9 (C)
9: 1 (A), 5 (B), 2-6 (C)
10: 5-9-10 (A), 8 (B), 3-11 (C) $0.50 Pick 4 (1,3,8,11,12,13/3/3,5/8,9,13,14,15) Paid $22.25

DEL MAR

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Jules Journey 7-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Stoney Fleece 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Kokaltash 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Super Ability 6-1 WON ($16.60)

6th: Cal-MSW, 2yo, 5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Pulmarack 9-2: Full to Luckarack, half to Tamarando.. 6th
Next Best: #5 Whatahustler 5-1: Sharp worker offers some value.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 London Legacy 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Quiet Thunder 5-1 8th

7th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Cinmars Dance 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Romar Success 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Maxx the Giant 9-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Navarre 6-1 8th

8th: Oceanside-R, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Carla Gaines won a division of Oceanside last year with Gervinho in 5th start and coming in 2nd/layoff from June. From Mr. Williamson’s outstanding race and broodmare Blending Element, Texas Ryano is similarly making 4th start, 2nd/layoff from June and appears highly progressive. The one to beat. Fourth in the Singletary last time, Forever Juanito a bit of reach, but is 20-1 now (could go higher) and as viable in the mix as Argyle Cut (9-2), Home School (15-1) and Love Rules All (15-1). Sammy Mandeville draws in from AE’s and will be overlooked..

Most Likely: #10 Texas Ryano 4-1 5th
Best Value: #12 Forever Juanito 20-1 8th
Next Best: #13 Sammy Mandeville 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Enterprising 7-2 WON ($7.80)

9th: CLM, 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Diamond of Blue 5-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Magic Beam 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Close to the Edge 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #4 Xuang Feng 5-1 4th

10th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Paceless affair is begging for an offbeat option..

Best Value: #4 Hittheroadrunning 20-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Affretando 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Godard 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Coastal Breeze 12-1 12th
Hi-5 Play: #12 Vibrato Jazz 5-1 11th

<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 9 with 4,8 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,10 with 10 with 9 with 4,8 – $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1,9,12,13 with 9 with 4,8 – $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 8 with 4,8 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 9 with 9,11 – $2.00

A’s with Two B’s

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,10 with 1,9,12,13 with 9 with 4,8 – $12.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,10 with 10 with 8 with 4,8 – $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,10 with 10 with 9 with 9,11 – $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1,9,12,13 with 8 with 4,8 – $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1,9,12,13 with 9 with 9,11 – $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 8 with 9,11 – $2.00

A’s with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 10 with 9 with 4,8 – $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 3,4,5 with 9 with 4,8 – $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 4,6,7,10 with 4,8 – $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 9 with 5,6,12,13 – $4.00

Total: $75.00

 

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Not a desperate group of NY maidens and no easy task narrowing options. Sand Paper is a ridiculous 30-1 off an open company seasonal debut and now gets first Lasix and blinkers for Pat Kelly. Bryce Bryce Baby and Pepi’s Find probably need to be on your back up tickets..

Most Likely: #6 Hampden Fiveone 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Sand Paper 30-1 WON ($44.00)
Next Best: #9 King Gettigan 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Startripenterprise 6-1 7th

6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Wake Up in Malibu 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Archer Hill 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Hooked Forever 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Wild Finish 8-1 6th

7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Wide open extended turf sprint with 7 of the 12 looking like win candidates. Spread out if playing P4. Pick and pray slot in P6..

Most Likely: #5 Eddy’s Time 9-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Eurokay by Me 12-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Saratoga Karaoke 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Malibu Queen 6-1 4th

8th: CLM/$40, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Cousin Michael 2-1
Next Best: #4 Divine Child 7-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Bobby V. 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Associate 4-1 WON ($16.00)

9th: Bowling Green H. (G2), 4+, 12f-T (DD)

Grandeur overdue for win but unless Rosario is going to keep him closer today, there’s no guarantee here with little speed involved. Decision of Chamois (here or DEL) important to scenario. Shortish field but no easy solutions..

Most Likely: #5 Grandeur 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Reflecting 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Hangover Kid 5-1 WON ($11.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Boisterous 3-1 4th

10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Sequence ends as it starts, with iffy set of maidens that may be vulnerable to either of the first time starters. AE-13 Josie’s Prospect (entered back Sunday) a major player if in..

[i]Most Likely: #3 Joshans Giant 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Lakeview Lady 10-1 WON ($13.80)
Next Best: #4 Pie’s First Lady 3-1 4th
Exotics Use:#12 Home to Carrowkeel 12-1 6th

DELAWARE PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: Fort Delaware, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Very well balanced set here and 6 of 8 look to be needed in terms of starting multi-race plays..

Best Value: #2 Avarice 6-1 2nd-WON on DQ ($6.20)
Next Best: #5 Picko’s Pride 4-1 WON–DQ’D to 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Adirondack King 8-1 4th-3rd on DQ
Super Add: #3 King Henry 7-2 5th-4th on DQ

7th: Sweet and Sassy, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Defending champ Winning Image the clear speed and difficult to pass late..

Most Likely: #5 Winning Image 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Interest Free 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Lion D N A 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 She’s Ordained 8-1 3rd

8th: Cape Henlopen, 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Very tough group considering the $50k satch. As Nick Tammaro noted Friday on ATR, Xmas Sky the lone player eligible to engage Bellarmine. If he doesn’t, pace will be soft and McPeek trainee named for Louisville college will wire. Other than that, Talk Show Man jumps out at me as likely to outrun 12-1 odds..

Most Likely: #8 Bellarmine 8-1 9th
Best Value: #6 Talk Show Man 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Dannhauser 15-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Holiday Star 8-1 3rd

9th: Delaware H. (G1), F&M-3+, 10f (DD)

Nothing should prevent a Princess win here, but the other accomplished graded stakes runners here are not completely over-matched either. Gamay Noir (10-1) is the right price key underneath. She’s out of an Unbridled mare and may be ideal covering the additional furlong required here..

Most Likely: #6 Princess of Sylmar 1-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Gamay Noir 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Molly Morgan 3-1 5th

ARLINGTON PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: Arlington H. (G3), 3+, 10f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Mister Mardi Gras 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 War Dancer 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Admiral Kitten 3-1 2nd

8th: Stars and Stripes, 3+, 12f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 The Pizza Man 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #6 Seton Hall 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Olympic Thunder 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Dreams Cut Short 20-1 7th

9th: American Derby (G3),

Thoroughly entertaining group and I don’t think you’re required to accept the obvious short prices including Divine Oath who may struggle with the added distance..

Most Likely: #7 Our Channel 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Hesinfront 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Schoolofhardrocks 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Giacallure 15-1 8th

10th: Modesty H. (G3), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

14 horses field so another spot where you need not pay attention to the ML. Swing from your heels..

Most Likely: #5 Kepi 10-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Street of Gold 30-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Every Way 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #13 I’m Already Sexy 8-1 WON ($10.80)
Super Add: #7 Dance Again 15-1 8th

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$23k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Academyperformance 5-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Causeways Friend 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Crashing Conclave 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1e Reiff entry 15-1 8th

5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Smashing 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Sweet Shirley Mae 5-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Dear Mama 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Regent’s House 4-1 6th

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Oldwick 9-5 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #4 Solly’s Mischief 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Go to the Net 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Donttellyourmother 5-1 7th

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Wally Did It 6-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #11 You Tarzan 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Brendan G 3-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Flowing Mane 15-1 4th

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #3 Bernardo 7-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Scarly Charly 8-5 WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #1 Sinistra 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Roman Approval 8-1 4th

9th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T

Most Likely: #3 Pink Poppy 3-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Almurra 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Irish Score 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Whispering 30-1 8th

<$125 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 3 – $4.00

A’s with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 3 – $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 1,5 with 3 – $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 6,10 – $8.00

A’s with Two B’s

5 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 1,5 with 3 – $16.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 6,10 – $16.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 1,5 with 6,10 – $16.00

A’s with One C

8 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3,7,8 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 3 – $16.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,2,5 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 3 – $12.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 7,8,9 – $12.00

Total: $116.00

<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 4,8 with 8 with 3,5 with 3,10 – $8.00

A’s with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 4,8 with 8 with 1 with 3,10 – $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 4,8 with 8 with 3,5 with 6,7,8 – $12.00 $1.00 Pick 4 (8/2,5,7,8,10/5/8) Paid $204.75

A’s with Two B’s

4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 8 with 1 with 6,7,8 – $3.00

A’s with One C

5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7 with 8 with 3,5 with 3,10 – $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 1,3,4,6,9,11 with 3,5 with 3,10 – $24.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 8 with 2,4,7 with 3,10 – $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 8 with 3,5 with 9 – $2.00

Total: $63.00