Archive for the '2017' Category

8/20: Saratoga ($78k C/O)

Sunday, August 20th, 2017

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Lightening Buzz 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Caniform 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #4 Martino 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Silver Assault 4-1 4th

2nd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Air Vice Marshall 2-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Rapt 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Kantune 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Hollow Point 8-1 3rd

3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, NY-NY DBL, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Equalityforall 4-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Ormolu Lu 15-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Silver Shaker 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Empressof the Nile 8-1 WON ($11.80)

4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Monte Man 6-1 WON ($12.00)
Best Value: #8 Bold Again 20-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Swift One 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Man of Wiregrass 4-1 9th

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Fools Gold 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #12 Lynah Rink 12-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Layla Noor 5-1 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Sweet Offer 12-1 4th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-9 (A), – (B), 4-8-10 (C)
2: 7-8 (A), – (B), 1-9-10 (C)
3: 3-9 (A), 5-8 (B), 1-6 (C)
4: 10 (A), 8-9 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
5: 1-3-12 (A), – (B), 2-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

2: 7-8-9 (A), – (B), 1-10 (C)
3: 3-9 (A), 5-8 (B), 1-6 (C)
4: 10 (A), 8-9 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
5: 1-2-3-12 (A), – (B), 10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x1x4 = $24 ($12 for .12)

$0.50 Pick-4 (9/5/10/3) Paid $455.50

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Purrfect Miss 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #6 Gemini 4-1 10th
Best Value: #9 Mia d’Oro 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 In Jail 15-1 5th

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Gehrig 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Psychic Energy 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Wicked Macho 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Freedom Seven 20-1 7th

8th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Romantic Music 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Lillie’s Answer 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Magician’s Vanity 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Winner’s Dream 3-1 4th

9th: Summer Colony-R, F&M-4+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Verve’s Tale 3-1 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #3 Fuhriously Kissed 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Blue Prize 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Romantic Vision 4-1 6th

10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #3 Helluva Choice 9-2 7th
Next Best: #4 Stormin Maclean 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Outrageous Bet 6-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Tu Exageres Late SCR

P6 Grid:

5: 1 (A), 3-12 (B), 2-10-11 (C)
6: 6-10 (A), – (B), 3-9 (C)
7: 9 (A), – (B), 1-7 (C)
8: 1-8 (A), 9 (B), – (C)
9: 1-3 (A), – (B), 4-5-6-7 (C)
10: 3-4 (A), – (B), 6-711/SCR (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x3x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A’s: 1x2x1x2x2x2 = 16 x $2 = $32

P5 Grid:

6: 6-10 (A), – (B), 3-9 (C)
7: 7-9 (A), 1-3 (B), 4-10 (C)
8: 1-8 (A), 9 (B), – (C)
9: 1-3-5 (A), – (B), 4-6-7 (C)
10: 3-4 (A), – (B), 2-6-711/SCR (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

7: 7-9 (A), 1-3 (B), 4-10 (C)
8: 1-8 (A), 9 (B), – (C)
9: 1-3-5 (A), – (B), 4-6-7 (C)
10: 3-4 (A), 6-11/SCR (B), 2-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = $24 (12 for .50)

Bama-PacClassic Saturday should enthrall

Saturday, August 19th, 2017

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 River Date 4th
Next Best: #8 Southside Warrior WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #1 Mills 2nd

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Honorable Treasure 10-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #8 Ezmosh 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Congruity 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Cullum Road 12-1 4th

$1 Exacta (12-8) $21.40
$1 Trifecta (12-8-4) $63.50
$1 Superfecta (12-8-4-6) $360.50

3rd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Meh. Typically nondescript starter hodge-podge. Favored Hexameter (9-5) isn’t all that special..

Most Likely: #4 Wildcat Belle 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Kentucky Dancer 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Hexameter 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Pico Chick 4-1 3rd

4th: Opt CLM/C, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Lots of stakes performers assemble here including G2 Bowling Green 5th Hello Don Julio & G3 Arlington H. 4th Manitoulin. Pace picture is somewhat murky..

Most Likely: #6 Manitoulin 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Hello Don Julio 3-1 WON ($8.10)
Best Value: #7 Aquaphobia 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Doctor Mounty 15-1 7th

5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

A gaggle of impressive pedigrees on display here with workmate pair of Chad Brown’s most prominent in $600k Pompa Flatter buy Allured (half to Don Tito) and Klaravich Curlin tab Variant Perception. Pletcher’s Super Sermon and Godolphin’s Avery Island look well schooled for debut as well. Fun sibling note: Moquett’s Want (New Year’s Day) sees brother Mills run in the 1st. KMc’s First Warrior (War Front) has sister Berned involved in the Lake Placid!.

Best Value: #7 Allured 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Super Sermon 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Variant Perception 5-2 4th
Super Add: #9 Bourbon Currency 10-1 6th

P5 Grid:

1: 6-8 (A), – (B), 1 (C)
2: 8-12 (A), 4-6 (B), 3-9 (C)
3: 4-7 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)
4: 6 (A), – (B), 1-5-7-8 (C)
5: 2-6-7 (A), – (B), 4-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x1x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x2x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

2: 8-12 (A), 4-6 (B), 3-9 (C)
3: 4-7 (A), 2-5 (B), 1-3-6 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), 7 (B), 5 (C)
5: 2-6-7 (A), – (B), 4-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Now THIS is what you call an allowance race with 3yo Triple Crown Trail types Meantime (Peter Pan, Belmont), Monaco (LA Derby) & soph debuting Hookup (Remsen) facing off against hard-hitting elders. Tricky start to NYRA Bets P5. (SCR Caviar Czar who won as MTO Friday)..

Best Value: #1e Repole entry 8-1 5th/9th
Next Best: #8 Meantime 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Battle Midway 6-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Wine Not 8-1 8th

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Odd set of horses with long layoffs and spotty form part of puzzle. As he’s done twice this meet, Lezcano is going to try to build insurmountable lead with Miss Kentucky. May not be a bad gambit either..

Most Likely: #4 Mom’s On Strike 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Miss Kentucky 8-1 10th
Next Best: #6 Ellery Lane 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Glory to Kitten 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Great Import 6-1 8th

8th: Lake Placid (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-T (SAR-DMR X-C P4, P3, DD)

Proctor’s Ledge broke through in Lake George and seems to be developing tactical side which will come in handy in this pace-empty sextet..

SAR-DMR X-C P4 Grid Below DMR Oaks..

Most Likely: #4 Proctor’s Ledge 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #3 La Coronel 8-5 4th
Best Value: #2 Party Boat 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Uni 3-1 2nd

9th: Alabama (G1), 3yo-F, 10f (DD)

One of the most interesting editions of this historic Spa standard in recent memory with 10f winners New Money Honey (Belmont Oaks) and Holy Helena (Queen’s Plate) making surface transitions to the main track. Unchained Melody announced herself loudly with Mother Goose downstate and will be prominent throughout for Lynch under Rosario. She should make the classic trip and looms the one to run down. Bill Mott has taken his time with Claiborne’s Elite and Juddmonte’s Lockdown and neither would surprise. Delaware Oaks 1-2 players It Tiz Well (Hollendorfer) and Actress (Ja. Servis) demand attention with pedigrees that translate fine to the distance demands. Casse’s Salty and O’Neil’s Mopotism have kept good company throughout their careers but feel like fillies that don’t want to go this far.

Best Value: #3 It Tiz Well 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Unchained Melody 3-1 DNF
Exotics Use: #1 New Money Honey 6-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Actress 15-1 4th

10th: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT

Best Value: # #4 Speighgal 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Assertive 5-2 10th
Exotics Use: #2 Aoife 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Star Maven 30-1 8th

P5 Grid:

6: 1-8 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)
7: 2-4 (A), 6 (B), 3-8 (C)
8: 3-4 (A), 2 (B), 1-5-6 (C)
9: 1-3-5 (A), 4-7-9 (B), 2-6-8 (C)
10: 1-4 (A), – (B), 2-5-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x6x2 = 216 x .50 = $108
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

7: 2-4-6 (A), – (B), 3-8 (C)
8: 3-4 (A), 2 (B), 1-5-6 (C)
9: 1-3-5-9 (A), 2-4-6-7-8 (B), – (C)
10: 1-4 (A), – (B), 2-5-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x9x2 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A’s: 3x2x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

DEL MAR

POST-SCRATCHES

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Jackpot P6 Force-Out Starts Here..

Most Likely: #6 Tyfosha 5-2: Experienced filly to beat.. 2nd
Next Best: #5 Moonshine Memories 3-1: Elite ownership team paid $650k.. WON ($9.40)
Best Value: #1 Crownstone 6-1: Baffert for Godolphin; half to Bandini..
Exotics Use: #7 Dr. Ann 4-1: The ‘other’ O’Neill.. 3rd

7th: Del Mar H. (G2), 3+, 11f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Itsinthepost 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Ashleylovessugar 7-2 6th
Best Value: #9 He Will 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Flamboyant 15-1 3rd

8th: Pacific Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (P4, P3, DD)

A lot of guesswork involved as to what you get from Arrogate today. Really sense the World Cup has taken something out of him as every observation of his prep work denotes a slight, perceptible absence of his previous brilliance. Even acknowledging his mortality, he’s perfect in 3 tries at 10f and only Hard Aces has even one win at the Classic trip. If surface issues are part of the equation, Accelerate is the one that’s perfect in a trio of Oceanside tries. Meanwhile, Collected has matured in to a terror and Baffert clearly wanted to give him as much time as possible out of the eye-popping Precisionist that registered a 111 Beyer and -5 on Thoro-Graph. Donworth is an exotics use 3rd off the layoff..

Most Likely: #8 Arrogate 1-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Accelerate 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Donworth 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Collected 5-2 WON ($8.00)

9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Americanize 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Edwards Going Left 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #2 Nardo 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Street Vision 6-1 8th

10th: Del Mar Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD)

Crazily competitive group. Pick a few that have run for you previously and hope for the best..

Most Likely: #2 Madame Dancealot 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Con Te Partiro 7-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Vexatious 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Pacific Wind 12-1 9th

SAR-DMR X-C P4 Grid:

SAR 8: 2-3-4 (A), – (B), 1-5-6 (C)
SAR 9: 1-3-5-9 (A), 4-7 (B), 2-6-8 (C)
DMR 8: 8 (A), 3 (B), 2-5-6 (C)
DMR 10: 2-5 (A), 7-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x4x1x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

11th: MSW-Cal, F&M-3+, 6f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Laynee 3-1
Next Best: #3 Hope She Will 4-1
Best Value: #10 Paula With a P 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Powder 5-1 WON ($8.60)

P6 Grid:

6: 6 (A), 5 (B), 1-7 (C)
7: 5-8 (A), – (B), 7-9 (C)
8: 8 (A), 3 (B), 2-6 (C)
9: 8-10 (A), 2 (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), 3-10-11-12 (C)
11: 8 (A), – (B), 3-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x3x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A’s: 1x2x1x2x3x1 = 12 x $2 = $24

P4 Grid:

8: 8 (A), 3 (B), 2-5-6 (C)
9: 8-10 (A), 2 (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 2-5-7-11 (A), 3-10-12 (B), 6-13 (C)
11: 3-8 (A), – (B), 6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x7x2 = 84 x .50 = $42
All A’s: 1x3x4x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

8/17: Saratoga (Day 24; Union Avenue)

Thursday, August 17th, 2017

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Friend of Liberty claimed out of Sunday’s 1st and re-entered by new connex as entries for today had not yet closed! Easy Way Out & She’s Stunning SCR’d out of spots for here..

Best Value: #7 She’s Stunning Late SCR
Next Best: #1 Friend of Liberty 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Honor Way 3-1 WON ($5.50)
Super Add: #6 Easy Way Out 2-1 5th

2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Saratoga Colonel 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Heat Check 6-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Fleet Admiral 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Looking At U Kid 8-1 5th

3rd: OC/N2S, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Have struggled with these all meet..

Best Value: #5 Sail Ahoy 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Securitiz 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Thebigfundamental 9-5 WON ($5.20)

4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Mojo’s Queen 6-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #9 Dreamy Margarita 5-2 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Veil Dance 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Laura’s Patriot 8-1 9th

5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Looking Ready 3-1 WON ($5.30)
Next Best: #7 Smokin Platinum Late SCR
Best Value: #3 Paynter’s Prize 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Dark Ops 9-2 3rd

P5 Grid:

1: 1-57 (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
2: 5-8 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-10 (C)
3: 3-4-5 (A), – (B), 1-2-6 (C)
4: 2 (A), – (B), 5-6-8-9-10 (C)
5: 17/SCR (A), 3-10 (B), 2-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 5-8 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-10 (C)
3: 1-3-4-5 (A), 2-6 (B), – (C)
4: 2 (A), – (B), 5-6-8-9-10 (C)
5: 17/SCR (A), 3-10 (B), 2-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 2x4x1x2 = $16 ($8 for .50)

6th: ALW/N1X, +, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Beasley 9-5 WON ($6.90)
Best Value: #5 Classic Cotton 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Grumpelstiltskin 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Magnifier 5-1 5th

7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Summer Luck 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Initiate 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Rimanisempreforte 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Taperge 2-1 WON ($5.50)

8th: Union Avenue-NY, F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD)

SCR of Hot City Girl opens this up completely..

Most Likely: #5 Clipthecouponannie 6-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Picco Uno 8-1 WON ($9.70)
Next Best: #1 Quezon 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Court Dancer 5-1 8th

9th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #11 Carrera Cat Late SCR (11:30a)
Best Value: #1 Held Accountable 8-1 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #2 Scatback 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Straw Hat 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Pound Note 4-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

5: 1-7 (A), 3-10 (B), 1-6-8 (C)
6: 1 (A), – (B), 2-4-5 (C)
7: 4-10 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
8: 5-9 (A), 1 (B), 4-6-7 (C)
9: 1-2-11/SCR (A), – (B), 6-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 PICK FIVE (1/1/1/9/1) Paid $544.00

P4 Grid:

6: 1-5 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)
7: 4-10 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
8: 5-9 (A), 1 (B), 4-6-7 (C)
9: 1-2-11/SCR (A), – (B), 6-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 PICK FOUR (1/1/9/1) Paid $194.75

8/16: Saratoga (Day 23; Bolton Landing)

Wednesday, August 16th, 2017

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: ALW/N2L, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Kremlin 4-1
Best Value: #8 Bishop’s Castle 8-1
Next Best: #6 Mutasaaway 5-2
Exotics Use: #3 Hooded 20-1

2nd: MSW, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

There’s a number of nice horses here that have simply had the misfortune of running into tough customers as they look to graduate..

Most Likely: #1 Speith 9-5
Best Value: #4 Powerful Ally 9-2
Next Best: #7 D’ambrosio 5-2
Exotics Use: #2 Alpha Team 6-1

3rd: ALW/N$Y, 3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Fire Away 2-1
Next Best: #1 Holiday Star 8-5
Best Value: #4 Mark My Style 6-1
Exotics Use: #5 Muqtaser 5-2

4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

#1a Easy Way Out will be a SCR to run in Thursday’s 1st..

Most Likely: #1 Lady Devil 9-5
Next Best: #3 Lady Constance 7-5
Exotics Use: #6 Jump for Joy 5-1
Super Add: #5 B Three 15-1

5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Stolen Pistol 3-1
Most Likely: #4 My Mr. Wonderful 2-1
Exotics Use: #7 Cross Multiply 15-1
Super Add: #2 Sicilia Sal 12-1

6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Saratoga Wildcat 5-2
Best Value: #4 Paden 8-1
Next Best: #1a (POE) Power Nap 7-2
Exotics Use: #2 Old Upstart 5-1

P5 Grid:

2: 1-4-7 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
3: 3 (A), 1 (B), 4-5 (C)
4: 1-3 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
5: 4-5 (A), 7 (B), 2-6-8-10 (C)
6: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), 6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

3: 1-3 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
4: 1-3 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
5: 4-5-7 (A), – (B), 2-6-8-10 (C)
6: 4-7 (A), 1-2-6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Claiborne entry 4-5
Next Best: #7 Zoot Suit 4-1
Best Value: #2 Fear 15-1
Exotics Use: #4 Amelia’s Wild Ride 6-1

8th: NY-CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 No Texting 9-2
Next Best: #3 Mobridge 9-5
Exotics Use: #6 Damage Control 2-1
Super Add: #7 Irish Prayer 6-1

9th: Bolton Landing, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD)

This is a terrific race with 2 Wards and 2 Pletchers as well as invaders from WO (Casse) & LRL (capable Susan Cooney). No easy eliminations to the point that I can’t even put the Wesleys in the super on paper!

Most Likely: #6 Sugar Queen 4-1
Best Value: #5 March X Press 8-1
Next Best: #3 Sly Beauty 3-1
Exotics Use: #8 Buy Sell Hold 5-1

10th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f

Most Likely: #3 Irst 5-2
Best Value: #6 Schott 6-1
Next Best: #5 Britain 4-1
Exotics Use: #4 Presidential Bird 6-1

P6 Grid:

6: 1-4-7 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-5 (C)
7: 1 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
8: 2-3 (A), – (B), 6-7 (C)
9: 3-5-6 (A), 1-2-8 (B), 4-7 (C)
10: 3-6 (A), – (B), 2-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x2x6x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 1 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-4-5-6 (C)
8: 2-3-6-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 3-5-6 (A), 1-2-8 (B), 4-7 (C)
10: 3-6 (A), – (B), 2-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x4x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve

8/14: Saratoga (Day 22; Saratoga Dew)

Monday, August 14th, 2017

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Champagne Ruby 8-5 DH-4th
Next Best: #6 Non Finisce Mai 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #4 Everything Magic 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Hot Yankee 4-1 6th

2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Vigor 2-1 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #6 Schema 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Boom Boom Boom 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Hollywood Royal 7-2 3rd

3rd: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Baby Bear’s Soup 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Cinderella El Chrome 15-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Holding Aces 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Happy Farm 7-2 WON ($11.00)

4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Snapper Sinclair 10-1 WON ($13.80)
Next Best: #6 Gidu 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Scatjack 8-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Pocket Book 9-5 6th

5th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Novique 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Splash of Sass 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Scatnap 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Okbyecya 10-1 6th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-6 (A), – (B), 3-4-5 (C)
2: 2-6 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
3: 5 (A), 2-7 (B), 1-3 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), 2-7 (B), – (C)
5: 5-7-8 (A), – (B), 1-2-3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x1x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

2: 2-6 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
3: 2-5-7 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
4: 1-6 (A), 2-7 (B), – (C)
5: 5-6-7-8 (A), – (B), 1-2-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Win With Pride 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 New Jersey John 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Any Questions 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Keepingitquiet 9-2 8th

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Battlement 9-5 4th
Best Value: #7 Orecciette 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Annathela 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Tizanillusion 5-2 2nd

8th: Saratoga Dew-NY, F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Stake honors the Charlie Engel-owned, Gary Sciacca-trained filly who was the first New York bred Eclipse winner. Half sisters Jc’s Shooting Star and Jcs American Dream line up against each other again..

Most Likely: #1 Jcs Shooting Star 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Literata 2-1 WON ($8.30)
Best Value: #3 Super Allison 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Jcs American Dream 3-1 2nd

9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT

Best Value: #3 Unexplained 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Musical America 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Snag 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Eucalyptus 12-1 8th

P5 Grid:

5: 5 (A), 7-8 (B), 2-6 (C)
6: 4-5-10 (A), – (B), 1-6-7 (C)
7: 2-4-7 (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 1-4 (A), – (B), 2-3 (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 10 (B), 4-5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x2x3 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A’s: 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 4-5-10 (A), – (B), 1-6-7 (C)
7: 2-4-7 (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 1-4 (A), 2-3 (B), 6-7 (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 4-10 (B), 5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18