Archive for the '2017' Category

8/26: Saratoga (148th Travers Day)

Saturday, August 26th, 2017

Cool, glorious day on tap in Upstate New York for a fascinating Travers and terrific undercard. Good number of spots to take price shots today and even if you lean toward the more likely players, the exotics should provide a steady supply of fireworks.. Enjoy Travers Day!

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

All except Mejia’s #3 Belle Tapisserie are firsters, so worktab and pedigree your only roadmap..

Most Likely: #2 Hazit 3-1: Pletcher/Eclipse colt o/o fast early MSW mare Rumor.. WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #8 Good Magic 5-2: $1MM Curlin for Brown, e5, Stonestreet.. 2nd
Best Value: #6 High North 6-1: Midnight Lute o/o quick SW Spacy Tracy for Cox & John Ed Anthony.. 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Road to Meath 7-2: ‘Other’ Chad Brown a Quality Road for The Warrens.. 3rd

2nd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9.f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Expect a moderate pace in this odd assemblage of horseflesh where no order of finish would be a shock. Kabang (15-1), $425k as a yearling to Mrs. Weber, showed promise early before finding himself for Trombetta as a mature gelding. Will need to work a trip, but nice price key whose Starter ALW win earlier in the meet as good as anything from the rest of this cast. Brown’s Focus Group broke through in last. Delacour, (who looks poised for a big day), sends forward-going Surprise Twist. Mott’s Richmond Street fits well. Pletcher’s Son of a Saint out of a modest Dynaformer mare and could take to turf..

Best Value: #5 Kabang 15-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Surprise Twist 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Richmond Street 6-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Focus Group 3-1 8th

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

The danger zone in the early P4/P5 with 7 coming in with experience and 3 firsters from Weaver, Lerman & Motion..

Best Value: #5 He Takes Charge 12-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Another 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Chirping 12-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Neepawa 5-2 6th

4th: Opt CLM/C, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Entertaining lineup for this conditional ALW dash which boasts 43 wins among 9 horses for nearly $3,000,000. There looks to be enough pace to keep this honest with typical Navarro sprint type Shaft of Light the likely leader and several presser/stalkers around to prompt. Needed Threefiveindia last time and willing to try again with a behind-the-leaders style fitting this race flow well. Angry Moon probably needs the lead to win, but note that Englehart pulled same stunt a year ago, prepping in turf sprint 8/18/16 before acing similarly conditioned event 9/4/16. Candid Desire ideal candidate to nab bottom share with closing kick..

Best Value: #5 Angry Moon 12-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Threefiveindia 5-2 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Shaft of Light 9-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Candid Desire 20-1 3rd

5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Pace looks authentic making this completely open to any and all. Use prices liberally because no one can be eliminated easily..

Best Value: #2 Sycamore Lane 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Ray’s the Bar 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Profiteer 15-1 WON ($19.20)
Super Add: #7 Tathqeef 6-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

1: 2-8 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
2: 3-5 (A), 7-9-10 (B), 2-6 (C)
3: 2-5-9 (A), 8-10 (B), – (C)
4: 4-5 (A), – (B), 3-6-8-9 (C)
5: 2-8 (A), – (B), 1-4-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x5x2x2 = 200 x .50 = $100
All A’s: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

2: 3-5 (A), 7-9-10 (B), 2-6 (C)
3: 2-5-9 (A), 8-10 (B), – (C)
4: 4-5-6 (A), – (B), 3-8-9 (C)
5: 2-8 (A), – (B), 1-4-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x3x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

6th: 70th Personal Ensign (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD ~ No Show Wagering)

Not impossible for Forever Unbridled to run down Songbird, but the Fox Hill filly has a big advantage setting the fractions up front..

Most Likely: #2 Songbird 2-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Forever Unbridled 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Eskenformoney 12-1 3rd

7th: 39th Ballerina (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (All Stakes P6, P3, DD)

First of 3 straight 7f G1’s and a seriously well-matched group. Pace a bit of question mark as there isn’t a single wire winner among these runners. Success over this surface a plus and Paulassilverlining was remarkable again winning the Honorable Miss. A 7th panel hasn’t been an issue for her. Carina Mia’s win earlier in the meet bodes well for her 2nd chance in this event after last year’s disappointment as favorite. By the Moon always gives a square account of herself. Birdatthewire (Blinkers On) and Highway Star (Turning Back) both have some appeal with off the pace styles though Proctor 0/6 adding the hood in graded stakes..

Most Likely: #5 Carina Mia 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Paulassilverlining 2-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Birdatthewire 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Highway Star 10-1 2nd

8th: 33rd Allen Jerkens (G1), 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

As discussed all week, former King’s Bishop has all the usual style elements with Crown Trail turnback types (Practical Joke, Wild Shot, No Dozing, Takaful) versus established one turners (American Anthem, Coal Front). Was dismissive of Ann Arbor Eddie (15-1) on first glance Wednesday night, but after the efforts of light fig NY-bred California invaders in Friday’s Seeking the Ante, I’m a bit more interested. American Anthem remains the horse to beat and anything close to Woody Stephens effort on Belmont Day swamps these..

Most Likely: #9 American Anthem 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Ann Arbor Eddie 15-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Coal Front 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Practical Joke 5-2 WON ($6.00)

9th: 38th Forego (G1), 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Billed as Drefong v. Mind Your Biscuits, but a few here are well in range, especially Diving Rod and Awesome Slew. Expect Drefong ready after Bing mishap and one to chase and catch getting a pretty clear edge on pace. As pointed out by Dave Grening, Stallwalkin’ Dude is compromised considerably by his inside draw. As noted by Nick Luck, don’t gloss over Schiegen’s invading Ross (15-1) who travels over all kinds of footing and has fired his shot consistently this year..

Most Likely: #10 Drefong 5-2 WON ($4.30)
Best Value: #2 Ross 15-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Diving Rod 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Awesome Slew 6-1 2nd

10th: 43rd Sword Dancer (G1), 3+, 12f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Little has gone right for Albertrani team this meet, but perhaps it’s their and Sadler’s Joy’s turn here..

Best Value: #3 Sadler’s Joy 5-1 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #5 Money Multiplier 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Erupt 3-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Idaho 2-1 6th

11th: 148th Travers (G1), 3yo, 10f (P3, DD)

Devilishly fun edition of this summer classic with many of the division’s proven commodities lining up against emergent or (potentially emergent) late season types. Lots of questions around the pace scenario and if Always Dreaming wires this, god bless him. Don’t have overly clever approach to this other than to use Gunnevara who appears to have regrouped and has race on the page (Fountain of Youth) as good or better than anything anyone else has run and will be a big number. There’s nearly no superfecta combination of the 12 you might craft that would be impossible..

Most Likely: #3 West Coast 4-1: Has upside yet and style that suits race flow.. WON ($14.20)
Best Value: #11 Gunnevara 20-1: Slick Calder works could translate well here.. 2nd
Next Best: #1 Cloud Computing 8-1: Has disappointed before only to rebound.. 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Good Samaritan 5-1: Dandy winner follows Elate’s Alabama path.. 5th
Super Add: #10 Irap 8-1: Leviathan colt has chance to reach division leaders.. 3rd

$1 EXACTA (3-11) $178.75
$1 TRIFECTA (3-11-10) $1,122.50

P4 Grid:

8: 1-5-7-9 (A), 2-8 (B), 3-4-5 (C)
9: 10 (A), – (B), 1-2-4-5-6 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), 6-7 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
11: 1-3-11 (A), 4-5-10 (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 4x1x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$1 ‘All A’s’ PICK FOUR (1/10/3/3) $462.50 ($231.25 for .50)

12th: 29th Ballston Spa (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Would like to see Lady Eli’s Spa farewell be successful but her stablemates could be biggest obstacle to fairytale ending..

Most Likely: #1 Lady Eli 4-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #5 Antonoe 3-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Roca Rojo 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Dickinson 6-1 2nd

13th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #9 Praise the Moon 20-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Prognostication 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Admirals Cove 12-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Herecomesyourman 5-1 5th

P6 Grid:

9: 10 (A), – (B), 1-2-4-5-6 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), 6-7 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
11: 1-3-11 (A), 4-5-10 (B), 6-9 (C)
12: 1-5 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
13: 2-4-9 (A), – (B), 6-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 PICK FIVE (10/3/3/1,3/6) $932.25 (A-A-A-A-C)

P4 Grid:

10: 3-5 (A), 6-7 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
11: 1-3-11 (A), 4-5-10 (B), 6-9 (C)
12: 1-5 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
13: 2-4-9 (A), – (B), 6-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 PICK FOUR (3/3/1,3/6) $410.00 (A-A-A-C)

8/25: Saratoga (New York Showcase Day)

Friday, August 25th, 2017

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Misty Forest 10-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Codrington 8-5 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Purely Lucky 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Jody’s Song Gate SCR

2nd: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Very good group. Not sure if moderate pace scenario allows Beyond the Green a chance to close, but turnback under hustling Carmouche a nice formula at 6-1 (and perhaps more)..

Best Value: #6 Beyond the Green 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Build to Suit 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Eye Luv Lulu 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 So Noted 8-1 5th

3rd: 4th Fleet Indian-NY, 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD)

Given his NY-bred lineup, Chad Brown will close the trainer race gap on Pletcher today..

Most Likely: #2 Sunset Ridge 1-5 WON ($2.10)
Next Best: #5 Bonita Bianca 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Danielle’s Pride 30-1 4th

4th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Battle Station 7-2 WON ($12.00)
Best Value: #5 Sandlot Star 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Barbarossa 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Chasindamoney 9-2 8th

5th: 4th Funny Cide-NY, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Aveenu Malcainu 7-2 WON ($6.70)
Best Value: #6 Morning Breeze 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Smokin Platinum 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Mr. Pete 8-1 5th

P5 Grid:

1: 2-8 (A), 1-3/SCR (B), 4-5 (C)
2: 2-3-6 (A), – (B), 1-4-5 (C)
3: 2 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 5-6 (A), 3-4 (B), 1-9 (C)
5: 3-4-6 (A), – (B), 1-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 PICK FIVE (2,3,6,9/2/2/6/3) $60.37

P4 Grid:

2: 2-3-6 (A), 1-4-5 (B), 7-8-9 (C)
3: 2 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 3-4-5-6 (A), – (B), 1-9 (C)
5: 3-4-6 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x4x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 PICK FOUR (2/2/6/3) $35.00

6th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Corey Q 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 New Canaan 7-2 8th
Best Value: #12 Hardly Mate 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Wish Upon 9-2 4th

7th: 38th Yaddo-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Fourstar Crook 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Feeling Bossy 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Ack Naughty 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Bar of Gold 7-2 WON ($13.00)

8th: 4th Seeking the Ante-NY, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 I Still Miss You 8-5 9th
Next Best: #9 Trouble for Skylar 7-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Miss Mystique 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Cause We Are Loyal 6-1 WON ($24.40)

9th: 38th West Point-NY, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Offering Plan 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Kharafa 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 All Is Number 30-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 King Kreesa 6-1 6th

10th: 40th Albany-NY, 3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Twisted Tom 8-5 WON ($4.30)
Best Value: #3 Can You Diggit 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Broken Engagement 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Pat On the Back 6-1 3rd

11th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #13 Danny’s Rush 6-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Mr. Cat 7-2 WON ($11.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Atwitzend 6-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Dab 3-1 4th

P5 Grid:

7: 8 (A), – (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 4-8-9 (A), – (B), 3-5-7 (C)
9: 9 (A), 5-6 (B), 2-3-4 (C)
10: 3-4-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 1-13 (A), 4-6 (B), 7-9-10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x1x4x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

8: 4-8-9 (A), – (B), 3-5-7 (C)
9: 9 (A), 5-6 (B), 2-3-4 (C)
10: 3-4-5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
11: 1-13 (A), 4-6 (B), 7-9-10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x4x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

8/24: Saratoga (Day 30; NY Turf Writer’s Cup)

Thursday, August 24th, 2017

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY Turf Writer’s Cup H. (NSA-G1), 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Modem 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #12 Choral Society 15-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Swansea Mile 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Diplomat 8-1 WON ($37.40)

2nd: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Tied Up 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 La Contessa 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Strategic Dreams 4-1 WON ($11.60)
Super Add: #2 Little Lu 8-1 5th

3rd: CLM/N3L, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Gotham News 15-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Strike Midnight 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Twenty Four Seven 4-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Caribbean 5-2 3rd

4th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Very deep state bred sprint ALW.. 3-1 a bad low price on Born for a Storm, but he’s going to get a good trip behind the speed while 2nd off the long break. Tough group to read..

Most Likely: #4 Born for a Storm 3-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Fleet Irish 5-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Jewel Can Disco 2-1 WON ($9.70)
Exotics Use: #2e Shay entry 6-1 5th/9th

5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Industrial Policy 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Baronet 20-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Miss Aja Brown 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Queenofthechannel 12-1 8th

6th: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Iwishirish 5-2 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #7 Indian Gem 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Scarlett Jo Hansen 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Desert Affair 6-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

2: 3-5 (A), – (B), 7-8 (C)
3: 7-8 (A), 5-10 (B), 3-6 (C)
4: 4-6-7 (A), 1-2-3-5 (B), – (C)
5: 5 (A), – (B), 2-4-7-8-10 (C)
6: 5-6-7 (A), – (B), 4-5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x7x1x3 = 168 x .50 = $84
All A’s: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

3: 7-8 (A), 5-10 (B), 3-6 (C)
4: 2-4-6-7 (A), 1-3-5 (B), – (C)
5: 5 (A), – (B), 2-4-7-8-10 (C)
6: 4-5-6-7 (A), – (B), 1-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x7x1x4 = 112 x .50 = $56
All A’s: 2x4x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

7th: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Bareeqa 7-2 WON ($11.60)
Best Value: #3 Eighth Commandment 15-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Table for Six 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Mo Promise Late SCR

8th: NY-ALW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Weekend Hideaway 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Bustin It 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Celtic Chaos 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #1a Brimstone 4-1 5th

9th: Riskaverse-R, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Danceland 6-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Let It Ride Mom 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Cherry Lodge 7-2 5th
Super Add: #7 Fizzy Friday 6-1 2nd

10th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T

Best Value: #9 Nate Can’t Wait 8-1: Dam an OK turf router.. Late SCR
Next Best: #5 Phone Funky Munky 5-2: Got education in debut.. WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Fun Prospect 7-2: Motion adds blinks, stretches out.. 3rd
Super Add: #4 Now a Factor 6-1: Maker/Three Diamonds FTS..

P5 Grid:

6: 5-6-7 (A), – (B), 4-10 (C)
7: 3-8-10 (A), – (B), 6-11-12/SCR (C)
8: 3 (A), – (B), 1-6-7-8 (C)
9: 8-13 (A), 2-12 (B), 7-10-11 (C)
10: 59/SCR (A), 4-8 (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x1x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x1x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 3-8-10 (A), 6-11-12/SCR (B), – (C)
8: 3 (A), – (B), 1-6-7-8 (C)
9: 2-8-12 (A), 7-10-11 (B), 4-5-9 (C)
10: 4-5-8-9/SCR (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x3x4 = 36 x .50 = $18

8/23: Saratoga (Day 29; John’s Call)

Wednesday, August 23rd, 2017

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Walsh Novice, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 New Member 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Moscato 3-1 WON ($8.50)
Exotics Use: #6 My Afleet 7-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Curve of Stones 30-1 DNF-Left course

2nd: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Ouchy MGSW and Belmont runner-up Destin makes 2nd start of 4yo year here. Obviously can win, but runs v. several that are authentic and in form..

Best Value: #2 Seeking the Soul 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Destin 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Flashy Jewel 3-1 4th

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Looks like a very live group with inside troika, ‘other’ Casse and Pletcher 2nd timer the key players..

Best Value: #6 Elusive Mischief 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Machismo 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Strike 7-2 7th
Super Add: #2 Mr. Cheerful 8-1 10th

4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Pretty Enuff 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Frostie Anne 3-1 WON ($8.90)
Exotics Use: #3 Enduring Erin 7-5
Super Add: #5 Arewehavingfunyet 7-2 2nd

5th: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Daddy’s Home 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Consumerconfidence 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use #6 Spectrolite 5-2 WON ($4.30)
Super Add: #9 Baby Bear’s Soup 4-1 2nd

6th: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Maniacally complex group..

Most Likely: #5 Le Pin 7-2 6th
Best Value: #10 Business Expense 8-1 WON ($13.80)
Next Best: #2b Hill entry 9-2 4th/8th
Exotics Use: #6 Oiseau de Guerre 5-2 5th

P5 Grid:

2: 2-5 (A), 3 (B), 1-4 (C)
3: 6-10 (A), – (B), 2-3 (C)
4: 1-4 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-6 (C)
5: 4-5 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
6: 2-5-10 (A), – (B), 4-6-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

3: 6-10 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-7-9 (C)
4: 1-4 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-6 (C)
5: 4-5-6 (A), – (B), 1-9 (C)
6: 2-5-10 (A), – (B), 4-6-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Many here getting first chance to be effective at 9f. But who will be?

Most Likely: #6 Tapella 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Parade 5-1 WON ($14.80)
Best Value: #1 Brilliant Missy 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Heavenly Grace 10-1 9th

8th: John’s Call-R, 3+, 13f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Reknown 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Nessy 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 St. Louie 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Infinite Wisdom 2-1 WON ($6.60)

9th: NY-OC/N2X, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #3 Mr Harlan 15-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Nevisian Sky 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Voodoo Song 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #9 Zigarch 5-1 7th

10th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 6.5f

Best Value: #2 I Miss My Father 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Money Laundering 9-2 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Souper Colors 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Nut Nut 8-1 3rd

P6 Grid:

6: 5-10 (A), 2-6 (B), 9-11 (C)
7: 5-6 (A), – (B), 1-2-7-8 (C)
8: 5-6 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
9: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), 4-9 (C)
10: 2-4 (A), 8 (B), 3-7-11-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick 5 (10/5/2,3/6/4) Paid $1,906.25 (A-A-C-A-A)

P4 Grid:

7: 5-6 (A), 1-2 (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 5-6 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
9: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), 4-9 (C)
10: 2-4-8 (A), 3-7-12 (B), 1-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 4 (5/2,3/6/4) Paid $309.00 (A-C-A-A)

8/21: Saratoga (Day 28; Evan Shipman)

Monday, August 21st, 2017

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: MCLM/$50k, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Infinitely Squared 10-1 WON ($24.60)
Next Best: #9 High Risk Strategy 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Mr. Discretionary 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Michael Wonderful 5-1 4th

$1 Exacta (7-9) Paid $81.25
$1 Trifecta (7-9-5) Paid $386.50
$1 Superfecta (7-9-5-8) Paid $1,156.00

2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Impazible Woman 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 She Remembered 8-5 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #6 Itsthemoney 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Grand Banks 5-2 4th

3rd: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Charis 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Marnesia Big Girl 3-1 WON ($7.30)
Best Value: #2 Summer of Joy 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Madam Aamoura 7-2 2nd

4th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 This Bird Can Sing 7-2 10th
Best Value: #2 Starship Roulette 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Tres Charmant 2-1 WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Song for the Soul 5-2 8th
Super Add; #1 Hay Field 15-1 7th

5th: CLM, 3yo, 1m-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Bug girl Katie Clawson (#1 Hembree) rode Bodie’s Valentine for Maker yesterday and has 2 shots today (#5 Taste for Talent in 9th) to get a Saratoga win before returning to Indiana/Ohio..

Most Likely: #7 He’s Cheeky 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Durango Dan 8-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Hembree 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Patriot Drive 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Ben of the Bridge 12-1 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 7-9 (A), 5 (B), 6-8 (C)
2: 5-7 (A), – (B), 4-6-9 (C)
3: 7 (A), – (B), 2-3 (C)
4: 2-3-4 (A), 1-9 (B), – (C)
5: 1-5-7 (A), 6-9 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 5-7 (A), – (B), 4-6-9 (C)
3: 7 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-5 (C)
4: 2-3-4-9 (A), 1 (B), – (C)
5: 1-5-7-9 (A), 6 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x1x4x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Very curious group and sense a less than obvious outcome in store. Will cover the faves (Run and Gun; Awestruck) but will play for boxcars result..

Most Likely: #4 Knarsdale 9-2 4th
Best Value: #5 For Honor 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Peaceful Passage 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Bow Town Cat 20-1 2nd

7th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Uncle Sigh 5-1 WON ($11.40)
Next Best: #2 Vintage Matters 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Converge 8-5 3rd
Super Add: #11 Hidden Vow 5-2 7th

8th: Evan Shipman-NY, 3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Diversify WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #1 Governor Malibu 2nd

9th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-IT

Really fun finale..

Most Likely: #3 Bankers Holiday 8-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Tricked Up 4-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Taste for Talent 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Performance Bonus 5-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Conquest Sandman 7-2 6th

P6 Grid:

5: 5-7 (A), 1-9 (B), 6-9 (C)
6: 4-5-8 (A), 2-3-5 (B), 2-3-5 (C)
7: 2-7-8 (A), – (B), 1-5-10-11 (C)
8: 5 (A), – (B), 1-2-3 (C)
9: 3-10 (A), – (B), 1-5-8-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x3x1x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

6: 4-5-8 (A), 2-3-5 (B), 1-7 (C)
7: 2-7-8 (A), 11 (B), 1-5-10 (C)
8: 5 (A), – (B), 1-2-3 (C)
9: 1-3-5-10 (A), 8-12 (B), 2-4-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x1x4 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/8/4,5,6/12) Paid $140.00