AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Gucci Factor 6-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #3 Minsky Moment 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Vintage Matters 4-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Pocket Player 8-1 4th

6th: 78th Go for Wand (G3), F&M-3+, 1m (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Lucy N Ethel will take them a long way up top if unencumbered. Am confident Highway Star and Jamyson ‘n Ginger, (Verve’s Tale too perhaps), will be in hot or close pursuit..

Most Likely: #1 Jamyson ‘n Ginger 9-5 7th
Best Value: #3 Going for Broke 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Highway Star 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Verve’s Tale 5-1 3rd

7th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-Outer Turf (P4, P3, DD)

This is an ugly assembly with 4 firsters lining up against a hatful of bumbling whatnot. Summer Squeeze (8-1) is a half to the connections’ SW’ing Summersault and totes a gate bullet in for debut. Hennig can win at first ask on occasion. Straw Hat showed a modicum of closing ability in last which should come in handy today with a number of flashy early speed displayed on the paper. Watch the board for clues to start your P4..

Best Value: #10 Summer Squeeze 8-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Straw Hat 5-1 11th
Exotics Use: #5 Silverado Mist 7-2 4th
Super Add: #4 Rachel’s Blue Moon 12-1 WON ($31.40)

8th: 96th Demoiselle (G2), 2yo-F, 9f (P3, DD)

Wonder Gadot wasn’t beating Caldonia Road in the Breeders’ Cup, but she deserved a better fate than she received after losing her best check chance mid-rally. Gets pilot enhancement with JV too. Out of an A.P. Indy mare, Serpe’s Broman-bred Held Accountable looks like a gal that will keep improving with added distance..

Most Likely: #3 Wonder Gadot 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #4 Held Accountable 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Indy Union 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Maurer Power 4-1 2nd

9th: 104th Remsen (G2), 2yo, 9f (DD)

Like stablemate Good Magic, Alkhaatam has huge shot to break maiden in a serious stake spot after getting a terrific education in challenging one turn mile debut 5 weeks ago. Shadwell homebred by Tapit has worked 17f since that outing and will win here..

Most Likely: #7 ALKHAATAN 7-2 4th
Best Value: #10 Tap Rap Strike 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Triple Dog Dare 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Catholic Boy 5-1 WON ($10.20)

10th: 29th Cigar Mile (G1), 3+, 1m

This race is a real curiosity in regards to projecting an anticipated winning trip. We know Sharp Azteca, Americanize and Seymourdini should be flanking leaders while Summer Revolution, Beasley and Mind Your Biscuits gain forward position behind them. Practical Joke, Just Call Kenny, Tom’s Ready and Vulcan’s Forge will settle and prepare for their runs. But having a handle on the early running doesn’t answer your question about who moves at the best, most advantageous time. Practical Joke has improved each time he’s turned back from a two turn assignment but will need his career best today in his final start. Sharp Azteca feels a few minutes past midnight after a lilting BC Dirt Mile finish. Seymourdini will have to capitalize on his early promise to prevail in a duel and fend off late runners. Mind Your Biscuits feels like a quality key horse benefiting from a mid-pack stalking position while adding Irad Ortiz with Rosario committed to Practical Joke. A race where no 4 horses will be a shocking superfecta combo..

Best Value: #1 Mind Your Biscuits 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Practical Joke 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Seymourdini 6-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Summer Revolution 15-1 10th

P5 Grid:

6: 1-3 (A), 2-5 (B), 4-7 (C)
7: 4-5-8-9-10-12 (A), 1-2-3-7-8-11 (B), – (C)
8: 3-4 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 7 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-5-10 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), – (B), 2-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x12x2x1x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x6x2x1x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

7: 4-5-8-9-10-12 (A), 1-2-3-7-8-11 (B), – (C)
8: 3-4 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-7 (C)
9: 7 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-5-10 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), 2 (B), 4-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 12x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 6x2x1x3 = $36 ($18 for .50)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$33k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #4 Tizengaginglysmart 2-1
Best Value: #1 Forever Daisy 12-1
Next Best: #10 Dancingwithpaynter 3-1
Exotics Use: #3 Sardonyx 5-1

5th: MCLM/$40k, 2yo-F, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Paranoia 10-1
Next Best: #4 Dream Fever 2-1
Exotics Use: #7 Jump Ruler 6-1
Super Add: #2 Toni Rox 4-1

6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer Turf (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Sister Sophia 5-1
Next Best: #11 Liberale 5-1
Exotics Use: #1e Cannizzo entry 4-1
Super Add: #4 Goldwood 15-1

7th: NY-MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Catch a Cab 6-1
Next Best: #2 Zonic 5-2
Exotics Use: #4 Ferrad’s Party 5-1
Super Add: #5 Battle of Saratoga 6-1

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Forest Blue 7-2
Best Value: #1 (POE) Flash Trading 5-1
Next Best: #6 Mr. Buff 3-1
Exotics Use: #3 Westwood 5-2

9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f

Most Likely: #10 Gio d’Oro 3-1
Next Best: #11 Empire Line 6-1
Best Value: #4 Curlin’s Legacy 12-1
Exotics Use: #2 Flash Drive 7-2

P6 Grid:

4: 4 (A), – (B), 1-3-10 (C)
5: 4-5 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
6: 8-11 (A), 1-4 (B), 7-13 (C)
7: 2-3-4 (A), – (B), 1-5-7 (C)
8: 2 (A), 1-6 (B), 3 (C)
9: 10 (A), – (B), 2-4-5-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x4x3x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A’s: 1x2x2x3x1x1 = 12 x $2 = $24

P4 Grid:

6: 8-11 (A), 1-4 (B), 7-13 (C)
7: 2-3-4 (A), – (B), 1-5-7 (C)
8: 1-2-6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
9: 10-11 (A), 2-4 (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Outer Turf (P6, P3, DD)

$88k 2-day C/O starts here..

Tricky sequence with some pace edge runners ~ including Driven by Speed in this Leg A ~ forcing hard decisions..

Most Likely: #6 Tizzelle 8-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #8 Bonita Springs 15-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Driven by Speed 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Broken Border 5-1 3rd

5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Some class droppers and surface switchers add intrigue. Event looks to have an honest pace with bug boy winging on Tony Dutrow’s Tiz Super..

Most Likely: #5 Curiousncuriouser 7-2 ($7.00)
Best Value: #6 Maddy’s Way 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Tiz Super 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Very Fashionable 6-1 5th

6th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Tisbury 5-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #3 Madame Uno 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Indygita 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Frosty Lady 7-2 3rd

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Gift Box 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Alex the Terror 6-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #5 Shalako 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Extinct Charm 20-1 4th

8th: NY Stallion Series, 3+, 7f (DD)

One of the pace question races with Loki’s Vengeance seemingly loose up front with Jose Ortiz..

Most Likely: #7 Loki’s Vengeance 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Nobody Move 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Gold for the King 5-2 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #6 Becker’s Galaxy 4-1 7th

9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer Turf

Most Likely: #3 Lulu’s Pom Pom 2-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Cirque 4-1 WON ($12.40)
Best Value: #7 Youth Gone Wild 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Town Fair 8-1 3rd

P6 Grid:

4: 6 (A), 1-8 (B), 7-9-10 (C)
5: 3-5-6 (A), – (B), 2-7 (C)
6: 3-8 (A), 4-5 (B), 1-6 (C)
7: 7-8 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
8: 7 (A), – (B), 1 (C)
9: 3 (A), – (B), 11(C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x2x1x1 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A’s: 1x3x2x2x1x1 = 12 x $2 = $24

$2 Pick 6 (5/5/8/8/1/11) Paid $112.00 x 2 = $224.00 (A-A-A-A-C-C)

P4 Grid:

6: 3-5-8 (A), 4-6 (B), 1 (C)
7: 7-8 (A), 5 (B), 6 (C)
8: 4-7 (A), – (B), 1-5-6-7 (C)
9: 3-11 (A), 1-2-7 (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 3x2x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick 4 (8/8/1/11) Paid $424.75 (A-A-C-A)

DEL MAR

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$148k DBL P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Spanish Hombre 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #11 Lazzam 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Tristan’s Trilogy 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Air Vice Marshall 5-1 WON ($9.80)

5th: 39th Native Diver (G3), 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Irish Freedom 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Top of the Game 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Curlin Rules 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Mubtaahij 2-1 3rd

6th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 The Street Fighter 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Boy Howdy 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Getoffmyback 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Nap Lajoie 8-1 –

7th: 76th Hollywood Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Sharp Samurai shows no sign of relenting and this is the opportunity Glatt & Co. have been working towards. Adjusts to paces and clearly the one to beat. The interesting price player is Blacker’s 20-1 Ritzy A.P. who is improving on time, beat elders on BC Friday and picks up Van Dyke with Prat on Big Score. Bowies Hero likes it at DMR having won the Juvy Turf here last year and Oceanside this summer. Channel Maker has stuck around California since the Twilight Derby and will be motoring late under Castellano. Mo Town a horse I’m struggling with despite the quantum leap with move to grass..

Most Likely: #4 Sharp Samurai 5-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Bowies Hero 6-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Ritzy A.P. 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Channel Maker 5-1 2nd

8th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (DD)

Hard to accept that only one of these gets out with a diploma. This is going to be a massively important group going forward. Concur, out of an unraced half sister of Medallist, has advantage of experience and Greyvitos a stake winner out of their debut meeting..

Best Value: #10 Concur 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Samdar 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Praetorian 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Studly Perfection 20-1 9th

9th: 26th Jimmy Durante (G3), 2yo, 1m-T

Most Likely: #2 Daddy Is a Legend 9-2 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #13 Fatale Bere 4-1 8th
Best Value: #9 Sappho 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Data Dependent 6-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #7 Ever So True 12-1 5th

P6 Grid:

4: 2-11 (A), 6-8 (B), 9-10 (C)
5: 2-5 (A), – (B), 1-3 (C)
6: 3 (A), – (B), 7-8-9 (C)
7: 2-4 (A), – (B), 3-5-7 (C)
8: 6-10 (A), – (B), 2-8-11 (C)
9: 2-13 (A), 9-11 (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x1x2x2x4 = 128 x $2 = $256
All A’s: 2x2x1x2x2x2 = 32 x $2 = $64

P4 Grid:

6: 3 (A), – (B), 7-8-9 (C)
7: 2-3-4-5-7 (A), – (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 6-10 (A), 2-8-11 (B), – (C)
9: 2-13 (A), 7-9-11 (B), 5-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x5x5 = 125 x .50 = $62.50
All A’s: 1x5x2x2 = $20 ($10 for .50)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$174k 3-day P6 C/O starts here.. Should approach $700k..

As discussed with Andy Serling Tuesday, this is a daunting sequence with virtually no place to go narrow..

Best Value: #3 Divine Caroline 10-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Vasilika 7-2 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Foreign Affair 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Carry Your Heels 5-1 6th

5th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Cinderella El Crome 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Market Sentiment 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Helooksthepart 7-2 WON ($4.90)
Super Add: #6 Too Fast to Pass 6-1 5th

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Audible 5-1 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #9 The Sheik of Araby 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Honor Up 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Big Thicket 6-1 6th

7th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 May Be a Diamond 10-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Portfolio Manager 3-1 WON ($4.70)
Exotics Use: #10 Shadow Rider 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Forge 5-1 10th

8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Broken Engagement 2-1 WON ($8.50)
Next Best: #3 Can You Diggit 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Peter’s Project 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Fleet Irish 4-1 3rd

9th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Looks the droppers (2-5-10) are the best options..

Most Likely: #5 Subic Bay 7-2 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #10 Factoring 4-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Kusama 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Fast Mama 3-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (5-4) Paid $58.75
$1 Trifecta (5-4-2) Paid $252.50

P6 Grid:

4: 2-3 (A), – (B), 1-7-10 (C)
5: 1-4 (A), 3 (B), 2-6-7-8 (C)
6: 5-9 (A), – (B), 2-6-8 (C)
7: 3-6 (A), – (B), 2-10 (C)
8: 6 (A), 3 (B), 1-2 (C)
9: 5 (A), 10 (B), 2-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x2x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192

$2 Pick-6 (2/2,3/1,3,5/6/6/5) Paid $2,306.00
$2 Pick-6 (2/2,3/1,3,5/6/6/5) Paid $40.60 (5OF6) x 7 = $284.20

All A’s: 2x2x2x2x1x1 = 16 x $2 = $32 (2 consos-$81.20)

P4 Grid:

6: 5-8-9 (A), 2-6 (B), 1-4 (C)
7: 3-6 (A), 2-10 (B), 1-7-8 (C)
8: 2-3-6 (A), – (B), 1-4-5 (C)
9: 5-10 (A), – (B), 2-3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,3,5/6/6/5) Paid $38.75