SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Yimminy.. Talk about a fire sale.

Most Likely: #8 Cocked and Loaded 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Set the Trappe 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Lucky Lotto 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #3 I Stand Alone 20-1 8th

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Golden Orb 5-1 WON ($14.00)
Next Best: #2 Escapade 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Wild and Funny 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Emmport 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (5-6) Paid $30.00
$1 Trifecta (5-6-4) Paid $103.25

3rd: Alydar, 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Breaking Lucky will SCR having run yesterday, but still an interesting quintet. Rally Cry could be on an easy lead and wire, but Windycity is tactical and can win getting back to the good one..

Best Value: #4 Conquest Windycity 3rd
Next Best: #6 Rally Cry WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Mo Tom 4th

4th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Summer Mischief 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Millies Party Boy 20-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Hoboe 9-2 WON ($11.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Appealing Briefs 3-1 2nd

5th: NY-Opt CLM/C, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Startwithsilver 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Fire Key 6-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #8 Another Genius 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Cozzy Spring 2-1 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 2-5-8 (A), – (B), 3-6 (C)
2: 2-5 (A), – (B), 4-6-11 (C)
3: 4-6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
4: 2-8 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
5: 1-7 (A), 2-8 (B), 4-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P4 Grid:

2: 2-5 (A), 4-6 (B), 11 (C)
3: 4-6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
4: 2-8 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
5: 1-7-8 (A), 2-4 (B), 5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/5,6/7/7) Paid $296.00

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Honey Graeme 4-1 WON ($8.70)
Next Best: #6 Quick Quick Quick 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Tied Up 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Mockery 9-2 3rd

$1 Exacta (4-6) Paid $40.00
$0.50 Trifecta (4-6-9) Paid $212.75

7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Bar None 8-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Luminary Flight 15-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Mutaraamy 7-2 11th
Exotics Use: #7 Holding Aces 15-1 WON ($43.20)

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Shiraz 3-1 6th
Best Value:#11 Nutzforboltz 6-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Storm Prophet 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Yummy Bear 15-1 WON ($27.00)

9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Stormy’s Song 4-1 8th
Best Value: #8 Luz Mimi 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Royal Inheritance 5-2 WON ($13.80)
Exotics Use: #1e Godolphin entry 5-1 5th/6th

10th: Troy, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Spectacular race.. G3 next year..

Most Likely: #4 Green Mask 8-5 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #6 Holding Gold 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Pure Sensation 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Mongolian Saturday 15-1 5th

11th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #3 Kid Jeter 15-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Otto 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Unbroken Chain 10-1 DNF
Super Add: #12 Escape Velocity Late SCR

P5 Grid:

7: 3-9-11 (A), 7-11 (B), 1-8 (C)
8: 4-11 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
9: 5-8 (A), – (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 4 (A), – (B), 2-3-6-9 (C)
11: 1-3-6 (A), 11-12 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x1x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

8: 4-11 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
9: 4-5-8 (A), – (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 4-6 (A), 3 (B), 2-9 (C)
11: 1-3-6 (A), 2-11 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x5 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

Thunderstorms certain to continue to roll through our area, but there’s no way to know how wet things get or status of non-stakes turf races at this hour. For now, 6:30a, anticipating muddy to start the day on the main and good turf for the stakes races (3rd-7th-10th). 1st-4th-5th are candidates to come off the grass..

Weather Underground: https://www.wunderground.com/us/ny/saratoga-springs

UPDATE (10:30a): Heaviest rain appears to have missed Spa leaving FAST/FIRM..

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

SCR’S/CHG’S

1st: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Sandy’z Slew 3-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Frisky Magician 10-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Grand Sky 7-2 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #11 D’ Eloquent 5-2 5th

2nd: MSW, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Unraced/lightly raced 3yo’s here and some real talent nestled within.. (“FTS” = first time starter)

Best Value: #3 Eight Town 5-1: Lynch; Full to CDN stakes win’r Essence Hit Man.. 7th
Next Best: #4 Zap Zap Zap 5-2: Ex-Hushion now Pletcher; Exits hot 6/24 BEL set.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #1e Godolphin entry 7-2: Albertrani first as 3yo; KMc FTS o/o MSW Afleeting Lady.. 3rd/9th
Super Add: #2 Total Cooperation 6-1 8th

3rd: 14th Waya (G3), F&M-3+, 12f-IT (P3, DD)

Hard read with nice group going the 3 turns on the inner turf with not much pace involved on paper. Despite that, Guilty Twelve may be a good price key, looking like a new horse as a mare this year and seemingly able to run into mopderate fractions. Capable journeyman Chris DeCarlo takes these opportunities seriously..

Best Value: #8 Guilty Twelve 5-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Apple Betty 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Suffused 7-5 5th
Super Add: #5 Lottie 8-1 2nd

4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Survey 6-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Eclipsed Moon 5-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Neepawa 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Irish Territory 12-1 7th

5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)

An absolute war. No easy tosses..

Most Likely: #5 Delta Prince 5-2 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #6 Toughest ‘Ombre 15-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Alphonsus 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 Strike Midnight 12-1 8th

P5 Grid:

1: 2-6-8 (A), – (B), 1-3-11 (C)
2: 1-3-4 (A), 2-5-6 (B), 7-8 (C)
3: 1-8 (A), 4-5 (B), 2-7 (C)
4: 6-10 (A), – (B), 4-7 (C)
5: 5 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x4x2x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 1-3-4 (A), 2-5-6 (B), 7-8 (C)
3: 1-8 (A), 4-5 (B), 2-7 (C)
4: 4-6-10 (A), 3-5-7 (B), – (C)
5: 5 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x1 = $18 ($9 for .50)

6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Some pedigrees worth noting here including Arrival, half to Bayern, Ceevee out of SW Bickersons, Thunder’s Honor, a half to Ms. Locust Point and AE National Flag, a half to Bernina’s Star & December Seven..

Most Likely: #9 Arrival 5-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Mad Munnys 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Ceevee 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Slot 5-1 3rd

7th: 5th Lure-R, 4+, 8.5f-T (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Takeover Target 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Projected 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Ring Weekend 6-1 5th
Super Add: #12 Macagone 10-1 9th

8th: 92nd Test (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

As discussed with Nick Tammaro Friday, West Coast invaders look to be the power in this terrific edition of the exclusive G1 for 3yo filly sprinters. Stalking trip appears to be the go-to style and that seems to fit Faypien & American Gal’s interests well. American Gal & Chalon have already made successful visits to NY, a notable plus. Turnback candidates include Faypien (Summertime Oaks win), Chanel’s Legacy (Iowa Oaks 4th) and Tequilita (Kentucky Oaks 7th). Tough ticket-building exercise with virtually none an easy cross-out..

Most Likely: #8 Faypien 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Vertical Oak 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Your Love 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 American Gal 5-2 WON ($6.30)

9th: 90th Whitney (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

There are scenarios, especially those involving a wet track, where Gun Runner gets beaten. Tu Brutus, Keen Ice, Breaking Lucky and War Story have races in their PP’s that put them in range of the favorite, but Gun Runner remains overwhelmingly likely..

Most Likely: #6 Gun Runner 4-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #5 Keen Ice 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Tu Brutus 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 War Story 6-1 4th

P4 Grid:

6: 9-10 (A), 2-4-8 (B), – (C)
7: 1-2-8 (A), – (B), 5-7-12 (C)
8: 2-5-8-10 (A), 1-3-4-6 (B), 7-9 (C)
9: 6 (A), – (B), 1-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x8x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x3x4x1 = $24 ($12 for .50)

10th: 14th De La Rose-R, F&M-4+, 1m-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #7 On Leave 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Elysea’s World 5-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Bar of Gold 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Thundering Sky 15-1 WON ($28.60)

11th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f

Really nice way to end a big day. Mo Town giving indications in the a.m. that he’s coming back to his good self. Use Brerry at the bottom of your tris and supers..

Most Likely: #6 Mo Town 9-2 4th
Next Best: #7 Neolithic 1-1 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #3 Realm 8-1 –
Exotics Use: #8 Schivarelli 6-1 –
Super Add: #2 Brerry 30-1 6th

P5 Grid:

7: 1-2 (A), 8 (B), 5-7-12 (C)
8: 2-5-8-10 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-6 (C)
9: 6 (A), – (B), 1-2-4-5 (C)
10: 7-10 (A), 8 (B), – (C)
11: 6-7 (A), 3-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x4x1x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16

P4 Grid:

8: 2-5-8-10 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-6 (C)
9: 6 (A), 5 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
10: 7-8-10 (A), – (B), 1-9 (C)
11: 6-7 (A), 3-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A’s: 4x1x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (10/6/1/7,9) Paid $109.75 (A-A-C-A)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Corey Q 5-2
Best Value: #3 Burkey’s Babe 6-1
Next Best: #7 Sand City 2-1
Exotics Use: #5 Lightworker 8-1

2nd: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6,5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Little Miss Amy 5-1
Next Best: #2 Luna Rising 2-1
Exotics Use: #4 North Eighth Street 3-1
Super Add: #1 Bahnahno 8-1

3rd: MSW, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Switzerland 6-5
Next Best: #2 Sethary 5-2
Exotics Use: #4 Uncle Pancho 7-2

4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 My Roxy Girl 7-2
Next Best: #4 Pauseforthecause 2-1
Exotics Use: #1 Starlite Mission 7-2
Super Add: #6 Cartwheel 5-2

5th: OC/N3X, 3+, 1M-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$160K DBL P6 C/O starts here..

Top pair stand out to me, but tricky call to make on Diversify (7-2) who seems iffy as a turf proposition on pedigree, yet handled lawn OK in drill..

Most Likely: #5 Forge 3-1
Next Best: #8 Catapult 9-2
Best Value: #11 Team Colors 12-1
Exotics Use: #12 Dancetrack 8-1

P5 Grid:

1: 3-4-7 (A), 5-6 (B), 1 (C)
2: 2-7 (A), – (B), 1-4 (C)
3: 1 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-6-7 (C)
4: 1-4-5 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-3 (C)
5: 5-8 (A), 11 (B), 6-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x1x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 1-2-4-7 (A), – (B), 3-5 (C)
3: 1 (A), 2 (B), 3-4-6-7 (C)
4: 1-4-5 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-3 (C)
5: 5-8 (A), 11 (B), 6-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 4x1x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

6th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Tizzelle 7-2
Best Value: #7 Eloweasel 6-1
Next Best: #6 Style Drift 5-2
Exotics Use: #1e Paradise Farms entry 5-1

7th: CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Barn switches, surface switches, turnbacks, class drops. Treacherous spot..

Most Likely: #5 Italian Syndicate 7-2
Next Best: #6 Star Empire 4-1
Best Value: #1 Conquest Sure Shot 12-1
Exotics Use: #3 Curtis 4-1

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Divine Interventio 4-1
Next Best: #9 Portfolio Manager 7-2
Best Value: #2 Cavil 10-1
Exotics Use: #4 Petrov 3-1

9th: 33rd Hall of Fame (G2), 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD)

Top three from downstate Manila lead this cast with addition of several well-accredited sophs enhancing intrigue. Note many significant rider changes..

Best Value: #5 Snap Decision 5-1
Next Best: #1 Bricks and Mortar 5-2
Exotics Use: #2 Big Handsome 3-1
Super Add: #10 Arklow 10-1

10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #3 There He Goes 6-1
Best Value: #14 Thenameescapesme 12-1
Next Best: #6 Calculated Risker 5-2
Exotics Use: #7 You Like That 20-1

P6 Grid:

5: 5-8 (A), – (B), 4-11 (C)
6: 5 (A), – (B), 1-6-7 (C)
7: 5-6 (A), 1-3-8 (B), – (C)
8: 10 (A), – (B), 2-4-9 (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 2-4-10 (B), 6-9 (C)
10: 3 (A), 14 (B), 2-6-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x5x1x5x2 = 100 x $2 = $200
All A’s: 2x1x2x1x2x1 = 8 x $2 = $16

P5 Grid:

6: 5 (A), – (B), 1-6-7 (C)
7: 5-6 (A), 1-3-8 (B), – (C)
8: 10 (A), – (B), 2-4-9 (C)
9: 1-2-5 (A), 4-10 (B), 6-9 (C)
10: 3-14 (A), – (B), 2-6-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x1x5x3 = 75 x .50 = $36.50
All A’s: 1x2x1x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9

P4 Grid:

7: 5-6 (A), 1-3-8 (B), – (C)
8: 9-10 (A), 2-4 (B), – (C)
9: 1-2-5 (A), 4-10 (B), 6-9 (C)
10: 3-14 (A), – (B), 2-6-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x5x2 = 200 x .50 = $100
All A’s: 2x2x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: Mrs. Ogden Phipps, F&M-4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Forest Boyce over the fences with Amnicalola for Jack Fisher today as rare 4yo moving interchangeably between the flat and the jumps..

Best Value: #4 Amnicalola 9-2 DNF (Left course; Lost irons)
Next Best: #8 Sarah Joyce 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 For Goodness Sake 3-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Wigwam Baby 8-1 2nd

2nd: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Love You Dearly 8-1 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #1 Iwishirish 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Thin Dress 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Tapceptional 8-1 11th

3rd: Opt CLM/C, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Tough for me to not tab Hogy, one of my favorite horses in training. But Angry Moon, Big Rock & Platinum Prince all solid and eligible..

Most Likely: #4 Hogy 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #3 Big Rock 2-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Platinum Prince 5-1 3rd

4th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Bit of an ugly assemblage with cast of state-bred characters that own a number of dents in the fenders..

Most Likely: #7 John’s Island 9-2 4th
Bes Value: #3 Deuces High 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Beyond the Green 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Becker’s Galaxy 9-5 WON ($7.30)

5th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$50k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Dreams Are Pazible 5-2 4th
Best Value: #10 In the Mood 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Senza Te 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Bonnie Scot 12-1 6th

6th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Hannah’s Smile 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 First Appeal 6-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Hoponthebusgus 4-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Laniakea 12-1 10th

P5 Grid:

2: 1-12 (A), 2-8 (B), 4-13 (C)
3: 3-4 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
4: 3-4-7 (A), 1-2-6 (B), 5 (C)
5: 9 (A), – (B), 5-10 (C)
6: 5-8-11 (A), – (B), 2-3-7-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x6x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

3: 3-4 (A), – (B), 2-6 (C)
4: 3-4-7 (A), 1-2-6 (B), 5 (C)
5: 9-10 (A), 5-6 (B), – (C)
6: 5-8-11 (A), – (B), 2-3-7-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Terrific group.. Beyond selections, #3 Majestic Bonnie (12-1), #5 Signalpath (20-1) & #12 Tamit all deserve consideration when building exotic tix..

Most Likely: #11 Danceland 5-1 WON ($14.00)
Next Best: #1 Kahrumana 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Into Summer 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Overnegotiate 8-1 2nd

8th: 7th Birdstone, 3+, 14f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Scuba 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Sea Raven 10-1 –
Next Best: #1 Hard Study 5-2 WON ($4.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Turco Bravo 12-1 4th

9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #7 Runaway Posse 10-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Whiskey Seven 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #12 Hold Me Black 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Seize 7-2 9th

10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #8 Got the Gist 9-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Zenbennie 12-1 WON ($28.40)
Next Best: #5 Scarlett Jo Hansen 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Wish Upon 5-1 2nd

P6 Grid:

5: 9 (A), – (B), 5-6-10 (C)
6: 5-11 (A), – (B), 2-3-8 (C)
7: 1-11 (A), 6 (B), 3-5-7-12 (C)
8: 5 (A), 1 (B), 2-7 (C)
9: 3-7 (A), – (B), 5-12 (C)
10: 8 (A), 9 (B), 5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96
All A’s: 1x2x2x1x2x1 = 6 x $2 = $12

P5 Grid:

6: 5-11 (A), – (B), 2-3-8 (C)
7: 1-6-11 (A), – (B), 3-5-7-12 (C)
8: 5 (A), 1-7 (B), 2 (C)
9: 3-7 (A), – (B), 5-12 (C)
10: 8-9 (A), – (B), 5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 2x3x1x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

7: 1-6-11 (A), 3-5-7-12 (B), – (C)
8: 5 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-6 (C)
9: 3-5-7 (A), – (B), 4-6-11-12 (C)
10: 8-9 (A), – (B), 5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x3x3x2 = 126 x .50 = $63
All A’s: 3x1x3x2 = $18 ($9 for .50)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: ALW, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Alcazar de Maram 5-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Any Given Royal 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Invocation 3-1 WON ($6.10)
Exotics Use: #1 Kremlin 10-1 7th

2nd: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Sound the Horns 6-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #1 Top Brass 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Blaze’n Prospector 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Avast Matey 4-1 4th

$2 Exacta (4-1) Paid $15.70
$1 Trifecta (4-1-2) Paid $66.75
$1 Superfecta (4-1-2-3) Paid $139.50

3rd: S/ALW, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Usually dislike starter ALW’s, but this is a really nice group..

Most Likely: #8 Astounding 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Carbon Data 7-2 5th
Best Value: #3 He’s Cheeky 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Cite 6-1 3rd

4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Danny Gargan has done a really nice job steadily racing 5yo Northern Screamer into success over a 10 month period from a $14k claim through April-June wins for $10k, $12.5k, S/ALW and N1X. Cuts back and drops in for $20k today for win-hungry Midwest TB’s..

Most Likely: #6 Northern Screamer 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Lady Paradime 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Call Her Karma 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Bon Heir 9-2 3rd

5th: MCLM/$75k, 3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)

May need to lean on Chad Brown dropper because after him, there’s perhaps 8 equally likely candidates. Fun race for .50 tris and dime super spreads..

Most Likely: #2 Let’s Get Loud 5-2 WON ($4.50)
Best Value: #11 O Captainmycaptain 20-1 9th
Next Best: #4 My Man Jax 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Wingman 8-1 5th

6th: MSW, 3+, 7f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Devine Union 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Harkness 8-1 WON ($14.80)
Next Best: #5 Opined 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Parade 6-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

2: 1-4 (A), 2-3 (B), 5-6 (C)
3: 3-5-7-8 (A), – (B), 4-6-12 (C)
4: 6 (A), – (B), 1-3-7 (C)
5: 2 (A), 4-11 (B), 5-6-7-8 (C)
6: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x4x1x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

3: 3-5-7-8 (A), – (B), 4-6-12 (C)
4: 6 (A), – (B), 1-3-7 (C)
5: 2-4-11 (A), 5-6-7-8-10-12 (B), – (C)
6: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), 3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x9x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A’s: 4x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Iron Power 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Startup Nation 7-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Leavemeatthegate 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Nevisian Sky 9-2 2nd

8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Church Social 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Lucky Long 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Homeland Security 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Violet Blue 6-1 8th

9th: 5th Shine Again, F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Carina Mia 2-1 WON ($3.10)
Next Best: #1 Going for Broke 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Absatootly 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Birdatthewire 6-1 5th

10th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f

Best Value: #10 New Pass 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Purely Lucky 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Imperfect Union 3-1 5th
Super Add: #7 March X Press 4-1 WON ($12.40)

P5 Grid:

6: 2-5-7 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)
7: 5-11 (A), 3-7 (B), 2-8-10 (C)
8: 4-9 (A), – (B), 5-7 (C)
9: 3 (A), – (B), 1-2-5-6-8 (C)
10: 9-10 (A), – (B), 3-4-5-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x1x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 3x2x2x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

P4 Grid:

7: 3-5-7-11 (A), – (B), 2-8-10 (C)
8: 4-9 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
9: 3 (A), 1 (B), 2-5-6-8 (C)
10: 9-10 (A), 5-7 (B), 3-4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 4x2x1x2 = $16 ($8 for. 50)