AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Orino 10-1
Next Best: #6 Slim Shadey 5-1
Exotics Use: #4 Performance Bonus 3-1
Super Add: #7 Hockey School 10-1

6th: MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Delta Prince 5-1
Next Best: #1 T R Crew 3-1
Exotics Use: #7 I’m Amazing 7-2
Super Add: #3 Admiral Blue 4-1

7th: 57th Red Smith H. (G3), 3+, 11f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Wake Forest 8-5
Best Value: #9 Bigger Picture 6-1
Next Best: #7 Messi 5-1
Exotics Use: #11 Danish Dynaformer 5-1

8th: 72nd Discovery (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Thoroughly fascinating group of late season 3yo’s, most of which are separated by about a length on figs. Adulator and Governor Malibu own wins over the Big A main track. Chad Brown’s Gift Box and My Man Sam feel like they have upside yet with Sam’s late effort at Philadelphia sneaky good. Hot Seat SCR’D is an unknown quantity but will be on or very near the lead with Sticksstatelydude. Wild About Deb has had an interesting year, only running poorly against the worst group he faced (OH Derby). Could chalk out. Could be chaotic..

SCR NOTE: Hot Seat coming out slows things down considerably. Adulator benefits. Can Sticksstatelydude wire?

Most Likely: #3 Gift Box 3-1
Best Value: #9 Wild About Deb 15-1
Next Best: #1 Adulator 7-2
Exotics Use: #7 My Man Sam 8-1

9th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #8 Indebted 3-1
Best Value: #10 Frogman Mel 5-1
Next Best: #5 McIlroy 7-2
Exotics Use: #7 Inventor’s Gate 20-1

P4 Grid:

6: 1-2 (A), 3-7 (B), 4-5-9 (C)
7: 8 (A), 7-9 (B), 5-11 (C)
8: 1-3-9 (A), 5-7-8 (B), 4-11 (C)
9: 8-10 (A), – (B), 2-3-5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x3x2 = $12

Full (incl. A’s with 2 B’s) = $97

All A’s

1: 1,2/8/3,9/8,10 ~ 6.00

A’s with One B

2: 3,7/8/1,3,9/8,10 ~ 6.00
3: 1,2/7,9/1,3,9/8,10 ~ 12.00
4: 1,2/8/1,5,7,8/8,10 ~ 6.00

A’s with Two B

5: 3,7/7,9/1,3,9/8,10 ~ 12.00
6: 3,7/8/5,7,8/8,10 ~ 6.00
7: 1,2/7,9/5,7,8/8,10 ~ 12.00

A’s with One C

8: 4,5,9/8/1,3,9/8,10 ~ 9.00
9: 1,2/5,11/1,3,9/8,10 ~ 12.00
10: 1,2/8/4,11/8,10 ~ 4.00
11: 1,2/8/1,3,9/2,3,5,7 ~ 12.00

Good luck!
Steve

There’s not a lot to say about what we were treated to Friday. Beholder and Songbird put in a display that will take it’s place among the great races of our lifetime. For Songbird, there will be other big moments, but for Beholder, this was the last moment. She was going to retire as an all time great no matter the outcome, but for B. Wayne Hughes and Richard Mandella and everyone that loves her, adding this final glory was a true fairy tale ending.

A raucously fun day Friday and got some nice pops out of good notions with the surfaces playing nice and even for everyone. The big multi tickets were unproductive as Tamarkuz single-handledly dashed opportunities and there’s a $500k+ C/O into P6 today. The pot should go by $4,000,000.. Hope everyone did OK on Day 1 and are ready to take some big swings today!

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: 4th Juvenile Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Plenty of pace involved in this wacky-looking juvy dash and off pace types Ooper Wallah SCR’D and Hootie SCR’D look like fun prices to kick off the day. Wesley Ward sends 3 and though Con Te Partiro is drawn in tricky inside slot, appears the most versatile and lands Dettori..

Most Likely: #10 Kitten’s Cat 7-2 WON ($12.00)
Best Value: #6 Sword Fighter 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Con Te Portiro 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Red Lodge 5-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Partyinthepaddock 8-1 7th

2nd: 4th Golden State Juvenile-R, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 California Diamond 6-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #2 Sizzlin Square 3-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Milton Freewater 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Rinse and Repeat 10-1 4th

3rd: 48th Sen. Ken Maddy (G3), F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

If you’re not playing multis, you might want to take a stand against Lady Shipman and Acapulco, though I’m concerned there isn’t enough pace signed on to compromise their chances. Mehronissa (6-1), Fair Point (8-1), Entrechat (15-1) & Most Beautiful (12-1) all are attractively priced as alternates..

Most Likely: #8 Mehronissa 6-1 9th
Best Value: #12 Fair Point 8-1 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #13 Lady Shipman 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Entrechat 15-1 10th
Super Add: #4 Most Beautiful 12-1 3rd

4th: 33rd BC Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Christophe Clement is 29/0-5-3 in the Cup and it would be mildly amusing if he breaks through with a dirt runner. Yellow Agate adds Lasix after pair of polished wins to start career. With Joking out of the Sprint, this is Manny Franco’s lone assignment of the day. As heard on ATR, Valadorna was pointed for this immediately after breaking her maiden and has thrived out of the KEE win. Baffert’s Noted and Quoted has gone forward out of the Chandelier. Daddy’s Lil Darling may have well been best in the Alcibiades..

Best Value: #4 Yellow Agate 8-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Noted and Quoted 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Valadorna 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Daddy’s Lil Darling 12-1 4th

5th: 18th BC Filly & Mare Turf (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Is Lady Eli a sentimental choice? Yes.. But also based on how she comes in. And if you were curious how the East Coast turfers stood up out here, the 2yo results Friday should encourage. Queen’s Trust (and Stoute’s Ulysses in the Turf) looks to fit well in this group..

Most Likely: #8 Lady Eli 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #11 Queen’s Trust 6-1 WON ($18.00)
Best Value: #1 Sea Calisi 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Sentiero Italia 12-1 10th
Super Add: #5 Al’s Gal 15-1 9th

P5 Grid:

1: 6-10 (A), 1-3-9 (B), 2-4 (C)
2: 4 (A), – (B), 2-8 (C)
3: 8-12-13 (A), 4-11 (B), 2-7-9 (C)
4: 3-4-10 (A), – (B), 2-6-7-11 (C)
5: 8-11 (A), – (B), 1-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x5x3x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-5 (10/3,4/12/6/11) Paid $23,700.90

P4 Grid:

2: 4 (A), – (B), 2-8 (C)
3: 8-12-13 (A), 2-4-11 (B), 7-9 (C)
4: 3-4-10 (A), 2-7-11 (B), 6-9-12 (C)
5: 8-11 (A), 1-7 (B), 3-4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x3x2 = $18 ($9 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (3,4/12/6/11) Paid $2,713.70

6th: 33rd BC Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Smallest field of the day and the race that’s given me the most trouble. With Lord Nelson out, deck seems cleared for A.P. Indian, nation’s most consistent sprinter, to excel stalking behind the speed. Noholdingback Bear looks to be poised for best yet with 6 weeks into this. Masochistic turned into a pussycat when Mike Smith got aboard. Bwana Charlie clone Mind Your Biscuits can pick them up late. Limousine Liberal and Drefong would be worthy winners. Very confusing group..

Most Likely: #5 A.P. Indian 4-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Noholdingback Bear 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Masochistic 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Mind Your Biscuits 20-1 3rd

7th: 9th BC Turf Sprint (G1), 3+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$511k C/O starts here.. $4-5MM pool expected..

Wild group down the hill and there are several turnback profile types (Om, A Lot, Celestine) that are the best candidates for laurels. Karar kept catching my eye during the week here and Holy Lute is in career best form for the great Jim Cassidy. Pick a handful and play around. Should be fun..

Best Value: #12 Om 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 A Lot 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #14 Celestine 8-1 12th
Super Add: #5 Karar 15-1 14th
Must Include: #13 Holy Lute 10-1 6th

P4 Grid:

4: 3-4-10 (A), – (B), 2-6-7-11 (C)
5: 8 (A), – (B), 1-7-11 (C)
6: 1-5-8 (A), 2-3-7-9 (B), – (C)
7: 9-12-14 (A), 5-8-13 (B), 1-2-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x7x6 = 126 x .50 = $63
All A’s: 3x1x3x3 = $27 ($13.50 for .50)

8th: 33rd BC Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Besides the Classic and Distaff, there’s no more important or fascinating encounter on the slate with this chance to get an early read on the Derby Trail. The KY pair from Casse & Romans look best coming in and I had trouble separating them. CA players from Shirreffs and Baffert have advantage of locale and looks of quality. FL invader Three Rules has beaten tomato cans but is fast and possibly this good. NY troika from Pletcher and Brown seem easily on par but I’ll give edge at this point to those that have gone 2 turns. Should be terrific..

Most Likely: #10 Not This Time 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Classic Empire 4-1 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #1 Klimt 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Gormley 5-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Three Rules 8-1 6th

9th: 33rd BC Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD)

With all the debate about Coolmore players (Found/Highland Reel) and Flintshire wanting firm going, Stoute’s Ulysses has traveled under the radar. At 12-1, lightly-raced Galileo colt has big upside. Da Big Hoss does nothing but try hard. Mondialiste and Money Multiplier are 15-1 and 20-1 and well within range of upsetting the whole affair. I cannot leave personal fave Texas Ryano out of the exotics as his steady improvement gives him a shot at a slice. Not getting the attention it used to, but race is going to be very entertaining..

Best Value: #7 Ulysses 12-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Highland Reel 3-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Flintshire 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Da Big Hoss 20-1 11th
Must Include: #11 Texas Ryano 30-1 6th

10th: 10th BC Filly & Mare Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Like the 6f Sprint, this is a puzzling group. Haveyougoneaway is the female A.P. Indian and Wavell Avenue has taken all season to find her form. Finest City a great story as young Ian Kruljac trains his only horse out of his father’s barn. By the Moon always goes off underbet. Carina Mia (as well as Tara’s Tango) turn back to distance they like. Should be a scramble..

Most Likely: #2 Haveyougoneaway 3-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Wavell Avenue 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #12 Finest City 12-1 WON ($19.40)
Exotics Use: #6 By the Moon 8-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Carina Mia 7-2 9th

11th: 33rd BC Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

For a filly coming in off a pair of Group 1 wins, Alice Springs has been largely ignored this week. Coolmore may have already broken through by this race, but last year’s beaten Juvy Filly Turf fave can get her honor stateside honor today. Tourist can back up his G1 Fourstardave win here. Limato looks handy which will be an asset stretching out on this course. Ironicus has not missed an exacta in 2 seasons. Tepin appears up against it attempting a defense..

Most Likely: #2 Alice Springs 4-1 10th
Best Value: #5 Tourist 15-1 WON ($26.80)
Next Best: #10 Limato 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Ironicus 8-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Tepin 3-1 2nd

12th: 33rd BC Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (Hi-5)

Had hoped to get to this spot and lean entirely on California Chrome, but Arrogate has done too well coming up to this to ignore. Baffert 3yo will need to perform on level he did at Saratoga, but it won’t surprise if he does. Chrome has been otherworldly running up the score on over-matched foes this year and take note of the impact he clearly had on Dortmund who was a ghost ship Friday in the Dirt Mile. Chrome isn’t leaving the stage like Beholder, but expect he gets a coronation today..

Most Likely: #4 California Chrome 1-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Arrogate 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #9 Hoppertunity 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Effinex 15-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Melatonin 12-1 5th

P4 Grid:

7: 12 (A), – (B), 5-9-14 (C)
8: 5-10 (A), – (B), 1-7 (C)
9: 7-12 (A), 4 (B), – (C)
10: 2-10 (A), 6-12 (B), – (C)
11: 2-5 (A), – (B), 8-9-10 (C)
12: 4 (A), 10 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x3x4x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A’s: 1x2x2x2x2x1 = 16 x $2 = $32

$2 Pick-6 (2,7,15/5/12/12/5/10) Paid $779.60 (5OF6)

P4 Grid:

9: 4-7-12 (A), – (B), 2-6-9-10-11 (C)
10: 2-10-12 (A), 6-8-9 (B), 3-11 (C)
11: 2-5 (A), 9-10 (B), 1-8-13 (C)
12: 4-10 (A), – (B), 1-2-6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (12/12/5/10) Paid $1,003.25

It’s that time again.. The ‘Breeders’ Cup invocation’. These 2 days offer unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking. Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they’ve become. No matter how well you ‘handicap’ the races, fields this deep and mysterious will produce several nearly unforeseeable results. Remember that you could be taking an ‘0-fer’ going into Saturday’s finale and get it all back, and more, in the weekend’s waning moments. But no matter how the ledger looks when it’s over, appreciate that your ability as a horseplayer won’t be defined over the course of 2 days. Spend as freely as you can afford, get a little lucky, and here’s hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud.

For the 11th year in a row, it’s been a pleasure bringing the Cup to everyone listening. I hope the 15 hours here and the time leading up offered each of you something you can convert into winning tickets. Thanks to Hammer & Santa Anita, Breeders’ Cup, ATR sponsors, everyone who contributed so generously to the shows and most importantly, the listeners.. Best of luck this weekend!

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Distinctive B 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Ten Blessings 6-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #5 Blameitonthelaw 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Westbrook 12-1 9th

2nd: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Watch This Cat 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #10 Sturdy One 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Mysterious Miracle 10-1 11th
Exotics Use: #7 My Palmilla 6-1 12th

3rd: 9th Marathon S. (G2), 3+, 14f (P4, P3, DD)

Walsh came here with Cary Street and won and Scuba looks a lot like him though I’ll use 5 (including Blue Tone) of them to be safe..

Most Likely: #1 Scuba 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #4 Melmich 2-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Tale of Verve 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Hard Aces 4-1 2nd

4th: 6th Damascus, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$40k P6 C/O starts here..

Great to see Prospect Park back..

Most Likely: #8 Prospect Park 5-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Jazzy Times 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Silent Bird 8-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Navy Hymm 6-1 3rd

5th: 4th Golden State Juvenile Fillies-R, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Vai 7-2 7th
Best Value: #9 My Pi Romancer 10-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Ms Wakaya 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 How About Zero 8-1 WON ($22.60)

P5 Grid:

1: 8 (A), – (B), 5-6-9 (C)
2: 3-10 (A), 2-7-12 (B), 11 (C)
3: 1-4-5-8-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
4: 8 (A), 3-5 (B), 9 (C)
5: 8-9 (A), – (B), 10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x5x3x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 1x2x5x1x2 = $20 ($10 for .50)

6th: 10th BC Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Good Samaritan & Oscar Performance (full brother Oscar Nominated runs in the Twilight Derby) are the horses to beat but out-postings and favoritism open the door for a sharp local in Yakteen’s Big Score. O’Brien & Ryan Moore offer Intelligence Cross and Chad Brown is to be feared moving Favorable Outcome to the lawn. “C” types include Channel Maker from Toronto’s Danny Vella, O’Brien’s other player Lancaster Bomber and Rivelli’s Wellabled who has been fast on synthetic..

Best Value: #6 Big Score 8-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Good Samaritan 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #13 Oscar Performance 4-1 WON ($15.20)
Super Add: #8 Intelligence Cross 6-1 9th
Must Include: #4 Favorable Outcome 15-1 9th

P4 Grid:

3: 1-4 (A), 5-8-9 (B), 2-3 (C)
4: 3-8 (A), 5 (B), 9 (C)
5: 8-9 (A), – (B), 10-11 (C)
6: 6-11-13 (A), 4-8 (B), 1-3-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

7th: 10th BC Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Came to California expecting to lean heavily on Dortmund, but improved look of Runhappy and presence of high quality Vyjack and Gun Runner have me casting a wider net. This will end up being a better race than anyone expected..

Most Likely: #3 Dortmund 6-5 4th
Next Best: #9 Gun Runner 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Vyjack 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Runhappy 3-1 8th

8th: 10 BC Juvenile Filly Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

This group appears deep and contentious, yet I want to try to tiptoe through it with a narrow focus. La Coronel has been impressive as a young horse can be and a cozier draw would have her in bold type for many. Think you have to be confident in Geroux doing what Moore did last year with Hit It a Bomb which will leave you open to more possibilities in races others are going narrow. I’ll add Rymska (20-1) who will be a rare Chad Brown bonus mutuel and has looked terrific preparing for this..

Most Likely: #14 La Coronel 9-2 6th
Best Value: #11 Rymska 20-1 5th
Next Best: #3 New Money Honey 10-1 WON ($15.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Cavale Doree 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #13 Roly Poly 4-1 9th

9th: 33rd BC Distaff (G1) F&M-3+, 9f (DD, DIS-CLS DBL, Hi-5)

Have found it difficult to warm to a specific scenario for this titanic tilt given so many plausible, and a couple implausible, results. Songbird may simply break sharp and prove out as a unique brand of horse, but she’ll need to turn back a series of bona fide fillies and mares to do so. Beholder has not ‘lost a step’ based on performance figures and perhaps getting back to a stalking trip makes the difference. With Spendthrift losing Lord Nelson as a Cup participant, a win by Beholder in her final appearance would fit a charming script. But in the final analysis, both Songbird and Beholder appear vulnerable late to the carefully orchestrated Stellar Wind who wins this with a repeat of her Zenyatta effort last month. Using the top trio in multi race wagers probably gets everyone through, but alternate endings with I’m a Chatterbox, Forever Unbridled and Curalina (all 12-1 on ML) are far from impossible upsetters. I’m a Chatterbox has quietly been running at the same level as the Big 3 and looks spectacular coming in to the feature, while Pletcher takes the same tact with Curalina as he did with ’15 Distaff winner Stopchargingmaria. Forever Unbridled needs a career best here, but a breakneck pace is a distinct possibility and she can pick up the pieces of a meltdown. Hard to see this edition failing to live to the hype no matter what the outcome..

Best Value #5 Stellar Wind 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Songbird 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Beholder 5-2 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #6 Forever Unbridled 12-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #7 I’m a Chatterbox 12-1 5th

P6 Grid:

4: 3-8 (A), 5 (B), – (C)
5: 8 (A), – (B), 9-10-11 (C)
6: 6-11-13 (A), – (B), 4-8 (C)
7: 3-9 (A), – (B), 1-7 (C)
8: 14 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-9-11-13 (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 6-8 (B), 3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x3x2x1x4 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A’s: 2x1x3x2x1x1 = 12 x $2 = $24

P4 Grid:

6: 6-11-13 (A), – (B), 1-3-4-8-9 (C)
7: 3-9 (A), 1-7 (B), 4-8 (C)
8: 11-14 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-9-13-16 (C)
9: 1-5-8 (A), 3-6-7 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = $36 ($18 for .50)

10th: 5th Twilight Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T

Best Value: #5 Monster Bea 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Blackjackcat 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Oscar Nominated 7-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Free Rose 3-1 2nd

P4 Grid:

7: 3-9 (A), 1-7 (B), 4-8 (C)
8: 11-14 (A), – (B), 2-3-4-13-16 (C)
9: 1-5-8 (A), 3-6-7 (B), – (C)
10: 4-5-6 (A), – (B), 1-9-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x3x3 = $36 ($18 for .50)

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

After the 33-1 Forty Acres Wednesday in the MCLM, could McKeever have another live firster in #5 Harkness (12-1)? Harlan’s Holiday filly is the first foal out of talented $700k+ winner Ariana D who was a multiple stakes winner (MSW) that was graded stakes placed (GSP) 7 times including a narrow loss to Musical Romance in the 2012 Madison (G1). 7f a tough first out assignment, but sharp worktab at KEE, including 1:00 5f gate bullet (1/34), says ready. The ones that have started don’t look like they have front end speed, so her zip appeals even though short price types have dominated these Maiden Specials..

Keith Bourgeois has done well at the meet with limited starters (5/1-2-0) and #6 She’sagraciouslady looks ready for a good first start of series of strong drills cross state. Filly is by hot young sire Gemologist and out of Lukas-trained Grace Happens who had talent.. Keep an eye on Pat Huffman’s first time starter #3 Miss Spot On for next out as Huffman is terrific after his runners get a start in (4 for 9, 7 ITM)..

Best Value: #5 Harkness 12-1
Next Best: #11 Tequilita 2-1
Exotics Use: #7 Make Amends 4-1
Super Add: #6 She’sagraciouslady 12-1

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 La Manta Gris 6-1
Next Best: #5 Naifah 8-5
Exotics Use: #10 Celtic Gold 8-1
Super Add: #12 Kitten Squared 20-1

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 December Seven 3-1
Next Best: #6 Flash Trading 4-1
Best Value: #8 Starship Zeus 6-1
Exotics Use: #2 Seeking Blame 4-1

8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Fascinating group of hard hitters with 4 making first starts in new barns. Tale of Life SCR’D wins with anything close to his spring meet effort at the same trip. Grande Shores is among the most accomplished, but 8.5f is his outer limit. Raagheb goes 1st/CLM for MNR outfit that has gaudy stats with new stock..

SCR of Tale of Life jumbles this event badly..

Best Value: #9 Financial Modeling 8-1
Next Best: #7 Hesinfront 9-2
Exotics Use: #8 Raagheb 12-1
Super Add: #3 Catholic Cowboy 3-1

9th: 18th Raven Run (G2), 3yo-F, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #8 Curlin’s Approval 8-1
Next Best: #12 Lightstream 3-1
Exotics Use: #4 Lucy N Ethel 9-2
Super Add: #10 Sophia’s Song 5-1

10th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Titfortat 12-1
Next Best: #3 Casual Cocktail 3-1
Exotics Use: #1 Orient Harbor 5-1
Super Add: #10 Equation 4-1
Hi-5 Play: #7 Recognition 20-1

P5 Grid:

6: 4-5 (A), – (B), 7-10-11-12 (C)
7: 6-7 (A), – (B), 2-8-9 (C)
8: 7-9 (A), 3-5-6-8 (B), 1-2 (C)
9: 8-12 (A), 4 (B), 5-6-10 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), – (B), 1-7-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x6x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = $32 ($16 for .50)

P4 Grid:

7: 6-7 (A), – (B), 2-8-9 (C)
8: 7-8-9 (A), 3-5-6 (B), 1-2 (C)
9: 8-12 (A), 4 (B), 5-6-10 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), 1-10 (B), 7-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

Good luck!
Steve

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: MCLM/$50k, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Dark Arden 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Mahalo Malaki 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Chocolateicecream 5-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Tsunami 7-2 2nd

4th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 All Aces 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Place des Vosges 7-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #6 College Holly 6-1 10th
Super Add: #8 Anythingyoucando 5-1 2nd

5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Classic Rock 8-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Witnessadream 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Benevolent Prince 7-2 5th
Super Add: #11 Motown Man 8-1 8th

6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Dogtown 10-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Pat’s Shows 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Gotsomemojo 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Red Blue and True 20-1 6th

7th: ALW/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Ascend 7-2 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #4 Flashlight 10-1 7th
Next Best: #5 High Noon Rider 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Western Reserve 3-1 2nd

8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f (Hi-5)

$36.7k Hi-5 C/O here..

Most Likely: #8 Lucy’s Revenge 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Cowgirls Pray 6-1 10th
Best Value: #7 Vision of Liz 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Judy Judy Judy 9-2 WON ($10.00)
Hi-5 Play: #10 Lets Go Donna 4-1 3rd

P6 Grid:

3: 2-7 (A), – (B), 6-9 (C)
4: 3-5 (A), 6 (B), 1-8 (C)
5: 4-12 (A), – (B), 8-11 (C)
6: 2-8 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
7: 1-4 (A), 5-10 (B), – (C)
8: 8 (A), 6 (B), 4-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x2x4x2 = $192
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2x1 = $32

P5 Grid:

4: 3-5 (A), 6 (B), 1-8 (C)
5: 4-12 (A), 8-11 (B), 2-9 (C)
6: 2-8 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
7: 1-4 (A), 5-10 (B), – (C)
8: 6-8 (A), – (B), 4-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x4x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = $32 ($16 for .50)

P4 Grid:

5: 4-8-12 (A), 2-9-11 (B), – (C)
6: 2-8 (A), – (B), 5-6 (C)
7: 1-4-5-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 8 (A), 6-7 (B), 4-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x4x1 = $24 ($12 for .50)

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$84k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #5 Zen Papa 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Too Wild to Repent 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Grey Glory 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Super Add: #2 Papa Tom 12-1 6th

5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Yowl 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Market Strength 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Araqeel 8-1 6th
Super Add: #4 The Catmancan 7-2 5th

6th: MSW, 3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Butler Field 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 War of Ideas 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Dark as Midnight 10-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Freedom Tower 6-1 9th

7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Second City 3-1 6th
Best Value: #2e Jacobson entry 5-1 WON ($7.80)/7th
Next Best: #1e Godolphin entry 5-2 8th/9th
Exotics Use: #5 Bond Vigilante 10-1 3rd

8th: OC/$100k, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Almanaar 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Weekend Express 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Night Prowler 4-1 WON ($9.90)
Exotics Use: #7 Ice Cutter 5-1 4th

9th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f

Think the firsters are totally eligible to exceed those with experience..

Most Likely: #8 Cetara 8-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Kim Royale 15-1 WON ($79.00)
Next Best: #10 Beyond Discreet 10-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Sand City 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Quick On the Draw 20-1 5th

P6 Grid:

4: 1-5 (A), 7 (B), 2-4-9 (C)
5: 7 (A), – (B), 2-4-5-6 (C)
6: 6-9 (A), – (B), 4-10-11 (C)
7: 2-6 (A), – (B), 1-5-7 (C)
8: 8 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-7 (C)
9: 2-8 (A), 6-10 (B), 3-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x2x2x3x4 = 144 x $2 = $288
All A’s: 2x1x2x2x1x2 = 16 x $2 = $32

$2 Pick-6 (7/8/3,6,7/2/3/2) Paid $285.50 (5OF6)

P4 Grid:

6: 6-9 (A), – (B), 4-10-11 (C)
7: 1-2-6 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
8: 8 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-7 (C)
9: 2-6-8-10 (A), – (B), 3-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x4 = 120 x $.50 = $60
All A’s: 2x3x1x4= $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (3,6,7/2/3/2) Paid $1,003.75