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Old 05-05-2013, 03:03 PM
Calzone Lord's Avatar
Calzone Lord Calzone Lord is offline
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My handicapping and betting approach is focused on watching all races with +20 or faster and -12 or slower paces.

I'd have zero bet backs and four bet againsts coming out of this race.

None of the speed horses ran well enough to merit automatic bet back status.

Orb, Golden Soul, Revolutionary, and Mylute would all go into stable mail as bet againsts next time.

Mylute followed Orb the whole way around and finished 3.75 lengths back. Both had clear wide trips.

Revolutionary followed Golden Soul until the top of the stretch. Both had clear inside trips, though Revo was bottled up with a lot of run going into the turn.

All of them raced more than 18 lengths back and benefited from the meltdown scenario.

Java's War was the only horse positioned 15th or worse, who failed to have a top 5 finish, but I don't put a horse like him on the list because he can show up in a Turf or Synthetic race next time.

The way I judge a +20 or faster pace is no different if it's the 3rd race at Emerald Downs or the Kentucky Derby.
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