05-28-2015, 04:03 PM
|
 |
Gulfstream Park
|
|
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: nys
Posts: 1,174
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
Sheesh, there are apparently just two possibilities. (1) AP can't possibly win, or (2) he's a lock.
The reality is that of course AP can win the TC. The only reasonable question is what are his chances. 25%? 50%? 67%? I haven't capped it yet, but I doubt the odds should be outside that range.
Here's a question for freddymo: If AP had run exactly the same races with exactly the same results, but had not won the 2-yr-old Championship, would you then think he is less likely to win the TC? In fact, AP only beat Texas Red 126-111 in the Eclipse voting. If Texas Red had been voted 2-yr-old Champion, would that mean AP now has less chance to win the TC?
|
lol funny stuff
__________________
Arrogate is the best horse since The Bid, and The Bid was better than Secretariat!!!!
|
Threaded Mode