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Old 01-19-2011, 08:28 PM
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Riot Riot is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hi_im_god View Post
dems are defending 23 senate seats in 2012 while republicans have only 10. some of the democratic seats are in very red states. republicans need 4 seats or 3 if they take the white house. if i was a republican i'd feel pretty good about the chances of taking the senate in 2 years.

it would really take another wave election in the other direction to the one we just saw to prevent it.

you know i'm on your side riot but math is a bitch here.
I know what the math is, and yes, it is a bitch - I figured both H & S would be GOP in 2012.

But watching what these guys are doing so far: they are not starting out strong at all, the Tea Party will do nothing but harm them over the next 2 years, as will caving to the extreme wingnut base (as they are doing daily now, see Pawlenty). They'd better turn it around if they want to win what they "should". Don't forget the Presidential wave will carry some Dems.

The Dems don't have very many blue dogs left, it's become pretty polarized between red and blue. Will be a very interesting election.

Unbelievable that no GOP (well, one has) has declared yet for President. I think they have written it off, and none of the truly viable candidates want to risk the reputation harm of the guaranteed loss.

I think there will be a strong resurgence of the "moderate" Republican, as some guys are simply already drawing the line in the sand and refusing to compromise their intelligence and ethics when facing the more crazy rightest part of the party. Joe Scarborough had a nice editorial in Politico** the other day. But I think this will fracture, not unite, the party. The convention in Tampa will be exciting - sorta like the 1960's.

I'll go on the limb right now saying Jeb Bush-Rubio in 2016.

Quote:
** Presidential-year elections are driven by a completely different demographic. Good luck trying that “Second Amendment remedies” crap on swing voters in the suburbs. It just won’t fly. And neither will the cacophony of crazy talk that has gripped the far right for the past two years.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories...#ixzz1BXVsGH8s
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Last edited by Riot : 01-19-2011 at 08:42 PM.
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