Deep Fountain, Risen Star cards for Saturday
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
GULFSTREAM PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
6th: 41st Gulfstream Park Sprint (G3), 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)
Very curious assembly with legitimate concerns about the major players with Weekend Hideaway and Speechify eligible for regression off mammoth efforts last time, Happy My Way seemingly past midnight and seldom seen/undefeated Mean Season an ouchy question mark. Unless Happy My Way can fully extend Mean Season, the latter will wire this if right. Any of the prices from the second half of the field appear capable of impacting the pay slots and I’d expect C. Zee delivers a career best second off the layoff for the terrific Stanley Gold..
Best Value: #8 Weekend Hideaway 3-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Mean Season 5-2 DNF-Eased
Exotics Use: #2 C. Zee 5-1 WON ($14.20)
Super Add: #7 Puntrooskie 20-1 4th
7th: 10th Ladies Turf Sprint, F&M-4+, 5f-T/84′ (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Good Deed 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Jewel of a Cat 4-1 WON ($25.20)
Best Value: #10 True Romance 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Fascinate 6-1 11th
Super Add: #2 Catching Fireflies 5-1 6th
8th: 31st Davona Dale (G2), 3yo-F, 1m (P5, P3, DD)
We may still be waiting for a truly good 3yo filly to emerge, but meanwhile, this is a delightful assembly of well matched missies. Pick a few that have caught your eye. Plenty of pace on, so the stalker-closers won’t be compromised..
Most Likely: #1 Lassofthemohicans 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Birdatthewire 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Silverpocketsfull 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Cavorting 6-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Puca 10-1 4th
9th: 24th Mac Diarmida (G2), 4+, 11f-T/12′ (P4, P3, DD)
Despite murky pace prospect, more I thought about Mac Diarmida scenario, more I concluded that Main Sequence isn’t losing. Between careful handling and deliberate training by Motion to land here to healthy Rajiv Maragh getting back aboard, dual champion should arrive on scene in time. Given difficulty of rest of P5 sequence, single and spread in the spots that demand it..
Most Likely: #1 Main Sequence 6-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #6 Twilight Eclipse 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Divine Oath 7-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Artic North 12-1 6th
10th: 53rd Canadian Turf (G3), 4+, 1m-T/84′ (P3, DD)
Have been a big Excaper fan since getting in front of him in BC Juvy Turf and here he is entering his 5th season of competition having amassed nearly $750k in earnings. Would love to believe he can wire off the bench but there are several pace pressers involved here. Jack Milton another I favored from the start and while he’s disappointed more than rewarded, was ready off the bench as a 4yo and should be well placed by winter’s crazily dominant pilot. Not ready to give up on Mutin after fiasco in the FLL last..
Most Likely: #6 Jack Milton 5-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Mutin 12-1 11th
Next Best: #2 Grand Tito 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Excaper 4-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Sky Blazer 8-1 7th
11th: 73rd Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)
While there are fresh-faced candidates that have potential to overhaul the obvious top pair, Gorgeous Bird and Itsaknockout are spotting serious stakes experience to Upstart and Frosted..
Most Likely: #7 Upstart 8-5 2nd-DQ’d from WIN
Next Best: #6 Frosted 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Gorgeous Bird 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Itsaknockout 4-1 WON-via DQ ($12.80)
12th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/84′ (Super Hi-5)
Most Likely: #7 Dreaming of Gold 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Animal Kracker 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Tweet Kitten 6-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Cat Humor 8-1 12th
Super/Hi-5: #1 Caprock Kid 20-1 6th
P5 Grid:
8: 1-4 (A), 2-6-8-12 (B), – (C)
9: 1 (A), – (B), 3-6-7 (C)
10: 6 (A), 2-10 (B), 1-3-9-11-13 (C)
11: 7 (A), 6 (B), 1-2-4-5 (C)
12: 5-7 (A), 3-6 (B), 1-8 (C)
Simple (A+B): 6x1x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $66
All A Entries
1 $1.00 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 5,7 – $4.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6,8,12 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 5,7 – $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 2,10 with 7 with 5,7 – $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 6 with 5,7 – $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 3,6 – $2.00
A’s with Two B’s
6 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6,8,12 with 1 with 2,10 with 7 with 5,7 – $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6,8,12 with 1 with 6 with 6 with 5,7 – $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6,8,12 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 3,6 – $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 2,10 with 6 with 5,7 – $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 2,10 with 7 with 3,6 – $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 6 with 3,6 – $2.00
A’s with One C
12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 3,6,7 with 6 with 7 with 5,7 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 1,3,9,11,13 with 7 with 5,7 – $10.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 1,2,4,5 with 5,7 – $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 1,8 – $2.00
Total: $66.00
P4 Grid:
9: 1 (A), 6 (B), 3-7 (C)
10: 2-6-10 (A), 3-9-11 (B), 1-8-12-13 (C)
11: 7 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-2-5 (C)
12: 5-7 (A), 3-6 (B), 1-8 (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $67
All A Entries
1 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 5,7 – $3.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 5,7 – $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3,9,11 with 7 with 5,7 – $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 4,6 with 5,7 – $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 3,6 – $3.00
A’s with Two B’s
6 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 3,9,11 with 7 with 5,7 – $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2,6,10 with 4,6 with 5,7 – $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 3,6 – $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3,9,11 with 4,6 with 5,7 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3,9,11 with 7 with 3,6 – $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 4,6 with 3,6 – $6.00
A’s with One C
12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 5,7 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,8,12,13 with 7 with 5,7 – $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 1,2,5 with 5,7 – $9.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 1,8 – $3.00
Total: $67.00
FAIR GROUNDS
POST-SCRATCHES
8th: 30th Mineshaft H. (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)
Hard Aces & Quadrivium are SCR’s from this so expect odds to be redistributed accordingly. Even without Quadrivium, there figures to be a fairly spirited pace on given Nates Mineshaft, Red Rifle and Street Babe all interested in the front end. Someone will sit an ideal stalking trip here with 6-1 Irish You Well, 10-1 Class Leader and 20-1 Cougar Ridge eligible at nice numbers. Tricky start to all-stakes P4..
Most Likely: #5 Irish You Well 6-1 6th
Best Value: #10 Class Leader 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Red Rifle 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Cougar Ridge 20-1 4th
9th: 29th Fair Grounds H. (G3), 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Didn’t expect to land on Catalano again here, but Highball always had quality about him and displayed encouraging development in first start as 4yo. Has shown ability to adjust to varied pace scenarios and will be a square price..
Best Value: #3 Highball 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Quadrivium 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Pyrite Mountain 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Dreams Cut Short 15-1 7th
10th: 35th Rachel Alexandra (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)
Like the Davona Dale at 4p ET, a compelling betting affair that hopefully produces some Oaks prospects that get you excited. As discussed with Marcus Hersh on Friday ATR, pace figures to get zippy hear as outside speeds hurtling for turn generally prompt inside runners that seek forward positions.
Most Likely: #1 Shook Up 7-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Forever Unbridled 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Angela Renee 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Lovely Maria 5-1 2nd
11th: 43rd Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)
SCR of J S Bach takes some of the speed out of this leaving St. Joe Bay and Hero of Humor as the tablesetters with Tiznow R J, Bluff and War Story watching the action unfold. Tiznow R J (5-1) is the ‘Most Likely’ due to his added experience at the level, but I’ll be basing my bets around upside-laden Bluff (12-1). Time and again we are seeing flighty Tapit offspring spring forward with maturity and once the light goes on, the lamp stays lit. Has advanced with every start and with another projective step, can make up margins he spots the major contenders..
Most Likely: #2 Tiznow R J 5-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Bluff 12-1 6th
Next Best: #10 International Star 9-2 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Imperia 7-2 5th
P4 Grid:
8: 5 (A), 6-10 (B), 2-7-8 (C)
9: 3-6 (A), 5 (B), 1-10-11 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), 5-6 (B), 4-7-10 (C)
11: 2-3 (A), 5-10 (B), 6-8 (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $78
All A Entries
1 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 2,3 – $4.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 2,3 – $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5 with 1,8 with 2,3 – $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 5,6 with 2,3 – $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 5,10 – $4.00
A’s with Two B’s
6 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 5 with 1,8 with 2,3 – $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 3,6 with 5,6 with 2,3 – $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 5,10 – $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5 with 5,6 with 2,3 – $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5 with 1,8 with 5,10 – $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 5,6 with 5,10 – $4.00
A’s with One C
12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7,8 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 2,3 – $12.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,10,11 with 1,8 with 2,3 – $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 4,7,10 with 2,3 – $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 6,8 – $4.00
Total: $78.00
OAKLAWN PARK
PRE-SCRATCHES
6th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (P4, P3)
Most Likely: #10 Ribbon of Darkness 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #6 Elaine Kowaleski 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Seans Silverdancer 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Bourbon Warfare 7-2 3rd
7th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3)
Most Likely: #10 Mr. Tickle 7-2: Better with each start; Ran into Kantune last time.. WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Dreamsdocometrue 8-1: Good debut; Half brother Dreams Cut Short in FG ‘Cap.. 5th
Next Best: #7 King of New York 9-2: 2nd to Leave the Light On at 2; Lasix added today.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Crafty Navigator 6-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Lawless West SCR
8th: 27th Spring Fever, F&M-4+, 5.5f (DD)
Most Likely: #4 Lasting Bubbles 5-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Chortle 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Boss Barney’s Babe 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Heykittykittykitty 4-1 2nd
9th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f
Most Likely: #5 Escalate 4-1 7th
Next Best: #4 California Coast 5-1 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #7 Perfectly 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Conquest Cobra 3-1 4th
P4 Grid:
6: 6-10 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
7: 10 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 2-3-4 (A), 5-6-7 (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 5 (A), 4 (B), 3-7-8-9 (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (10-10-7-4) Paid $200.05
Full (A/B/C): $68 (With $1 All “A” Play)
All A Entries
1 $1.00 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 5 – $6.00
A’s with One B
2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 5 – $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 2,7 with 2,3,4 with 5 – $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 5,6,7 with 5 – $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 4 – $3.00
A’s with Two B’s
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 2,7 with 2,3,4 with 5 – $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 10 with 5,6,7 with 5 – $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 4 – $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 2,7 with 5,6,7 with 5 – $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 2,7 with 2,3,4 with 4 – $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 5,6,7 with 4 – $3.00
A’s with One C
12 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 3,6 with 2,3,4 with 5 – $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 1,8 with 5 – $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 3,7,8,9 – $12.00
Total: $65.00