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#1
04-26-2021, 10:26 AM
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Derby Future Pool Starters
For those involved in the "All Others" bet. I have Pool 3 All others.
Feel free to point out any mistakes I made... POOL 1 Essential Quality Highly Motivated Hot Rod Charlie Keepmeinmind King Fury Midnight Bourbon Super Stock POOL 2 Essential Quality Highly Motivated Hot Rod Charlie Keepmeinmind Mandaloun Medina Spirit Midnight Bourbon POOL 3 Essential Quality Highly Motivated Hot Rod Charlie Keepmeinmind Mandaloun Medina Spirit Midnight Bourbon POOL 4 Essential Quality Highly Motivated Hot Rod Charlie Keepmeinmind Mandaloun Medina Spirit Midnight Bourbon Last edited by robfla : 04-26-2021 at 02:55 PM. Reason: fixed pool 1 
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#3
04-26-2021, 11:00 AM
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11/26-29: KY Derby Future Wager 2020-21 ~ Final Pool 1 (pdf)
3 Essential Quality (8) 8.20-1 ~ $18.40 6 Highly Motivated (18) 18.90-1 ~ $39.80 7 Hot Rod Charlie (34) 34.70-1 $ ~ $71.40 9 Keepmeinmind (19) 19.00-1 ~ $40.00 10 King Fury (60) 60.20-1 ~ $ 122.40 12 Midnight Bourbon (59) 59.20-1 ~ $ 120.40 21 Super Stock (99) 103.80-1 ~ $209.60 24 All Other Three Year Olds (6/5) 1.30-1 ~ $4.60 EXACTA PROBABLES
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
04-28-2021, 01:38 PM
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Quote:
We're in good shape, IMO, despite having had some bad luck in the post draw. With your 3.3-1 in Pool 3, you have an edge on the bet even if the 13 All Others horses have just a 25% to win. I think their combined chance to win is about 40%. What do you think? My own Pool 2 & 3 bets averaged out to give me slightly over 2.2-1 if an All Others wins. If I'm right about the 40% chance to win, then I've got a solid edge. When I say "Good luck with your Derby bet", you can be extra confident that I really mean it! 
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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#5
04-28-2021, 02:58 PM
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Linear Mode
