Derby Future Pool Starters

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by robfla

For those involved in the "All Others" bet. I have Pool 3 All others.

Feel free to point out any mistakes I made...

...

POOL 2

Essential Quality
Highly Motivated
Hot Rod Charlie
Keepmeinmind
Mandaloun
Medina Spirit
Midnight Bourbon

POOL 3

Essential Quality
Highly Motivated
Hot Rod Charlie
Keepmeinmind
Mandaloun
Medina Spirit
Midnight Bourbon ...

I split my All Others bet between Pools 2 & 3 this year, but ended up with the same horses to pull for on Saturday in both Pools. Too bad we don't have it all in Pool 4 at 7-1 with the same horses.

We're in good shape, IMO, despite having had some bad luck in the post draw. With your 3.3-1 in Pool 3, you have an edge on the bet even if the 13 All Others horses have just a 25% to win. I think their combined chance to win is about 40%. What do you think? My own Pool 2 & 3 bets averaged out to give me slightly over 2.2-1 if an All Others wins. If I'm right about the 40% chance to win, then I've got a solid edge.

When I say "Good luck with your Derby bet", you can be extra confident that I really mean it!

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

I split my All Others bet between Pools 2 & 3 this year, but ended up with the same horses to pull for on Saturday in both Pools. Too bad we don't have it all in Pool 4 at 7-1 with the same horses.

We're in good shape, IMO, despite having had some bad luck in the post draw. With your 3.3-1 in Pool 3, you have an edge on the bet even if the 13 All Others horses have just a 25% to win. I think their combined chance to win is about 40%. What do you think? My own Pool 2 & 3 bets averaged out to give me slightly over 2.2-1 if an All Others wins. If I'm right about the 40% chance to win, then I've got a solid edge.

When I say "Good luck with your Derby bet", you can be extra confident that I really mean it!

I’d kill myself if my “big edge” was trying to get 2 or 3-1 in a future pool.