Penn National arrests

Originally Posted by Duvalier

Anyone who uses or trusts the workout info in the program to decide wagers is the real fraud.

What else can the public refer to when making bets? Magic 8-ball or Todd Schrupp? I believe he should be charged of a crime for misleading the public with his infinite wisdom of handicapping

[Duvalier]

Originally Posted by helicopter11

What else can the public refer to when making bets? Magic 8-ball or Todd Schrupp?

Do you ever read where Steve mentions the private clocker reports? There's a reason people pay a premium for those reports...they're far more accurate and legit.

[Payson Dave]

Originally Posted by Duvalier

Do you ever read where Steve mentions the private clocker reports? There's a reason people pay a premium for those reports...they're far more accurate and legit.

More detailed definitely yes...more legit, I disagree...more accurate, definitely not in so far as comparing final times.
If you have ever been to the morning works, then you would agree that right after the harrow breaks it can get extremely busy. Without a prior heads-up as to who is working and from what pole they will be breaking from it is impossible to get all the works properly timed...the program/pp's have accurate final times...usually more accurate than the private reports due to positioning of the official clockers. Private clockers (more often than the official clockers) also can miss early portions of a work..ie they get a half mile as opposed to 5f...
I'm not saying nor am I naïve enough to believe that all official workout info is completely accurate..but just like official race times the vast majority of the times the info is in fact accurate.
Once again without splits, outs, observation of horse/rider, ect ect...the final time of a workout provides limited value

[Duvalier]

Originally Posted by Payson Dave

More detailed definitely yes...more legit, I disagree...more accurate, definitely not in so far as comparing final times.
If you have ever been to the morning works, then you would agree that right after the harrow breaks it can get extremely busy. Without a prior heads-up as to who is working and from what pole they will be breaking from it is impossible to get all the works properly timed...the program/pp's have accurate final times...usually more accurate than the private reports due to positioning of the official clockers. Private clockers (more often than the official clockers) also can miss early portions of a work..ie they get a half mile as opposed to 5f...

Point taken. I still disagree with the bolded part above...I'm sure most are but there are plenty that are fabricated. What do you say in regard to the late workouts not published in the program that are announced at the racetrack prior to a race being run...ie. horses who haven't had a published work in say the last 30-60 days prior to running in a race that day? How accurate do you think they are?

[Payson Dave]

Originally Posted by Duvalier

Point taken. I still disagree with the bolded part above...I'm sure most are but there are plenty that are fabricated. What do you say in regard to the late workouts not published in the program that are announced at the racetrack prior to a race being run...ie. horses who haven't had a published work in say the last 30-60 days prior to running in a race that day?

Any horse that has not raced in the last 30 days and only shows one work is probably not one that I want to bet on.

[Duvalier]

Originally Posted by Payson Dave

Any horse that has not raced in the last 30 days and only shows one work is probably not one that I want to bet on.

That's not my point though. How accurate do you think those works are when they show up in the PP's the next time the horse runs? The work which was just announced over the loudspeaker prior to the horse running, in order for him to be eligible that day. The workouts in the program are not near always accurate.

[Payson Dave]

Originally Posted by Duvalier

That's not my point though. How accurate do you think those works are when they show up in the PP's the next time the horse runs? The work which was just announced over the loudspeaker prior to the horse running, in order for him to be eligible that day. The workouts in the program are not near always accurate.

I wont question your assertion regarding announced late works...I also do not say program works are "always" accurate...I will maintain my assertion that the vast vast majority of program workout final times (while of limited value) are in fact accurate.

lol...btw was just listening to the churchill preview...they announced that a runner that last raced as an announced gelding is running today as a colt not a gelding...wonder if he got his back or someone else's...lol