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Old 04-02-2013, 08:19 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Originally Posted by lemoncrush View Post
I looked it over for an hour last night. If it wasn't a 10 cent minimum with a monster pot, I wouldn't even think of tackling it. But, ill throw $40 at it and take my chances. Right now, Third Martini in the 9th and Nora's Song in the 13th are my possible singles.
Those were my two strongest opinions as well, along with the mentioned Fogonazo. I'll probably structure the ticket such that I have to get one or the other home to have a realistic chance. Right now my ticket is $565.60 before scratches (which includes AE's that won't draw in) if I bet some multiples on my stronger tickets. $417.20 if I single bet every ticket. Since I'm more than likely going to have a group with around a grand total I'll be adding rather than subtracting. It's a very daunting sequence.

As for race 10- before seeing the Thorographs I have it as 5,10 A's 4,12 B's 3,7 C's. I think the 1 is done at this level with this trainer, the 2 hasn't run a winning race at this level since last May, the 6 is an easy toss, 8 isn't impossible and may add him back in but significant step up in class, the 9 is an easy toss, and the 11 is consistent but not good enough to win.

The hardest leg for me is the first. The only two I feel confident tossing are the 1 and 13. The 1 draws the rail for its debut, works are ok but nothing special, terrible first out trainer, and they only paid $2k at a mixed sale when it had been working already for the previous owner. The 13, by a sire I've never even heard of, debuts for a trainer that hasn't won a race like, ever and a jockey that has 8 wins in 2 years against a bunch of monsters. Would be the ultimate putover. Any of the rest can win. I have it as 2,3,6,10 A's 4,5,8,11 B's 7,9,12 C's, and that is not even confident.
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Old 04-02-2013, 08:31 PM
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Bogey Bogey is offline
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Originally Posted by philcski View Post
Those were my two strongest opinions as well, along with the mentioned Fogonazo. I'll probably structure the ticket such that I have to get one or the other home to have a realistic chance. Right now my ticket is $565.60 before scratches (which includes AE's that won't draw in) if I bet some multiples on my stronger tickets. $417.20 if I single bet every ticket. Since I'm more than likely going to have a group with around a grand total I'll be adding rather than subtracting. It's a very daunting sequence.

As for race 10- before seeing the Thorographs I have it as 5,10 A's 4,12 B's 3,7 C's. I think the 1 is done at this level with this trainer, the 2 hasn't run a winning race at this level since last May, the 6 is an easy toss, 8 isn't impossible and may add him back in but significant step up in class, the 9 is an easy toss, and the 11 is consistent but not good enough to win.

The hardest leg for me is the first. The only two I feel confident tossing are the 1 and 13. The 1 draws the rail for its debut, works are ok but nothing special, terrible first out trainer, and they only paid $2k at a mixed sale when it had been working already for the previous owner. The 13, by a sire I've never even heard of, debuts for a trainer that hasn't won a race like, ever and a jockey that has 8 wins in 2 years against a bunch of monsters. Would be the ultimate putover. Any of the rest can win. I have it as 2,3,6,10 A's 4,5,8,11 B's 7,9,12 C's, and that is not even confident.
Band Is Passing was a multiple stakes winner at Calder.

Just hit the all button or single Pletcher's horse for me. Tough sequence.
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Old 04-02-2013, 08:41 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Band Is Passing was a multiple stakes winner at Calder.

Just hit the all button or single Pletcher's horse for me. Tough sequence.
Never heard of him. You're right about where he ran- he swept the CRC turf series back in the early 2000's. Only 9 runners to race.
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