obama should lose

[Rileyoriley]

I understand now why you think Warren is ahead. You are basing this on a Boston area poll. For the record, Boston area polls had Coakley (in the 2010 special election) ahead of Brown by +17, +30, and +31. A Boston poll will NEVER show a republican in the lead. It is a heavy democrat area as is the Amherst, Northampton area in western Ma. This is why it's important to note where the poll was taken.
Since early 2011, the democrat party has been test polling various Mass. dems against Brown. They all were well behind him in these test polls. Warren is the only one that received decent numbers hence she was drafted to run this fall. Interesting to note, her first tv ads had her proclaiming she was "the mother of OWS". Response was not favorible. She has since dropped those ads and seems to be distancing herself from OWS.
It's still a long year so we shall have to wait and see. As I said before, Brown is well liked and does not vote strictly along party lines. That has impressed voters who are sick of the party politics. He also is in the state frequently and that includes visits to western Ma.. "Liveshot" Kerry only appears in western Ma if heavy media coverage will be there.