11/27 (AQU): Cigar (G1); Gazelle, Remsen, Demoiselle (G2's)

[Indian Charlie]

Will To Honor and Serve get a huge fig, or will the filly race come back really low?

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

Will To Honor and Serve get a huge fig, or will the filly race come back really low?

To Honor and Serve will get a Beyer 25 points higher than the Demoiselle winner as that's what 2.81 seconds at 9fs equates to.

His last two are 95 and 97.

The Demoiselle winners last two are 75 and 76.

There are more 9f races to come - so too early to project a figure.

[Betsy]

The Gazelle just went a full second slower than the Remsen...........

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Betsy

The Gazelle just went a full second slower than the Remsen...........

A full second would be 9 points.

Gazelle winner No Such Word ran a 91 and 95 in her last two. 2nd place Awesome Maria has run all 80's her entire career.

Without putting any time into it - you're probably looking at a 101-to-104 for To Honor and Serve.

[Betsy]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

A full second would be 9 points.

Gazelle winner No Such Word ran a 91 and 95 in her last two. 2nd place Awesome Maria has run all 80's her entire career.

Without putting any time into it - you're probably looking at a 101-to-104 for To Honor and Serve.

So when you calculate BSF then, a horses career form plays a big part in it? They assume that a horse isn't going to freak or just run too bad to be true?

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Betsy

So when you calculate BSF then, a horses career form plays a big part in it? They assume that a horse isn't going to freak or just run too bad to be true?

The horses forms are what you use to establish the variant. The variant is basically the speed of the racing surface.

That is why - for instance - it's hard to trust any figure on days when you have only a single route race on the card.

Today at AQU - you had 3 races at 9fs on dirt so a variant is solid.

I don't understand your second question.

[Betsy]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

The horses forms are what you use to establish the variant. The variant is basically the speed of the racing surface.

That is why - for instance - it's hard to trust any figure on days when you have only a single route race on the card.

Today at AQU - you had 3 races at 9fs on dirt so a variant is solid.

I don't understand your second question.

Thank you for explaining this to me. I think I get the general idea, but I admit it's still a bit confusing. Then again, no one ever accused me of being a math whiz, lol