Possible 7 figure show pool coming at Charles Town in race #8

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

I'm curious what % of the show pool was on the #1?



--Dunbar

I'm not sure - but I would have to think a huge %. Mid 90's probably.

It's normally a pretty good idea to make a show bet on the 2nd most likely horse to hit the board in a bridgejumper race ... but this was one of the truly rare races where it seemed utterly impossible for the 1 to be off the board and also close to impossible for his entrymate the 1A to be off the board.

They also had opposite running styles to boot - and you get the 10% instead of the 5%. I can't ever remember seeing a more favorable situation for a bridge jumper.

[slotdirt]

I saw that horse run back on July 10th, and it was another drowning. She seems to love CT, no doubt about that.

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

I'm not sure - but I would have to think a huge %. Mid 90's probably.

It's normally a pretty good idea to make a show bet on the 2nd most likely horse to hit the board in a bridgejumper race ... but this was one of the truly rare races where it seemed utterly impossible for the 1 to be off the board and also close to impossible for his entrymate the 1A to be off the board.

They also had opposite running styles to boot - and you get the 10% instead of the 5%. I can't ever remember seeing a more favorable situation for a bridge jumper.

Yes, the 10% is huge. I wish I'd seen your post in time.

--Dunbar

[ranger5830]

IIRC, I think the entry had about $160k, interestingly enough there was about 17k bet to show on the 5, who finished 4th. If you're trying to beat a bridgejumper like that, that seems like a bad spot, where you have an entry in a short field where they both stand out above the rest. It seems like those who went against Russell Road, the Dunkelburger horse last week who was up the track and caused huge show prices had a better chance, because even though he was a clear standout on paper he was just one horse in a full field, and any one horse can have a bad day, but the odds of both of the entry not making the board in this spot was virtually nil, and certainly much less than the 10% return one stood to collect.

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by ranger5830

IIRC, I think the entry had about $160k, interestingly enough there was about 17k bet to show on the 5, who finished 4th. If you're trying to beat a bridgejumper like that, that seems like a bad spot, where you have an entry in a short field where they both stand out above the rest. It seems like those who went against Russell Road, the Dunkelburger horse last week who was up the track and caused huge show prices had a better chance, because even though he was a clear standout on paper he was just one horse in a full field, and any one horse can have a bad day, but the odds of both of the entry not making the board in this spot was virtually nil, and certainly much less than the 10% return one stood to collect.

The risk is never worth the reward. I forget how long ago it was,maybe 10 or twenty years, but there was an entry in NY in a graded stakes (Mother Goose ?) which ran off the board in a short field.

The Russel Road thing was insane,horse was off for two months with an outside post in an eight horse field.

[tiggerv]

Russel Road has been off all year and bridge jumpers got what they deserved even if the ride was comical.