Presque Isle at a mile

[iamthelurker]

Originally Posted by dagolfer33

Lurker maybe should lurk at some bowling alleys. I don't think horsey racing is his thing.

Not my thing at all. I can bowl a 300 however.

[clyde]

Bogs??

[herkhorse]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I dont bet PID.

6:44

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Im jumping in... Did not realize they even showed PID on Capital.

R5
20wp 2, currently 9-2.

7:06

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by herkhorse

6:44



7:06

Good catch.

[miraja2]

So what do we think of today's 2nd race?
PPs: http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...re_summary.htm (under Chief Seattle's progeny)

2nd (5:55)

1 Mile (All Weather Track) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($25,000 - $22,500) | Purse: $27,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
L D's Galaxy SCRATCHED
1 1 Monstrip Arterburn B Arterburn Lonnie 115 $25,000 L 6-1
2 2 Suz Slew Pino M G Romans Dale 115 $25,000 L 4-1
3 3 Classic City Diva Spieth S Faulkner Rodney C 115 $25,000 L 5-1
4 4 The Lady Waffles Gonzalez L A Feliciano Miguel A 115 $25,000 L 8-1
5 5 Borobeta Centeno D E Ness Jamie 113 $22,500 L 3-1
6 6 Sweet Ginger Brown Vega H Scherer Merrill R 115 $25,000 L 12-1
7 7 Dress in Dubai Goodwin C A Trivigno Michael 115 $25,000 L 12-1
8 8 Native Miz Rodriguez E D Deegan Joseph C 115 $25,000 L 10-1
9 9 Premier Roma Allen R D Jr Bennett Gerald S 115 $25,000 L 8-1
10 10 Rivie Martinez W Lauer Michael E 115 $25,000 L 10-1

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by herkhorse

6:44



7:06

He meant he doesn't bet it with real life money. But he'll bet anything with DT money.

[Gate Dancer]

Originally Posted by miraja2

So what do we think of today's 2nd race?
PPs: http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...re_summary.htm (under Chief Seattle's progeny)

2nd (5:55)

1 Mile (All Weather Track) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($25,000 - $22,500) | Purse: $27,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
L D's Galaxy SCRATCHED
1 1 Monstrip Arterburn B Arterburn Lonnie 115 $25,000 L 6-1
2 2 Suz Slew Pino M G Romans Dale 115 $25,000 L 4-1
3 3 Classic City Diva Spieth S Faulkner Rodney C 115 $25,000 L 5-1
4 4 The Lady Waffles Gonzalez L A Feliciano Miguel A 115 $25,000 L 8-1
5 5 Borobeta Centeno D E Ness Jamie 113 $22,500 L 3-1
6 6 Sweet Ginger Brown Vega H Scherer Merrill R 115 $25,000 L 12-1
7 7 Dress in Dubai Goodwin C A Trivigno Michael 115 $25,000 L 12-1
8 8 Native Miz Rodriguez E D Deegan Joseph C 115 $25,000 L 10-1
9 9 Premier Roma Allen R D Jr Bennett Gerald S 115 $25,000 L 8-1
10 10 Rivie Martinez W Lauer Michael E 115 $25,000 L 10-1

Would definitely box the 1-2................but think the 2 has the better connections and jockey. Would also go with a Tri Key with the 2 over 1-3-5-8-9. I'm getting the impression that by the end of the season this bias could have made you a ton of $$$$$$. (if it hasn't been demostrated enough already)

[dagolfer33]

Originally Posted by iamthelurker

Not my thing at all. I can bowl a 300 however.

I used my great intuition to figure out you are a good bowler. Check out this great application of associative intuition: lurker=dark, dark=alley, alley=bowling.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by miraja2

So what do we think of today's 2nd race?
PPs: http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...re_summary.htm (under Chief Seattle's progeny)

2nd (5:55)

1 Mile (All Weather Track) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($25,000 - $22,500) | Purse: $27,000

Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
L D's Galaxy SCRATCHED
1 1 Monstrip Arterburn B Arterburn Lonnie 115 $25,000 L 6-1
2 2 Suz Slew Pino M G Romans Dale 115 $25,000 L 4-1
3 3 Classic City Diva Spieth S Faulkner Rodney C 115 $25,000 L 5-1
4 4 The Lady Waffles Gonzalez L A Feliciano Miguel A 115 $25,000 L 8-1
5 5 Borobeta Centeno D E Ness Jamie 113 $22,500 L 3-1
6 6 Sweet Ginger Brown Vega H Scherer Merrill R 115 $25,000 L 12-1
7 7 Dress in Dubai Goodwin C A Trivigno Michael 115 $25,000 L 12-1
8 8 Native Miz Rodriguez E D Deegan Joseph C 115 $25,000 L 10-1
9 9 Premier Roma Allen R D Jr Bennett Gerald S 115 $25,000 L 8-1
10 10 Rivie Martinez W Lauer Michael E 115 $25,000 L 10-1

The 7 looks like the speed to me - maybe win and box w/ 1,2,5.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

The 7 looks like the speed to me - maybe win and box w/ 1,2,5.

The 7 might have a touch more early speed than the 1 and 5 - but there's no way she clears by the turn from that draw. This isn't like with that 9 horse yesterday where all plodders were inside of it and it was gunned.

The 1 and 5 both have very good route speed and are synthetic lovers.

The one horse is 5-for-14 lifetime at PID - with wins at 17/1 and 16/1 and several ITM finishes at fat prices. The five horse has been in the exacta 13 out of 16 times at PID .. with 6 wins - including wins at 12/1, and 7/1. Her last two figures easily exceed avg winner par for class level.

The 7 on the other hand, is a certified synthetic hater - and her trainer is 1-for-47 here .. with almost his entire stable running well below form at this track.

To me, the 7 horse impacts the race by making things a lot tougher for the 1 and 5. Even though the bias is to inside-speed - in races where the pace has been extremely contested - the winner has typically been a horse drawn inside, who is able to save ground early, and only comes off the inside to pass tiring duelers. That's why I picked the 2 horse to win this race in the paper.

[iamthelurker]

Originally Posted by dagolfer33

I used my great intuition to figure out you are a good bowler. Check out this great application of associative intuition: lurker=dark, dark=alley, alley=bowling.

I bet your SAT scores were through the roof.

[dagolfer33]

Originally Posted by iamthelurker

I bet your SAT scores were through the roof.

High as a kite!!!! I do apologize for going off on this Clyde-induced tangent.

[iamthelurker]

Originally Posted by dagolfer33

High as a kite!!!! I do apologize for going off on this Clyde-induced tangent.

LOL dont be its funny.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Even though the bias is to inside-speed - in races where the pace has been extremely contested - the winner has typically been a horse drawn inside, who is able to save ground early, and only comes off the inside to pass tiring duelers. That's why I picked the 2 horse to win this race in the paper.

The 2 horse won and paid $9.40

If he changes posts and trips with the second place finisher - the second place finisher murders him.

[hockey2315]

R3 was a pretty nice one. . .

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie

RHT had a win bet on the 1 and 2 that race. He told me.

The 2 horse just came blasting up the rail to win the nightcap and pay $69.60 to win.

You're talking about a 100 day race meet - where both post 1 and post 2 are looking like virtual locks to show a flat bet profit for the entire meet - in all races - no matter what happens the rest of the way.

The rider of the 5 in the last race should be shot. About 3 different times today that a pacesetter was taken well off the rail - and an eventual winner came scooting up the inside of the pacesetter.

[hockey2315]

How have you been capitalizing, DrugS? I've been trying to find the horse who I think will get the lead and just betting that one to win for the most part. I'm up, but the lack of a good wagering menu is killing me.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

How have you been capitalizing, DrugS? I've been trying to find the horse who I think will get the lead and just betting that one to win for the most part. I'm up, but the lack of a good wagering menu is killing me.

You'll die when you see the good liquidity Betfair has on many of these races. I don't think I've ever seen a track where as many short priced horses can be tossed without caution due to projected wide trips and an almost hopeless chance of getting inside.

I'm obviously doing well because of the track - both in the paper and through betting. But I never end up catching these insane mega longshots like the one who won the last race.

* Last time out - the horse breaks from post 11 in an 11 horse field

* Two starts back - it breaks from post 9 in a 9 horse field

* Three starts back - it breaks from post 5 in a 6 horse field going 2 turns

So ... in it's last 3 races ... it's been drawn inside of a grand total of one horse .. and now it gets post 2 and it's 34/1 against dogsh!t.

The problem is that I can't bring myself to even stab at those kind of horses when they suck bulls - and this one didn't even have any speed and was cutting back to 5fs.

The jockey on the 5 horse got loose - but like a typical 8-for-233 jockey would - he kept the horse well off the rail the whole way while setting the pace. I have a good idea which jockeys are idiots and which ones aren't .. but sometimes you hope and they always fail you.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

The head on is up. Here's how brilliant this ride was.

Here's the pan:



The 5 is loose on the lead in a 5 furlong sprint - basically a sure sign of victory if you're on the rail .. the 2 is in the white cap in second place saving ground.


Here's the head-on:



He's out in the four path like an imbecile. You could drive a semi inside of him.

[miraja2]

It seems like Ms Moscow (10/1 ML) might be live in the 6th tomorrow at 8.5f.
Decent speed, favorable post, non-terrible jock, and although the one AW start wasn't overly impressive it came in her debut last year against the bias going 8f at PID. Throw in the fact that the probable favorites are either parked way outside or are trying poly for the first time, and she might be worth a play. I might play WP and box her with the rail horse if the price is right.