Presque Isle at a mile

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

The 7 looks like the speed to me - maybe win and box w/ 1,2,5.

The 7 might have a touch more early speed than the 1 and 5 - but there's no way she clears by the turn from that draw. This isn't like with that 9 horse yesterday where all plodders were inside of it and it was gunned.

The 1 and 5 both have very good route speed and are synthetic lovers.

The one horse is 5-for-14 lifetime at PID - with wins at 17/1 and 16/1 and several ITM finishes at fat prices. The five horse has been in the exacta 13 out of 16 times at PID .. with 6 wins - including wins at 12/1, and 7/1. Her last two figures easily exceed avg winner par for class level.

The 7 on the other hand, is a certified synthetic hater - and her trainer is 1-for-47 here .. with almost his entire stable running well below form at this track.

To me, the 7 horse impacts the race by making things a lot tougher for the 1 and 5. Even though the bias is to inside-speed - in races where the pace has been extremely contested - the winner has typically been a horse drawn inside, who is able to save ground early, and only comes off the inside to pass tiring duelers. That's why I picked the 2 horse to win this race in the paper.