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#1
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#2
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![]() If you don't think her 2008 Apple Blossom was a huge race and possibly her best race, I don't know what you're smoking.
She ran 1:42 3/5 that day. They originally had the wrong time posted for the Oaklawn Handicap because the clock was screwed up. But after they fixed it and re-timed the race, it turns out that Tiago and Heatseeker ran 1:50 2/5 just two races later. At that time, they were two of the top 5 best colts in the country. On their best day, and I think they both ran their best that day, they were both very good horses. Z ran much faster than they did. I think she could have run her another 1/16th of a mile in a lot faster than 7 4/5 seconds. I think Z's legitmate Beyer that day was around 115. |
#3
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![]() So Brownie Points ran a 107 that day?
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#4
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![]() She beat her by 4 1/2 lengths, so BP probably ran a 106. It wouldn't be all that shocking. I'm sure there have been plenty of mediocre horses that have run big numbers as also rans in fast races.
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#5
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![]() Yes, and that usually indicates a phony figure.
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#6
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![]() 4.5 lengths at 8.5 furlongs equals 8 points. It would be a 107.
When you consider Brownie Points ran 13 times on dirt - and the best figure she ever got in her life was easily the 96 when 2nd to Zenyatta in the Apple Blossom .. I think your 107 stop watch figure for her is a little high. The next time she ran on dirt - Miss Isella smoked her. |
#7
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![]() Quote:
With regard to BP, horses do step up sometimes for a career best as also rans in a fast race. Look at Musket Man. He'd run a 99, a 102, and a 95 this year. Then he ran a 109 chasing QR in the Met Mile. What did MM run over the weekend? Around 100? Yet he somehow ran a 109 in the Met Mile. You are the numbers guy, not me, but I'm sure that this type of thing is not that unusual. |
#8
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As for Shirreffs, please about the string already. He has 59 starts all year. |
#9
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![]() I guess its possible that both Randy Moss and Equibase got the time wrong, and that BP could have ran one standout huge figure over the course of her career that happened to come while getting absolutely crushed by a better horse - but I doubt it. The 2010 Apple Blossom performance by Zenyatta was more recent and less impressive imo.. and it was followed up with two near photo finish wins. |
#10
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![]() Quote:
The correct final time for the Tiago race when re-timed was 1:48.60 Here's the chart: http://www1.drf.com/drfNCWeeklyHorse...0405&raceNo=10 |
#11
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![]() Of course not.
Quote:
http://www1.drf.com/displayVideo.do?...=D&country=USA |
#12
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#13
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Who knows though ... Maybe Brownie Points was a true superstar. |
#14
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What kind of numbers were Heatseeker and Tiago running at the time? If you have time, go and clock the AB and the OH. You will see that the OH was in fact run in 1:50.34 |
#15
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![]() Quote:
Oaklawn Park is Randy Moss's home track - I can't imagine how his fancy ESPN timing equipment could get it wrong - let alone Equibase as well. |