Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-19-2010, 09:40 AM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

All my weekend action will be at Monmouth until Toga.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-19-2010, 10:15 AM
lemoncrush's Avatar
lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Blaine, MN
Posts: 1,408
Default

Are they bringing back the 50 cent minimum pk 5?
That was a fun bet last year. Should be again with the expected increase in quality and field size.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 05-19-2010, 11:33 AM
GoIrish's Avatar
GoIrish GoIrish is offline
Morris Park
 
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Red Bank, NJ
Posts: 137
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by lemoncrush View Post
Are they bringing back the 50 cent minimum pk 5?
That was a fun bet last year. Should be again with the expected increase in quality and field size.
I believe the answer is YES.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 05-19-2010, 12:14 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

I will continue to play New York and will not play Monmouth personally. If I can make it through the winter playing Aqueduct, then I am not worried about the supposed quality of the product NY will put on. I find it hard to believe that Monmouth will have a significant effect on Saratoga.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 05-19-2010, 01:09 PM
lemoncrush's Avatar
lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Blaine, MN
Posts: 1,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GoIrish View Post
I believe the answer is YES.
Would love to see them bring back the Sixty Minute Six, too.
But I fear that was just a one-year experiment.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 05-19-2010, 01:52 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

There's something really nauseating about Jersey Breds running in an allowance race for 80k.

I know the first card will not be a fair representation of what will happen but that looks like a lot of the same old Monmouth horses running for far too much money.

NT
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 05-19-2010, 01:55 PM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
There's something really nauseating about Jersey Breds running in an allowance race for 80k.

I know the first card will not be a fair representation of what will happen but that looks like a lot of the same old Monmouth horses running for far too much money.

NT
We had a few NY-bred MSW's for $88,000 at Saratoga last summer. I remembered when I looked at Titletown Tiger's PP's and said when the hell did he earn all that money?
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 05-19-2010, 01:58 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
We had a few NY-bred MSW's for $88,000 at Saratoga last summer. I remembered when I looked at Titletown Tiger's PP's and said when the hell did he earn all that money?
That was an off the turf race on Travers Day, if I remember correctly, so the purse was jacked up because the field stayed big and it was inflated because of the date.

I'm not trying to rain on Monmouth's parade and I'd by absolutely lying if I said I'm not going to bet their races. However, I'm unconvinced that this new setup will be the panacea of Mth and NJ racing. They do have one of the best on-track handicappers, Brad Thomas, in the country. Anyone who hasn't played Monmouth regularly before and will be now should heed his opinions.

NT
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 05-19-2010, 03:03 PM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
There's something really nauseating about Jersey Breds running in an allowance race for 80k.

I know the first card will not be a fair representation of what will happen but that looks like a lot of the same old Monmouth horses running for far too much money.

NT
I fail to understand why anyone would care what Jersey breds ran for or why they would think that the horses are running for "far too much money"? I suppose that you could say the same thing about those who complain that professional athletes make too much money or movie stars make too much money yet will still watch the games and go to the movies. Perhaps you are just nauseated that one of those owners and trainers of the jersey breds or other horses on the card may actually make some money for a change for supporting the sport? I suppose that as long as you are providing the purse money via your bets you feel obligated to be critical of purse levels but of course in this case you are only providing a portion of the purse money. I'm sure that seeing that money flow back into the coffers of Donald Trump and company would be a much more heartwarming story.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 05-19-2010, 03:16 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell View Post
I fail to understand why anyone would care what Jersey breds ran for or why they would think that the horses are running for "far too much money"? I suppose that you could say the same thing about those who complain that professional athletes make too much money or movie stars make too much money yet will still watch the games and go to the movies. Perhaps you are just nauseated that one of those owners and trainers of the jersey breds or other horses on the card may actually make some money for a change for supporting the sport? I suppose that as long as you are providing the purse money via your bets you feel obligated to be critical of purse levels but of course in this case you are only providing a portion of the purse money. I'm sure that seeing that money flow back into the coffers of Donald Trump and company would be a much more heartwarming story.
I'm entitled to my opinion because I have a pulse.

Don't castigate me for being for open company purses being higher and state bred purses being lower. I understand what you and other people involved in the game go through and I think it's great that the owners and trainers of Jersey breds are going to cash in but realistically, should there not be a limit?

Go look at the first race and tell me if those horses should be running for 40k. As a bettor I am for competitive racing and purses going to horses that fill competitive races. Congratulations on labeling me some type of elitist/pro-rich horseplayer, but yes, I'd rather see the Decathlon and Elkwood for 250k and the Jersey bred races for half of what they are.

NT
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 05-20-2010, 06:51 PM
Kingturf's Avatar
Kingturf Kingturf is offline
Suffolk Downs
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: Orlando, FL
Posts: 105
Default

I will play Monmouth Park for the season, two points I would like to make; Finally a program card besides Belmont that will have quality races and on real dirt! My second point is; this is a known fact for most people who play Gulfstream Park. Monmouth and Gulfstream Park uses the same dirt composite. Look at many past performance of horses who raced at both tracks. If they fire at GP, they fire at Monmouth.

And one day in the future when Hialeah Park re-opens for TB's this will hold true for Hialeah and Belmont Park.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 05-20-2010, 06:56 PM
keithting's Avatar
keithting keithting is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 959
Post

I am looking forward to an exciting and I think ultimately successful meet at Monmouth.

I believe that the higher purses will bring the quality horses and larger fields that we all prefer to wager on.....
__________________
"The fans are moving to the rail which can mean only one thing....It is NOW, Post Time" - Fred Capossela
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 05-21-2010, 05:05 AM
chucklestheclown chucklestheclown is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 1,562
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kingturf View Post
And one day in the future when Hialeah Park re-opens for TB's this will hold true for Hialeah and Belmont Park.
Sounds good.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 05-22-2010, 11:25 AM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

New Jersey Breds.

Ugh.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 05-19-2010, 01:53 PM
Travis Stone's Avatar
Travis Stone Travis Stone is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 2,229
Default

Field size generally trumps quality, unless you're talking about big guns and major stakes. Timing and exposure (post time) trumps quality as well, although not as effectively.

I think you can look at it this way... Imagine there's 10 minutes to post at Belmont, and 16 minutes to post at Monmouth. Belmont is a field of 9, Monmouth is maxed-out at 14. Are people going to skip the Belmont race and play Monmouth? No, they'll play both, just like they always have.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 05-19-2010, 03:26 PM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Travis Stone View Post
Field size generally trumps quality, unless you're talking about big guns and major stakes. Timing and exposure (post time) trumps quality as well, although not as effectively.

I think you can look at it this way... Imagine there's 10 minutes to post at Belmont, and 16 minutes to post at Monmouth. Belmont is a field of 9, Monmouth is maxed-out at 14. Are people going to skip the Belmont race and play Monmouth? No, they'll play both, just like they always have.
Here's what's escaping most of the racing GURUS:

MTH is operating, essentially, thurs, friday, saturday, and sunday

which is basically when MOST other tracks are also running

MOREVER

they're running at the same time that a whole bunch of tracks are

Now, I don't know where these GURUS are residing but if they think that HIGHER QUALITY HORSES and LARGER FIELDS will make a significant difference, they're mistaken. Nobody from NY is going to make the drive to MTH and MTH will be just ONE MORE track that anyone playing multiple tracks will have to deal with. When it comes to betting, better horses and larger fields (or better purses) doesn't NECESSARILY translate to MISMATCHES (especially on SPEED FAVORING bullring like tracks). I could give a **** how good the horses are; what I'm concerned with is finding races where I have an advantage. And, I suspect, anyone playing the game seriously is looking for the same thing. Moreover, anyone who is not computer generating plays will be forced to either ADD MTH to the HIGH NUMBER of tracks they already play or just IGNORE THEM. I'm going with the latter. Frankly, there are much better betting options at CHEAPER but FAIR tracks elsewhere.

You'd think that tracks would get a ****in clue and spread out their days/time of operation. I'm overloaded with 10 or so tracks on weekends, during the day, and basically play with myself the rest of the week because there are no tracks operating.

MTH must be counting on ON TRACK handle. Which means they're still in 1970's/1980's mode.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 05-19-2010, 03:36 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man View Post
Here's what's escaping most of the racing GURUS:

MTH is operating, essentially, thurs, friday, saturday, and sunday

which is basically when MOST other tracks are also running

MOREVER

they're running at the same time that a whole bunch of tracks are

Now, I don't know where these GURUS are residing but if they think that HIGHER QUALITY HORSES and LARGER FIELDS will make a significant difference, they're mistaken. Nobody from NY is going to make the drive to MTH and MTH will be just ONE MORE track that anyone playing multiple tracks will have to deal with. When it comes to betting, better horses and larger fields (or better purses) doesn't NECESSARILY translate to MISMATCHES (especially on SPEED FAVORING bullring like tracks). I could give a **** how good the horses are; what I'm concerned with is finding races where I have an advantage. And, I suspect, anyone playing the game seriously is looking for the same thing. Moreover, anyone who is not computer generating plays will be forced to either ADD MTH to the HIGH NUMBER of tracks they already play or just IGNORE THEM. I'm going with the latter. Frankly, there are much better betting options at CHEAPER but FAIR tracks elsewhere.

You'd think that tracks would get a ****in clue and spread out their days/time of operation. I'm overloaded with 10 or so tracks on weekends, during the day, and basically play with myself the rest of the week because there are no tracks operating.
MTH must be counting on ON TRACK handle. Which means they're still in 1970's/1980's mode.
Colonial is trying a new schedule this year to try to take advantage of this - and I think they settled their ADW issues!
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 05-19-2010, 05:41 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man View Post
Here's what's escaping most of the racing GURUS:

MTH is operating, essentially, thurs, friday, saturday, and sunday

which is basically when MOST other tracks are also running

MOREVER

they're running at the same time that a whole bunch of tracks are

Now, I don't know where these GURUS are residing but if they think that HIGHER QUALITY HORSES and LARGER FIELDS will make a significant difference, they're mistaken. Nobody from NY is going to make the drive to MTH and MTH will be just ONE MORE track that anyone playing multiple tracks will have to deal with. When it comes to betting, better horses and larger fields (or better purses) doesn't NECESSARILY translate to MISMATCHES (especially on SPEED FAVORING bullring like tracks). I could give a **** how good the horses are; what I'm concerned with is finding races where I have an advantage. And, I suspect, anyone playing the game seriously is looking for the same thing. Moreover, anyone who is not computer generating plays will be forced to either ADD MTH to the HIGH NUMBER of tracks they already play or just IGNORE THEM. I'm going with the latter. Frankly, there are much better betting options at CHEAPER but FAIR tracks elsewhere.

You'd think that tracks would get a ****in clue and spread out their days/time of operation. I'm overloaded with 10 or so tracks on weekends, during the day, and basically play with myself the rest of the week because there are no tracks operating.

MTH must be counting on ON TRACK handle. Which means they're still in 1970's/1980's mode.
Larger fields and higher quality horses have a direct correlation to increased handle. It's been proven time and again. There's a good reason for that... if you think hard you might be able to figure out why.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:08 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.