Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Surely you realize the board odds in both the 3rd and 4th were not reflective of certain horse's odds in the multi-race bets. Roderick was not 7:5 in these bets....and thus the winner had to be a LOT lower.
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I also think it's fair to say that Friendly Wager was higher than 6/5 in the pick 4, as I expect a lot of pick 4s to single a 6/5 and there's no way he was a single on most tickets. If you cut the 3rd race winner to $8, take 80% of races 2 & 4, you are still higher than the parlay value. Even making those reasonable assumptions (and ignoring the fact that the runner in the 5th was probably higher than 12-1 in the pick 4 given there were three solid choices in the race and two others ordinally ranked ahead)- the payoffs were low relative to what would be expected.
05-12-2010, 10:45 PM
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