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  #1  
Old 04-10-2010, 09:02 AM
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Good stuff as usual DrugS, but is it really fair to lump Gio Ponti in with those other slugs? He put together three first-rate performances in a row last summer and I thought he also ran a very strong race in the BCC.
While beating the others you mentioned may not show much, don't you think Gio Ponti was a pretty darn good horse last year? I think beating him is actually a feather in Zenyatta's cap.
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Old 04-10-2010, 09:47 AM
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From my perspective Taptam just slayed the apparent 2nd(Just Jenda) and 3rd(War Echo) best horses in the field, a pair of G.3 winners that finished last and 2nd to last in a field of 5. You can thank the higher power Moss doesn't have the same set of balls that Jess has. Otherwise Rachel would be the slayer of Taptam because of a pair of Gr.3 winners couldn't.
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Old 04-10-2010, 09:48 AM
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It seems so easy to handpick horses that have finished behind ANY great horse and then point out how the handpicked horse would be the "worst" winner of that given race.
Not to mention that "worst" is a matter of conjecture.
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Old 04-10-2010, 10:10 AM
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I think its easy to discredit the beaten ones, and the ones they have beaten. But it is even easier to analyze the ones that have beaten her, BECAUSE THERE ARE NONE.
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  #5  
Old 04-10-2010, 10:24 AM
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Originally Posted by dagolfer33 View Post
I think its easy to discredit the beaten ones, and the ones they have beaten. But it is even easier to analyze the ones that have beaten her, BECAUSE THERE ARE NONE.
This is the same kind of bullcrap that led to Favorite Trick winning the Horse of the Year title over Skip Away.

The 2yo's sucked beyond belief that year .. the older males were amazingly talented and spectacularly deep in numbers.

It's also the same kind of nonsense that led to Sports Illustrated ranking Pepper's Pride among the 20 best horses of last decade male or female.

I prefer to judge a horse by the quality of their performance and the quality of oppositon they beat.
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  #6  
Old 04-10-2010, 10:26 AM
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Originally Posted by dagolfer33 View Post
I think its easy to discredit the beaten ones, and the ones they have beaten. But it is even easier to analyze the ones that have beaten her, BECAUSE THERE ARE NONE.
It beats the logic for the naysayers to exclaim she is the all time luckiest horse in history. Every horse she has beaten has been a pure stroke of good fortune, a stroke of luck, the stars are aligned argument. That's all that is left in this argument, a grasping of the straws mentality.
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  #7  
Old 04-10-2010, 10:29 AM
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It beats the logic for the naysayers to exclaim she is the all time luckiest horse in history.
She's not lucky.

She's just been very carefully managed and other than about three times in her career - she's faced pure crap.
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Old 04-10-2010, 11:25 AM
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She's not lucky.

She's just been very carefully managed and other than about three times in her career - she's faced pure crap.
I think we can agree, the pure crap competition argument is one used to obfuscate the true quality of Zenyatta because what else is there to pick on? The beyers since she never lost? To use a quote from a beyer guy that at times you don't need to overanalyse every part of a horse's resume to know the horse deserves all of her accolades.
Steve Crist mentioned in his blog "Zenyatta, is a transcendently great horse who handles everything and is probably as good or better on dirt than on synthetics.
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Old 04-10-2010, 11:32 AM
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I think we can agree, the pure crap competition argument is one used to obfuscate the true quality of Zenyatta because what else is there to pick on? The beyers since she never lost? To use a quote from a beyer guy that at times you don't need to overanalyse every part of a horse's resume to know the horse deserves all of her accolades.
Steve Crist mentioned in his blog "Zenyatta, is a transcendently great horse who handles everything and is probably as good or better on dirt than on synthetics.
So if the Washington Nationals go 162-0 on a tour of facing America's high school teams on their own diamonds, the "they beat pure crap" argument would just be a diversion from how truly great the Nationals were and those arguments would be nothing but ways to obfuscate the true quality of that baseball team?

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  #10  
Old 04-10-2010, 12:10 PM
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Steve Crist mentioned in his blog "Zenyatta, is a transcendently great horse who handles everything and is probably as good or better on dirt than on synthetics.
"Transcendently great horse who handles everything" is kind of hard to stomach when it's coming from someone who rates Commentator the 2nd best horse of the last decade to not win a championship.

Commentator was 3-for-12 lifetime in Graded Stakes and not one for handling anything when he got a lot of pressure. He is a horse most likely to be appreciated by New Yorkers and the coldest of speed figure lovers.

Steve Crist is a great writer and obviously someone who knows horse racing extremely well.

He almost never is provocative though.

You know how some places have a thumbs-up and thumbs-down feature after you read a column. Crist's work always comes off as though he's shooting for all thumbs up from everyone.

I much prefer someone who is shooting for a thumbs down rating from every stupid person who disagrees with what they've just read...instead of someone who comes off like an impressive politican trying to pile up votes.

Sadly .. very few racing writers have that style .. and the ones who do often have brutally bad opinions or takes. Beyer is obviously the big exception.
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  #11  
Old 04-10-2010, 10:13 AM
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Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane View Post
It seems so easy to handpick horses that have finished behind ANY great horse and then point out how the handpicked horse would be the "worst" winner of that given race.
Not to mention that "worst" is a matter of conjecture.
Ah no - the last five females to run 2nd to her are disgraceful slugs.

Name me one Apple Blossom winner in the last 20 years who's no better than Taptam. You can't.

Name me one Santa Margarita winner in the last 20 years who's no better than Dance to my Tune. You can't.

Name me one Lady's Secret winner you've seen who's no better than Lethal Heat. You can't.

Name me one Clement Hirsch winner you've seen who's no better than Anabaa's Creation. You can't.

Name me one Vanity Handicap winner you've see who's no better than Briecat. You can't.

Even if you ignore all the elements of competent handicapping you still can't rationally argue that even the winners of the worst editions of those races aren't better.
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  #12  
Old 04-10-2010, 10:49 AM
Port Conway Lane Port Conway Lane is offline
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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS View Post
Ah no - the last five females to run 2nd to her are disgraceful slugs.

Name me one Apple Blossom winner in the last 20 years who's no better than Taptam. You can't.

Name me one Santa Margarita winner in the last 20 years who's no better than Dance to my Tune. You can't.

Name me one Lady's Secret winner you've seen who's no better than Lethal Heat. You can't.

Name me one Clement Hirsch winner you've seen who's no better than Anabaa's Creation. You can't.

Name me one Vanity Handicap winner you've see who's no better than Briecat. You can't.

Even if you ignore all the elements of competent handicapping you still can't rationally argue that even the winners of the worst editions of those races aren't better.
Ok I'll give you that.
My point is that there are the Twice A Prince's finishing second behind many great horses. How would the horse that finished behind Ghostzapper in the Met Mile have rated among the last 20 winners? Or Macho Again last year behind Rachel? Maybe they weren't the worst, I'm not sure. Even if they were what does that say about Ghostzapper or Rachel ?
Seems like a backward way of rating the quality of the winning horse, especially when the other runners in the fields are ignored in the equation.
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  #13  
Old 04-10-2010, 11:07 AM
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How would the horse that finished behind Ghostzapper in the Met Mile have rated among the last 20 winners?
that would be Silver Wagon. He was beaten 1.25 lengths and 2.25 lengths in Grade 1 stakes in his two starts after Ghostzapper crushed him. He also later won the Grade 1 Carter with a 110 Beyer and Grade 2 General Geroge with a 109 Beyer back-to-back. He was no bum. Saint Liam was a HOY. Roses in May and Pleasently Perfect were both stars. Ghostzapper beat real horses - but he's most loved for the way he won races more than anything else.

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Or Macho Again last year behind Rachel? Maybe they weren't the worst, I'm not sure. Even if they were what does that say about Ghostzapper or Rachel ?
Seems like a backward way of rating the quality of the winning horse, especially when the other runners in the fields are ignored in the equation.
Summer Bird was a distant 2nd to RA in the Haskell.

Macho Again and Bullsbay and Mine That Bird and Musket Man aren't impressive at all relative to other 1-2 finishers of the Preakness and Woodward .. but keep in mind you're talking about a 3-year-old filly who beat them .. and in both cases beat setup closers who were aided by strong paces that should have hindered her.
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Old 04-10-2010, 11:12 AM
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Hard to believe Doug feels that the same quality of horses would be entering most of these races had Zenyatta not been in the field, so as he declares the 2nd place horse the would have been "worst winner of the race ever" its deceiving at best, but Doug knows this.
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  #15  
Old 04-10-2010, 11:16 AM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up View Post
Hard to believe Doug feels that the same quality of horses would be entering most of these races had Zenyatta not been in the field, so as he declares the 2nd place horse the would have been "worst winner of the race ever" its deceiving at best, but Doug knows this.
Obviously the races would have been far more likely to attract respectable horses without Zenyatta running.

However ... the horses she has been beating have been mind bogglingly bad even with that considered.
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  #16  
Old 04-10-2010, 11:17 AM
Port Conway Lane Port Conway Lane is offline
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that would be Silver Wagon. He was beaten 1.25 lengths and 2.25 lengths in Grade 1 stakes in his two starts after Ghostzapper crushed him. He also later won the Grade 1 Carter with a 110 Beyer and Grade 2 General Geroge with a 109 Beyer back-to-back. He was no bum. Saint Liam was a HOY. Roses in May and Pleasently Perfect were both stars. Ghostzapper beat real horses - but he's most loved for the way he won races more than anything else.



Summer Bird was a distant 2nd to RA in the Haskell.

Macho Again and Bullsbay and Mine That Bird and Musket Man aren't impressive at all relative to other 1-2 finishers of the Preakness and Woodward .. but keep in mind you're talking about a 3-year-old filly who beat them .. and in both cases beat setup closers who were aided by strong paces that should have hindered her.
OK fair enough,she was a 3yo filly beating the boys. To be fair (If you really believe that the horse who finishes 2nd to the winner rates the quality of that winner) how about the remaining 2nd place finishers in her other races ?
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Old 04-10-2010, 11:25 AM
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OK fair enough,she was a 3yo filly beating the boys. To be fair (If you really believe that the horse who finishes 2nd to the winner rates the quality of that winner) how about the remaining 2nd place finishers in her other races ?
Like a good little Gladiator out to give the blood lusting crowd in the arena what they came for ... she totally oblitered the 2nd place finishers in the Ky Oaks and Mother Goose.

Malibu Prayer - who was 2nd beaten 19+ lengths in the Mother Goose isn't a bad horse either - she's won a couple stakes since - including a victory in a Grade 2 stakes in her most recent start.
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  #18  
Old 04-10-2010, 10:23 AM
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I thought Rachael would have won if she was at her best but you can't blame Zenyatta for Rachael not making the race.

I doubt Zenyatta even broke a sweat yesterday. She didn't have to.
People bad mouthed the great Cigar becasue he didn't beat anyone. Who was better?

ok, so...


who is Zenyatta ducking?
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  #19  
Old 04-10-2010, 10:27 AM
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People bad mouthed the great Cigar becasue he didn't beat anyone. Who was better?
Cigar faced and beat SEVERAL excellent horses.

SEVERAL of his performances were excellent.
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  #20  
Old 04-10-2010, 10:35 AM
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Good stuff as usual DrugS, but is it really fair to lump Gio Ponti in with those other slugs? He put together three first-rate performances in a row last summer and I thought he also ran a very strong race in the BCC.
While beating the others you mentioned may not show much, don't you think Gio Ponti was a pretty darn good horse last year? I think beating him is actually a feather in Zenyatta's cap.

Of course it is a feather in her cap. Spartacus also had to beat someone good somewhere along the way to become the peoples champion.

While good - Gio Ponti is certainly overrated and the thought of him as a Breeders Cup Classic winner sort of makes me laugh.

I also think Gio Ponti is a little better horse on turf than synthetic. He was 5th to Cowboy Cal in the Strub in his synth race prior to the BC Classic - and 4th to a trio of big longshots in his post BC Classic synth try.
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