Two at Toga (2023)

[moses]

I’d love to know Maker’s stats for races taken off the turf. He’s got to have a positive ROI. Seems like he is always hitting with bombs off the turf.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by moses

I’d love to know Maker’s stats for races taken off the turf. He’s got to have a positive ROI. Seems like he is always hitting with bombs off the turf.

Just realized they took races off turf.. Put bet in and went out. Got back in the middle of 6th race... They got me again. I'll just shut up and bet.. But not the Pick 5. Sure I'm not the only one they screwed.

[moses]

All 3 picks won today. Today was a good day.

$152.00 wagered
$178.50 returned

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by moses

All 3 picks won today. Today was a good day.

$152.00 wagered
$178.50 returned

Fantastic job

[moses]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Fantastic job

Thanks. Nice call for you today as well.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by moses

All 3 picks won today. Today was a good day.

$152.00 wagered
$178.50 returned

Great Day

[moses]

Two horses for Wednesday.

Race 6 - #13 Honey Dijon, 8/1 ML. I liked her earlier in the meet and Joe Sharp sent her back out for a blazing workout last week. The horses she was up against last time were pretty good. This group should be a lot easier as this one has been taken off the turf. Gaffalione still aboard, hopefully this one just needed a race.

Race 8 - #5 Pharaoh’s Heart, 7/2. I’m against Raging Sea here and hoping this one can jump out to the lead and never look back. The horse has talent, winning by 19 lengths two back. Not really impressed by anyone else in here. I’ll take 7/2 on this one.

[theguarantee]

^Nice work Sunday moses, should've taken your picks instead of mine. Durkin's Call looked like a sure winner at the top of the stretch but hung like a chandelier - the other two picks just weren't good. Finally got around to updating the records:

Wagered: $152.00
Returned: $211.00

Be back with picks for today later.

[moses]

I wanted to talk about race 5 a bit.

Keri Brion has a 2YO in a dirt sprint today. I’ve grown accustomed to seeing her with the hurdles. She’s a very good trainer and glad to see her with a starter at Saratoga (outside of a hurdles race).

That race is ripe for an absolute bomb to come in. I doubt it will be her horse (doesn’t seem to have much success with 2YO and the works are nothing special), but Zadorsky lost by 9 lengths to Gypsy Tales (who just didn’t really show up this weekend), Shinmering Allure faltered after a fairly moderate pace last time out (to a horse that lost to Zadorsky by 6 lengths), and Crazy Cami may run well with the addition of blinkers but was not impressive in her first start (though that most recent work is nice.)

I’m guessing Zadorsky and the Chad horses will get bet because none of the horses look like much. Could Contessa throw in another 2YO bomb? Maybe a dirt sprint specialist like Santana steals it?

Personally, I really like the #1 Lady Prospect. Rudy has been a bit cold at Saratoga since the first week or so but…Saez aboard. The works are good. Both sire and dam were precocious. I’m going to watch the prices but will be firing hard if that horse is 8/1 or above. If one of my other horses scratches, she would definitely be my next bet.

[moses]

Originally Posted by theguarantee

^Nice work Sunday moses, should've taken your picks instead of mine. Durkin's Call looked like a sure winner at the top of the stretch but hung like a chandelier - the other two picks just weren't good. Finally got around to updating the records:

Wagered: $152.00
Returned: $211.00

Be back with picks for today later.

Thanks…and WOW on your return so far. Keep it up!

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Two horses for Wednesday.

Race 6 - #13 Honey Dijon, 8/1 ML. I liked her earlier in the meet and Joe Sharp sent her back out for a blazing workout last week. The horses she was up against last time were pretty good. This group should be a lot easier as this one has been taken off the turf. Gaffalione still aboard, hopefully this one just needed a race.

Race 8 - #5 Pharaoh’s Heart, 7/2. I’m against Raging Sea here and hoping this one can jump out to the lead and never look back. The horse has talent, winning by 19 lengths two back. Not really impressed by anyone else in here. I’ll take 7/2 on this one.

Honey Dijon scratched so let’s roll with #1 Lady Prospect in Race 5.

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Honey Dijon scratched so let’s roll with #1 Lady Prospect in Race 5.

Race 5 canceled so gonna roll with the #1 Morethanafeeling in Race 10.

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

All 3 picks won today. Today was a good day.

$152.00 wagered
$178.50 returned

Morethanafeeling tracked them down and paid $8.90 to WP. That puts me almost up $1.00 on the day. But I’ll take it as my top 3 choices got scratched out. I glanced at the thursday card and nothing jumped out. I’ll have to dig a bit deeper. And of course. Rain is possible.

$160.00 wagered
$187.40 returned

[moses]

Thursday picks. Both turf. If it comes off I’ll have to improvise.

First bet: Race 3 - #12 Our Country, 12/1.

Second bet: Race 7 - #5 My Lion, 8/1.

[Conrad]

Originally Posted by moses

Thursday picks. Both turf. If it comes off I’ll have to improvise.

First bet: Race 3 - #12 Our Country, 12/1.

Second bet: Race 7 - #5 My Lion, 8/1.

They are off turf today

[moses]

Originally Posted by Conrad

They are off turf today

Dammit.

First bet: Race 1 - #6 Honey Dijon 5/1
Second bet: Race 5 - #7 Pretty Up 10/1

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Morethanafeeling tracked them down and paid $8.90 to WP. That puts me almost up $1.00 on the day. But I’ll take it as my top 3 choices got scratched out. I glanced at the thursday card and nothing jumped out. I’ll have to dig a bit deeper. And of course. Rain is possible.

$160.00 wagered
$187.40 returned

I finally got Honey Dijon to the winners circle. Rosario failed me on the other two year old.

$168.00 wagered
$195.80 returned

[moses]

Friday picks.

First bet: Race 6 - #3 Night Time, 15/1. I’m going to break one of my own rules here and take a stab at what I think is a fairly talented Dale Romans horse. Yes, he’s not good with shippers out of Kentucky but a few things about this horse — it’s generally run well at Saratoga, I think the pace is going to set up for him, Javy jumps aboard, the workout two back was lightning, and he’s going to be a HUGE price. My initial thought on this race was that I liked Today’s Flavor but I don’t like the pace scenario for him. So, let’s take a big shot here.

Second bet: Race 9 - #8 Whittington Park, 8/1. This is another play based on what I think will be a hot pace. Workouts look good for him too. Should be a good price. The expected favorite hasn’t won a race in roughly two years, does get class relief but I’m just not interested in betting him at what will be an extremely short price. I think you’ve got to look elsewhere in this one.

Sidenote: I’m extremely interested in #13 Dororthys Happiness (A.Ferraro/Perez) at 20/1 in race 7 if he draws in. A prior pick of mine from the same trainer is also on the AE list there — #14 Love That Bird (adds blinkers and gets K. Coa aboard). Mild interest in that one if he were to draw in as he didn’t run much in his debut but perhaps the blinkers do the trick.

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Friday picks.

First bet: Race 6 - #3 Night Time, 15/1. I’m going to break one of my own rules here and take a stab at what I think is a fairly talented Dale Romans horse. Yes, he’s not good with shippers out of Kentucky but a few things about this horse — it’s generally run well at Saratoga, I think the pace is going to set up for him, Javy jumps aboard, the workout two back was lightning, and he’s going to be a HUGE price. My initial thought on this race was that I liked Today’s Flavor but I don’t like the pace scenario for him. So, let’s take a big shot here.

Second bet: Race 9 - #8 Whittington Park, 8/1. This is another play based on what I think will be a hot pace. Workouts look good for him too. Should be a good price. The expected favorite hasn’t won a race in roughly two years, does get class relief but I’m just not interested in betting him at what will be an extremely short price. I think you’ve got to look elsewhere in this one.

Sidenote: I’m extremely interested in #13 Dororthys Happiness (A.Ferraro/Perez) at 20/1 in race 7 if he draws in. A prior pick of mine from the same trainer is also on the AE list there — #14 Love That Bird (adds blinkers and gets K. Coa aboard). Mild interest in that one if he were to draw in as he didn’t run much in his debut but perhaps the blinkers do the trick.

Whittington Park is scratched.

Swap in #6 Mysterious Night (10/1) in Race 8.