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  #1  
Old 07-28-2023, 06:29 AM
theguarantee theguarantee is offline
Louisiana Downs
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: NY
Posts: 343
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Quote:
Originally Posted by theguarantee View Post
Best Bet: Race 7 - #5 Eyes on Target 7/2 - The chaotic nature of this field is the only reason I'm willing to go ahead and bet on Irad/Maker/Dubb...I tried to make a case for Tartini cutting back but ultimately don't think he's good enough. Similar for the rest of the field and I circled back to thinking not only is Eyes on Target a likely winner, but I think he'll actually be a slight overlay in this field.

Best Value: Race 9 - #4 Pioneering Spirit 4/1 - Simply couldn't come up with anything too clever on the card today and this is another where I think the bulky field will lead to an overlay...I love the progress this one has made of late, ability to settle, he's athletic enough to work out a nice trip and love the way he kicked home last out.
Eyes on Target was tons the best but DQ'd only cost me a couple grand in multis...Pioneering Spirit was also tons the best...both horses were bet off the board though.

Wagered: $88.00
Returned: $120.90

Interesting card today but looks pretty tough.
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  #2  
Old 07-28-2023, 09:03 AM
moses's Avatar
moses moses is online now
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,817
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Quote:
Originally Posted by theguarantee View Post
Eyes on Target was tons the best but DQ'd only cost me a couple grand in multis...Pioneering Spirit was also tons the best...both horses were bet off the board though.

Wagered: $88.00
Returned: $120.90

Interesting card today but looks pretty tough.
Nice call on Pioneering Spirit. I think with more eyes on horse racing, they almost had to DQ Irad that race. It was a dangerous move and could have led to a catastrophic injury to horse or rider. That horse was definitely best though.

You now take the lead with Pioneering Spirit. I’m stuck at:

$88.00 wagered
$111.00 returned
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  #3  
Old 07-28-2023, 11:48 AM
theguarantee theguarantee is offline
Louisiana Downs
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: NY
Posts: 343
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Best Bet: Race 9 - #8 Harry Hood 3/1 - Not going to extract any type of great value with this pick but I struggled a bit with today's card and if we get the 3/1 on this guy who has had a series of tough trips in his brief career. I thought the last was pretty good and I like that Chad immediately gets aggressive and spots this one at the right class level.

Best Value: Race 7 - #4 Little Maddy Brown 30/1 - Going off the reservation with this one. Has a right to like the turf and is a hard knocking type, likely too cheap but I wasn't particularly scared of anyone in here. The only previous turf race he had absolutely no chance in a decent field at Saratoga last year going a route. Showed speed and faded badly in the stretch. Again, he's probably badly outclassed today but this is a much more reasonable spot for him.
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