Two at Toga (2023)

[jms62]

Originally Posted by moses

Well, I suck.

$128.00 wagered
$116.30 returned

First bet: Race 8 - #8 Mysterious Night, 10/1. There are several very good horses in this race. While this one hasn’t been great in his last two outings, I keep going back to that September race at Woodbine last year. He looked effortless in winning that and my hope is Charles Appleby has righted the ship here. I’m willing to find out at 10/1.

Second bet: Race 7 - #7 Papilio, 5/1. She has had some troubled trips in her recent starts but always shows heart and toughness. Looking for her to put it all together today.

Interesting stat on Appleby FWIW

from 2021-Current

He is 18 Starts 4 Wins from Jan through July

He is 24 Starts 13 Wins Aug through December

[moses]

Originally Posted by jms62

Interesting stat on Appleby FWIW

from 2021-Current

He is 18 Starts 4 Wins from Jan through July

He is 24 Starts 13 Wins Aug through December

Interesting. 4/18 isn’t even bad. 13/24 is incredible. I didn’t realize that.

I really wanted to like the Chad maiden breaker in that race…but I have a feeling that was a pretty bad maiden field so couldn’t do it.

[moses]

I think I’m headed down the shore tomorrow so going to throw in my Saturday picks as well.

First bet: Race 9 - #2 Program Trading, 7/2
Second bet: Race 10 - #2 Charge It, 5/1

If either get scratched:
Alternative 1: Race 2 - #8 Badlands Ruler, 20/1
Alternative 2: Race 6 - #3 Cogburn, 8/1

[moses]

Not for this challenge but I’m throwing some money on the 16 here in race 4.

[theguarantee]

Whiffed bad yesterday. Not much time today.

Best Bet: Race 7 - #3 Elusive Princess 7/2
Best Value: Race 8 - #2 Bat Flip 8/1

[moses]

That horse cannot avoid trouble.