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#1
08-09-2022, 09:06 AM
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Quote:
Total wagered: $152.00 Total returned: $115.50 Wednesday, August 10. Best bet: Race 10 - #7 Running Bee 4/1 ML, Brown/Franco. When reviewing this race, I was originally leaning toward Evan Harlan, who I think will be a nice price and is certainly eligible to win this race. But the more I looked at Running Bee, the more I liked him. Last out winner Capensis moved into the allowance ranks in his next start and though disappointed as the favorite, ran well. The third place finisher last out returned to break his maiden. I think there will be some value here as Brown/Irad will get plenty of interest but I prefer this Chad horse...and note that Brown/Franco have been hot since Belmont and have a positive ROI in their last 51 starts together (last 60 days). I think this one may be a little more forwardly placed this time as there isn't much speed in the race, though Saez and Lezcano could try to battle each other. I'm not sure the pace will matter all that much as I think this one is just better than the others in here and with a good ride from Franco, should win. Best value: Race 5 - #4 Be the Boss 15/1 ML, Trombetta/Castellano. I generally do not like to bet 3YOs against older in turf routes. But, I'll make an exception here if the price is right. This one drops in for a tag and should be running up front early. Javy has been riding well lately so I'll trust him to set the pace and try to make them catch him. 
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#2
08-10-2022, 11:22 AM
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Best Bet - Race 5 #2 Parquetry 5/1
Thinking Dylan should work out a nice trip in a field that leaves wanting. Has the back class to beat these hoping the drop is just what the doctor ordered. Best Value - Race 9 #6 Battle Scars 8/1 Had the look of a pretty decent one going back to the initial efforts and assuming something went awry. Returns here and hopefully as an improved animal. Going to try to wake the Atras barn up at what should be a square price today
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#4
08-10-2022, 02:44 PM
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Soft morning lines might have something to do with it.
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#6
08-10-2022, 03:29 PM
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It’s a tough job no doubt. Much sharper at Belmont and Aqueduct
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#7
08-11-2022, 12:12 PM
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Be the Boss was overbet and ran poorly. Running Bee was never really in doubt, though only went off at 2/1 returning $10.40 total.
Total wagered: $160.00 Total returned: $125.90 Thursday, August 11. Best bet: Race 9 - #10 Derrynane 5/1 ML, Clement/Rosario. I suspect that Poppyflower and Empress Tigress will be the two horses people look at from the Coronation Cup and both those horses ran well and deserve that interest. But I thought Derrynane just had a really awkward trip. There were multiple spots where she came close to steadying, just didn't seem comfortable for most of the race, then lacked room at the top of the stretch and had to awkwardly move out to get running room. I think breaking from the outside, she'll hopefully not have to deal with any of that. The chart says she made up almost 53 lengths in the stretch and while we know that's wrong, she did put in a strong effort once she got into the clear. Looking for her to run big here at a square price. Best value: Race 10 - #10 Bavarian Creme 8/1 ML, Hennig/Prat. I don't know if this horse is going to go off at 8/1 a few of the horses from that MSW turf race on May 30th have come back to win, including Dream Central who has won two stakes races since then. Plus, Prat is aboard. This one did seem to have another gear that it kicked into in the stretch and I liked the professionalism she showed when asked for more. Not seeing any horse that really stands out in this group, I think she's worth a stab at 8/1.
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