Two at Toga - 2021 edition

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Well Casual finished 3rd, just getting edged by Aunt Kat. I don’t even remember what Be Up did but that was a big disappointment given how my alternates performed. And Joey Loose Lips with a nice run for place. I thought he had that one. My actual best value pick…did not run as well.

Luckily I got to hit today with Mr. Kringle and he returned $15.30 for win and place.

Wagered: $96.00
Returned: $54.90

With Art Collector’s win I’m now at:

Wagered: $104.00
Returned: $64.30

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

With Art Collector’s win I’m now at:

Wagered: $104.00
Returned: $64.30

I completely whiffed yesterday so I’m now at:

Wagered: $112.00
Returned: $64.30

Best bet: Race 8 - #4 Shesawildjoker, 10/1 ML (Donk/Velazquez)

Best value: Race 6 - #2 Free Chickens, 10/1 ML (Abreu/Saez)

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

I completely whiffed yesterday so I’m now at:

Wagered: $112.00
Returned: $64.30

Best bet: Race 8 - #4 Shesawildjoker, 10/1 ML (Donk/Velazquez)

Best value: Race 6 - #2 Free Chickens, 10/1 ML (Abreu/Saez)

Another shutout so now at $120.00 wagered and only $64.30 returned.

Wednesday August 11th

I'm not crazy about too many horses on this card. I think Gotta Go Mo in the 4th is probably the most likely winner today and considered making him my "best bet" but he's 7/5 so I'm going to take a shot with Lucky Brody who gets some class relief and faces off against a duo of favorites with possible distance limitations. I'm not totally against ML favorite Town Avenger in the 7th. She looks like a pretty talented filly but I suspect she may get bet down even more than that. Casse has been ice cold at Saratoga...but Earth Strike had some trouble last time out and still finished well and I think will appreciate the added distance. Plus Rosario is back aboard.

Best bet: Race 5 - #6 Lucky Brody, 10/1 ML (Noda/Franco).

Best value: Race 7 - #4 Earth Strike, 8/1 ML (Casse/Rosario).

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Another shutout so now at $120.00 wagered and only $64.30 returned.

Wednesday August 11th

I'm not crazy about too many horses on this card. I think Gotta Go Mo in the 4th is probably the most likely winner today and considered making him my "best bet" but he's 7/5 so I'm going to take a shot with Lucky Brody who gets some class relief and faces off against a duo of favorites with possible distance limitations. I'm not totally against ML favorite Town Avenger in the 7th. She looks like a pretty talented filly but I suspect she may get bet down even more than that. Casse has been ice cold at Saratoga...but Earth Strike had some trouble last time out and still finished well and I think will appreciate the added distance. Plus Rosario is back aboard.

Best bet: Race 5 - #6 Lucky Brody, 10/1 ML (Noda/Franco).

Best value: Race 7 - #4 Earth Strike, 8/1 ML (Casse/Rosario).

Wagered: $128.00
Returned: $64.30


Well I was right to bet against the favorites in race 5…but landed on the wrong longshot. Earth Strike ran alright but finished a distant 4th. Going to go with a pair of Pletcher horses today, though I wouldn’t be shocked if we don’t get the ML prices on them.

Best bet: Race 4 - #1 Chocolate Cookie, 3/1 ML (Pletcher/I.Ortiz)

Best value: Race 10 - #12 Abaan, 6/1 ML (Pletcher/Saez)

[moses]

Friday August 13th

Best bet: Race 9 - #3 Bon Raison, 8/1 ML (Sisterson/Vargas). I missed out on Lexitonian and don’t want to miss out again. The works have been incredible and everything points to him being ready to run a big race.

Best value: Race 6 - #9 Ace Up Her Sleeve, 15/1 ML (Klesaris/Gaffalione). Pletcher’s horse is the one to beat here but I’ll take a shot on this one who Steve Klesaris ships up from Delaware after a nice workout on August 3rd.

Alternate: Race 5 - #5 Lia Marina, 5/1 ML (Clement/Rosario)

With two 2nd places on Thursday, I now stand at…

Wagered: $136.00
Returned: $74.10

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Friday August 13th

Best bet: Race 9 - #3 Bon Raison, 8/1 ML (Sisterson/Vargas). I missed out on Lexitonian and don’t want to miss out again. The works have been incredible and everything points to him being ready to run a big race.

Best value: Race 6 - #9 Ace Up Her Sleeve, 15/1 ML (Klesaris/Gaffalione). Pletcher’s horse is the one to beat here but I’ll take a shot on this one who Steve Klesaris ships up from Delaware after a nice workout on August 3rd.

Alternate: Race 5 - #5 Lia Marina, 5/1 ML (Clement/Rosario)

With two 2nd places on Thursday, I now stand at…

Wagered: $136.00
Returned: $74.10

Not even close.

Wagered: $144.00
Returned: $74.10

Saturday August 14th

Best bet: Race 6 - #12 Major General, 6/1 ML (AE) (Pletcher/Rosario)

Best value: Race 3 - #3 Tapaloof, 20/1 ML (Kimmel/Davis)

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Not even close.

Wagered: $144.00
Returned: $74.10

Saturday August 14th

Best bet: Race 6 - #12 Major General, 6/1 ML (AE) (Pletcher/Rosario)

Best value: Race 3 - #3 Tapaloof, 20/1 ML (Kimmel/Davis)

Major General is not going to make it in so I’ll go with Raging Bull in the Fourstardave as my best bet.