Two at Toga - 2021 edition

[Alabama Stakes]

Who needs a best bet ? Stupid concept. 2 price hosses is such a better way to go. Who needs a place bet on some low priced hoss ? Copying a guy who doesn’t break even is not the way to fly , Mo.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Who needs a best bet ? Stupid concept. 2 price hosses is such a better way to go. Who needs a place bet on some low priced hoss ? Copying a guy who doesn’t break even is not the way to fly , Mo.

Since it’s so easy, you should give it a shot. Let’s put it this way, if you’re able to show a profit doing it, I’ll leave the board forever.

[Alabama Stakes]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Since it’s so easy, you should give it a shot. Let’s put it this way, if you’re able to show a profit doing it, I’ll leave the board forever.

In spyders similar contest, I walked the walk if you remember.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

In spyders similar contest, I walked the walk if you remember.

I hit .629 in Little League...

[Alabama Stakes]

Originally Posted by jms62

I hit .629 in Little League...

Last contest was 2018. A dynamite second place finish



Me too, but only if I was pitching, because we were gonna need to score plenty of runs to win the game.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Last contest was 2018. A dynamite second place finish



Me too, but only if I was pitching, because we were gonna need to score plenty of runs to win the game.

It would appear the big vagina doesn’t have the intestinal fortitude to put his opinion out there and track it.

Kind of ironic, don’t ya think?

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

In spyders similar contest, I walked the walk if you remember.

The contest that you got cancelled because you were so annoying? I thought past success doesn’t mean anything.

Sh.it…you cyberblew me for years because of all the winners I fed you. Not I’m a horrible person because I stopped.

Let’s see you do it now. You show a profit, I leave. You don’t show a profit, you make a $200 donation to the charity of my choosing.

[Alabama Stakes]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Since it’s so easy, you should give it a shot. Let’s put it this way, if you’re able to show a profit doing it, I’ll leave the board forever.

Promise ?

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Promise ?

Sure. Two picks every single day for the Saratoga meet. You show a profit I’m gone. You lose you make a $200 donation to the charity of my choice.

You game?

[gamblin4ever]

Moses, Best Bet should be the horse you think is most likely to win for the day, price shouldn't matter.
Just my opinion. Good luck in your picks and may you be profitable. Also congrats on new baby.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by gamblin4ever

Moses, Best Bet should be the horse you think is most likely to win for the day, price shouldn't matter.
Just my opinion. Good luck in your picks and may you be profitable. Also congrats on new baby.

I would say that would be "Lock of Day" and you should be hitting that at least 50% of the time and even at that rate you will lose money. "Best Bets" odds often leak up in these types of threads as guys get underwater and try to get out for the meet. If you can hit that "Lock of Day" at 50% and use it to key a Double or Exacta then you can build a successful strategy. Using in Tri's Pick3-4-5 is much harder though IMO as you have more places to stumble.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by jms62

I would say that would be "Lock of Day" and you should be hitting that at least 50% of the time and even at that rate you will lose money. "Best Bets" odds often leak up in these types of threads as guys get underwater and try to get out for the meet. If you can hit that "Lock of Day" at 50% and use it to key a Double or Exacta then you can build a successful strategy. Using in Tri's Pick3-4-5 is much harder though IMO as you have more places to stumble.

I’d respond to this obvious shot at me but the last time we went back and forth you got so mad that you wanted to sue me

[moses]

Originally Posted by gamblin4ever

Moses, Best Bet should be the horse you think is most likely to win for the day, price shouldn't matter.
Just my opinion. Good luck in your picks and may you be profitable. Also congrats on new baby.

Originally Posted by jms62

I would say that would be "Lock of Day" and you should be hitting that at least 50% of the time and even at that rate you will lose money. "Best Bets" odds often leak up in these types of threads as guys get underwater and try to get out for the meet. If you can hit that "Lock of Day" at 50% and use it to key a Double or Exacta then you can build a successful strategy. Using in Tri's Pick3-4-5 is much harder though IMO as you have more places to stumble.

I think, in my mind, I typically consider the "best bet" a horse that I'd place a win wager on and also construct some vertical or horizontal tickets around it. A good example of this would have been the horse Quiberon Bay the other day at Monmouth. I had bet the horse to win, exacta on top, and singled in my Pick 5. The horse was something like 9/2 ML and went off at 5/2.

I think last year I got myself in trouble trying to pick horses "most likely" to win, and they often ran 2nd and wouldn't have paid well anyway.

[gamblin4ever]

Originally Posted by jms62

I would say that would be "Lock of Day" and you should be hitting that at least 50% of the time and even at that rate you will lose money. "Best Bets" odds often leak up in these types of threads as guys get underwater and try to get out for the meet. If you can hit that "Lock of Day" at 50% and use it to key a Double or Exacta then you can build a successful strategy. Using in Tri's Pick3-4-5 is much harder though IMO as you have more places to stumble.

True

[Alabama Stakes]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Sure. Two picks every single day for the Saratoga meet. You show a profit I’m gone. You lose you make a $200 donation to the charity of my choice.

You game?

No . I lose and YOU make a $100 donation. I win I’ll make $100 donation.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

No . I lose and YOU make a $100 donation. I win I’ll make $100 donation.

Whatever. I’ll still leave and donate the money.

By the way, you’re welcome for helping you retire early you ungrateful scumbag.

[Alabama Stakes]

Thank you and Byk for helping me retire early. I have done this several times already. 6 years and 20 days now. Time flies when you’re having fun.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Who needs a best bet ? Stupid concept. 2 price hosses is such a better way to go. Who needs a place bet on some low priced hoss ? Copying a guy who doesn’t break even is not the way to fly , Mo.

To be fair, I think both threads from last year had plenty of situations where there were two price horses picked in one day. Like I mentioned above, I know I don't follow an exact formula for what qualifies as my "best bet."

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by moses

To be fair, I think both threads from last year had plenty of situations where there were two price horses picked in one day. Like I mentioned above, I know I don't follow an exact formula for what qualifies as my "best bet."

For me it’s the horse I like the most that day that is also a horse I could bet. Look at opening day at Saratoga, obviously Golden Pal would’ve been most peoples “best bet” but I know I’m not betting horses at 1/5 or whatever he was

[Dahoss]

By the way, the big vagina’s silence anytime he is challenged is hilarious. He knows what will happen.