3/26-28 (CD): Derby Future Wager ~ Pool 5

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by FATPIANO

then bet all others....

Why bet anything at all?

Not trying to be rude but how are these good bets at all?

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Why bet anything at all?

Not trying to be rude but how are these good bets at all?

The flip side is why assume there are not any good bets in there? It's parimutual and the takeout is the same as any race at Churchill. Some entries will be overbet and some will be underbet. If they're underbet enough, they're good bets.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

The flip side is why assume there are not any good bets in there? It's parimutual and the takeout is the same as any race at Churchill. Some entries will be overbet and some will be underbet. If they're underbet enough, they're good bets.

I don’t see how betting a race that is 6 weeks away where there are so many variables could possibly be considered a good bet.

I’m sure all those people who bet Life Is Good thought they made a good bet.

So much can change in this game, with 3 year olds, daily. Why make it more difficult on yourself and your bankroll?

I just think it’s very difficult if not impossible to determine value this far out. Too much can happen.

[Conrad]

I got lucky (or unlucky, as it was) when i bet Giacomo in the 2005 future pool at 25-1.
I had soured on him by the time the Derby came around and passed on him at 50-1.

The End

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Conrad

I got lucky (or unlucky, as it was) when i bet Giacomo in the 2005 future pool at 25-1.
I had soured on him by the time the Derby came around and passed on him at 50-1.

The End

I did almost the same except I bet him Derby Day too.

Soured me on the future pools.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

I did almost the same except I bet him Derby Day too.

Soured me on the future pools.

The futures wagers are bad bets...but I still make them because they can be fun.

In the past, I've picked different horses for each pool. This year, I just kept betting Concert Tour so I've got some money to win on him and then a bunch of small ($1 or $2) exactas with different horses in each pool and a few doubles with him. I've got a $1 exacta of Concert Tour over Hot Rod Charlie that will pay $1030. And while that's still probably not going to happen, it's kind of fun to have that possibility.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by moses

The futures wagers are bad bets...but I still make them because they can be fun.

In the past, I've picked different horses for each pool. This year, I just kept betting Concert Tour so I've got some money to win on him and then a bunch of small ($1 or $2) exactas with different horses in each pool and a few doubles with him. I've got a $1 exacta of Concert Tour over Hot Rod Charlie that will pay $1030. And while that's still probably not going to happen, it's kind of fun to have that possibility.

I hear ya. If you’re looking at it as a fun bet, it is.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Conrad

I got lucky (or unlucky, as it was) when i bet Giacomo in the 2005 future pool at 25-1.
I had soured on him by the time the Derby came around and passed on him at 50-1.

The End

I did that with Country House. Around 30/1 in the futures pool but he went off much higher than that.