3/26-28 (CD): Derby Future Wager ~ Pool 5

[moses]

Originally Posted by Kasept

1. Big Lake SCRATCH
2. Caddo River 30-1
3. Collaborate 30-1
4. Concert Tour 9-2
5. Crowded Trade 30-1
6. Dream Shake 50-1

7. Essential Quality 3-1
8. Greatest Honour 4-1
9. Helium 30-1
10. Hidden Stash 50-1
11. Highly Motivated 30-1
12. Hot Rod Charlie 6-1

13. Hozier 30-1
14. Mandaloun 30-1
15. Medina Spirit 20-1
16. Midnight Bourbon 30-1
17. O Besos 50-1
18. Prevalence 20-1

19. Proxy 30-1
20. Risk Taking 30-1
21. Rock Your World 50-1
22. Spielberg 50-1
23. Weyburn 30-1
24. All Other 3-Year-Olds 20-1

Probably sitting this one out but I’ll look at the prices.

With Big Lake being scratched out and the pool not started yet, how come they can’t just add another horse? I’m sure the horse would have little chance but I bet horses like Known Agenda, Triple Tap, Soup and Sandwich, and others would garner some interest.

[FATPIANO]

Originally Posted by moses

Probably sitting this one out but I’ll look at the prices.

With Big Lake being scratched out and the pool not started yet, how come they can’t just add another horse? I’m sure the horse would have little chance but I bet horses like Known Agenda, Triple Tap, Soup and Sandwich, and others would garner some interest.

then bet all others....

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by FATPIANO

then bet all others....

Why bet anything at all?

Not trying to be rude but how are these good bets at all?

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Why bet anything at all?

Not trying to be rude but how are these good bets at all?

The flip side is why assume there are not any good bets in there? It's parimutual and the takeout is the same as any race at Churchill. Some entries will be overbet and some will be underbet. If they're underbet enough, they're good bets.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

The flip side is why assume there are not any good bets in there? It's parimutual and the takeout is the same as any race at Churchill. Some entries will be overbet and some will be underbet. If they're underbet enough, they're good bets.

I don’t see how betting a race that is 6 weeks away where there are so many variables could possibly be considered a good bet.

I’m sure all those people who bet Life Is Good thought they made a good bet.

So much can change in this game, with 3 year olds, daily. Why make it more difficult on yourself and your bankroll?

I just think it’s very difficult if not impossible to determine value this far out. Too much can happen.

[Conrad]

I got lucky (or unlucky, as it was) when i bet Giacomo in the 2005 future pool at 25-1.
I had soured on him by the time the Derby came around and passed on him at 50-1.

The End

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Conrad

I got lucky (or unlucky, as it was) when i bet Giacomo in the 2005 future pool at 25-1.
I had soured on him by the time the Derby came around and passed on him at 50-1.

The End

I did almost the same except I bet him Derby Day too.

Soured me on the future pools.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Conrad

I got lucky (or unlucky, as it was) when i bet Giacomo in the 2005 future pool at 25-1.
I had soured on him by the time the Derby came around and passed on him at 50-1.

The End

I did that with Country House. Around 30/1 in the futures pool but he went off much higher than that.

[moses]

Originally Posted by FATPIANO

then bet all others....

I don’t plan on betting any of those horses. Just curious why they can’t add another betting option when one is eliminated before the pool even opens.