Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #21  
Old 05-01-2017, 08:41 PM
Mike's Avatar
Mike Mike is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,308
Default

Master Plan would mop these losers in the rain
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 05-01-2017, 08:44 PM
Indian Charlie's Avatar
Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Southern Maine
Posts: 8,708
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by taxicab View Post
He never has,but he hit Kentucky and now he thinks he's Chinook Pass.
Not sure why.
Wow, you really went old school with that one.
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 05-01-2017, 09:11 PM
Mike's Avatar
Mike Mike is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,308
Default

Thunder Snow winning the Criterium International on turf: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcDb1Ywuh5Y

2000 Guineas: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZWa0X1qdK7Y
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 05-01-2017, 09:20 PM
Mike's Avatar
Mike Mike is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,308
Default

Thunder Snow is 2 for 2 on dirt, both at Dubai. Is this the same Dubai track that was made to be similar to Churchill Downs?
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 05-01-2017, 09:38 PM
KidCruz KidCruz is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 28
Default

I don't know. I really want to like him and make him a key. But everywhere I look, people I respect immensely consider him an auto-toss because he's coming from overseas.

The figure making on the DWC day seems to have been tough due to track conditions that were changing and difficult to quantify. That said, on raw time, he ran about as fast as Arrogate, did he not? All the figures seem to be just slightly too tethered to Master Plan. He has obvious questions, not the least of which is the challenging travel/training pattern but he looks fast and in a field full of question marks, I am giving him a serious look.
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 05-01-2017, 11:53 PM
taxicab's Avatar
taxicab taxicab is offline
Ellis Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 484
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Secretriat34 View Post
it is true the foreign colts do not due well at Cd in May. But i think thunder snow might be ITM...what was his rag or tgraph for that race ?
TGraph for Thunder Snow:

http://www.thoroughbreddailynews.com...hundersnow.pdf
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 05-02-2017, 12:26 AM
taxicab's Avatar
taxicab taxicab is offline
Ellis Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 484
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
Wow, you really went old school with that one.
When I started hanging out at the track,he was the first "quick" horse I knew about.
Still the quickest in my book.
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 05-02-2017, 12:34 AM
taxicab's Avatar
taxicab taxicab is offline
Ellis Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 484
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
When has Always Dreaming been speed crazy? He sat comfortably in the Florida Derby.
Thoro-graph seems to like your guy quite a bit,he really improved off of his previous.
They have his most recent number tied for the best.........without looking,can you guess which horse tied him for the best last race number ?
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 05-02-2017, 01:04 AM
Indian Charlie's Avatar
Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Southern Maine
Posts: 8,708
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by taxicab View Post
When I started hanging out at the track,he was the first "quick" horse I knew about.
Still the quickest in my book.
Chinook Pass is one of those obscure and forgotten horses from the past who should be remembered more. He was awesome.
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 05-02-2017, 08:27 AM
Cpt.Bodgit's Avatar
Cpt.Bodgit Cpt.Bodgit is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Buffalo
Posts: 46
Default

[quote=KidCruz;1090169]I don't know. I really want to like him and make him a key. But everywhere I look, people I respect immensely consider him an auto-toss because he's coming from overseas.




Pretty much the same view i have. I was hoping to see more people at least giving him a shot and I would be all in. So it does scare me seeing so many auto-tosses for sure. Having said that I won't let anyone talk me off of him. It will just cost me more to use him with others I like (Classic Empire, IWC, McCracken)

Looking forward to hearing how he looks on the track and his post.
__________________
Saratoga in the Summer!
Reply With Quote
  #31  
Old 05-02-2017, 08:37 AM
tywizard tywizard is offline
Lincoln Fields
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Kentucky
Posts: 438
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by taxicab View Post
Thoro-graph seems to like your guy quite a bit,he really improved off of his previous.
They have his most recent number tied for the best.........without looking,can you guess which horse tied him for the best last race number ?
Careful stating that TG likes him.

Also, the statement isn't true. Assuming you're talking about Always Dreaming he does not have the fastest last race from TG. IWC does. 2.25 faster than FL Derby winner.
Reply With Quote
  #32  
Old 05-02-2017, 08:58 PM
taxicab's Avatar
taxicab taxicab is offline
Ellis Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2015
Posts: 484
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by tywizard View Post
Careful stating that TG likes him.

Also, the statement isn't true. Assuming you're talking about Always Dreaming he does not have the fastest last race from TG. IWC does. 2.25 faster than FL Derby winner.
You're correct about IWC,he does have the best last race number.
I didn't notice the neg on the side of his number.........my own fault for not enlarging the screen.
You didn't understand my statement about AD.
When I said "like" referencing Thoro-graph,I meant it as a verb(in the past tense if you will) describing his previous races.........I was specifically speaking of his last number,and also his improvement from his race two back to his most recent.
I wasn't saying Thoro-graph was touting AD in the Derby.
Good luck on Saturday....
Reply With Quote
  #33  
Old 05-03-2017, 10:50 AM
Cpt.Bodgit's Avatar
Cpt.Bodgit Cpt.Bodgit is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Buffalo
Posts: 46
Default

well...the #2 post isn't going to help.
__________________
Saratoga in the Summer!
Reply With Quote
  #34  
Old 05-03-2017, 11:24 AM
Seattleallstar's Avatar
Seattleallstar Seattleallstar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,866
Default

I dont like the choice of jockey either, I am hoping Christophe Soumillon is aggressive with him out of the gate to gain position from that post.
Reply With Quote
  #35  
Old 05-03-2017, 12:23 PM
Secretriat34 Secretriat34 is offline
Tropical Park
 
Join Date: Jan 2016
Posts: 247
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike View Post
Thunder Snow is 2 for 2 on dirt, both at Dubai. Is this the same Dubai track that was made to be similar to Churchill Downs?
nice video on TS in the criterium.
That colt lays his body down in every effort
Reply With Quote
  #36  
Old 05-03-2017, 12:26 PM
Secretriat34 Secretriat34 is offline
Tropical Park
 
Join Date: Jan 2016
Posts: 247
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by taxicab View Post

pair of 3's...that's not too shabby.

from post 2, they can have him stay back mid pack, and then run for the roses around the final turn. dog fights in the stretch are not foreign to Thunder snow
Reply With Quote
  #37  
Old 05-03-2017, 08:09 PM
RolloTomasi's Avatar
RolloTomasi RolloTomasi is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,612
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Secretriat34 View Post
pair of 3's...that's not too shabby.

from post 2, they can have him stay back mid pack, and then run for the roses around the final turn. dog fights in the stretch are not foreign to Thunder snow
Other positives: Owns a victory on an off-track and will be first-time lasix on Saturday.
Reply With Quote
  #38  
Old 05-04-2017, 06:25 AM
FATPIANO's Avatar
FATPIANO FATPIANO is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: nys
Posts: 1,174
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi View Post
Other positives: Owns a victory on an off-track and will be first-time lasix on Saturday.
__________________
Arrogate is the best horse since The Bid, and The Bid was better than Secretariat!!!!
Reply With Quote
  #39  
Old 05-04-2017, 06:41 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi View Post
Other positives: Owns a victory on an off-track and will be first-time lasix on Saturday.
Hasnt the medical community done countless studies to debunk Lasix as a medication that is a performance enhancing? Just Kidding
Reply With Quote
  #40  
Old 05-04-2017, 11:04 AM
Secretriat34 Secretriat34 is offline
Tropical Park
 
Join Date: Jan 2016
Posts: 247
Default

I have converted T Snows' Timeforms to beyers and found a perplexing thing.
if I convert subtracting 14 points he is not ITM in my analysis, but if I convert subtracting 13 points he is ITM...??sheesh ??

And first time lasix can be a great enhancement or a big let down depending upon how the colt takes to it.

This is a confusing race as a lot of the favs had had a beyer string that is mis-shapened by their goofy flops...IWC is an example..by far the fastest beyer string if you discount his 63 in the FOY, with 2 101 beyers in a row. Same thing with AD he has a bad alloawance number, and classic empire beyers look dismal as a string.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:35 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.